Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Oregon, 2004. / Typescript. Includes vita and abstract. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 178-188). Also available for download via the World Wide Web; free to University of Oregon users.

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Washington, 2004. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 265-276).

Southern Vancouver Island, situated on Canada’s West Coast, is exposed to many natural and human-made threats due to its physical geography and demography. Perceptions of these disaster risks and of seismic hazard, in particular, were surveyed through locally-administered questionnaires conducted with 105 members of the general public and 13 emergency managers living and working on southern Vancouver Island, specifically in the Cowichan Valley Regional District (CVRD) and the Capital Regional District (CRD). Perhaps the greatest risk to the region, and that, which is perceived by both the general public and practitioners as the greatest risk, is low frequency, high consequence earthquake events. The region is exposed to earthquakes from many sources, but has not experienced a damaging quake in several decades, begging questions as to whether residents consider earthquake a prominent threat and whether they have an accurate appreciation for the earthquake hazard (likelihood) in the region. While researchers have scientifically quantified the earthquake hazard in the region for over 50 years, only in the past 10 years has this hazard information been presented in a format that is comprehensible by the general public. In order for individuals and communities to make informed decisions, this information must ultimately reach the public and be interpretable and actionable. This research describes and analyzes disaster risk and seismic hazard perception on Southern Vancouver Island, and identifies whether there are gaps in communication between the scientists who create the knowledge, the emergency managers who disseminate the information, and the general public who ultimately needs to act on the information to increase their resilience. Results reveal that earthquakes are perceived as the highest disaster risk among both the general public and emergency managers on southern Vancouver Island, and that a large majority of participants know that their community is at risk from an earthquake. In addition, while emergency managers consider mostly natural threats to be significant risks, the general public more commonly identify human-made intentional threats as significant risks. The study also found that gender and location influence how individuals prefer to receive hazard information. In addition, household income and time spent living on Vancouver Island are key variables for how likely members of the general public are to be prepared. Findings suggest that while both emergency managers and the general public overestimate the earthquake hazard on southern Vancouver Island, on average emergency managers perceive the earthquake hazard to be greater than the general public does. Interestingly, general public respondents in the CVRD perceive seismic hazard to be higher than respondents in the CRD, while the calculated hazard is actually higher in the CRD. In addition, emergency managers underestimate residents’ perceptions of earthquake hazard. In other words, they feel that the public underestimates the hazard when actually both emergency managers and the general public overestimate it. These misperceptions have implications for future seismic hazard and disaster risk communication. Prior to this study, disaster risk perception has not been explored in detail in this region, and while limitations to this research are outlined, the study provides a useful descriptive analysis and baseline information for emergency managers and academic researchers to build upon. The findings of this research have specific relevance for emergency managers to inform their public education and outreach efforts around preparation, response and resilience to disasters on southern Vancouver Island. / Graduate / 2018-09-08

The thesis analyzes moral hazard in corporate governance and brings in actual theoretical knowledge on the topic. It examines four examples of the companies which went bankrupt due to moral hazard of their top management: Enron, WorldCom, Parmalat and IPB. All case studies are assessed in accordance with OECD Principles of Corporate Governance. At the end of the thesis, there are mentioned impacts on legislature and suggestions of possible solutions.

The main purpose of my final thesis is to present the development, function and real impact of moral hazard on the process of creating mergers and acquisitions (mainly in the banking sector) in the context of the financial crisis. I seek to analyse the acquisition process and the factors that affect it. Consequently, I focused on the synthesis of these factors, with emphasis on the role of moral hazard, which on the one hand acts as one of the potential culprits of the failure of markets, but on the other hand as the "driving force" for encouraging the creation of mergers and acquisitions in a financial crisis.

This paper will introduce the reader to the issues of moral hazard in a principal-agent setting, with the primary focus on the incentive pay models of moral hazard. Firstly, with an introduction and analysis of various microeconomic models designed to alleviate the problems of moral hazard, and secondly, with an analyses of these models in the context of a specific company, the aim of this thesis is to offer a comprehensive understanding of the specific problems caused by moral hazard in the principal-agent problem, as well as the mechanisms used to lessen such problems in the real business environment and their connection to the theoretical microeconomic models.

The Priority Risk Index is increasingly used as a methodology for quantifying jurisdictional risk for hazard mitigation planning purposes, and it can evolve to meet specific community needs. The index incorporates probability, impact, spatial extent, warning time, and duration when assessing each hazard, but it does not explicitly integrate a vulnerability and consequence analysis into its final scoring. To address this gap, a new index was developed- the Enhanced Priority Risk Index (EPRI). The new index adds a sixth category, vulnerability, calculated from a vulnerability and consequence analysis of the impacts on seven sectors identified in Standard 4.1.2 of the Emergency Management Accreditation Program (EMAP). To obtain a vulnerability score, impacts are ranked by sector from low (1) to very high (4), then a weighting factor is applied to each sector. The vulnerability score is added to the EPRI and provides risk levels based on the number of exploitable weaknesses and countermeasures identified within a specific jurisdiction. The vulnerability score and resulting EPRI are scalable and can be applied across jurisdictions, providing a transferable methodology that improves the hazard identification and risk assessment process and provides an approach for meeting EMAP accreditation standards.

