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Mapeamento e modelagem espacial para estimativa de safras de culturas agrícolas com séries temporais de imagens de satélites / Mapping and spatial modeling for estimating the yields of agricultural crops with satellite images time series.Grzegozewski, Denise Maria 03 February 2016 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2016-02-03 / Estimates of agricultural production are greatly important especially in economy field. However, they depend on area knowledge and cropping yield. Thus, this study aimed to propose a methodology to estimate the areas cropped with soybeans and corn in Paraná State according to multi-temporal EVI/MODIS vegetation index images for 2010/2011, 2011/2012 and 2012/2013 crop years. In addition, there was a research with spatial autocorrelation soybean yield in Paraná, with EVI vegetation index and meteorological variables in a decennial scale and estimate yield using CAR, SAR and GWR models. In Paraná State, there is a drawback to map soybeans crop since corn sowing period is very close to the first one. Therefore, images from the maximum and minimum vegetative vigour were drawn of each studied crop for mapping soybean and corn crops in order to obtain both cropping areas. Although, for the separation, Spectro Angle Mapper algorithm (SAM) was applied by one of the studied crops, while mapping was obtained by multiplying the other bands. Thus, for spatial statistics application of mapped data, the average EV profile of each municipality was extracted as well as for each multi-temporal image, in order to change them into a decennial scale. According to the spatial statistics of such areas, the descriptive analysis of univariate spatial autocorrelation (global and local) of each ten-day variable was used based on the soybean cycle. A bivariate autocorrelation analysis between soybean yield and the studied varieties were also performed. Finalizing the methodology, variables with the highest significant level by stepwise method were selected and SAR, CAR and GWR models were generated to estimate soybean yield. As results, regarding mappings, the following answers for soybean were found out: r = 0.95 and r = 0.99, and while for corn, the answers were: r = 0.72 and r = 0.95 for 2012/2013 and 2013/2014 crop years in relation to the official data from SEAB. So, it has been proved some great efficiency of this methodology to separate and identify crops. When the descriptive statistics of municipalities for each variable was carried out, it was found out that some regions began an early sowing in relation to other ones in Paraná by the decennial vegetation index. The ten-day scale was also possible to be identified according to the climatic factors that caused soybean yield damage. Based on the analysis of spatial autocorrelation, the greatest similarities occurred in 2011/2012 crop year, the one affected by the weather change, whose yields were similar in the municipalities of Paraná State. For spatial modelling, it was observed that selection of decennial variables was different for each studied crop year, and the best model selected by the validation. And GWR was chosen as the best model by the AIC, BIC and adjusted R² validation criteria. The residuals were randomly distributed throughout all the State, so that spatial autocorrelation could be eliminated. / As estimativas das produções agrícolas têm grande importância, principalmente, no âmbito econômico. No entanto, elas são dependentes do conhecimento da área de cultivo e da produtividade da cultura. Desta forma, este trabalho teve por objetivo propor uma metodologia para estimar as áreas cultivadas com soja e milho em escala municipal no Estado do Paraná a partir de imagens multi-temporais do índice de vegetação EVI/MODIS, para os anos-safras 2010/2011, 2011/2012 e 2012/2013. Além disto, trabalhar com a autocorrelação espacial da produtividade da soja nesse Estado, com o índice de vegetação EVI e variáveis agrometeorológicas em escala decendial bem como estimar a produtividade a partir dos modelos CAR, SAR e GWR. No Paraná, há o inconveniente para mapear a soja devido à proximidade de datas de semeadura do milho. Assim, para o mapeamento da soja e do milho, utilizaram-se imagens englobando o período de máximo e mínimo vigor vegetativo de cada cultura, para se obter a área cultivada das duas. Para a separação, utilizou-se o algoritmo Spectro Angle Mapper (SAM) para uma das culturas e obteve-se o mapeamento da outra pela multiplicação de bandas. Para aplicação da estatística espacial dos dados mapeados, extraiu-se o perfil médio do EVI de cada município e para cada imagem multi-temporal para transformá-los em escala decendial. De acordo com a estatística espacial de áreas, utilizou-se a análise descritiva, de autocorrelação espacial univariada (global e local) de cada variável decendial com foco no ciclo da soja. Também realizou-se a análise de autocorrelação bivariada entre a produtividade da soja com as variáveis em estudo. Finalizando a metodologia, selecionaram-se as variáveis com maior índice de significância pelo método de stepwise e, em seguida, foram gerados os modelos estimados (SAR, CAR e GWR) da produtividade da soja. Como resultados, foram encontradas as seguintes respostas para os mapeamentos da soja r= 0,95 e 0,99, e para o milho de r = 0,72 e r= 0,95 para os anos-safras 2012/2013 e 2013/2014 em relação aos dados oficiais da SEAB. Logo, comprovou-se a grande eficiência da metodologia para separação e identificação das culturas. Quando realizada a estatística descritiva dos municípios para cada variável, verificaram-se regiões que iniciam as semeaduras antecipadas em relação a outras regiões do Estado pelos decêndios do índice de vegetação. Foi também possível identificar os decêndios em que os fatores climáticos causaram danos à produtividade da soja. Na análise da autocorrelação espacial, as maiores similaridades ocorreram no ano-safra 2011/2012, ano afetado pela variação climática, cujas produtividades foram semelhantes nos municípios do Paraná. Para a modelagem espacial, verificou-se que a seleção das variáveis decêndiais foi diferente para cada ano-safra estudado, e o GWR foi escolhido como melhor modelo pelos critérios de validação, AIC, BIC e R² ajustado. Foram encontrados resíduos distribuídos aleatoriamente por todo o Estado, para que assim se eliminasse a autocorrelação espacial
