Biomarkers have important clinical uses as diagnostic, prognostic, and predictive tools for cancer therapy. However, translation from biomarkers claimed in literature to clinical use has been traditionally poor. Importantly, clinical covariates have been shown to be important factors in biomarker discovery in small-scale studies. Yet, traditional differential gene expression analysis for expression biomarkers ignores covariates, which are only accounted for later, if at all. We conjecture that covariate-sensitive biomarker identification should lead to the discovery of more robust and true biomarkers as confounding effects are considered. Here we examine gene expression in more than 750 breast invasive ductal carcinoma cases from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA-BRCA) in the form of RNA-Seq data. Specifically, we focus on differential gene expression with respect to understanding HER2, ER, and PR biology – the three key receptors in breast cancer. We explore methods of differential expression analysis, including non-parametric Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon analysis, generalized linear models with covariates, and a novel categorical method for covariates. We tested the influence of common patient characteristics, such as age and race, and clinical covariates such as HER2, ER, and PR receptor statuses. More importantly, we show that inclusion of a correlated covariate (e.g. PR status as a covariate in ER analysis) substantially changes the list of differentially expressed genes, removing many likely false positives and revealing genes obscured by the covariate. Incorporation of relevant covariates in differential gene expression analysis holds strong biological importance with respect to biomarker discovery and may be the next step towards better translation of biomarkers to clinical use.

Thesis (M.S.)--Worcester Polytechnic Institute. / Keywords: Clinical Performance; Databases; Cancer; oncology; Knowledge Discovery in Databases; data mining. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 267-270).

This thesis addresses the use of machine learning techniques to develop clinical diagnostic tools for breast cancer using molecular data. These tools are designed to assist physicians in their evaluation of the clinical outcome of breast cancer (referred to as prognosis).<p>The traditional approach to evaluating breast cancer prognosis is based on the assessment of clinico-pathologic factors known to be associated with breast cancer survival. These factors are used to make recommendations about whether further treatment is required after the removal of a tumor by surgery. Treatment such as chemotherapy depends on the estimation of patients' risk of relapse. Although current approaches do provide good prognostic assessment of breast cancer survival, clinicians are aware that there is still room for improvement in the accuracy of their prognostic estimations.<p>In the late nineties, new high throughput technologies such as the gene expression profiling through microarray technology emerged. Microarrays allowed scientists to analyze for the first time the expression of the whole human genome ("transcriptome"). It was hoped that the analysis of genome-wide molecular data would bring new insights into the critical, underlying biological mechanisms involved in breast cancer progression, as well as significantly improve prognostic prediction. However, the analysis of microarray data is a difficult task due to their intrinsic characteristics: (i) thousands of gene expressions are measured for only few samples; (ii) the measurements are usually "noisy"; and (iii) they are highly correlated due to gene co-expressions. Since traditional statistical methods were not adapted to these settings, machine learning methods were picked up as good candidates to overcome these difficulties. However, applying machine learning methods for microarray analysis involves numerous steps, and the results are prone to overfitting. Several authors have highlighted the major pitfalls of this process in the early publications, shedding new light on the promising but overoptimistic results. <p>Since 2002, large comparative studies have been conducted in order to identify the key characteristics of successful methods for class discovery and classification. Yet methods able to identify robust molecular signatures that can predict breast cancer prognosis have been lacking. To fill this important gap, this thesis presents an original methodology dealing specifically with the analysis of microarray and survival data in order to build prognostic models and provide an honest estimation of their performance. The approach used for signature extraction consists of a set of original methods for feature transformation, feature selection and prediction model building. A novel statistical framework is presented for performance assessment and comparison of risk prediction models.<p>In terms of applications, we show that these methods, used in combination with a priori biological knowledge of breast cancer and numerous public microarray datasets, have resulted in some important discoveries. In particular, the research presented here develops (i) a robust model for the identification of breast molecular subtypes and (ii) a new prognostic model that takes into account the molecular heterogeneity of breast cancers observed previously, in order to improve traditional clinical guidelines and state-of-the-art gene signatures./Cette thèse concerne le développement de techniques d'apprentissage (machine learning) afin de mettre au point de nouveaux outils cliniques basés sur des données moleculaires. Nous avons focalisé notre recherche sur le cancer du sein, un des cancers les plus fréquemment diagnostiqués. Ces outils sont développés dans le but d'aider les médecins dans leur évaluation du devenir clinique des patients cancéreux (cf. le pronostique).<p>Les approches traditionnelles d'évaluation du pronostique d'un patient cancéreux se base sur des critères clinico-pathologiques connus pour être prédictifs de la survie. Cette évaluation permet aux médecins de décider si un traitement est nécessaire après l'extraction de la tumeur. Bien que les outils d'évaluation traditionnels sont d'une aide importante, les cliniciens sont conscients de la nécessité d'améliorer de tels outils.<p>Dans les années 90, de nouvelles technologies à haut-débit, telles que le profilage de l'expression génique par biopuces à ADN (microarrays), ont été mises au point afin de permettre aux scientifiques d'analyser l'expression de l'entièreté du génôme de cellules cancéreuses. Ce nouveau type de données moléculaires porte l'espoir d'améliorer les outils pronostiques traditionnels et d'approfondir nos connaissances concernant la génèse du cancer du sein. Cependant ces données sont extrêmement difficiles à analyser à cause (i) de leur haute dimensionalité (plusieurs dizaines de milliers de gènes pour seulement quelques centaines d'expériences); (ii) du bruit important dans les mesures; (iii) de la collinéarité entre les mesures dûe à la co-expression des gènes.<p>Depuis 2002, des études comparatives à grande échelle ont permis d'identifier les méthodes performantes pour l'analyse de groupements et la classification de données microarray, négligeant l'analyse de survie pertinente pour le pronostique dans le cancer du sein. Pour pallier ce manque, cette thèse présente une méthodologie originale adaptée à l'analyse de données microarray et de survie afin de construire des modèles pronostiques performants et robustes. <p>En termes d'applications, nous montrons que cette méthodologie, utilisée en combinaison avec des connaissances biologiques a priori et de nombreux ensembles de données publiques, a permis d'importantes découvertes. En particulier, il résulte de la recherche presentée dans cette thèse, le développement d'un modèle robuste d'identification des sous-types moléculaires du cancer du sein et de plusieurs signatures géniques améliorant significativement l'état de l'art au niveau pronostique. / Doctorat en Sciences / info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished