Cette thèse se propose de déterminer les facteurs explicatifs des spreads des rendements obligataires souverains d’un échantillon de pays de la zone euro, lors des crises survenues au cours de la dernière décennie, et d’étudier l’impact de ces crises sur la dynamique du marché obligataire souverain, et sur son interaction avec le marché boursier et celui des CDS. L’identification des déterminants des spreads de chaque pays fait appel aux modèles de type GARCH, et aux modèles à effets fixes et aléatoires pour l’ensemble de l’échantillon. L’étude de la contagion emploie les modèles MS-VAR et DCC-MVGARCH. Les résultats montrent que la variance des spreads est expliquée principalement par le risque global et celui relatif à la liquidité. Les spreads des pays périphériques apparaissent plus sensibles aux facteurs de risque que ceux du cœur. Les coefficients des facteurs de risque sont aussi trouvés plus significatifs lors des périodes de crise des sub-primes et de la zone euro. Pour l’étude des interactions entre les marchés financiers de la zone euro, les tests menés ont permis de mettre en lumière la présence de phénomènes de contagion et de « fuite vers la qualité ». / This thesis focuses on explaining the determinants of sovereign bond yield spreads in selected euro area countries during the financial crises of last decade. It examines the impact of those turmoil periods on sovereign bond market dynamics, and on its interactions with stock and CDS markets. GARCH-type models are used to identify determinants explaining spreads of each country, while panel data analyzed within fixed and random effects models, and run on crisis and non-crisis periods, identify whole sample determinants. To assess contagion effect, both MS- VAR and DCC-MVGARCH models are used. Results suggest that global risk and liquidity factors are the significant drivers of the spreads volatility. For the periphery countries in the euro zone, spreads are found to be more responsive to explanatory risk factors than those of the core countries. The role of these factors is also found stronger during the sub-prime and euro area crises. The analyses of the financial markets interactions within the euro area demonstrate the existence of a contagion effect, as well as a “flight to quality” phenomenon.

We build a fully microfounded dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model, which is estimated employing Bayesian methods. The model captures the most salient features of Austria as a small open economy, the Euro Area (EA) and the United States (US). Further analysis is conducted through numerical simulations to examine how nominal and real shocks are propagated. Besides, welfare cost of nominal rigdities are calculated. We distinguish two sample periods "pre-EMU" and "EMU". In the former, we maintain the assumption of full commitment of respective (independent) Central Banks towards their monetary rules, whereas in the latter, the monetary policy of Austria is fully aligned with the European Central Bank. Main results are derived from Bayesian estimation and simulation of the estimated model. Welfare calculations from the estimated model suggest that in the pre-EMU period, the EA and Austria present welfare costs close to one percent of steady-state comsumption, whereas the U.S. welfare costs is slightly higher (-1.52 percent). As is would be expected, in the second subsample welfare costs in the EA decrease, indicating an improvement in the allocation during the EMU regime (similarly in the U.S.), whereas in Austria welfare costs go up. / Series: EI Working Papers / Europainstitut

In the first chapter the thesis deals with the historical process of formation of the EU and EMU, in the other words euro area. Second chapter shows us the nominal and real analysis of convergence of Czech republic and Slovakia to the average of the EU 27 and former EU 15. Following chapters are about the process of ingression of Czech republic and Slovakia firstly to the EU and nowadays to the euro area. The aim of the thesis is to compare the process of the integration in these countries.

The diploma thesis evaluates nominal and real convergence of the Czech Republic in relation to its future entry to euro area. First chapter focuses on process of creating the Economic and Monetary Union and description of convergence and its function during the implementation of euro. In the second chapter the Czech monetary integration process is defined. The third and forth chapters contain evaluation of convergence of the Czech Republic. In the last chapter there is a comparison of the Czech Republic and Slovakia, especially the common and different trends in approaching the process of monetary integration.

This thesis titled The impact of monetary policy on cross-border economic activities of enterprises focuses on the monetary policy of four European countries - the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Denmark and Sweden. The first chapter discusses the theoretical principles of monetary policy, the definition of monetary policy, its objectives, tools and various types of transmission mechanisms. The second chapter compares monetary policies of the given countries, focusing on their attitude towards the common monetary union (euro zone). The third chapter analyzes the impact of monetary policy on cross-border economic activities of enterprises. It primarily analyzes effects in terms of risks, balance of payments, competitiveness, etc. The fourth chapter -- in form of case study - examines how the foreign exchange interventions by the Czech National Bank affected the Czech economy and trade. The work focuses on the last five years, where appropriate, the development of the past ten years is captured.

The thesis is focused on exchange rate policy of the Czech Republic. Its goal is to analyze this policy in connection with reaching an external balance of the economy and also from the point of view of its role during transformation in the Czech Republic. The common European currency and its possible introduction in the Czech Republic is also an issue associated with the exchange rate policy. At the beginning, basic terms and related theoretical approaches are introduced and in the next part, balance of payments approaches are analyzed using selected examples. The following chapter deals with exchange rate policy transformation process in Czechoslovakia and then in the Czech Republic. The last part is aimed at European monetary integration and especially at potential Czech accession to the euro area.

The diploma thesis focuses on description and analysis of the global crisis that began in 2007. It also evaluates measures taken by the European Central Bank and the Czech National Bank in response to this crisis. Thesis contains evaluation of used measure. It includes dealing with the crisis by two selected banks in the Czech Republic.

The diploma thesis focuses on description and analysis of the global crisis that began in 2007. It also evaluates measures taken by the European Central Bank and the Czech National Bank in response to this crisis. Thesis contains evaluation of used measure. It includes dealing with the crisis by two selected banks in the Czech Republic.

This thesis analyses determinants for structural reforms in the euro area. First, it is theoretically scrutinized how the common monetary policy of the European Central Bank causes a reform bias between small and large countries. Second, it is examined how private market adjustment, structural reforms and their interaction affect the intra-euro area current account balances of euro area countries. Third, it is analysed how an asymmetric foreign asset and liability distribution across the euro area affects single countries need for structural reforms of labour markets. Fourth, the impact of fiscal stabilization policy on structural reform activity will be examined.

This paper examines the effects of the exchange rate on bilateral industry trade in Sweden's trade with the Euro area. This is done by examining whether the J-curve effect exists using quarterly data from 1995 until 2022. Since becoming floating in the 1990s, the Swedish Krona has weakened significantly and recently, the discussion about the weakness of the Swedish Krona has gained renewed attention. Since Sweden is a small and open economy highly dependent on international trade, changes in the exchange rate may have large effects on the Swedish economy. The J-curve effect implies that the trade balance following a depreciation may initially worsen before later improving. The ARDL-approach is employed to obtain both short- and long-run effects of a depreciation on Swedish trade balance. In the 66 industries studied, little support can be found for a J-curve effect in Sweden's trade with the Euro area. Although 27 industries present short-run effects of a depreciation only five lasts until the long-run. Similarly, the results indicate that industries with a lower share of foreign inputs in their exports are affected more favourable than those with a higher share in the short run. No such results are found in the long run.