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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
21

The Economic Value of Crop Diversity in the Czech Republic / The Economic Value of Crop Diversity in the Czech Republic

Tyack, Nicholas January 2016 (has links)
We estimate the willingness-to-pay for conserving crop diversity in the Czech Republic. Discrete choice experiments are used to elicit preferences for the conservation of wine, hop, and fruit tree varieties, while a double-bounded dichotomous choice approach is used to elicit preferences for the conservation of unspecified, "general" crop diversity. The WTP values are derived for both of these contingent products from a sample representative of the general Czech population (n=731) and a sample of respondents living in the South Moravian region that is characterized by agriculture and wine production (n=418). We demonstrate a strong preference for conserving fruit trees over hops and wine varieties, and derive positive mean WTP of the general Czech population (ages 18-69) of 56 Kč ($2.26). Mean WTP for the conservation of general crop diversity is 167 Kč ($6.80). On average, residents of South Moravia have a greater WTP for "general" crop as well as fruit tree conservation. In total, the Czech adult population (ages 18-69) has an aggregate WTP of ~1.25 billion Kč ($50.5 million) for the conservation of general crop diversity, and ~410 million Kč ($16.8 million) for the conservation of fruit trees, revealing the previously unmeasured social welfare benefits of these activities. The estimated benefits...
22

Filtragem adaptativa de baixa complexidade computacional. / Low-complexity adaptive filtering.

Almeida Neto, Fernando Gonçalves de 20 February 2015 (has links)
Neste texto são propostos algoritmos de filtragem adaptativa de baixo custo computacional para o processamento de sinais lineares no sentido amplo e para beamforming. Novas técnicas de filtragem adaptativa com baixo custo computacional são desenvolvidas para o processamento de sinais lineares no sentido amplo, representados por números complexos ou por quaternions. Os algoritmos propostos evitam a redundância de estatísticas de segunda ordem na matriz de auto correlação, o que é obtido por meio da substituição do vetor de dados original por um vetor de dados real contendo as mesmas informações. Dessa forma, evitam-se muitas operações entre números complexos (ou entre quaternions), que são substituídas por operações entre reais e números complexos (ou entre reais e quaternions), de menor custo computacional. Análises na media e na variância para qualquer algoritmo de quaternions baseados na técnica least-mean squares (LMS) são desenvolvidas. Também é obtido o algoritmo de quaternions baseado no LMS e com vetor de entrada real de mais rápida convergência. Uma nova versão estável e de baixo custo computacional do algoritmo recursive least squares (RLS) amplamente linear também é desenvolvida neste texto. A técnica é modificada para usar o método do dichotomous coordinate descent (DCD), resultando em uma abordagem de custo computacional linear em relação ao comprimento N do vetor de entrada (enquanto o algoritmo original possui custo computacional quadrático em N). Para aplicações em beamforming, são desenvolvidas novas técnicas baseadas no algoritmo adaptive re-weighting homotopy. As novas técnicas são aplicadas para arrays em que o número de fontes é menor do que o número de sensores, tal que a matriz de auto correlação se torna mal-condicionada. O algoritmo DCD é usado para obter uma redução adicional do custo computacional. / In this text, low-cost adaptive filtering techniques are proposed for widely-linear processing and beamforming applications. New reduced-complexity versions of widely-linear adaptive filters are proposed for complex and quaternion processing. The low-cost techniques avoid redundant secondorder statistics in the autocorrelation matrix, which is obtained replacing the original widely-linear data vector by a real vector with the same information. Using this approach, many complex-complex (or quaternion-quaternion) operations are substituted by less costly real-complex (or real-quaternion) computations in the algorithms. An analysis in the mean and in the variance is performed for quaternion-based techniques, suitable for any quaternion least-mean squares (LMS) algorithm. The fastest-converging widely-linear quaternion LMS algorithm with real-valued input is obtained. For complex-valued processing, a low-cost and stable version of the widely-linear recursive least-squares (RLS) algorithm is also developed. The widely-linear RLS technique is modified to apply the dichotomous coordinate descent (DCD) method, which leads to an algorithm with computational complexity linear on the data vector length N (in opposition to the original WL technique, for which the complexity is quadratic in N). New complex-valued techniques based on the adaptive re-weighting homotopy algorithm are developed for beamforming. The algorithms are applied to sensor arrays in which the number of interferer sources is less than the number of sensors, so that the autocorrelation matrix is ill-conditioned. DCD iterations are applied to further reduce the computational complexity.
23

Filtragem adaptativa de baixa complexidade computacional. / Low-complexity adaptive filtering.

