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Hodnocení investičního projektu / Evaluation of investment projectMalík, Tomáš January 2011 (has links)
The thesis is focused on the evalution of real investment. In the theoretical part are summarized the basic analysis, investment characteristics, their input parameters and evalution methods which are needed to assess the investment. In the practical part of the work the company is introduced at first, after analysis of the external enviroment and inner potential of the company is performed. Next investment project is presented, his input parameters and evaluation of the methods from the theoretical part is performed. In finally analysis of sensitivity and complex evaluation of the project is performed. The aim of this thesis will be give recommendations for the management of the company, if the project implement or not implement.
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A Model for the Benefits of Electronic Toll Collection SystemChaudhary, Rajesh H 14 November 2003 (has links)
Due to the degree of complexity related to measuring the advantage of establishing Electronic Toll Collection (ETC) systems, literature generally stops short of modeling an all-inclusive set of benefits of the system. In this research, a model that incorporates the impact on both the users and the society as a whole and evaluates the financial benefits over the lifespan of the ETC investment is developed.
Most of the values for the parameters used for calculating the benefits are taken from Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) and from similar studies conducted by transportation agencies, which is the setting that has motivated the current research. These parameters are national averages and not region specific.
The model will serve as a decision making tool to determine the number of ETC lanes over the manual and automatic lanes. The model has been used for toll plazas with different number of lanes to study the financial value of the benefits due to the ETC deployment. It is also used to study the effect of the traffic flow on the total benefits and recommendation has been made with respect to the time for the ETC deployment.
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<em>“What are the different obstacles involved with the implementation of Real Options Valuation technique?”</em> : A case study conducted in company X in Sweden.Gupta, Mayank January 2009 (has links)
<p>In much of the recent times the practitioner’s fraternity has been focused towards making investment decisions, based on traditional financial evaluation techniques ranging from Net present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Pay Back Period, Profitability Index. Although these techniques have performed satisfactorily and have provided practitioners’ insights about how to value investments and thereby providing them a holistic view of the project and making informed decisions. However, these traditional techniques have focused more on quantifying the risk assessment done at the beginning of the project, by taking into consideration an optimal discount rate based on the firm’s overall cost of capital, and the additional risk associated with the given project. Nevertheless, these traditional Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) techniques, fails to take into account the value of managerial flexibility in business environments associated with a high degree of uncertainty, thereby not encapsulating the value of different options which are embedded within the project, that managers possess and the value of new information during the project lifecycle. In order to value these options, Real Options Valuation technique has been proposed, which predominantly traces its origin from valuing financial options. Though various academicians have supported this technique and the potential benefits it offers to organizations while making investment decisions, it still rests on a number of assumptions, which needs to be validated across different businesses. Therefore, this study focuses on understanding the obstacles involved with the implementation of Real Options Valuation technique, based on the three roadblocks identified by Lander and Pinches (1998).</p><p>A qualitative study using semi-structured interviews was conducted within a given case company X in Sweden. Wherein based on the existing financial evaluation technique that company X uses while making investment decisions are analyzed. Based on the responses provided by the company X officials, the study revealed that company X employs traditional financial evaluation techniques, since they are been widely accepted across a wide range of industries, and also decision makers, and shareholders tend to prefer a probabilistic risk assessment at the beginning of the project, however company X do acknowledge the potential benefits offered by Real Options Valuation technique, but they are not been implemented, because of its ignorance among the key decision makers, coupled with complex mathematical calculations and various assumptions that needs to be incorporated while using Real Options approach for valuing investments, which makes it difficult in the context of given company X for using Real Options approach for valuing investments.</p>
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“What are the different obstacles involved with the implementation of Real Options Valuation technique?” : A case study conducted in company X in Sweden.Gupta, Mayank January 2009 (has links)
In much of the recent times the practitioner’s fraternity has been focused towards making investment decisions, based on traditional financial evaluation techniques ranging from Net present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Pay Back Period, Profitability Index. Although these techniques have performed satisfactorily and have provided practitioners’ insights about how to value investments and thereby providing them a holistic view of the project and making informed decisions. However, these traditional techniques have focused more on quantifying the risk assessment done at the beginning of the project, by taking into consideration an optimal discount rate based on the firm’s overall cost of capital, and the additional risk associated with the given project. Nevertheless, these traditional Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) techniques, fails to take into account the value of managerial flexibility in business environments associated with a high degree of uncertainty, thereby not encapsulating the value of different options which are embedded within the project, that managers possess and the value of new information during the project lifecycle. In order to value these options, Real Options Valuation technique has been proposed, which predominantly traces its origin from valuing financial options. Though various academicians have supported this technique and the potential benefits it offers to organizations while making investment decisions, it still rests on a number of assumptions, which needs to be validated across different businesses. Therefore, this study focuses on understanding the obstacles involved with the implementation of Real Options Valuation technique, based on the three roadblocks identified by Lander and Pinches (1998). A qualitative study using semi-structured interviews was conducted within a given case company X in Sweden. Wherein based on the existing financial evaluation technique that company X uses while making investment decisions are analyzed. Based on the responses provided by the company X officials, the study revealed that company X employs traditional financial evaluation techniques, since they are been widely accepted across a wide range of industries, and also decision makers, and shareholders tend to prefer a probabilistic risk assessment at the beginning of the project, however company X do acknowledge the potential benefits offered by Real Options Valuation technique, but they are not been implemented, because of its ignorance among the key decision makers, coupled with complex mathematical calculations and various assumptions that needs to be incorporated while using Real Options approach for valuing investments, which makes it difficult in the context of given company X for using Real Options approach for valuing investments.
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The bioeconomic analysis of shark bycatch in tuna fisheryChiou, Mei-Jing 27 January 2011 (has links)
Abstract
Because the number of sharks is decreasing , the problem has been concerned in recent years. In this paper , I conduct a research about the shark bycatch problem¡Ataking the target specie of bigeye tunas and the bycatch specie of sharks as the research objects . Initially I collect from 2000 to 2007 Atlantic bigeye tuna and shark catches datas for resource assessment.and then making comparasion with resource equilibrium values of open access fishery model and net present value maximization fishery model. it is found during the period it has showed a upward trend for bigeye tuna resources¡Abut it has not showed the bigeye tuna resources achive the optimal level. It has showed a diminishing trend for shark resources, the result shows the resources will face extinction crisis if the fishery is not controlled well. Then, doing sensitivity analysis to understand the effects of exogenous parameters to bigeye tuna and shark catches, resources and efforts. Finally, facing with the sharks bycatch problem , discussing the effect of improved fishing gears on sharks bycatch control by doing the sensitivity analysis of fishing hook cost and bycatch coefficient to shark resources and catches¡OFrom the results , it shows that no matter affecting the fishing hook cost or bycatch coefficient , the amount of shark can be reduced effectively
by adopting improved fishing gears.
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Uncertainty Assessment For The Evaluation Of Net Present Value Of A Mineral DepositErdem, Omer 01 December 2008 (has links) (PDF)
The profitability of a mineral deposit can be concluded by the comparison of net present values (NPV) of all revenues and expenditures. In the estimation of NPV of a mineral deposit, many parameters are used. The parameters are uncertain. More accurate and reliable NPV estimation can be done with considering the related uncertainties.
This study investigates the probability distributions of uncertain variables in estimation of NPV and evaluation of NPV using Monte Carlo simulation. @Risk 4.5.7 software package is used to apply Monte Carlo simulation method. At the end of the study, all possible net present values and their probabilities are given as a probability distribution.
Derekö / y copper ore reserve is selected to apply uncertainty assessment in NPV of ore reserves. The reserve is evaluated using both conventional polygonal method and a mining software which is Micromine. The southeastern part of the reserve was selected as a study area because average grade of the reserve is relatively low and the reserve extends to a larger area.
At the end of the assessment, NPV of the southeastern part of Derekö / y ore reserve was found to be between $77.97× / 106 and $318.78× / 106 with 68.27% (x± / & / #963 / ) probability and between &ndash / $45.37× / 106 and $443.54× / 106 with 95.45% probability (x± / 2& / #963 / ).