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ACCOUNTING FOR SPATIAL AUTOCORRELATION IN MODELING THE DISTRIBUTION OF WATER QUALITY VARIABLESMiralha, Lorrayne 01 January 2018 (has links)
Several studies in hydrology have reported differences in outcomes between models in which spatial autocorrelation (SAC) is accounted for and those in which SAC is not. However, the capacity to predict the magnitude of such differences is still ambiguous. In this thesis, I hypothesized that SAC, inherently possessed by a response variable, influences spatial modeling outcomes. I selected ten watersheds in the USA and analyzed them to determine whether water quality variables with higher Moran’s I values undergo greater increases in the coefficient of determination (R²) and greater decreases in residual SAC (rSAC) after spatial modeling. I compared non-spatial ordinary least squares to two spatial regression approaches, namely, spatial lag and error models. The predictors were the principal components of topographic, land cover, and soil group variables. The results revealed that water quality variables with higher inherent SAC showed more substantial increases in R² and decreases in rSAC after performing spatial regressions. In this study, I found a generally linear relationship between the spatial model outcomes (R² and rSAC) and the degree of SAC in each water quality variable. I suggest that the inherent level of SAC in response variables can predict improvements in models before spatial regression is performed. The benefits of this study go beyond modeling selection and performance, it has the potential to uncover hydrologic connectivity patterns that can serve as insights to water quality managers and policy makers.
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Kriminalitetens geografi : vardagsbrottslighetens spatiala fördelning i BorlängeAxelsson, Henrik January 2008 (has links)
The aim of this thesis is to describe and analyze the geographical distribution of everyday criminality in the town of Borlänge during the year 2002 and to analyze which measures to be taken in the physical social planning to decrease this everyday criminality there. The term everyday criminality is here to be understood as those categories of crime that appear most frequently in the records of reports to the police every year. Here two kinds of crime have been in focus, thefts from cars and office burglary.In fulfilling this aim two main questions have been answered. The first one is how the everyday criminality was distributed geographically in the town of Borlänge during the year 2002. The second one is which measures to be taken in the physical social planning to decrease this everyday criminality in the town of Borlänge.In order to answer the first question a spatial autocorrelation analysis, Local Moran LISA has been used. This method is based on the measurement Moran´s I and shows the spatial autocorrelation for every single location. To answer the second question three different theories of crime prevention through environmental design have been studied and applied in the analysis. These are Jane Jacobs’ ideas about ”the living city”, Oscar Newman´s ideas about ”defensible space” and Ronald V. Clarke´s theories about crime prevention.The major conclusions that can be drawn from this thesis are that the risk of being exposed to thefts from cars, during the analyzed time period, was highest in Centrum and Hagalund and their surroundings. The lowest risk of being exposed to this type of crime was found in Domnarvet and Islingby, during the year 2002. The highest risk of being a victim of the crime office burglary was found in Hagalund and its surroundings and in the single area of Kvarnsveden. The corresponding lowest risk was found in Lergärdet and its surroundings and in Norra Backa and Kupolen. The measures that should be taken in order to decrease these types of criminality can be divided into overall changes and place-specific changes. When it comes to the crime thefts from cars a more attractive central business district, a better view of parking lots from nearby buildings, dividing of larger parking lot zones into smaller ones, migration of hidden parking lots and stronger access control to parking lots where problems with this kind of crime have occurred have been suggested as overall changes. The corresponding place-specific changes are to remove vegetation that is blocking the view, better lighting and to put up signs with information about increased risk of exposure to crime at parking lots with the most problems. To decrease the amount of office burglaries overall changes as to create a better view of the area from nearby surroundings, move bigger office compartments or divide them into smaller units, rebuild characteristic buildings and increase security by strengthening the access control to offices with these kinds of problems could be useful. Finally there are possibilities to decrease office burglary by using place-specific measures as surveillance cameras combined with signs containing information about these, high fences and better lighting around the buildings where a higher risk of being exposed to this kind of criminality is present.