Fernando Gonçalves de Almeida Neto 20 February 2015 (has links)
Neste texto são propostos algoritmos de filtragem adaptativa de baixo custo computacional para o processamento de sinais lineares no sentido amplo e para beamforming. Novas técnicas de filtragem adaptativa com baixo custo computacional são desenvolvidas para o processamento de sinais lineares no sentido amplo, representados por números complexos ou por quaternions. Os algoritmos propostos evitam a redundância de estatísticas de segunda ordem na matriz de auto correlação, o que é obtido por meio da substituição do vetor de dados original por um vetor de dados real contendo as mesmas informações. Dessa forma, evitam-se muitas operações entre números complexos (ou entre quaternions), que são substituídas por operações entre reais e números complexos (ou entre reais e quaternions), de menor custo computacional. Análises na media e na variância para qualquer algoritmo de quaternions baseados na técnica least-mean squares (LMS) são desenvolvidas. Também é obtido o algoritmo de quaternions baseado no LMS e com vetor de entrada real de mais rápida convergência. Uma nova versão estável e de baixo custo computacional do algoritmo recursive least squares (RLS) amplamente linear também é desenvolvida neste texto. A técnica é modificada para usar o método do dichotomous coordinate descent (DCD), resultando em uma abordagem de custo computacional linear em relação ao comprimento N do vetor de entrada (enquanto o algoritmo original possui custo computacional quadrático em N). Para aplicações em beamforming, são desenvolvidas novas técnicas baseadas no algoritmo adaptive re-weighting homotopy. As novas técnicas são aplicadas para arrays em que o número de fontes é menor do que o número de sensores, tal que a matriz de auto correlação se torna mal-condicionada. O algoritmo DCD é usado para obter uma redução adicional do custo computacional. / In this text, low-cost adaptive filtering techniques are proposed for widely-linear processing and beamforming applications. New reduced-complexity versions of widely-linear adaptive filters are proposed for complex and quaternion processing. The low-cost techniques avoid redundant secondorder statistics in the autocorrelation matrix, which is obtained replacing the original widely-linear data vector by a real vector with the same information. Using this approach, many complex-complex (or quaternion-quaternion) operations are substituted by less costly real-complex (or real-quaternion) computations in the algorithms. An analysis in the mean and in the variance is performed for quaternion-based techniques, suitable for any quaternion least-mean squares (LMS) algorithm. The fastest-converging widely-linear quaternion LMS algorithm with real-valued input is obtained. For complex-valued processing, a low-cost and stable version of the widely-linear recursive least-squares (RLS) algorithm is also developed. The widely-linear RLS technique is modified to apply the dichotomous coordinate descent (DCD) method, which leads to an algorithm with computational complexity linear on the data vector length N (in opposition to the original WL technique, for which the complexity is quadratic in N). New complex-valued techniques based on the adaptive re-weighting homotopy algorithm are developed for beamforming. The algorithms are applied to sensor arrays in which the number of interferer sources is less than the number of sensors, so that the autocorrelation matrix is ill-conditioned. DCD iterations are applied to further reduce the computational complexity.
24