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A model for the benefits of electronic toll collection system [electronic resource] / by Rajesh H. Chaudhary.Chaudhary, Rajesh H. January 2003 (has links)
Title from PDF of title page. / Document formatted into pages; contains 71 pages. / Thesis (M.S.I.E.)--University of South Florida, 2003. / Includes bibliographical references. / Text (Electronic thesis) in PDF format. / ABSTRACT: Due to the degree of complexity related to measuring the advantage of establishing Electronic Toll Collection (ETC) systems, literature generally stops short of modeling an all-inclusive set of benefits of the system. In this research, a model that incorporates the impact on both the users and the society as a whole and evaluates the financial benefits over the lifespan of the ETC investment is developed. Most of the values for the parameters used for calculating the benefits are taken from Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) and from similar studies conducted by transportation agencies, which is the setting that has motivated the current research. These parameters are national averages and not region specific. The model will serve as a decision making tool to determine the number of ETC lanes over the manual and automatic lanes. / ABSTRACT: The model has been used for toll plazas with different number of lanes to study the financial value of the benefits due to the ETC deployment. It is also used to study the effect of the traffic flow on the total benefits and recommendation has been made with respect to the time for the ETC deployment. / System requirements: World Wide Web browser and PDF reader. / Mode of access: World Wide Web.
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Techno-economic studies of environmentally friendly Brayton cycles in the petrochemical industryNkoi, Barinyima 10 1900 (has links)
Brayton cycles are open gas turbine cycles extensively used in aviation and
industrial applications because of their advantageous volume and weight
characteristics. With the bulk of waste exhaust heat and engine emissions
associated, there is need to be mindful of environmentally-friendliness of these
engine cycles, not compromising good technical performance, and economic
viability.
This research considers assessment of power plants in helicopters, and aeroderivative
industrial gas turbines combined-heat-and-power (ADIGT-CHP) in the
petrochemical industry. Thus, it consists of two parts: part A focuses on
performance analysis of helicopter gas turbines, while part B entails technoeconomic
and environmental risk assessment of ADIGT-CHP in the
petrochemical industry. The investigation encompasses comparative
assessment of simple cycle (SC) and advanced gas turbine cycle options
including the component behaviours and the environmental and economic
analysis of the systems. The advanced cycles considered include: recuperated
(RC), intercooled (IC), intercooled-recuperated (ICR), and low pressure
compressor zero-staged (LPC-ZS), cycles.
The helicopter engines are analysed and subsequently converted to small-scale
ADIGT engines. Also, modelling combined-heat-and-power (CHP)
performances of small-scale (SS), and large-scale (LS) ADIGT engines is
implemented. More importantly, a large part of the research is devoted to
developing a techno-economic model for assessing, predicting, and comparing
viability of simple and advanced cycle ADIGT-CHP in the petrochemical
industry in terms of net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), and
simple payback period (SPBP). The techno-economic performances of the
ADIGT-CHP cycles are measured against the conventional case of grid power
plus on-site boiler. Besides, risk and sensitivity of NPV with respect to uncertain
changes in grid electricity cost, gas fuel cost, emission cost, and electricity
export tariff, are investigated. Two case studies underlie the development of the
techno-economic model. One case study demonstrates the application of the
model for large-scale (LS) ADIGT-CHP, and the other for small-scale (SS)
ADIGT-CHP, all in the petrochemical industry. By so doing, techno-economic
and environmental risk analysis framework (a multi-disciplinary preliminary
design assessment tool comprising performance, emissions, economic, and risk
modules) is adapted to ADIGT-CHP in the petrochemical industry, which is the
aim of this research.
The investigation and results led to the conclusions that advanced cycle
helicopter and ADIGT engines exhibit higher thermal efficiencies than simple
cycle, and that savings exist in operational costs of ADIGT-CHP above the
conventional case. Thus, for both SS ADIGT-CHP, and LS ADIGT-CHP cases,
all ADIGT-CHP cycles are profitable than the conventional case. For LS ADIGT-
CHP category, the IC ADIGT-CHP is the most profitable, whereas for SS
ADIGT-CHP category, the RC ADIGT-CHP is the most profitable. The
contribution to knowledge of this research is the development of a technoeconomic
model for assessing, predicting, and comparing viability of simple and
advanced cycle ADIGT-CHP in the petrochemical industry in terms of NPV,
SPBP, and IRR over the conventional case of grid power plus on-site boiler. A
second contribution is the derivation of simple and advanced cycle small-scale
ADIGT and ADIGT-CHP from helicopter engines.
Cont/D.
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A life cycle optimization approach to hydrocarbon recoveryParra Sanchez, Cristina, 1977- 17 February 2011 (has links)
The objective of reservoir management is to maximize a key performance indicator (net present value in this study) at a minimum cost. A typical approach includes engineering analysis, followed by the economic value of the technical study. In general, operators are inclined to spend more effort on the engineering side to the detriment of the economic area, leading to unbalanced and occasionally suboptimal results. Moreover, most of the optimization methods used for production scheduling focus on a given recovery phase, or medium-term strategy, as opposed to an integrated solution that allocates resources from discovery to field abandonment.
