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Desastres naturais: uma an?lise dos decretos de estiagem e seca no Estado do Rio Grande do NorteRibeiro, Marcos Samuel Matias 30 May 2016 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2016-05-30 / Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior (CAPES) / Os Desastres Naturais (DN) s?o estabelecidos pela ocorr?ncia de fen?menos naturais em ?reas ou regi?es habitadas, e caracterizados pelo fato de seu impacto causar danos ? popula??o afetada. Caso n?o apresente danos ? sociedade ou aconte?a em ?reas n?o ocupadas, o fen?meno ? considerado apenas um evento natural. As ocorr?ncias de Desastres Naturais originam grandes problemas e preju?zos para as sociedades afetadas, al?m de ocasionar grandes perdas humanas. O objetivo do trabalho ? realizar uma an?lise das ocorr?ncias dos DN nas dezenove microrregi?es do estado do Rio Grande do Norte, no per?odo de1991 a2012, tra?ando um paralelo com os registros ao longo do tempo dos limiares de precipita??o. Utilizou-se de t?cnicas estat?sticas, como an?lise espacial para a constru??o de mapas tem?ticos de forma a identificar ?reas com maior risco, e o teste de qui-quadrado para verificar associa??es entre as vari?veis. O ?ndice de Precipita??o Padronizado (SPI) foi considerado, objetivando evidenciar as condi??es meteorol?gicas das ?reas analisadas no momento da publica??o dos Decretos de Estado de Emerg?ncia ou Calamidade P?blica. Os resultados demonstraram um aumento expressivo de 98,7% nos registros das ocorr?ncias para o Estado, uma vez que nos 11 (onze) primeiros anos foram registrados 535 ocorr?ncias e nos 11 anos subsequentes foram registrados 1.063, com um total de 2.447.683 pessoas afetadas por DN. Para o Estado, os fen?menos que apresentaram maior frequ?ncia foram: as estiagem/seca (81,1%), as enxurradas e as inunda??es (18,9%), provenientes das rela??es de fatores com caracter?sticas entre o natural e social. Os dados apresentaram rela??es estatisticamente significativas entre as ocorr?ncias para os dois per?odos em an?lise, bem como sua rela??o com a precipita??o m?dia acumulada anual. A compreens?o deste comportamento ao longo do tempo levar? as autoridades competentes, a identificar as condi??es que se encontra a sociedade, possibilitando no direcionamento de a??es e pol?ticas p?blicas eficazes na gest?o para a mitiga??o do risco a desastres naturais. / The Natural Disasters (DN) are established by the occurrence of natural phenomena in areas or regions inhabited, and characterized by the fact that its impact damage to the affected population. If undamaged to the company or happen in areas not occupied, the phenomenon is considered just a natural event. The Natural Disaster occurrences originate great problems and damage to the affected societies besides causing great human losses. The objective is to analyze the occurrence of DN in nineteen micro-regions of Rio Grande do Norte state, in the period 1991-2012, drawing a parallel with the records over time of rainfall thresholds. We used statistical techniques, as a spatial analysis to build thematic maps to identify areas with increased risk, and the chi-square test to verify associations between variables. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) was considered, aiming to highlight the weather conditions of the areas analyzed at the time of publication of Decree of the State of Emergency and Public Calamity. The results showed a significant increase of 98,7% in the records of events for the state, once in eleven (11) years were first registered 535 occurrences and the subsequent 11 years were recorded 1.063, a total of 2.447,683 people affected by DN. For the state, the phenomena that most frequently presented were: the drought / dry (81,1%), flash floods and floods (18,9%), from the relations of factors with characteristics between the natural and social. The data show statistically significant relationships between the occurrences for the two periods, and its relationship with the annual cumulative average rainfall. Understanding this behavior over time will lead the competent authorities, to identify the conditions that is society, enabling the direct actions and effective public policies in the management to mitigate the risk of natural disasters.
