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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
31

模糊時間數列轉折區間的認定 / Application of Fuzzy Time Series Analysis To Change Periods Detection

莊閔傑 Unknown Date (has links)
由於許多經濟指標的定義不明確,或是因為資料蒐集的時間不一,導致代表經濟景氣的數值,實際上即具有相當大的的不確定性。傳統的方法多不考慮這樣的模糊性,而傾向尋找一準確的模式轉折點。本文則以模糊數學的方法,運用模糊分類法以及模糊熵,訂定一個評判的準則。藉以找出一時間數列模式發生變化的轉折區間。最後以台灣經濟景氣指標為例,說明此方法可不需對資料的模式有任何事先的認知,即可得出與傳統方法相近,甚至更為合理的預測結果。 / Unlike conventional change points detecting, which seeks to find a decision boundary between classes for certain structural changed time series, the purpose of this research is to investigate a new approach about fuzzy change period identification. Based on the concept of fuzzy theory, we propose a procedure for the - level of fuzzy change period detecting and prove some useful properties for a fuzzy time series. We use some numerical examples to demonstrate how these procedures can be applied. Finally, experimental results show that the proposed detecting approach for structure change of fuzzy time series is available and practical in identifying the alpha-level of fuzzy change period.
32

Are we on the same page? Informing adaptive management of outdoor rock climbing using document analysis and cognitive mapping

Anderson, Madison Lee 05 October 2021 (has links)
No description available.

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