雙界二分選擇模型下的願付價格分析──兩個非市場財貨的聯合估計

賴蔚容 Unknown Date (has links)
近年來在運用雙界二分選擇法(double-bounded dichotomous choice elicitation method)來估計受訪者願付價格(willingness to pay)的研究中,不再僅局限於單一非市場財貨的探討。這類型的模型中雖然納入了相關性的考量,但並未考慮財貨的願付價格間可能存在明確的大小關係。再者,針對抗議性樣本,以往的作法多半是丟棄不用,然而這顯然不是理想的作法。本文中,我們將建構一個模型來同時探討這兩項議題。此外我們也利用「竹東及朴子地區心臟血管疾病長期追蹤研究」第五循環中「肥胖之願付價格」的資料來進行實證分析。結果顯示,居住於竹東、有工作、曾以特定活動控制體重的受訪者願意支付較高的金額來參加減肥療程。 / Recent studies on estimating WTP prices in terms of the double-bounded dichotomous choice elicitation method are no longer restricted to the situations that discuss only one non-market good. Although a couple of models have been proposed to take the correlations into consideration when multiple scenarios are presented to the respondents, none of them pay attention to the possibilities that the prices themselves might be inherently ordered. This is one of the issues that need to be addressed. Another is about the protest samples. A common but apparently problematic approach is simply ignoring them completely. In this study, we propose a model that is able to take care of both issues simultaneously. In addition, the model is used to estimate WTP values for data collected in CVDFACTS about two weight loss treatments. The results indicate that respondents residing in Chu-Dong County, employed, and ever tried any weight controlled programs are willing to pay a higher price for the new treatments.
25

Investigation of the optimal response scale for personality measurement : computer–based testing / Elizabeth Maria Classen

Classen, Elizabeth Maria January 2011 (has links)
return and payback period. All these above techniques will be analysed in three different scenarios, namely: 1. Mine X will stay with its current operations without any new projects. 2. The development project will begin immediately. 3. A six–month delay in development of the project. The study found that the net present value was positive, the internal rate of return was more than the discount rate and the payback period was shorter than the project’s life–time regarding to all three above–mentioned scenarios. The highest net present value is calculated in case the project starts immediately. Both the internal rate of return and the payback period indicated that a six month delay in the project is the most viable. After considering all the facts, the study concluded due to the highest net present value the best feasible recommendation would be to start the project immediately. The value of this study is that it is the first study to investigate the relationship between the viability to delay or to start the investment project immediately in the South African mining industry. This study is also unique, since it takes into account how mining industries world–wide can achieve long–term success through development projects without losing key players, due to impulsive short–term downsizing decisions. To be able to use personality tests in the most reliable and valid manner there are many considerations to be taken into account. Variables such as the population used, the culture of the test–takers, the mode of administration, whether pencil–and–paper or computer–based testing procedures, familiarity with computers when using computer–based tests and the response format to be used when administering the personality questionnaire are but some of the considerations. Within South Africa it is that much more important to consider the mode of administration, whether pencil–and–paper tests or computer–based tests, as there are many individual groups who have been historically disadvantaged when it comes to the use of computers as a testing method. It is just as important to consider the response scale to be utilised when administering personality testing as this may influence the results obtained and can influence the reliability and validity of these results. The objective of this study was to determine which response scale, dichotomous or polytomous, was the best to use when conducting computer–based personality testing. The questionnaire that was utilised was the South African Personality Inventory (SAPI) questionnaire; however, only items from the Soft–Heartedness cluster were employed as the objective was not to test the questionnaire but to test the most reliable and valid response scale to be used in conjunction with the questionnaire. A convenience sampling approach was utilised and the questionnaire was administered to students who were available and able to take the test (N = 724). Descriptive statistics, factor analysis and Cronbach Alpha coefficients were used to analyse the data obtained. / Thesis (M.Com. (Industrial Psychology))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2012.
26

Investigation of the optimal response scale for personality measurement : computer–based testing / Elizabeth Maria Classen