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THE ASSOCIATION BETWEEN POLYPLOIDY AND CLONALITY IN THE HERBACEOUS PLANT, CHAMERION ANGUSTIFOLIUM (ONAGRACEAE)Baldwin, Sarah J 14 May 2012 (has links)
The co-occurrence of polyploidy and clonal reproduction among plant species has long been recognized, but the evolutionary mechanisms underlying the association are unknown. Here, I investigate whether polyploidy increases the magnitude of clonality, either directly or indirectly, by comparing the extent and spatial structure of clones between diploid and tetraploid Chamerion angustifolium in a greenhouse environment and natural populations. In the greenhouse, tetraploid plants allocated 90.4% more dry mass to root buds, the primary mechanism of clonal reproduction, than diploids. Per unit root mass, tetraploids produced 44% fewer root buds and the average position of the root buds along the root was 47% closer to the stem than in diploids. In natural populations, the magnitude of clonality in tetraploid C. angustifolium was similar or less than in diploids. However, clones were spatially aggregated in all diploid populations but only in two of five tetraploid populations. Average clone patch diameter, however, was not significantly different between diploids (3.9 m) and tetraploids (2.5 m). These data do not support the hypothesis that clonality increases as a result of genome duplication. Rather, it is possible that clonality is linked to genome duplication because clonal diploids are predisposed for polyploid formation and establishment. / National Science and Engineering Research Council, Canada Research Chair Program, Canadian Foundation for Innovation
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大眾捷運系統對房價影響效果之再檢視 / The reexamination of the impact of metro system on residential housing values in Taipei metropolitan戴國正 Unknown Date (has links)
大眾捷運系統帶來之快捷與便利,使其成為許多都會區民眾依賴之交通工具。捷運系統對鄰近不動產交通可及性提升,所伴隨之便利性將透過資本化效果反映於其價格之上,帶動周邊不動產價格上漲,過去不論國內外關於捷運對周邊房價影響之研究,實證結果亦多支持捷運對於房價有正面影響,且該影響隨著與捷運車站距離增加而遞減。捷運房價效果的區位差異與類型差異過去雖已有研究論及,但對捷運房價效果差異與其變化趨勢未能有明確細緻描述。此外,該等研究均忽略空間相關因素,將影響其估計結果。
本文使用國內某金融機構2007、2008年間台北都會區內台北捷運初期路網沿線車站周邊住宅為實證對象,應用空間迴歸模型檢視捷運系統對鄰近住宅價格之影響效果。實證結果顯示,就整體樣本而言捷運對房價確有正向影響但並不如想像之大,且該影響隨區位與類型之不同確有差異。 / Many previous studies have showed that metro system has a positive impact on the property values due to its accessibility benefits and the effect should decline as distance increases. While the pattern of the change and its difference between stations located in different locations has yet not been fully discussed, most of the studies failed to allow for spatial autocorrelation over space.
This research uses spatial econometrics to estimate a residential housing model that considers spatial autocorrelation. The empirical results show the difference in the price effect of metro stations between urban and suburban areas does exist. The effect tends to get stronger in certain area, the closer the property lies within to the suburban area the greater the effect is. Also, we find price gaps between different metro station categories. Generally, underground stations and transfer stations have greater positive effect on residential property values.