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Transfer?ncias governamentais e previd?ncia social rural nas microrregi?es do Rio Grande do Norte, 2010 a 2014Oliveira, Rusiano Paulino de 19 June 2017 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2017-06-19 / Os trabalhadores do meio rural brasileiro foram historicamente, exclu?dos de diversas
pol?ticas p?blicas. Durante d?cadas esses trabalhadores n?o receberam benef?cios advindos da
perda de capacidade laboral, como a Previd?ncia Social, e mesmo as tentativas de inser??o
quando n?o surtiam o efeito desejado beneficiavam o trabalhador rural de forma incipiente e
parcial. Somente ap?s a Constitui??o Federal de 1988, e com as Leis de Custeio e Benef?cio
da Previd?ncia Social (Lei 8.212 e 8.213 de 1991), os benef?cios previdenci?rios puderam ser
estendidos de forma mais universalista aos trabalhadores do meio rural. Como consequ?ncia
desta "abertura" dos benef?cios previdenci?rios tem-se uma eleva??o nos gastos
governamentais com aposentadorias, mas, em contrapartida, o impacto direto na vida dos
aposentados foi significativo. A melhoria na qualidade da habita??o, a passagem da condi??o
de dependente para provedor dentro do domic?lio, aumento da renda das fam?lias de e com
aposentados rurais e a melhoria da capacidade produtiva dos estabelecimentos s?o apenas
alguns dos benef?cios. Diante disso, muito se tem estudado sobre o impacto redistributivo das
aposentadorias rurais devido a transfer?ncia da renda de regi?es economicamente mais ricas
do Brasil pra o Norte e principalmente para o Nordeste, uma vez que essas transfer?ncias tem
representado um impacto na economia de pequenos munic?pios, sobretudo dessa regi?o
(Nordeste). O estado do Rio Grande do Norte, det?m um dos maiores percentuais de
benefici?rios da Previd?ncia Social Rural sobre a popula??o total, quando comparado com
outros estados da regi?o Nordeste. Ademais, grande parte dos aposentados desse segmento no
estado encontram-se em pequenos munic?pios que n?o ultrapassam vinte mil habitantes. De
posse dessas informa??es esse estudo pretende investigar a dimens?o que as aposentadorias
rurais representam para as 19 microrregi?es do Rio Grande do Norte entre os anos de 2010 e
2014. Para isso, ser? utilizada uma abordagem quantitativa, comparando dados da Previd?ncia
Social Rural, obtidos atrav?s da Lei de Acesso ? Informa??o (12.527/2011), com outros dados
secund?rios relativos ?s microrregi?es como o Fundo de Participa??o dos Munic?pios (FPM),
Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) e alguns programas sociais e de financiamento como o Programa
Bolsa Fam?lia (PBF), o Programa de Aquisi??o de Alimentos (PAA) e o Programa Nacional
de Fortalecimento da Agricultura Familiar (PRONAF). / Workers in the Brazilian countryside were historically excluded from various public policies.
For decades, these workers did not receive benefits from the loss of work capacity, such as
Social Security, and even the attempts to insert such benefits, if not well performed, would
only help the rural worker in an incipient and partial way. Only when the Federal Constitution
of 1988 was over, and with the Laws of Cost and Benefit of Social Security (Law 8,212 and
8,133 of 1991), social security benefits could be extended in a more universalistic way to rural
workers. As a consequence of this "opening" of social security benefits, government spending
on pensions increases, but, in addition to that, the direct impact on the lives of retirees was
significant. The improvement in the quality of housing, the transition from dependent status to
provider within the household, the increasing income of families of and with rural retirees and
the improvement on productive capacity of establishments are just some of the benefits.