Classen, Elizabeth Maria January 2011 (has links)
return and payback period. All these above techniques will be analysed in three different scenarios, namely: 1. Mine X will stay with its current operations without any new projects. 2. The development project will begin immediately. 3. A six–month delay in development of the project. The study found that the net present value was positive, the internal rate of return was more than the discount rate and the payback period was shorter than the project’s life–time regarding to all three above–mentioned scenarios. The highest net present value is calculated in case the project starts immediately. Both the internal rate of return and the payback period indicated that a six month delay in the project is the most viable. After considering all the facts, the study concluded due to the highest net present value the best feasible recommendation would be to start the project immediately. The value of this study is that it is the first study to investigate the relationship between the viability to delay or to start the investment project immediately in the South African mining industry. This study is also unique, since it takes into account how mining industries world–wide can achieve long–term success through development projects without losing key players, due to impulsive short–term downsizing decisions. To be able to use personality tests in the most reliable and valid manner there are many considerations to be taken into account. Variables such as the population used, the culture of the test–takers, the mode of administration, whether pencil–and–paper or computer–based testing procedures, familiarity with computers when using computer–based tests and the response format to be used when administering the personality questionnaire are but some of the considerations. Within South Africa it is that much more important to consider the mode of administration, whether pencil–and–paper tests or computer–based tests, as there are many individual groups who have been historically disadvantaged when it comes to the use of computers as a testing method. It is just as important to consider the response scale to be utilised when administering personality testing as this may influence the results obtained and can influence the reliability and validity of these results. The objective of this study was to determine which response scale, dichotomous or polytomous, was the best to use when conducting computer–based personality testing. The questionnaire that was utilised was the South African Personality Inventory (SAPI) questionnaire; however, only items from the Soft–Heartedness cluster were employed as the objective was not to test the questionnaire but to test the most reliable and valid response scale to be used in conjunction with the questionnaire. A convenience sampling approach was utilised and the questionnaire was administered to students who were available and able to take the test (N = 724). Descriptive statistics, factor analysis and Cronbach Alpha coefficients were used to analyse the data obtained. / Thesis (M.Com. (Industrial Psychology))--North-West University, Potchefstroom Campus, 2012.
27

二元雙界二分選擇模型下的願付價值分析

詹玉葳 Unknown Date (has links)
利用條件評估法 (contingent valuation method) 來評估非市場財貨之市場隱含價值時,雙界二分選擇法 (doubled-bound dichotomous choice method) 為最普遍的詢價方式。近年來,藉由此詢價方式來估計受訪者心目中的願付價值 (willingness to pay) 之研究中,更將此方法推廣至同時估計兩個以上且具有相關性的非市場財貨。只是文獻中的相關探討多半忽略其間的相關性,此外所採用的模型也有可能導致估計的願付價值會有小於零的情形產生。因此,本文引進了衍生版本的Bivariate Generalized Gamma Distribution,來解決這上述兩個問題。我們並採用「竹東及朴子地區心臟血管疾病之危險因子長期追□研究」中,第五循環的「肥胖之願付價格問卷」來作實證分析。在其餘的條件不變的情況下,分析結果顯示,居住在竹東、女性、教育程度愈高、年紀愈小、體重愈重及收入愈高的受訪者會願意支付較高的金額來接受減肥的療程;此外,認為肥胖會影響工作及社交關係的受訪者也會願意支付較高的金額。 / In a contingent valuation survey, it is quite often that subjects were asked to respond to more than one WTP (willingness-to-pay) scenarios. Under such a circumstance, responses provided by a subject are clearly correlated. Although the issue is well recognized in the past, in practice a popular strategy in analyzing this sort of data, however, simply ignore the issue and treat them as if they were totally uncorrelated. Concerning that WTP prices can take only non-negative values along with the issue of possible correlation, we propose an “extend bivariate generalized gamma distribution” that can be used to deal with data collected under a two-scenario situation. Applying it to the CVDFACTS study, where subjects were asked to evaluate a medication-only program as well as a medication-and-exercise program, we found that, other things being equal, female subjects, subjects residing in Chu-Dung County, subjects weigh more, subjects with younger age, higher income, and more years of schooling are willing to pay more. In addition, those who think obesity would affect their social activities would also have higher WTP prices.
28

