Flood is one of the major natural disasters in Australia. It breaks down transportation and communication systems, disrupts businesses and causes damage to properties, loss of stock, crops and also loss of human lives. Better understanding of the impacts resulting from floods and other natural hazards can help to reduce the damages or losses. Flood damage assessment procedures estimate the impact of flood in monetary terms to help decision makers develop new policies, programs and development plans. This study examines different techniques, procedures and underpinning philosophies that have been used in some major emergency management and insurance organizations in the world such as RAM, ANUFLOOD, and HAZUS and NHRC. From this examination the study finds that none of them are suitable for mitigation and emergency purposes in producing economic flood damage estimation at fine resolution with high accuracy. From this perspective the study develops a rigorous procedure for property level economic flood damage assessment. The assessment procedures are embedded within GIS (Geographic Information System) technology which can model and analyse the multidimensional phenomenon of flood and damage characteristics of residential buildings. The damage estimation procedures developed in this study include flood modelling, collection and organisation of building inventory data; adopting a set of stage-damage curves; and measuring damage at property level. The quality of damage estimates derived from the procedures is highly influenced by quality of input data. The study also includes the implementation of the damage assessment procedure on the study area (a segment of Kororoit Creek and its adjacent area). The study uses data from a number of sources including Melbourne Water, NEXIS, VICMAP, a quick survey and literature. The developed procedure will help many practitioners in flood loss assessment and natural hazard risk management to face the challenges they have in establishing damage estimates with high accuracy.

Techniques of performance-based design in fire safety have developed notably in the past two decades. One of the reasons for departing from the prescriptive methods is the ability of performance-based methods to form a scientific basis for the cost-risk-benefit analysis of different fire safety alternatives. Apart from few exceptions, observation of past fires has shown that the structure’s contribution to the overall fire resistance was considerably underestimated. The purpose of this research is to outline a risk-based design approach for structures in fire. Probabilistic methods are employed to ascertain uniform reliability indices in line with the classical trend in code development. Modern design codes for complex phenomena such as fire have been structured to facilitate design computations. Prescriptive design methods specify fire protection methods for structural systems based on laboratory controlled and highly restrictive testing regimes. Those methods inherently assume that the tested elements behave similarly in real structures irrespective of their loading, location or boundary conditions. This approach is contested by many researchers, and analyses following fire incidents indicated alarming discrepancy between anticipated and actual structural behaviour during real fires. In formulating design and construction codes, code writers deal with the inherent uncertainties by setting a ceiling to the potential risk of failure. The latter process is implemented by specifying safety parameters, that are derived via probabilistic techniques aimed at harmonising the risks ensuing different load scenarios. The code structure addresses the probability of failure with adequate detail and accuracy. The other component of the risk metric, namely the consequence of failure, is a subjective field that assumes a multitude of variables depending on the context of the problem. In codified structural design, the severity of failure is implicitly embodied in the different magnitudes of safety indices applied to different modes of structural response. This project introduces a risk-based method for the design of structures in fire. It provides a coherent approach to a quantified treatment of risk elements that meets the demands of performance-based fire safety methods. A number of proposals are made for rational acceptable risk and reliability parameters in addition to a damage index with applications in structural fire safety design. Although the example application of the proposed damage index is a structure subjected to fire effects, the same rationale can be easily applied to the assessment of structural damage due to other effects.

Flooding inundation during hurricanes has been very costly and dangerous. However, the impact of climate change on hurricane flooding is not well understood at present. As sea surface temperatures increase, it is expected that hurricane intensity will increase and sea levels will rise. It is further hypothesized that climate change will increase hurricane flooding inundation, which would increase property damages and adversely affect a greater number of people. This thesis presents a case study of Corpus Christi, Texas, which analyzes the impact of climate change on hurricane flooding. Sea level rise projections and intensification of historical hurricanes were considered in this study. Storm surges were determined with the ADCIRC numerical model, while GIS was used to estimate area flooded, property damages, and population affected. Flooding inundation, property damages, and number of people affected by flooding increases as the intensity of the hurricane increases. As hurricane intensity increases and sea levels rise, the depth of flooding also increases dramatically. Based on two historical hurricanes and one shifted historical hurricane, on average the inundated area increases about 11 km2 per degree Celsius of sea surface temperature rise, the property damages increase by about $110 million per degree Celsius of sea surface temperature rise, and the number of people affected by flooding inundation increases by about 4,900 per degree Celsius of sea surface temperature rise. These results indicate that it may become necessary to consider the effects of climate change when building future coastal communities and adapting the protection of existing communities.

