ITC/USA 2011 Conference Proceedings / The Forty-Seventh Annual International Telemetering Conference and Technical Exhibition / October 24-27, 2011 / Bally's Las Vegas, Las Vegas, Nevada / The measurement result is complete only if it contains the measurand and its units, uncertainty and coverage factor. The uncertainty estimation for the parameters acquired by the FTI is a known process. To execute this task the Institute of Research and Flight Test (IPEV) developed the SALEV© system which is fully compliant with the applicable standards. But the measurement set also includes Derived Parameters. The uncertainty evaluation of these parameters can be solved by cumbersome partial derivates. The search for a simpler solution leads us to a Monte-Carlo based algorithm. The result of using this approach are presented and discussed.

published_or_final_version / Chemistry / Doctoral / Doctor of Philosophy

published_or_final_version / abstract / toc / Physics / Master / Master of Philosophy

published_or_final_version / abstract / Statistics and Actuarial Science / Doctoral / Doctor of Philosophy

For understanding the mechanisms of low level laser/light therapy (LLLT), accurate knowledge of light interaction with tissue is necessary. In order to have a successful therapy, laser energy needs to be delivered effectively to the target location which depending on the application can be within various layers of skin or deeper. The energy deposition is controlled by input parameters such as wavelength, beam profile and laser power, which should be selected appropriately. This thesis reports a numerical study that investigates the laser penetration through the human skin and also provides a scale for selection of wavelength, beam profile and laser power for therapeutic applications. First, human skin is modeled as a three-layer participating medium, namely epidermis, dermis, and subcutaneous, where its geometrical and optical properties were obtained from the literature. Both refraction and reflection are taken into account at the boundaries according to Snell’s law and Fresnel relations. Then, a three dimensional multi-layer reduced-variance Monte Carlo tool was implemented to simulate the laser penetration and absorption through the skin. Local profiles of light penetration and volumetric absorption densities were simulated for uniform as well as Gaussian profile beams with different spreads at 155 mW average power over the spectral range from 1000 nm to 1900 nm. The results showed that lasers within this wavelength range could be used to effectively and safely deliver energy to specific skin layers as well as to achieve large penetration depths for treating deep tissues, without causing any skin damage. In addition, by changing the beam profile from uniform to Gaussian, the local volumetric dosage could be increased as much as three times for otherwise similar lasers. In the second part of this thesis, a three-dimensional single-layer reduced-variance inverse Monte Carlo method was developed to find the optical properties of the skin using the experimental values of transmittance and reflectance. The results showed that both transmittance and reflectance scale well with transport optical thickness. Moreover, it was also shown that penetration depth is highly sensitive to the laser wavelength and varied within the range from 1.7 mm to 4.5 mm. / text

published_or_final_version / Physics / Master / Master of Philosophy

<p>Prior knowledge about the possible characteristics of demand and supply is vital in the planning and operation of economically sustainable isolated rural power systems. System modelling and simulation is one of the tools that can be used in planning and assessing the performance of these systems. This thesis is presenting a Monte Carlo simulation methodology for modelling, simulating and analysing the performance of isolated rural electricity markets applicable in developing countries. The definitions of possible power system operators managing these markets are introduced based on different economic objectives of operating the systems. The two system operators considered in the thesis are: altruistic and profit maximising operators. The concept used to define types of isolated rural electricity markets is combining the definitions of operators and the possible combinations of power supply options (purely thermal or hybrid system). It is anticipated that the rural electricity markets under consideration comprise of uncertainties in demand and supply (both demand and generation are modelled as random variables from assumed or estimated probability distributions).</p><p>Demand is price sensitive and modelled as a product of two random variables, relative demand and peak demand. The price sensitivity of demand is shown by representing peak demand using an economic price-demand function. The parameters (price sensitivity and demand factor) of this function are modelled as random variables which reflect the randomness of consumers’ preferences.</p><p>The simulation algorithm is based on the theory of correlated sampling, in order to compare the performance of systems under different operators. The thesis introduces the concept of nested Monte Carlo simulation to be able manage the simulation of different operators subjected to the same market conditions. The performance of electricity markets is assessed by analysing three parameters (tariffs, profit and reliability), which are random variables presented using probability distributions in form of duration curves.</p><p>The methodology is tested on a theoretical case study system using load data obtained from a rural community in Africa.  The case study illustrates how to use the model, preparation of the input variables and how to use the output to estimate and assess the possible performance of isolated rural power systems under different power system operators. It is anticipated that the proposed methodology can be used by researchers, planners and academia as a tool for planning, estimating and assessing the performance of rural power systems in isolated areas of developing countries</p>

No description available.

No description available.

No description available.