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Multi-scale effects of hydrological and landscape variables on macrophyte richness and composition in British lakesSun, Junyao January 2016 (has links)
Macrophytes are an integral component of lake littoral zones and play an irreplaceable role in maintaining the ecological balance of wetlands. Recent research has highlighted the role of lake-scale environmental factors (or “filters”) and catchment- and/or landscape-scale processes in explaining variation in macrophyte communities across different scales. In this work, the effects of land-use and connectivity on macrophyte communities were explored at two contrasting spatial scales (i.e. local catchment scale and topographic catchment scale). At the local catchment scale, the results revealed strong scale-dependency. The effects of land use on macrophyte richness were most apparent at fine spatial scales (within 0.5 to 1 km) and significantly outweighed the importance of hydrology. In terms of growth form composition, the effects of hydrological connectivity were stronger than those of land use, with the greatest effect observed at an intermediate distance (~ 5 km) from the lake. The study on the hydrologically-connected lake pairs indicated that environmental filters were more influential in explaining species turnover than lake connectivity. Interestingly, geographical connectivity explained more of the variability in species turnover than hydrological connectivity. Moreover, the relative importance of environmental filters and lake connectivity to species turnover was very sensitive to the degree of human disturbance. The multi-scale interaction analyses indicated the effect of lake alkalinity on macrophyte composition is strongly influenced by catchment scale variables including hydrological features and land use intensity. The turnover in macrophyte composition in response to variability in alkalinity was stronger in catchments with low lake and stream density and weaker in catchments with a more highly developed hydrological network. Lake abiotic variables were found to have more influence on macrophyte composition in lowland catchments with a higher intensity of human disturbance. Moreover, the catchment-scale factors promoting the establishment of different communities were found to vary between catchments depending on lake type, the degree of environmental heterogeneity and hydrological connectivity.
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Distribuição natural de espécies arbóreas em áreas com diferentes níveis de antropização visando integrar programa de conservação genética in situCalgaro, Hemerson Fernandes [UNESP] 23 February 2011 (has links) (PDF)
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calgaro_hf_dr_ilha.pdf: 1024535 bytes, checksum: 534d1a478ba9f7e0da680f76b7d7f267 (MD5) / Universidade Estadual Paulista (UNESP) / Com o surgimento de áreas degradadas por ações antrópicas, os atributos físicos e químicos do solo e os caracteres silviculturais, passaram a ter importância quanto ao entendimento do processo sucessional das espécies arbóreas e no planejamento de recomposição da paisagem. Este trabalho teve como objetivo avaliar a distribuição de espécies arbóreas em áreas com diferentes níveis de perturbação antrópica, promover a compreensão da relação com os atributos químicos e físicos do solo; avaliar caráteres silviculturais e a relação como possível fator definidor do tipo vegetacional existente, para fins de integrar a programa de conservação genética in situ. O trabalho foi desenvolvido em área da Fazenda Experimental de Pesquisa e Extensão (FEPE) da UNESP de Ilha Solteira, no município de Selvíria - MS. Por meio de transecto foram demarcadas 64 parcelas equidistantes de 50 m com dimensões de 10x10 m. Sendo: 29 parcelas em área altamente antropizada (AAA); cinco em área medianamente antropizada (AMA); 15 em área pouco antropizada (APA); seis na mata ciliar do córrego da Véstia (Mata ciliar) e nove na Reserva legal. As amostras de solo foram coletadas em quatro profundidades (0,0 a 0,10 m; 0,10 a 0,20 m; 0,20 a 0,30 m e 0,30 a 0,40 m) para análise dos atributos físicos e duas profundidades (0,0 a 0,20 m e 0,20 a 0,40 m) para os atributos químicos além da avaliação dos caracteres silviculturais, como altura, diâmetro a altura do peito (DAP) e forma, e da autocorrelação espacial. Com base nos resultados conclui-se que: os atributos físicos e químicos do solo, associados ao nível de antropização e conservação das áreas, estão influenciando a ocorrência natural, diversidade de espécies e desenvolvimento dos indivíduos arbóreos; a altura, DAP e Forma, são bons indicadores para avaliar o crescimento das espécies arbóreas e relacioná-los aos... / With the emergence of areas degraded by human actions, the physical and chemical soil properties and forestry traits, have gained importance in understanding the process of succession of tree species and restoration of landscape. This study aimed to evaluate the distribution of tree species