Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Oregon, 2007. / Typescript. Includes vita and abstract. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 183-205). Also available for download via the World Wide Web; free to University of Oregon users.

Thesis (Ph. D.)--Oregon State University, 2008. / Printout. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 355-397). Also available on the World Wide Web.

In partnership with the USDA Forest Service and the Utah Division of Forestry, Fire, and State Lands, a geographic information system (GIS) was used to create a wildland fire assessment methodology. GIS layers (or themes) include topography, infrastructure, vegetation, climate, "sensitive" natural values, and fire history. Two phases of assessment are presented: a preliminary analysis designed for planning use at the landscape level, and a detailed analysis for site-specific use. Results of the phase 1 assessment are density grids delineating areas of high fire occurrence and suggesting to managers where a phase 2 assessment is needed. By using the environmental, human, and topographic information listed earlier, probability maps of wildland fire occurrence were developed with a GIS and multiple logistic regression. In both cases, high fire danger areas can be overlaid with protection areas (natural or human-made value areas) to identify critical fire danger areas. Because GIS is commonly used in land management, it facilitates the sharing and updating of geographic information between resource professionals of different agencies and organizations. Local officials will be able to use GIS spatial and tabular data for planning, zoning, and fire ordinance development. Land management specialists can locate, prioritize, and target high and critical fire danger areas for presuppression mitigation efforts such as prescribed fires, defensible-space projects, and fire-break construction (e.g., greenbelts, parkways). Furthermore, GIS assessment layers can be manipulated and exported to create the required raster GIS data themes for FARSITE (a fire growth simulator). Fire managers will be able to spatially predict fire spread, intensity, and behavior under complex topographic and climatic conditions. This method, combined with the expertise of fire specialists, offers an improved and cost-effective assessment technique for wildland fire management.

Promotion of a predictive understanding of plant community response to various forms, frequencies and seasons of disturbance, either through the direct physical effect on biota and or indirect effect on plants, through modification of microclimate and soil attributes is currently a major goal in plant ecology. In particular, the effect of disturbance on altering the ratio between available light and nutrients and their resultant effect on growth, shoot/root allocation, and thus community composition has gained considerable recognition in connection with the mechanisms of plant succession under a popular heading "the resource ratio hypothesis of plant succession". Contemporary and long-term (>50 years) burning and mowing experiments in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) provide important sites for investigation that in the mesic grasslands of KZN, community composition changes in response to the frequency, time and type of disturbances such as burning, mowing and veld fertilization. However, the relationship between disturbance-resource-plant traits and their interactive role in species change is virtually unknown. This study sought to improve understanding of mesic grassland dynamics in. KZN, using short-term pot and plot experiments. The principal objectives were: 1) by subjecting plants to different levels of resources viz. light, nutrients, water and cutting to determine the relative above and below-ground growth performances (biomass allocation) of species from contrasting habitat preference in KZN, which implies their relative competitive ability for limiting resources and tolerance to cutting, 2) by using a short-term (one-season period) burning and mowing experiment to determine the effect of different veld management practices on microclimate and availability of soil resources and their subsequent effect on plant growth performances, 3) testing the relative shade tolerance of representative species from contrasting habitat preferences, 4) by combining the outcomes from these experiments, to provide a general synthesis concerning species' response to disturbance/resource which further signifies species change. The hypothesis that competitive ability as a function of biomass allocation is fertility dependent was supported by a pot experiment. In low nutrient treatments short grass species that predominate infertile soils in KZN viz. Aristida funcifarmis and Themeda triandra attained double the shoot biomass, more than double root biomass, initiated more tillers and re-grew better (after cutting) than those inherently tall species that predominate fertile sites viz. Eragrostis curvula and Hyparrhenia hirta. In contrast, in high nutrient treatments, tall species attained far higher shoot biomass and grew taller in height. Interestingly, short species had a smaller shoot: root ratio than tall species, consistent with the prediction of the resource ratio hypothesis. However, no evidence was obtained suggesting that tall species were more shade tolerant than short species. A field-based shade experiment rather showed that, those species that initiate tillers below-ground viz. Aristida junciformis, Eragrostis curvula and Tristachya leucothrix were more shade tolerant than those species that initiate tillers above-ground viz. Hyparrhenia hirta and Themeda triandra. On the other hand, the effect of disturbance/resource relationship in influencing the growth (biomass production, growth rate, and basal circumference) of contrasting species was examined by conducting a short-term (one season) burning and mowing experiment. The effect of disturbance, its form and frequency through its effect on light and soil moisture was able to account for a substantial difference in species vigour, which can potentially impact community composition. Short species (Themeda triandra and Tristachya leucothrix) showed their highest biomass production and higher basal circumference enlargement in burnt summer mown sites, whereas medium to tall species (Aristida junciformis, Eragrostis curvula and Hyparrhenia hirta) were less tolerant to summer mowing. Aristidajunciformis and Eragrostis curvula appeared to be more vigorous (both in terms of above-ground biomass production and growth rate) in burnt but not mown and control treatment respectively. High biomass and litter accumulation on sites protected from disturbance appeared to have a large influence on species vigour. Species such as Aristida junciformis, Eragrostis curvula and Tristachya leucothrix had high tolerance to litter accumulation while in contrast Hyparrhenia hirta and Themeda triandra were more vulnerable. In total this study has revealed that the association of some short species e.g. Themeda triandra with the reccurrence of disturbance is mainly due to increases in light availability and lowered dominance from tall species in frequently disturbed sites rather than nutrient related. However, this study has revealed that there are some indications whereby the notion that the inverse relationship between available light and nitrogen are important driving variables in species change is an important working theory in the mesic grassveld of KZN. / Thesis (M.Sc.)-University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, 2004.

