Approved for public release, distribution is unlimited / A study of the performance of the Coupled Ocean Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) was performed based on collected METOC properties affecting radar propagation during the Roughness and Evaporation Duct (RED) experiment conducted off the windward coast of Oahu, HI. The measured refractivity influencing parameters (SST, air temperature, humidity, and wind speed) were compared to COAMPS predicted values. Using the NPS bulk evaporation duct model, profiles of the modified refractivity were computed from the buoy data and compared to profiles computed from the COAMPS data. The profiles were obtained concurrently with S-Band propagation measurements along a 26-km path. The radar propagation predictions created by APM from the modified refractivity profiles, derived from the measured METOC values and COAMPS modeled values, were compared to the in situ measured propagation losses. The mean RMS error of the prop loss predictions derived from the COAMPS forecasted METOC values was <4 dB compared to a mean RMS error of <3 dB from the in situ measurement derived prop loss predictions. Significantly larger errors occurred at the COAMPS analysis times. Overall, the results are very promising for this trade wind region, where the air is cooler than the relatively warm sea surface. / Lieutenant, United States Navy

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[pt] O crescimento da demanda por serviços de telecomunicações em terra firme também pode ser encontrado em ambientes marítimos por usuários a bordo de embarcações, sejam elas civis ou militares. Nestes ambientes, um fenômeno conhecido como duto de evaporação influencia a propagação eletromagnética na troposfera, proporcionando a comunicação ponto-a-ponto em distâncias além do horizonte rádio. Este trabalho utiliza a técnica de traçado de raios para analisar o comportamento da onda eletromagnética nestes meios. Foi elaborado um algoritmo capaz de traçar raios e determinar amplitudes e fases do campo elétrico em meios inomogêneos bidimensionais dado um mapa de refratividade modificada M. A partir destes mapas, o algoritmo calcula os gradientes verticais de M, que podem variar ao longo do percurso, e traça os raios, a partir da antena transmissora. Como aplicação, além de cenários com dutos de evaporação, foram utilizados mapas de M estimados com base em dados meteorológicos fornecidos por radiossondas lançadas no litoral brasileiro. Os resultados obtidos foram comparados aos fornecidos pelo software Advanced Refractive Effects Prediction System (AREPS), baseado na solução numérica de equação parabólica. Este trabalho também apresenta resultados estatísticos de dutos de evaporação no litoral brasileiro, a partir de dados meteorológicos fornecidos por boias oceanográficas do Programa Nacional de Boias (PNBOIA). Para tal, é utilizado, com pequenas alterações, o algoritmo de Paulus-Jeske, que estima a altura de dutos de evaporação. / [en] The demand growth for land-based telecommunications services can also be found in maritime environments by users on board ships, whether civilian or military. In these environments, a phenomenon known as the evaporation duct influences electromagnetic propagation in the troposphere, providing point-to-point communication at distances beyond the radio horizon. This work uses the raytracing technique to analyze the behavior of electromagnetic waves in these media. An algorithm capable of tracing rays and determining electric field amplitudes and phases in two-dimensional inhomogeneous media was developed, given a map of modified refractivity M. From these maps, the algorithm calculates the vertical gradients of M, which can vary along the path, and traces rays from the transmitting antenna. As an application, in addition to scenarios with evaporation ducts, M maps were estimated based on meteorological data provided by radiosondes launched in the Brazilian coast. The results obtained were compared with those provided by the Advanced Refractive Effects Prediction System (AREPS) software, based on the numerical solution of parabolic equation. This work also presents statistical results of evaporation ducts in the Brazilian coast, based on meteorological data provided by oceanographic buoys of Programa Nacional de Boias (PNBOIA). For this, the Paulus-Jeske algorithm, which estimates the height of the evaporation ducts, is used with small changes.