Furthermore, much has been studied about the redistributive impact of rural pensions,
transferring income from economically richer regions in Brazil to the North and mainly to the
Northeast. As well as the impact that these transfers have on the economy of small towns,
especially in this region. The state of Rio Grande do Norte has one of the highest percentages
of Rural Social Security beneficiaries over the total population when compared to other states
in the Northeast. Therewithal, most of the retirees of this segment in the state, are in small
towns that do not exceed twenty thousand inhabitants. With this information, this study
intends to investigate the extent to which rural pensions represent for the 19 micro-regions of
Rio Grande do Norte between 2010 and 2014. In order to accomplish this, a quantitative
approach will be used comparing data from Rural Social Security, obtained through the Law
on Access to Information (12,527 / 2011), with other secondary data on micro-regions such as
the Municipal Participation Fund (FPM), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and some social and
financing programs such as Bolsa Fam?lia (PBF), the Food Acquisition Program (PAA) and
the National Program for Strengthening Family Agriculture (PRONAF).
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Din?mica socioecon?mica das e?licas no Rio Grande do Norte (2002-2015): microrregi?es e pol?ticas de desenvolvimento localSilva, Rebeca Marota da 28 March 2017 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2017-03-28 / Este trabalho analisa a din?mica socioecon?mica do Rio Grande do Norte a partir da economia das e?licas (2002-2015) e as microrregi?es onde s?o instalados os parques e?licos no estado. Por essa raz?o, ? pedra angular dessa disserta??o o focar na energia e?lica como proposta de desenvolvimento local, compreendendo-se como centro da an?lise, a rela??o entre os investimentos e?licos e os territ?rios estudados. Para melhor percep??o de como ? poss?vel a din?mica econ?mica de uma regi?o perif?rica, adotou-se como plataforma metodol?gica a investiga??o hist?rico-estruturalista da escola cepalina. A pesquisa parte da an?lise dos fatos hist?ricos que se manifestaram em diferentes per?odos, impactando positiva ou negativamente nas estruturas produtivas e sociais. Como procedimentos metodol?gicos foram realizados: revis?o da literatura; observa??o emp?rica atrav?s de uma visita de campo; e consulta e an?lise de documentos. Elegeu-se como principal hip?tese que apesar dos elevados investimentos, como ? o caso da energia e?lica no Rio Grande do Norte, ocorre uma baixa intera??o com a din?mica regional local, n?o contribuindo para a diminui??o de problemas estruturais, sociais e econ?micos de uma regi?o perif?rica. Conclui-se que apesar dos esfor?os nacionais em desenvolver o setor, no Rio Grande do Norte, a din?mica socioecon?mica foi influenciada de forma tangencial no que se refere a economia das e?licas, ou seja, sem profundas transforma??es. Destaca-se a urg?ncia de concomit?ncia entre as pol?ticas nacionais de setor com as pol?ticas locais de desenvolvimento. A economia das e?licas revela-se como promotora de desenvolvimento quando o Estado concilia as oportunidades que o setor desenvolve. Caso contr?rio, a economia das e?licas servir-se-? dos territ?rios em que se instala apenas como recurso para a reprodu??o do capital internacional sem se espraiar progresso pelo local. / Analyzes the socio-economic dynamics of Rio Grande do Norte from the economics of wind power (2002-2015) and micro-regions where are found the wind farms of the State. For this reason, it is the cornerstone of this dissertation the focus on wind power as local development proposal, figuring out how to center of analysis, the relationship between the wind farm investments and territories studied. For better understanding of how it is possible the economic dynamics of a peripheral region, it was used as methodological platform the historical research structuralist method of cepalina school. The research stems from the analysis of the historical facts that was expressed in different periods, impacting positively or negatively in the productive and social structures. As methodological procedures were performed: literature review; empirical observation through a field visit; and document consultation and analysis. It was elected as the main hypothesis that high investment, as is the case of wind energy in Rio Grande do Norte, result in conservatism and strengthening of local inequalities, there is a low interaction with the local regional dynamics, not contributing to the reduction of structural, social and economic problems of a peripheral region. It is concluded that despite the national efforts to develop the sector, in Rio Grande do Norte, the socioeconomic dynamics was influenced in a tangential way with regard to the economy of the wind, that is, without deep transformations. The economy of wind power is seen as a promoter of development when the State reconciles the opportunities that the sector develops. Otherwise, the economy of wind power will be used in territories where it is installed only as a resource for the reproduction of international capital without spreading progress through the site.
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