Distribuição das assembleias de girinos associadas a riachos da Reserva Ecológica de Guapiaçu, Cachoeiras de Macacú, Rio de Janeiro, Brasil / Distribution of stream-dwelling tadpoles of the Reserva Ecológica de Guapiaçu, Cachoeiras de Macacú, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Vitor Nelson Teixeira Borges Júnior 22 January 2014 (has links)
Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico / Os girinos são organismos diversos e abundantes nos pequenos riachos de cabeceira de florestas tropicais e constituem importantes componentes da diversidade biológica, da trófica e funcional dos sistemas aquáticos. Diferentes características estruturais e limnológicas dos ambientes aquáticos influenciam a organização das assembleias de girinos. Embora o estágio larvar dos anuros seja o mais vulnerável de seu ciclo de vida, sujeito a elevadas taxas de mortalidade, as pesquisas sobre girinos na região neotropical ainda são pouco representativas diante da elevada diversidade de anfíbios desta região e ferramentas que permitam a sua identificação ainda são escassas. Nesta tese, dividida em três capítulos, apresento uma compilação das informações relacionadas aos principais fatores que afetam as assembleias de girinos na região tropical (Capítulo 1), a caracterização morfológica dos girinos encontrados nos riachos durante o estudo e uma proposta de chave dicotômica de identificação (Capítulo 2) e avalio a importância relativa da posição geográfica e da variação temporal de fatores ambientais locais sobre as assembleias de girinos, assim como a correlação entre as espécies de girinos e as variáveis ambientais de 10 riachos, ao longo de 15 meses, nas florestas da REGUA (Capítulo 3). Há pelo menos oito tendências relacionadas à distribuição das assembleias de girinos: (1) o tamanho dos riachos e a diversidade de microhabitats são importantes características abióticas influenciando a riqueza e a composição de espécies; (2) em poças, o gradiente de permanência (e.g., hidroperíodo) e a heterogeneidade do habitat são os principais fatores moldando as assembleias de girinos; (3) a composição de espécies parece ser um parâmetro das assembleias mais relevante do que a riqueza de espécies e deve ser primeiramente considerado durante o planejamento de ações conservacionistas de anuros associados a poças e riachos; (4) a predação parece ser a interação biótica mais importante na estruturação das assembleias de girinos, com predadores vertebrados (e.g. peixes) sendo mais vorazes em habitats permanentes e predadores invertebrados (e.g. larvas de odonata) sendo mais vorazes em ambientes temporários; (5) os girinos podem exercer um efeito regulatório, predando ovos e girinos recém eclodidos; (6) o uso do microhabitat varia em função da escolha do habitat reprodutivo pelos adultos, presença de predadores, filogenia, estágio de desenvolvimento e heterogeneidade do habitat; (7) os fatores históricos restringem os habitats reprodutivos que uma espécie utiliza, impondo restrições comportamentais e fisiológicas; (8) a variação temporal nos fatores bióticos (e.g., fatores de risco), abióticos (e.g., distribuição de chuvas), e no padrão de reprodução das espécies pode interferir na estrutura das assembleias de girinos tropicais. A variação temporal na heterogeneidade ambiental dos riachos da REGUA resultou na previsibilidade das assembleias locais de girinos, sendo que os parâmetros ambientais explicaram 23% da variação na sua composição. Os parâmetros espaciais explicaram uma porção menor da variação nas assembleias (16%), enquanto uma porção relativamente elevada da variação temporal da heterogeneidade ambiental foi espacialmente estruturada (18%). As variáveis abióticas que apresentaram as maiores correlação com a composição das assembleias de girinos foram a proporção de folhiço e de rochas no fundo do riacho, e secundariamente a profundidade, a condutividade e a temperatura. O gradiente gerado pela proporção de folhiço e de rochas representou a transição entre riachos permanentes e intermitentes. Este gradiente proporcionou o turnover de espécies, o qual também seguiu um gradiente de condutividade, temperatura, profundidade, e em menor extensão, de hidroperíodo e largura, que estiveram fortemente associado ao grau de permanência dos riachos. Estes resultados corroboram tanto a hipótese do controle ambiental, como do controle biótico de comunidades e indicam que a variação temporal da heterogeneidade ambiental e a variação na posição geográfica são importantes para a estruturação local de assembleias de girinos da REGUA. Os resultados também permitiram distinguir entre assembleias de girinos exclusivas de riachos permanentes, exclusivas de riachos intermitentes e aquelas registradas nos dois tipos de riachos. Os resultados deste capítulo são relevantes para compreender em que extensão os efeitos da variação temporal na heterogeneidade ambiental e de processos espaciais afetam localmente a estruturação de assembleias de girinos. / Tadpoles are diverse and abundant organisms in headwater streams of tropical rainforests and constitute important components of biological, trophic and functional diversity. Furthermore, different structural (e.g. size, depth, microhabitat availability) and limnological (e.g. conductivity, temperature) characteristics affect tadpole organization. Although the larval stage is the most vulnerable in anurans, subject to high mortality rates, researches on tadpoles in the neotropics, as tools for their identification, remain scarce face the high diversity of anurans found in this region. In this thesis, I present a compilation of information on the main factors affecting tadpole assemblages in the tropics (Chapter 1), the morphological characterization of tadpoles found in streams during the study with a propose of dichotomous key of identification (Chapter 2), and evaluated the relative importance of geographical position and the temporal variation o local environmental factors on tadpole assemblages through 15 months in 10 small streams in the Atlantic Forest of Reserva Ecológica do Guapiaçu (REGUA), municipality of Cachoeiras de Macacú, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. I also investigated the correlation between tadpoles and the environmental variables of streams (Chapter 3). We can recognize at least eigth major trends regarding the distribution and structure of tropical tadpole assemblages: (1) stream size and microhabitat diversity are important abiotic features influencing species richness and composition; (2) in ponds, the permanence gradient (e.g., hydroperiod), and the heterogeneity of habitat are the main factors modeling tropical tadpole assemblages; (3) species composition seems to be a more relevant assemblage parameter than species richness and should be first considered when planning conservation of both pond and stream-dwelling anurans; (4) predation seems to be the most important biotic interaction structuring tropical tadpole assemblages, with vertebrate predators (e.g., fishes) being more voracious in permanent habitats, while invertebrates (e.g., odonate naiads) are the most important in temporary ones; (5) tadpoles may play a regulatory effect preying upon anuran eggs and recently hatched tadpoles (6) microhabitat use varies in function of breeding habitat choice by adults, presence of predators, phylogeny, stage of development and heterogeneity of the habitat; (7) historical factors restrict the breeding habitats that species may use, and impose behavioral and physiologic constrains; (8) temporal variation in biotic (e.g., risk factors) and abiotic factors (e.g., rainfall distribution), and the reproductive patterns of the species may interfere in the structure of tropical tadpole assemblages. Future efforts regarding the study of tadpoles should contemplate assemblages associated with streams, and experimental studies. Temporal variation in the environmental heterogeneity resulted in predictability of local tadpole assemblages. The environmental component explained 23% of the variation in tadpole composition, while spatial parameters explained the smaller portion of the variation (16%). A comparatively high portion of temporal variation in the environmental heterogeneity was spatially structured (18%). The proportion of litter and rocks on the stream bottom, depth, conductivity, and temperature were correlated with tadpole composition. The gradient created by the proportion of litter and rocks represented the changes from permanent and intermittent streams. This gradient provided the species turnover, which also followed a gradient of conductivity, temperature, depth, and in a lesser proportion, hydroperiod and width, all being strongly associated with permanence of streams. The results also corroborate with both the environmental and the biotic control model and indicate that temporal variation in environmental heterogeneity and the spatial position are important to the structuring of local tadpole assemblages in the streams of REGUA. The results also allowed to distinguish between tadpoles assemblages exclusive of permanent, intermittent, and those inhabiting both streams. The results of this chapter are relevant to understand in which extension the effects of temporal variation in environmental heterogeneity and spatial processes affect the structure of tadpole assemblages, the most fragile life stage of anurans
29

