<p>Road transports stand for a great part of Sweden’s total CO2-emissions. Transports are expected to increase over the coming years, and with those the emissions. A greater environmental awareness leads to increased demands for environmentally friendly transport. The aim of this thesis is to study the consequences of changing transportation modes from road to railway. The thesis contains three major parts; a literature study, a case study and analysis with the national freight system Samgods.</p><p>The literature study intends to give the reader an insight in the potentials as well the obstacles of the railway. Environmental aspects are discussed as well as political views, both positive and negative. Socioeconomic and more company specific incentives that would lead to more transfers from road to railway are presented and discussed.</p><p>A case study including two companies, Swep and KappAhl, both with relations which transfer potentials they wish to be examined. Differences in costs for today’s truck transportation are calculated and compared to train transportations. The Swedish national freight system, Samgods, is used to examine the distance relationships between closest terminals and final destinations and how intermodal solutions would be designed and the economic consequences thereof. The environmental impacts are calculated for each relation for both companies to present the saving that can be made if the transportation mode is changed, and also to show the companies their environmental impact today at a specific relation.</p><p>The result of this thesis is that KappAhl would make a great saving when it comes to the CO₂-emissions. If they are willing to increase transportation costs with 4.5 % they could reduce their CO₂-emissions with 95 % by using the railway instead of only road transportations. For Swep, the comparison between today’s transportation costs and a future cost for railway transport could not be implemented due to non suitable transportation solutions in Samgods. The environmental impact, however, was calculated for today’s transportations and a future railway solution. The result was a great saving for each of the calculated emission types. The analysis made with Samgods showed that freight transported with container is less sensitive to the distance to nearest terminal than freight transported without container. Furthermore, according to Samgods it is cost-effective to transport freight with combined transport if the distance to the final destination is more than 4.6 times the distance to the nearest terminal. The corresponding value for transports without container is 6.9 times. The relationship between nearest terminal and final destination is applicable for distances from 60 km to 300 km from the final destination.</p>

Road transports stand for a great part of Sweden’s total CO2-emissions. Transports are expected to increase over the coming years, and with those the emissions. A greater environmental awareness leads to increased demands for environmentally friendly transport. The aim of this thesis is to study the consequences of changing transportation modes from road to railway. The thesis contains three major parts; a literature study, a case study and analysis with the national freight system Samgods. The literature study intends to give the reader an insight in the potentials as well the obstacles of the railway. Environmental aspects are discussed as well as political views, both positive and negative. Socioeconomic and more company specific incentives that would lead to more transfers from road to railway are presented and discussed. A case study including two companies, Swep and KappAhl, both with relations which transfer potentials they wish to be examined. Differences in costs for today’s truck transportation are calculated and compared to train transportations. The Swedish national freight system, Samgods, is used to examine the distance relationships between closest terminals and final destinations and how intermodal solutions would be designed and the economic consequences thereof. The environmental impacts are calculated for each relation for both companies to present the saving that can be made if the transportation mode is changed, and also to show the companies their environmental impact today at a specific relation. The result of this thesis is that KappAhl would make a great saving when it comes to the CO2-emissions. If they are willing to increase transportation costs with 4.5 % they could reduce their CO2-emissions with 95 % by using the railway instead of only road transportations. For Swep, the comparison between today’s transportation costs and a future cost for railway transport could not be implemented due to non suitable transportation solutions in Samgods. The environmental impact, however, was calculated for today’s transportations and a future railway solution. The result was a great saving for each of the calculated emission types. The analysis made with Samgods showed that freight transported with container is less sensitive to the distance to nearest terminal than freight transported without container. Furthermore, according to Samgods it is cost-effective to transport freight with combined transport if the distance to the final destination is more than 4.6 times the distance to the nearest terminal. The corresponding value for transports without container is 6.9 times. The relationship between nearest terminal and final destination is applicable for distances from 60 km to 300 km from the final destination.

I verktyget Samgods utförs totalkostnadsberäkningar om hur många gånger per år som transporterna av gods ska utföras, det vill säga med vilken frekvens. I den nuvarande frekvensoptimeringsmetoden i Samgods optimeras inte dessa frekvenser, vilket främst beror på att optimeringsproblemets kostnadsfunktioner är icke-konvexa. I detta examensarbete är målet att ta fram ett förslag på en effektivare metod för frekvensoptimering som dels i högre grad finner de optimala lösningarna via identifiering av brytpunkterna för konsolideringsgraden, dels reducerar beräkningsarbetet. Syftet med examensarbetet är att undersöka huruvida en annan metod kan implementeras för att effektivisera beräkningarna för frekvensoptimering i verktyget Samgods som ger en ny uppskattning av totalkostnaden och belastningen av infrastrukturen för de nationella godsflödena. För att uppnå målet och syftet har tre olika frekvensoptimeringsmetoder implementerats i detta examensarbete; Metod 1, Metod 2 och Metod 3. Metod 3 är metoden som rekommenderas för att erhålla fler optimerade transportkedjor, reducerat trafikarbete och för att uppnå en större effektivitet beräkningsmässigt i jämförelse med Samgods nuvarande frekvensoptimeringsmetod.

The primary objective of this thesis is to assess the different statistical methods used forcalibrating the Samgods model, which is a transportation planning tool employed in Sweden toforecast the demand for freight transport. By focusing on the specific context of national logisticsmodels, this research aims to enhance the accuracy and reliability of the Samgods model throughproposed improvements.In addition to evaluating the calibration techniques for the Samgods model, this thesisexplores the broader application of statistical estimation methods in national logistics models.It examines their potential benefits and limitations in order to shed light on their significance.The findings of this research highlight the crucial role of statistical estimations in improvingthe accuracy of national logistics models, thus enabling better-informed decision-making intransport planning and logistics management.By estimating the cost sensitivity parameter in the Swedish national logistics model, Samgods,this thesis contributes to a deeper understanding of the role of statistical estimations in optimizingsuch models. It underscores the importance of reliable and accurate data analysis in transportationplanning and logistics management. Ultimately, the aim is to provide valuable insights into howstatistical estimations can enhance the effectiveness of national logistics models.