Grassland fuels quickly respond to moisture changes in the environment, and successfully ignite more readily compared with other wildland fuel types. In recent years in New Zealand grasslands, wildfire ignitions have increased due to recreational activities on public conservation land. Ignition sources have included off-road vehicles, sparks from machinery, and campfires, cooking stoves, etc. This research investigated ignition thresholds for fully cured tussock (Festuca novae-zelandiae) and exotic (Agrostis capillaris) grasses, with the aim of providing a scientific basis for wildfire prevention through decision-support tools for activity controls. Five ignition sources of concern to the Department of Conservation were tested in the laboratory, and results were validated against field experiments. Experiments were innovative, and were designed to simulate ignitions from: hot exhaust systems on off-road vehicles (hot metal); sparks from vehicle exhausts (carbon emissions); grinding operations (metal sparks); smouldering debris dropped onto grass fuels from hot vehicle parts (organic embers); and ordinary cigarette lighters (open flame). Fuel moisture content (MC), and wind speed were varied, but ambient temperature and relative humidity were kept relatively constant in the laboratory. Logistic regression was used to analyse data for each ignition source, except organic embers because no ignitions occurred. Ignition thresholds were determined for a probability of ignition success of 50%, and all models were statistically significant. The thresholds are listed in terms of model accuracy for each experiment: open flame was 28% MC without wind, and 55% MC with light wind (1 m/s); metal sparks was 37% MC; hot metal, with a wind speed of 2 m/s and MC of 1%, was 398ºC hot metal temperature; and carbon emissions was 65% MC. The results represent a significant contribution to knowledge of the ignition behaviour of grassland fuels. Further research is required to verify and extend the results; but, initial findings provide a scientific basis for management, investigations of wildfire causes, and decisions around controls on recreational activities to protect highly sensitive ecosystems and natural areas from damaging wildfires.

A primary role of the Incident Command System is to learn from past incidents, as illustrated by its origins in the wildland firefighting community. Successful emergency response operations under the Incident Command System has prompted its nationwide spread, this promulgation critically relies on the system’s capability to stabilize and continuously improve various aspects of emergency response through effective organizational learning. The objective of this study is to evaluate the potential to apply fundamental principles of the Toyota Production System (Lean manufacturing) to improve learning effectiveness within the Incident Command System. An in-depth review of literature and training documents regarding both systems revealed common goals and functional similarities, including the importance of continuous improvement. While these similarities point to the validity of applying Lean principles to the Incident Command System, a focus on the systematic learning function of the Incident Command System culminated in the discovery of gaps in approaches proposed by the Incident Command System framework. As a result, recommendations are made for adjustments in systematic problem solving to adapt Lean principles of root cause analysis and emphasis on standardization of successful countermeasures to benefit the system. Future recommendations are also proposed based on the author’s understanding of the system.

An accurate fire model is a useful tool in predicting the behavior of a prescribed fire. Simulation of fire requires an extensive amount of data and can be accomplished best using GIS applications. This paper demonstrates integrative procedures of using of ArcGIS™, ERDAS Imagine™, GPS, and FARSITE© to predict prescribed fire behavior on the Kaibab-Paiute Reservation. ArcGIS was used to create a database incorporating all variables into a common spatial reference system and format for the FARSITE model. ArcGIS Spatial Analyst was then used to select optimal burn sites for simulation. Our predictions will be implemented in future interagency efforts towards vegetative restoration on the reservation.