京都大学 / 0048 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(工学) / 甲第21082号 / 工博第4446号 / 新制||工||1691(附属図書館) / 京都大学大学院工学研究科社会基盤工学専攻 / (主査)教授 杉浦 邦征, 教授 KIM Chul-Woo, 教授 河野 広隆 / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Philosophy (Engineering) / Kyoto University / DGAM

No description available.

Nas últimas décadas o grande número de vítimas de acidentes de trânsito, violência urbana, traumas pela prática desportiva, acidentes de trabalho e do próprio erro profissional aumentou a preocupação com os aspectos periciais, seja no âmbito criminal ou sede civil, em razão das sequelas oriundas desses ferimentos e traumas, incluída nessa perspectiva a região maxilofacial. Nesse sentido, este estudo objetivou traduzir e adaptar culturalmente as questões constantes no instrumento espanhol de Análise da Impressão do Impacto do Prejuízo Estético (AIPE) proposto por Cobo Plana (2010) para ser utilizado no Brasil, e validar esse instrumento junto a cirurgiões-dentistas da área de Odontologia Legal. Após o processo de tradução e adaptação cultural, foram simuladas com maquiagem lesões cicatriciais na região maxilofacial de dois modelos, um masculino e outro feminino. Selecionaram-se cirurgiões-dentistas em formação na Especialidade de Odontologia Legal para serem avaliadores. Esses aplicaram o método constituído de quatro quadros numa sequência de dez imagens randomizadas que mostraram modelos sem lesão e com lesões (cicatrizes) na face. A validação do instrumento foi verificada através da medida da confiabilidade dos observadores, através do Coeficiente de Correlação Intraclasse, mostrando-se no geral satisfatória para uma e excelente para outras duas lesões, dentre as três repetidas. No que versa sobre o erro interexaminador, a análise descritiva dos resultados mostrou um coeficiente de variação dos escores em 40,12% ao considerarmos todos os coeficientes, o que mostra uma relativa homogeneidade dos escores. Os quatro quadros traduzidos e adaptados culturalmente para língua portuguesa mostraram-se com potencial de oferecer maior objetividade na valoração do dano estético. / In the last decades, the elevated number of victims of traffic accidents, urban violence, sports-related trauma, occupational injuries, and professional-related errors increased the concern with the expert aspect, whether in the criminal or civil context, because of the sequelae associated with these injuries and trauma, also to the maxillofacial region. In this sense, this study aimed to translate into Brazilian Portuguese and culturally adapt for use in Brazil the Spanish instrument called Analysis of Aesthetic Damage Impression and Impact (AIPE) proposed by Cobo Plana (2010), and to validate the instrument among dentists working in forensic dentistry. After translation and cultural adaptation, fake scars (moulage) were placed on the maxillofacial region of two models, a male and a female. Dentists specializing in forensic dentistry were selected to make the assessments. These students used the instrument, which consists of four tables, on a sequence of ten randomized images, showing models with and without facial scars. The intraclass correlation coefficient measured observer reliability to verify instrument validity. In general the method was satisfactory for one scar and excellent for two scars of the three repeated scars. Regarding intertester error, descriptive analysis of the results showed a variation coefficient of the scores of 40.12% when all the coefficients were considered, demonstrating that the scores were relatively homogeneous. The four tables translated into Brazilian Portuguese and culturally adapted for Brazil have the potential to increase the objectivity of aesthetic damage assessment.