Heavy metal contamination of soil and agricultural products is an environmental problem, has an adverse effect on the quality of food crops, and is a danger to food security and public health. The concentration of arsenic (As), cadmium (Cd), lead (Pb), iron (Fe) and zinc (Zn) in surface soils and edible hypocotyls tissues of two ecotypes of Lepidium meyenii Walpers (maca) was evaluated in three districts of the Junín province, Peru. In addition, the risk to human health due to exposure to heavy metals from maca consumption was evaluated. Soil samples and maca hypocotyls were collected in areas influenced by mining and metallurgical activity. The mean concentration of Cd (0.32 ± 0.23 mg/kg) and Pb (0.20 ± 0.12 mg/kg) in maca samples exceeded the values established by the Food and Agriculture Organization and the World Health Organization. The bioconcentration factor was less than 1. The estimated daily intake of each metal was below the oral reference dose. The hazard quotient and hazard index were less than 1, it is unlikely to cause non-cancer adverse health outcome. The cancer risk for As and Cd was higher than the tolerable limit (1 × 10−6) in children and adults. In the district of Ondores, the cancer risk for As in children was higher than the acceptable limit (1 × 10−4). Residents of the Ondores district would be more exposed to As and Cd from consumption of maca hypocotyls. It is very important to carry out continuous monitoring of other toxic metals in different ecotypes of maca (red, black, yellow, purple, creamy white, pink) in order to evaluate the variation in the accumulation of heavy metals and the level of toxicity of each metal between ecotypes. / Revisón por pares

Though almost thirty years have passed since the 1991 Tunnel Fire, the wildfire hazard is still present in the Oakland Hills. This study was conducted to determine if the vegetation in the Oakland Hills had reverted back to fuel conditions that contributed to the Tunnel Fire, examine how the fire hazard has changed since 1991, and evaluate planned wildfire mitigation. The goal was to determine how fuel conditions have changed since 1991 and compare potential fire behavior to that of the Tunnel Fire. Additionally, the study examined the effectiveness of the mitigation actions described in the East Bay Regional Park District’s Wildfire Hazard Reduction and Resource Management Plan on lowering extreme fire behavior. Through the use of remote sensing, historical aerial imagery, satellite imagery, and Landsat imagery the 1991 and 2018 fuel conditions were analyzed. ArcGIS Pro and FlamMap 6 were used to compare hectares of fuel and changed in fire behavior between the two year. Mitigation actions were modeled with FlamMap 6 and ArcGIS Pro and fire behavior was compared between untreated conditions and post treatment conditions. The vegetation in the Oakland Hills, in the absence of fire, returned to a mature state, similar to the 1991 conditions. However, there was a reduction in the overall hectares of fuel model 147 in 2018. Modeled fire behavior indicated an overall reduction in extreme fire behavior when comparing 1991 to 2018. This reduction varied on a park level with each park performing differently. When modeled, mitigation was able to lower extreme fire behavior across the landscape but success varied on an individual park basis. In conclusion, should ignition occur presently, under foehn wind conditions, a fire would still exhibit very extreme behavior with a high potential for catastrophic loss, and implantation of planned mitigation measures may be able to lower the degree of extreme fire behavior.

Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI) / Background: Tobacco use is associated with an increased risk of developing Alzheimer's disease (AD). 14% of the incidence of AD is associated with various types of tobacco exposure. Additional real-world evidence is warranted to reveal the association between tobacco use and AD in age/gender-specific subpopulations. Method: In this thesis, the relationships between diagnoses related to tobacco use and diagnoses of AD in gender- and age-specific subgroups were investigated, using health information exchange data. The non-parametric Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the incidence of AD. Furthermore, the log-rank test was used to compare incidence between individuals with and without tobacco related diagnoses. In addition, we used semi-parametric Cox models to examine the association between tobacco related diagnoses and diagnoses of AD, while adjusting covariates. Results: Tobacco related diagnosis was associated with increased risk of developing AD comparing to no tobacco related diagnosis among individuals aged 60-74 years (female hazard ratio [HR] =1.26, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.07 – 1.48, p-value = 0.005; and male HR =1.33, 95% CI: 1.10 - 1.62, p-value =0.004). Tobacco related diagnosis was associated with decreased risk of developing AD comparing to no tobacco related diagnosis among individuals aged 75-100 years (female HR =0.79, 95% CI: 0.70 - 0.89, p-value =0.001; and male HR =0.90, 95% CI: 0.82 - 0.99, p-value =0.023). Conclusion: Individuals with tobacco related diagnoses were associated with an increased risk of developing AD in older adults aged 60-75 years. Among older adults aged 75-100 years, individuals with tobacco related diagnoses were associated with a decreased risk of developing AD.