Distribuição das assembleias de girinos associadas a riachos da Reserva Ecológica de Guapiaçu, Cachoeiras de Macacú, Rio de Janeiro, Brasil / Distribution of stream-dwelling tadpoles of the Reserva Ecológica de Guapiaçu, Cachoeiras de Macacú, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Vitor Nelson Teixeira Borges Júnior 22 January 2014 (has links)
Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico / Os girinos são organismos diversos e abundantes nos pequenos riachos de cabeceira de florestas tropicais e constituem importantes componentes da diversidade biológica, da trófica e funcional dos sistemas aquáticos. Diferentes características estruturais e limnológicas dos ambientes aquáticos influenciam a organização das assembleias de girinos. Embora o estágio larvar dos anuros seja o mais vulnerável de seu ciclo de vida, sujeito a elevadas taxas de mortalidade, as pesquisas sobre girinos na região neotropical ainda são pouco representativas diante da elevada diversidade de anfíbios desta região e ferramentas que permitam a sua identificação ainda são escassas. Nesta tese, dividida em três capítulos, apresento uma compilação das informações relacionadas aos principais fatores que afetam as assembleias de girinos na região tropical (Capítulo 1), a caracterização morfológica dos girinos encontrados nos riachos durante o estudo e uma proposta de chave dicotômica de identificação (Capítulo 2) e avalio a importância relativa da posição geográfica e da variação temporal de fatores ambientais locais sobre as assembleias de girinos, assim como a correlação entre as espécies de girinos e as variáveis ambientais de 10 riachos, ao longo de 15 meses, nas florestas da REGUA (Capítulo 3). Há pelo menos oito tendências relacionadas à distribuição das assembleias de girinos: (1) o tamanho dos riachos e a diversidade de microhabitats são importantes características abióticas influenciando a riqueza e a composição de espécies; (2) em poças, o gradiente de permanência (e.g., hidroperíodo) e a heterogeneidade do habitat são os principais fatores moldando as assembleias de girinos; (3) a composição de espécies parece ser um parâmetro das assembleias mais relevante do que a riqueza de espécies e deve ser primeiramente considerado durante o planejamento de ações conservacionistas de anuros associados a poças e riachos; (4) a predação parece ser a interação biótica mais importante na estruturação das assembleias de girinos, com predadores vertebrados (e.g. peixes) sendo mais vorazes em habitats permanentes e predadores invertebrados (e.g. larvas de odonata) sendo mais vorazes em ambientes temporários; (5) os girinos podem exercer um efeito regulatório, predando ovos e girinos recém eclodidos; (6) o uso do microhabitat varia em função da escolha do habitat reprodutivo pelos adultos, presença de predadores, filogenia, estágio de desenvolvimento e heterogeneidade do habitat; (7) os fatores históricos restringem os habitats reprodutivos que uma espécie utiliza, impondo restrições comportamentais e fisiológicas; (8) a variação temporal nos fatores bióticos (e.g., fatores de risco), abióticos (e.g., distribuição de chuvas), e no padrão de reprodução das espécies pode interferir na estrutura das assembleias de girinos tropicais. A variação temporal na heterogeneidade ambiental dos riachos da REGUA resultou na previsibilidade das assembleias locais de girinos, sendo que os parâmetros ambientais explicaram 23% da variação na sua composição. Os parâmetros espaciais explicaram uma porção menor da variação nas assembleias (16%), enquanto uma porção relativamente elevada da variação temporal da heterogeneidade ambiental foi espacialmente estruturada (18%). As variáveis abióticas que apresentaram as maiores correlação com a composição das assembleias de girinos foram a proporção de folhiço e de rochas no fundo do riacho, e secundariamente a profundidade, a condutividade e a temperatura. O gradiente gerado pela proporção de folhiço e de rochas representou a transição entre riachos permanentes e intermitentes. Este gradiente proporcionou o turnover de espécies, o qual também seguiu um gradiente de condutividade, temperatura, profundidade, e em menor extensão, de hidroperíodo e largura, que estiveram fortemente associado ao grau de permanência dos riachos. Estes resultados corroboram tanto a hipótese do controle ambiental, como do controle biótico de comunidades e indicam que a variação temporal da heterogeneidade ambiental e a variação na posição geográfica são importantes para a estruturação local de assembleias de girinos da REGUA. Os resultados também permitiram distinguir entre assembleias de girinos exclusivas de riachos permanentes, exclusivas de riachos intermitentes e aquelas registradas nos dois tipos de riachos. Os resultados deste capítulo