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半總統制中準內閣制與內閣制政治運作比較 / A Comparison of Quasi-Parlimentarism in Semi- Presidentialism and Parlimentarism in Political Practice石鵬翔, Shih, Peng Hsiang Unknown Date (has links)
半總統制的運作特色是行政權力分別由總統和總理掌握,當半總統制的總統權力較小,就會由總理主導行政權力,此時半總統制的運作模式趨近於內閣制。但過去較少有文獻比較總統權力較小的半總統制國家,與內閣制國家的實際政治運作,是否有顯著的差異。本文先參照Wu(2012)的分類,選擇準內閣制做為總統權力較小的半總統制次類型,再與內閣制國家做比較。
本文的研究結果,發現準內閣制與內閣制之間,在國會的有效政黨數目、無黨籍總理出現的機率、總統總理同黨的機率沒有顯著的差異。顯示準內閣制的總統如同Wu分類的定義,不會介入任命過程,另外,總統選舉的衣尾效應也無法使大黨的席次增加。在總理任期的比較方面,雖然兩種制度的總理任期沒有顯著的差異,不過準內閣制的總理遭遇提前選舉下台的風險,低於內閣制,且準內閣制的總理連任機率也低於內閣制。這些結果皆表示,準內閣制的總統雖然不會介入組閣過程,但有可能對於國會的選舉時程產生影響,使總理無法在最佳時機發動國會提前選舉,進一步降低總理的連任機率。
綜合本文的研究發現,再對照過去的相關理論。半總統制與內閣制在實際運作上,仍然有一些差異。近年來,學界認為總統權力不是半總統制的重要條件,實際上,即使在總統權力較小的國家,總統權力可能還是有重要的影響。 / The executive power in semi-presidentialism is shared by the president and prime minister where the prime minister will control executive power with a weak president, and the political practice will be like those found in parlimentarism. There are very few articles examining the difference between parlimentarism and semi-presidentialism with a weak president. This paper compares the political practice of semi-presidentialism with a weak president and parlimentarism in different countries. The case selection criteria of a weak president is based on Wu(2012). In his research, quasi-parlimentarism is a subtype of semi-presidentialism, that the president has weak power.
The result of this research demonstrates that effective number of parties in parliamentary, probability of non-party prime minister, president and prime minister in the same party have no significant difference between two institutions. This means that in the quasi-parlimentarism the coattail effect of a presidential election does not ensure more seats for a large party, and the president has a weak power to appoint the cabinet. Although the duration of the term of a prime minister has no significant difference, the hazard of early election, and probability of prime minister renewal in quasi-parlimentarism is less than parlimentarism. This means that a president in quasi-parlimentarism has blocked dissolution of parliamentary, and the prime minister cannot call for an early election at his or her favorable time.
In summary, the political practice of semi-presidentialism is different than parlimentarism. Presidential power is an important feature of semi-presidentialism, even in small presidential power, a semi-presidentialism country, and its president have great influence on politics.
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