This thesis addresses the optimization of a reservoir under both technical and economic constraints. In particular, the method presented introduces a life cycle maximization approach to establish the best exploitation strategy throughout the life of the project. Deterministic studies are combined with stochastic modeling and risk analysis to assess decision making under uncertainty. To demonstrate the validity of the model, this document offers two case studies and the optimal times associated with each recovery phase.
In contrast with traditional depletion strategies, where the optimization is done myopically by maximizing the net present value at each recovery phase, our results suggest that time is dramatically reduced when the net present value is optimized globally by maximizing the NPV for the life of the project. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis proves that the original oil in place and non-engineering parameters such as the price of oil are the most influential variables. The case studies clearly show the greater economic efficiency of this life cycle approach, confirming the potential of this optimization technique for practical reservoir management. / text
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Investeringskalkyl på självtvätthall för Vetlanda Vägkrog AB / Investment calculation of a self-service car wash facilityÖksuz, Baris, Elvung, John, Tadaris, Sergon January 2014 (has links)
Background and problem: Since the new law took place in 1999, it has been illegal towash a car with substances that can damage the environment on a paved street or on a driveway through a garage. This has conveyed to a new industry where more and more self-service car wash facility have opened around the country. Vetlanda Vägkrog AB has since 2012 been planning to install manual self-service car wash facility at the back of their restaurant business. The authors mission was to make an analysis in order to examine whether an investment of carwashes are lucrative enough for Vetlanda Vägkrog AB. Aim: The study's main objective was to analyze the profitability of an investment in a self-service car wash facility at Vetlanda Vägkrog AB, based on given data. The authors sub-aim was to clarify which factors in general that had played the greatest part in the establishment of a self-service car wash facility. Method: The authors have used an abductive approach in order to fulfill the aim of the study. Furthermore, have the authors used semi-structured interviews in order to gather all empirical data. The interviews were performed on the suppliers, municipal employees and the two owners of Vetlanda Vägkrog AB. The collected data is then explained using theory and henceforth meet the purpose. Conclusion: The results of this study shows that the investment of a self-service car wash facility based on Vetlanda Vägkrog AB conditions is economically efficient and profitable. Net present value method, Pay back and internal rate of return (IRR) is the following methods that the authors consistently have used in order to solve this task. An analysis of three different outcomes were made on the variables that might influence the results, for instance volume and periodic payments has been done in order to get an idea of how sensitive the estimate was. / Bakgrund och problem: Efter den nya lagen som trädde fram 1999 förbjuds tvätt avbilen med ämnen som skadar miljön på en asfalterad gata eller garageuppfart. Detta har medfört till en ny bransch då allt flera självtvätthallar har öppnats runt om i landet. Vetlanda Vägkrog AB har sedan 2012 haft planer på att installera manuella tvätthallar på baksidan av restaurangverksamheten. Vårt uppdrag var att göra en analys där vi granskade om en investering av biltvättar var lukrativt för Vetlanda Vägkrog AB. Syfte: Studiens huvudsyfte var att analysera lönsamheten för en investering i en biltvätthall åt Vetlanda Vägkrog AB, utifrån given data. Delsyftet blev att belysa vilka generella faktorer som hade spelat störst roll vid ett upprättande av en självtvätthall. Metod: För att uppfylla syftet med studien har vi utgått från en abduktiv metod. Vihar genom semistrukturerade intervjuer samlat empiri från leverantörer, kommunalanställda och två av delägarna för Vetlanda Vägkrog AB. Det materialet förklaras sedan med hjälp av teori för att slutligen uppfylla syftet. Slutsats: Resultatet av vår undersökning visar att investering av en självtvätthallutifrån Vetlanda Vägkrog AB förutsättningar är ekonomiskt effektiv och lönsamt. För att lösa uppgiften användes följande metoder payback-metoden, nuvärdemetoden och internräntemetoden.En analys med tre olika utfall gjordes på de variabler som kunde tänkas påverka resultatet, exempelvis volym och särutbetalningar har gjorts för att få en uppfattning påhur känslig kalkylen var. Samtliga utfall påvisade positivt resultat.
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