Over the past century in the western United States, warming has produced larger and more severe wildfires than previously recorded. General circulation models and their ensembles project continued increases in temperature and the proportion of precipitation falling as rain. Warmer and wetter conditions may change forest successional trajectories by modifying rates of vegetation establishment, competition, growth, reproduction, and mortality. Many questions remain regarding how these changes will occur across landscapes and how disturbances, such as wildfire, may interact with changes to climate and vegetation. Forest management is used to proactively modify forest structure and composition to improve fire resilience. Yet, research is needed to assess how to best utilize mechanical fuel reduction and prescribed fire at the landscape scale. Human communities also exist within these landscapes, and decisions regarding how to manage forests must carefully consider how management will affect such communities. In this work, I analyzed three aspects of forest management at large spatiotemporal scales: (1) climate effects on forest composition and wildfire activity; (2) efficacy of fuel management strategies toward reducing wildfire spread and severity; and, (3) local resident perspectives on forest management. Using a forest landscape model, simulations of forest dynamics were used to investigate relationships among climate, wildfire, and topography with long-term changes in biomass for a fire-prone dry-conifer landscape in eastern Oregon. Under climate change, wildfire was more frequent, more expansive, and more severe, and ponderosa pine expanded its range into existing shrublands and high-elevation zones. There was a near-complete loss of native high-elevation tree species, such as Engelmann spruce and whitebark pine. Loss of these species were most strongly linked to burn frequency; this effect was greatest at high elevations and on steep slopes. Fuel reduction was effective at reducing wildfire spread and severity compared to unmanaged landscapes. Spatially optimizing mechanical removal of trees in areas at risk for high-severity wildfire was equally effective as distributing tree removal across the landscape. Tripling the annual area of prescribed burns was needed to affect landscape-level wildfire spread and severity, and distributing prescribed burns across the study area was more effective than concentrating fires in high-risk areas. I conclude that forest management can be used to reduce wildfire activity in dry-mixed conifer forests and that spatially optimizing mechanical treatments in high-risk areas can be a useful tool for reducing the cost and ecological impact associated with harvest operations. While reducing the severity and spread of wildfire may slow some long-term species shifts, high sub-alpine tree mortality occurred under all climate and fuel treatment scenarios. Thus, while forest management may prolong the existence of sub-alpine forests, shifts in temperature, precipitation, and wildfire may overtake management within this century. The use of PPGIS was useful for delineating the range of forest management preferences within the local community, for identifying areas of agreement among residents who have otherwise polarized views, and for generating modeling inputs that reflect views that may not be obtained through extant official channels for public participation. Because the local community has concerns about the use of prescribed fire, more education and outreach is needed. This may increase public acceptance of the amounts of prescribed fire needed to modify wildfire trajectories under future climate conditions.