são relevantes para compreender em que extensão os efeitos da variação temporal na heterogeneidade ambiental e de processos espaciais afetam localmente a estruturação de assembleias de girinos. / Tadpoles are diverse and abundant organisms in headwater streams of tropical rainforests and constitute important components of biological, trophic and functional diversity. Furthermore, different structural (e.g. size, depth, microhabitat availability) and limnological (e.g. conductivity, temperature) characteristics affect tadpole organization. Although the larval stage is the most vulnerable in anurans, subject to high mortality rates, researches on tadpoles in the neotropics, as tools for their identification, remain scarce face the high diversity of anurans found in this region. In this thesis, I present a compilation of information on the main factors affecting tadpole assemblages in the tropics (Chapter 1), the morphological characterization of tadpoles found in streams during the study with a propose of dichotomous key of identification (Chapter 2), and evaluated the relative importance of geographical position and the temporal variation o local environmental factors on tadpole assemblages through 15 months in 10 small streams in the Atlantic Forest of Reserva Ecológica do Guapiaçu (REGUA), municipality of Cachoeiras de Macacú, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. I also investigated the correlation between tadpoles and the environmental variables of streams (Chapter 3). We can recognize at least eigth major trends regarding the distribution and structure of tropical tadpole assemblages: (1) stream size and microhabitat diversity are important abiotic features influencing species richness and composition; (2) in ponds, the permanence gradient (e.g., hydroperiod), and the heterogeneity of habitat are the main factors modeling tropical tadpole assemblages; (3) species composition seems to be a more relevant assemblage parameter than species richness and should be first considered when planning conservation of both pond and stream-dwelling anurans; (4) predation seems to be the most important biotic interaction structuring tropical tadpole assemblages, with vertebrate predators (e.g., fishes) being more voracious in permanent habitats, while invertebrates (e.g., odonate naiads) are the most important in temporary ones; (5) tadpoles may play a regulatory effect preying upon anuran eggs and recently hatched tadpoles (6) microhabitat use varies in function of breeding habitat choice by adults, presence of predators, phylogeny, stage of development and heterogeneity of the habitat; (7) historical factors restrict the breeding habitats that species may use, and impose behavioral and physiologic constrains; (8) temporal variation in biotic (e.g., risk factors) and abiotic factors (e.g., rainfall distribution), and the reproductive patterns of the species may interfere in the structure of tropical tadpole assemblages. Future efforts regarding the study of tadpoles should contemplate assemblages associated with streams, and experimental studies. Temporal variation in the environmental heterogeneity resulted in predictability of local tadpole assemblages. The environmental component explained 23% of the variation in tadpole composition, while spatial parameters explained the smaller portion of the variation (16%). A comparatively high portion of temporal variation in the environmental heterogeneity was spatially structured (18%). The proportion of litter and rocks on the stream bottom, depth, conductivity, and temperature were correlated with tadpole composition. The gradient created by the proportion of litter and rocks represented the changes from permanent and intermittent streams. This gradient provided the species turnover, which also followed a gradient of conductivity, temperature, depth, and in a lesser proportion, hydroperiod and width, all being strongly associated with permanence of streams. The results also corroborate with both the environmental and the biotic control model and indicate that temporal variation in environmental heterogeneity and the spatial position are important to the structuring of local tadpole assemblages in the streams of REGUA. The results also allowed to distinguish between tadpoles assemblages exclusive of permanent, intermittent, and those inhabiting both streams. The results of this chapter are relevant to understand in which extension the effects of temporal variation in environmental heterogeneity and spatial processes affect the structure of tadpole assemblages, the most fragile life stage of anurans
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[en] STOCHASTIC HARMONIC MODEL FOR PRICE FLUCTUATIONS / [pt] MODELO HARMÔNICO ESTOCÁSTICO PARA AS FLUTUAÇÕES DE PREÇO

