Si-Tou, Wai Kit. / "September 2011." / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2011. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 69-71). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Abstract: --- p.2 / 摘要 --- p.3 / Acknowledgements --- p.4 / Chapter Chapter 1: --- Introduction --- p.6 / Chapter Chapter 2: --- The Galor-Weil Model --- p.11 / Chapter 2.1 --- Basic Structure Model --- p.11 / Chapter 2.2 --- Preferences and Budget Constraints --- p.12 / Chapter 2.3 --- Optimization --- p.13 / Chapter Chapter 3: --- Parameterization and Simulation Results by Lagerlof --- p.16 / Chapter 3.1 --- Parameterization and Full Dynamical System --- p.16 / Chapter 3.2 --- Parameter Values and Simulation Results --- p.18 / Chapter Chapter 4: --- Theoretical Analysis of the Effects of Exogenous Population Control Policy on the Dynamic System --- p.22 / Chapter Chapter 5: --- Simulation Results using China's Data --- p.29 / Chapter 5.1 --- Simulation Results with Exogenous Population Control --- p.31 / Chapter 5.2 --- Simulation Results with Exogenous Population Control and Technological Shocks.. --- p.35 / Chapter 5.3 --- Further Implications --- p.36 / Chapter Chapter 6: --- Concluding Remarks --- p.38 / Chapter Appendix A: --- Figures and Tables --- p.42 / Chapter Appendix B: --- Sensitivity Test --- p.67 / References: --- p.69

by Ho Sau Lan. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1991. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 82-85). / ABSTRACT / ACKNOWLEDGEMENT / CONTENTS / LIST OF TABLES / CHAPTERS / Chapter 1. --- DEMOGRAPHIC PATTERN AND POPULATION POLICIES / Chapter 1.1 --- Introduction / Chapter 1.2 --- Current literature on China's demography / Chapter 1.3 --- Recent demographic trend in China / Chapter 1.4 --- Policies for controlling birth / Chapter 2. --- EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION / Chapter 2.1 --- Explanations of the demographic transition / Chapter 2.2 --- Granger-causality / Chapter 2.3 --- Test specification / Chapter 2.4 --- Data specification / Chapter 2.5 --- Test procedure / Chapter 2.6 --- Empirical results / Chapter 2.7 --- Summary / Chapter 2.8 --- Problem of the tests / Chapter 3. --- FERTILITY CHANGE IN THE REFORM PERIOD1979-1987 / Chapter 3.1 --- The economic reform / Chapter 3.2 --- Effects of the economic reform and other economic factors on fertility / Chapter 3.3 --- Data specification / Chapter 3.4 --- Statistical specification / Chapter 3.5 --- Empirical Results / Chapter 3.6 --- Summary / Chapter 4. --- CONCLUDTNG REMARKS / Chapter 5. --- APPENDIX A： GLOSSARY OF SOME DEMOGRAPHIC TERMS / Chapter 6. --- APPENDIX B： SOURCES OF DATA / Chapter 7. --- BIBLIOGRAPHY