Plants are the major source of food or energy required to sustain life on the planet, but humans are grappling with the deteriorating conditions of natural ecosystems such as compositional change, desertification, invasive plants and soil erosion. In the face of global climate change and growing demands for agricultural productivity, future pressures on grassland ecosystems will intensify, therefore sustainable utilization of all plant resources is of vital importance to enhance food security within the limits of good conservation. The semi-arid grasslands of southern Africa represent major grassland resources for grazing. Herbage production in these areas is determined not only by water and nutrient availability, but also by controlled and uncontrolled fires. Since fire is regarded as a natural factor in savannas, it is essential to develop a deeper understanding of the role of fire in community structure and function for the development of appropriate burning regimes. A study was conducted in the Eastern Cape of South Africa where the rural communities are faced with the challenges of rangeland degradation in the form of encroachment by unacceptable bush, karroid, macchia and less desirable grass species, as well as soil erosion. The main objective of this thesis was to investigate the roles of competition and disturbance regimes (fire and simulated non-selective grazing) on species composition, habitat productivity and the performances of selected species from this semi-arid savanna. Long-term effects of burning frequency on herbaceous species composition, Leaf Area Index (LAI), Photosynthetically Active Radiation (PAR) within the herbaceous canopy, biomass production and soil chemical properties were investigated. These studies were conducted on a fire trial set up in 1980 at the University of Fort Hare research farm in the Eastern Cape, South Africa. The treatments comprise an annual, biennial, triennial, quadrennial, sexennial and no burn control, all replicated twice in a Complete Randomized Design. The data from the trial collected between 1980 and 2008 were used to determine compositional variation for herbaceous species using the Non-metric Multidimensional Scaling and Bray-Curtis Dissimilarity tests. The PAR ceptometer was used to determine LAI and intercepted PAR, while random samples were harvested from 1m² quadrats from each plot. Soil samples were taken at four depths (0-2 cm; 2-4 cm; 4-6 cm and 6-8 cm) from each plot and analyzed for pH, Ca, K, P, total C and total N. The Resin-Bag technique was used to determine nitrogen mineralization. Burning frequency caused significant variation in herbaceous species composition over time. The species were distributed along gradients of increasing burning frequency, and these responses were in three categories: Those that increased with burning frequency such as Themeda triandra; those that decreased with burning frequency such as Melica decumbens, and those that showed little response such as Panicum maximum. The three-year burn resulted in the highest compositional variation, light interception, Leaf Area Index, aboveground biomass production, while the annual, biennial and no burn treatments resulted in the lowest. The fact that infrequent burning resulted in higher species variation, improved habitat productivity due to increased leaf area for light interception shows that appropriate use of fire can maintain a more diverse and productive savanna system. Burning frequency had significant effects on the soil properties, while soil depth did not show any significance. Frequent burning increased soil pH, K, Ca, and Na, but reduced C, N, P and N mineralization. There was a negative correlation between burning frequency and N mineralization, but no correlation existed between N mineralization and total N, total C or the C:N ratio. These results imply that frequent burning can cause nutrient losses and a greater nutrient limitation to plants in the long-term, especially soil C and N loss from combustion of organic material in the soil top layer. The ability of shade-tolerant plants to persist under shade and regular defoliation such as in burnt and grazed systems may be of greater importance for long-term productivity and sustainability of forage crops. It is therefore imperative to explore the mechanisms by which some species were favoured by frequent burning which created low shade conditions, while others were favoured by high shade conditions where burning is infrequent or absent. A pot experiment was conducted to investigate the shade tolerances of seven grass species that were abundant in the long-term fire trial. The test species were Cymbopogon plurinodis, Digitaria eriantha, Eragrostis curvula, Melica decumbens, Panicum maximum, Sporobolus fimbriatus and Themeda triandra. Individual grass tillers of each species were collected from the natural vegetation, propagated in separate seedling trays and transplanted into individual pots, and were grown under five shading treatments: full sun (0 % shading), 55 %; 70 %; 85 % and 93 % shading respectively. Shading significantly reduced the dry matter production of all the species. Biomass production of all the species decreased linearly to varying degrees with an increase in shade intensity. Digitaria eriantha and Eragrostis curvula were most adversely affected by shading, hence are classified as shade intolerant, while Melica decumbens was the least affected by shading, and is hence classified as shade tolerant. Cymbopogon plurinodis, Panicum maximum, Sporobolus fimbriatus and Themeda triandra are classified as moderately shade-tolerant. From the results it was apparent that some species could perform optimally in partial shade than in full sunlight, and these results lead to a conclusion that for satisfactory natural regeneration and seedling growth of this savanna vegetation would require a gap large enough to provide at least 30 % of ambient light. Investigating patterns in competitive effects and responses of species in these communities may not only explain the abundance of each species, but may also provide insight into the nature of forces that affect the structure and function of that community. Since fire, herbivory and soil nutrients are natural drivers of savanna community structure and function, their influence on competitive interactions of selected species were investigated. Two experiments were conducted to investigate the competitive effects and responses of eight selected common species in the area. The test species (phytometers) included one woody shrub, Acacia karroo and seven grass species namely: Cymbopogon plurinodis, Digitaria eriantha, Eragrostis curvula, Melica decumbens, Panicum maximum, Sporobolus fimbriatus and Themeda triandra. In an outdoor plot experiment the responses of the phytometers to competition from neighbours (0; 2 and eight neighbours respectively), fertility (fertilized, unfertilized) and clipping (clipping, no clipping) were investigated. The second comprised a pot experiment where the competitive effects of the species were investigated. Each species was grown under 3 levels of fertility (0 %; 50 % and 100 % Hoagland‘s solution) and clipping (clipping, no clipping) in pots filled with fine river sand and 4 neighbours. Competition intensity, soil fertility and clipping had significant effects on the biomass production of the phytometer species. Acacia karroo and Melica decumbens, exhibited the weakest competitive effects and responses, and incurred the highest mortalities after clipping and with 8 neighbours. Digitaria eriantha and Panicum maximum exhibited the strongest competitive effects and responses, especially in high fertility, and experienced the lowest mortalities. T.triandra exhibited stronger competitive effect after clipping in low fertility, while A. karroo and C. plurinodis exhibited stronger competitive effects in moderate (50 %) fertility. Cymbopogon plurinodis, Eragrostis curvula and Sporobolus fimbriatus ranked between these two extreme groups in terms of competitive effects and responses. Relative Competitive Interaction increased with soil fertility and number of neighbours in the absence of clipping. These results indicate that in general, taller or broad-leaved grass species outgrow the shorter ones, and this gives them a competitive advantage over light and soil resources. One of the range management objectives in the False Thornveld of the Eastern Cape is to promote the abundance of Themeda triandra, which is of high forage value and an indicator of rangeland that is in good condition. The general situation under livestock farming conditions in this area is that if the grass sward is optimally grazed and rested then there is a great potential for Themeda triandra to dominate.The results of the competition experiments indicated that the species exhibits strong competitive interaction, and also exhibited stronger competitive effect after clipping in low fertility. These results imply that it has a low response and a high effect, an attribute that would enhance its performance if it is moderately grazed or the area is burnt. The species is also moderately shade tolerant, and this may explain why it thrives in burnt and moderately grazed areas. These studies have demonstrated the important role that competition and disturbance in the form of fire and herbivory play in the maintenance of this savanna grassland. Through natural selection species are able to occupy different niches in the same area and coexist in a heterogeneous environment and minimize their chances of extinction. / Thesis (Ph.D.)-University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, 2012.

