Being able to predict the future had been an invaluable competitive advantage for any corporation. Forecasting is a vital part of any business, hence a good forecast allows enterprises to invest in a beneficial way. However, there are several ways to prepare forecasts and the forecast methodology can vary. An industry that is dependent on forecasts is the energy industry. By predicting consumers' energy consumption, Swedish energy companies can hedge on the Nordic power market Nord Pool. To know how much volume to hedge, the most accurate forecast possible is needed.A tool used for forecasting in the energy market is normal correction with degree days. The method aims to neutralize the effects of temperature on energy consumption and allows the actors in the electricity trade to see how the energy usage looks like if the weather is considered "normal". The method unfortunately has a couple of pitfalls, and should therefore be evaluated before it is implemented.This study has evaluated whether normal correction method with degree days should be implemented in a case study at Karlstad Energi. The results show that the method does not improve the forecast and the conclusion is that the method should not be implemented. Key words: Business forecasting, Nord Pool, Future, Forward

Bostad- och servicesektorn står för cirka 40 % av den totala årliga energianvändningen i Sverige. För nybyggda hus med ambitiösa miljökrav, såsom objektet för denna studie, är en viktig del i hållbarhetsarbetet uppföljning och feedback av energianvändningen för att illustrera sambandet mellan ambition och faktiskt resultat. Energiuppföljning i Undervisningshuset, en byggnad på KTH Campus med ambitiösa visioner om hållbarhet och pedagogik, är därför syftet med denna studie. För att jämföra energianvändningen mellan olika år måste energianvändningen normaliseras vilket sker i två steg; korrigering för normalt brukande och normalårskorrigering. I denna rapport beräknas Undervisningshusets normaliserade energianvändning medelst energisignatur och graddagar, vilken jämförs med den enligt Energideklarationen förväntade energianvändningen som normaliserats med SMHI:s energi-index. Undervisningshusets energiprestanda är enligt energisignaturmetoden 56 kWh/m2 och år och enligt graddagsmetoden 59 kWh/m2 och år, jämfört med den förväntade energiprestandan i Energideklarationen på 60 kWh/m2 och år. Både resultaten för denna rapport och Energideklarationen klassificerar därmed Undervisningshuset med Energiklass B. / The housing- and service sector makes up about 40 % of the total yearly energy use in Sweden. For new buildings with ambitious requirements, such as the object of this study, an important part of the work towards sustainability is follow-up and feedback on its energy use to illustrate the connection between ambition and actual result. Energy follow-up for Undervisningshuset, a building on KTH Campus with ambitious visions of sustainability and pedagogy, is therefore the aim of this study. To compare the energy use in buildings between different years the energy use must be normalized which is done in two steps; correction for normal occupancy and standard year correction. In this report the normalized energy use of Undervisningshuset is calculated by means of energy signature and degree-days, which is compared to the expected energy use according to the Energy Declaration normalized by SMHI’s energy-index. The energy performance of Undervisningshuset is 56 kWh/m2 and year according to the energy signature method and 59 kWh/m2 according to the degree-day method, compared to the expected energy performance in the Energy Declaration of 60 kWh/m2 and year. Both the results of this report and the Energy Declaration thereby classifies Undervisninshuset with Energy Class B.