VICTOR JORGE LIMA GALVAO ROSA 18 December 2017 (has links)
[pt] Consideramos o oscilador harmônico com amortecimento aleatório em presença de ruído externo. Os ruídos, representando perturbações externas e internas, são modelados pelo processo de Ornstein-Uhlenbeck ou ruído branco e pelo processo dicotômico ou ruído branco, respectivamente. Usando técnicas de sistemas dinâmicos, analisamos o valor médio e a dispersão da posição e da velocidade do oscilador harmônico estocástico, apresentando resultados analíticos e numéricos. Em particular, obtemos expressões para a expansão de baixa-ordem em relação ao tempo de correlação da perturbação interna, no caso da atuação do ruído dicotômico. Finalmente, usando o modelo de oscilador harmônico com amortecimento aleatório como referência, investigamos a série intradiária de preços do mercado brasileiro. / [en] We consider the random damping harmonic oscillator in presence of external noise. The noises, representing external and internal perturbations, are modeled as an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process or a white noise and as a dichotomous process or a white noise, respectively. Using dynamical systems tools, we analyze the expected value as well as the dispersion of the stochastic harmonic oscillator s position and velocity, presenting analytical and numerical results. In particular, we also provide expressions for the low-order expansion in the correlation time of the internal perturbation, in the case the dichotomous noise is at play. Using random damped harmonic oscillator model as a reference, we conclude by investigating the intra-day Brazilian stock price series.

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