Fire is a major disturbance force that affects global ecosystems and associated biomes and plays a pivotal role in the determination of ecosystem structure, functionality and dynamics. Anthropogenic environmental disturbances have resulted in shifts in fire regimes and the biogeochemical processes of these ecosystems are thus unable to function as they have done in the past, impacting both floral and faunal species. Therefore there is a need for anthropogenic management. Prescribed burning is one of the few beneficial fire management options available to decrease the severity of wildfires, decrease the associated costs in suppressing these fires and restore fire-dominated ecosystems. The uKhahlamba Drakensberg Park World Heritage Site (UDP-WHS) is predominantly managed for water resource and nature conservation, and fire hazard reduction. It is divided into management compartments in which prescribed management burns are conducted, (i.e. manager’s burn by compartment). These compartments are subdivided by three altitudinal belts (alpine, sub-alpine and montane). Each of these belts contains different vegetation communities and therefore requires different fire regimes. However these compartments do not coincide with the natural contours and consequently, the altitudinal belts of the Park. This is problematic for management as a certain percentage per altitudinal belt is required to be burnt annually. When burning a compartment that falls within two or more belts, the total area of that compartment needs to be sub-divided into its respective altitudinal belts as a whole compartment can be prescribed to burn not a sub-division thereof. A fire management environmental decision support system (EDSS) was developed to achieve prescribed burning objectives in the UDP-WHS. The system is based on ecologically ideal fire regimes and fire management objectives of the heritage site, using GIS and associated graphs to visually display the required fire regimes. The EDSS data preparation, statistical analysis and modelling was completed using ESRI ArcGIS suite (ArcMap, Scene and Catalog). Its main components are two models, an excel spreadsheet and an ArcMap document. The spreadsheet contains the historical burning data of the management compartments based on the compartment codes, with each compartment being not burnt or having a burning treatment. Years Since Last Burnt (YSLB) was calculated from these data and joined to the management compartments in the ArcMap document. The Intermediate output model was developed to create numerous temporary outputs allowing decision makers to decide which compartments to treat with prescribed burning by re-running the model with required alterations. The second model (Final Output model) is then run to export the selected burning treatment in table format to update the original historical data, and consequently YSLB, in the excel and ArcMap document. The ArcMap document contains the user interface housing the graphs for each altitudinal belt showing the percentage area selected to be burnt per YSLB compared to the minimal, maximum and ideal fire regimes. The fire management EDSS for the UDP-WHS consists of an ArcMap document, geodatabase, excel document and folders, which are all housed in one single folder. The use of GIS and EDSSs in environmental management improves the efficiency and accuracy of the decision making process and provides the ability to validate outputs. / Thesis (M.Sc.)-University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, 2011.