Nas últimas décadas o grande número de vítimas de acidentes de trânsito, violência urbana, traumas pela prática desportiva, acidentes de trabalho e do próprio erro profissional aumentou a preocupação com os aspectos periciais, seja no âmbito criminal ou sede civil, em razão das sequelas oriundas desses ferimentos e traumas, incluída nessa perspectiva a região maxilofacial. Nesse sentido, este estudo objetivou traduzir e adaptar culturalmente as questões constantes no instrumento espanhol de Análise da Impressão do Impacto do Prejuízo Estético (AIPE) proposto por Cobo Plana (2010) para ser utilizado no Brasil, e validar esse instrumento junto a cirurgiões-dentistas da área de Odontologia Legal. Após o processo de tradução e adaptação cultural, foram simuladas com maquiagem lesões cicatriciais na região maxilofacial de dois modelos, um masculino e outro feminino. Selecionaram-se cirurgiões-dentistas em formação na Especialidade de Odontologia Legal para serem avaliadores. Esses aplicaram o método constituído de quatro quadros numa sequência de dez imagens randomizadas que mostraram modelos sem lesão e com lesões (cicatrizes) na face. A validação do instrumento foi verificada através da medida da confiabilidade dos observadores, através do Coeficiente de Correlação Intraclasse, mostrando-se no geral satisfatória para uma e excelente para outras duas lesões, dentre as três repetidas. No que versa sobre o erro interexaminador, a análise descritiva dos resultados mostrou um coeficiente de variação dos escores em 40,12% ao considerarmos todos os coeficientes, o que mostra uma relativa homogeneidade dos escores. Os quatro quadros traduzidos e adaptados culturalmente para língua portuguesa mostraram-se com potencial de oferecer maior objetividade na valoração do dano estético. / In the last decades, the elevated number of victims of traffic accidents, urban violence, sports-related trauma, occupational injuries, and professional-related errors increased the concern with the expert aspect, whether in the criminal or civil context, because of the sequelae associated with these injuries and trauma, also to the maxillofacial region. In this sense, this study aimed to translate into Brazilian Portuguese and culturally adapt for use in Brazil the Spanish instrument called Analysis of Aesthetic Damage Impression and Impact (AIPE) proposed by Cobo Plana (2010), and to validate the instrument among dentists working in forensic dentistry. After translation and cultural adaptation, fake scars (moulage) were placed on the maxillofacial region of two models, a male and a female. Dentists specializing in forensic dentistry were selected to make the assessments. These students used the instrument, which consists of four tables, on a sequence of ten randomized images, showing models with and without facial scars. The intraclass correlation coefficient measured observer reliability to verify instrument validity. In general the method was satisfactory for one scar and excellent for two scars of the three repeated scars. Regarding intertester error, descriptive analysis of the results showed a variation coefficient of the scores of 40.12% when all the coefficients were considered, demonstrating that the scores were relatively homogeneous. The four tables translated into Brazilian Portuguese and culturally adapted for Brazil have the potential to increase the objectivity of aesthetic damage assessment.

No description available.

International Telemetering Conference Proceedings / October 27-30, 1997 / Riviera Hotel and Convention Center, Las Vegas, Nevada / A target missile is a unique piece of test hardware. This test tool must be highly reliable, low cost and simple and must perform any task that the developing interceptor missile planners require. The target missile must have ample power and guidance resources to put the target in a specified place in the sky at a desired time. The telemetry and measurement system for the target missile must have the same requirements as its interceptor missile but must be flexible enough to accept new requirements as they are applied to the target and its interceptor. The United States Army has tasked Coleman Aerospace to design and build this type of target missile. This paper describes and analyzes the telemetry and instrumentation system that a Hera target missile carries. This system has been flying for the past two years, has completed seven out of seven successful test flights and has accomplished all test objectives to date. The telemetry and instrumentation system is an integral part of the missile self-test system. All preflight checks and flight simulations are made with the on-board three-link telemetry system through a radio frequency (RF) link directly through the missile antenna system to a ground station antenna. If an RF transmission path is not available due to test range restrictions, a fiber-optic cable links the pulse code modulator (PCM) encoder to the receiving ground stations which include the bitsync, decommutator and recorders. With this capability, alternative testing is not limited by RF test range availability. The ground stations include two mobile stations and a factory station for all testing including preflight testing of the missile system prior to flight test launches. These three ground stations are built in a single configuration with additional equipment in the mobile units for use at remote locations. The design, fabrication, testing and utilization of these ground stations are reviewed. The telemetry system is a modification of the classical PCM system and will operate with its interceptor missile at least into the first decade from the year 2000.

No description available.