in areas with different levels of human disturbance, promote understanding of the relationship with the chemical and physical properties of soil; evaluate forestry charatcer relationship as possible and defining factor of the existing vegetation type, for to integrate the program of genetic conservation in situ. The work was developed at the Experimental Farm Research and Extension (FEPE) from UNESP of Ilha Solteira, Selvíria - MS. Through transect were marked 64 plots of 50 m equidistant with dimensions of 10x10 m. Where: 29 plots was located in area highly impacted (AAA), five in moderately disturbed area (AMA) in 15 in little disturbed area (APA); six in Riparian forest river of Véstia (Riparian Forest) and nine in the Legal Reserve. Soil samples were collected at two depths (0,0-0,20 m and 0,20-0,40 m) for the analysis of chemical and four depths (0,0-0,10 m, 0,10-0,20 m, 0,20-0,30 m and 0,30-0,40 m) for physical attributes; assessment of forestry traits such as height, diameter at breast height and shape, and spatial autocorrelation. Based on the results concluded that: the physical and chemical soil properties associated with the level of human disturbance and conservation areas, are influencing the natural occurrence, species diversity and development of the individual trees; the height, diameter at breast height and shape are good indicators to assess the growth of tree species and relate them to physical and chemical attributes of soil; the AAA, and the AMA to show similarity of soil physical properties; APA and Legal reserve have higher natural occurrence, number of individuals and number ... (Complete abstract click electronic access below)
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Conchopata: urbanism, craft production and interregional interaction in the Middle Horizon / Conchopata: urbanismo, producción artesanal e interacción interregional en el Horizonte MedioTschauner, Hartmut, Isbell, William H. 10 April 2018 (has links) (PDF)
This chapter reexamines ceramic production, and other possibly specialized activities, at Conchopata, a recently excavated Middle Horizon urban center in the Ayacucho Valley. Drawing on the exhaustive GIS database compiled by the Conchopata Project, we employ normalized choropleth maps and localized spatial autocorrelation statistics to examine the distributions of four categories of ceramic production implements — ceramic molds, polishers, scrapers, and pulidores — and contrast them with the distributions of artifacts related to lithic manufacturing. We find high concentrations of artifacts suggestive of both types of production to coincide with each other and to correlate with high concentrations of other kinds of materials, such as botanical remains and animal bones. Consequently, areas of the site with high densities of ceramic manufacturing tools are unlikely tohave been ceramic workshops, but more plausibly trash concentrations containing all manner of remains in high densities. Indiscriminate dumping of refuse stemming from various craft production activities as well as domestic waste is indicative of non-specialized discard behavior and, by inference, of non-specialized, domestic production. The fancy ceramics whose spread across much of the Central Andes constitutes the defining feature of the Middle Horizon do not appear to have been manufactured in a V. Gordon Childe-style urban setting associated with spatially differentiated and class-structured economic interdependency. It is unlikely that they imply the spread of this kind of urbanism during the Middle Horizon, and new, Andean models of Wari political organization, craft production, and interregional interaction must be explored by archaeologists. / El presente capítulo reexamina la producción de cerámica y otras actividades, posiblemente especializadas, en Conchopata,un centro urbano recientemente excavado del Horizonte Medio en el valle de Ayacucho. Empleando la exhaustiva base de datos SIG recopilada por el Proyecto Arqueológico Conchopata examinamos mapas normalizados de coropletas y coeficientes de autocorrelación espacial local para entender las distribuciones de cuatro categorías de implementos de producción alfarera—moldes cerámicos, alisadores, pulidores y raspadores— y las contrastamos con las de vestigios de talla lítica. Encontramos que las altas concentraciones de artefactos relacionados a manufactura cerámica y talla lítica coinciden en el espacio y también están correlacionadas con altas concentraciones de otros materiales, tales como restos botánicos y huesos de animales. Por lo tanto, las áreas del sitio con altas densidades de implementos alfareros probablemente no fueron talleres cerámicos sino concentraciones de basura con altas densidades de desechos de todo tipo. La descarga indiscriminada de desechos de diversas actividades productivas, incluyendo basura doméstica, indirectamente indica una conducta no especializada de eliminación de basura y por inferencia, de actividades de producción no especializadas. La cerámica elaborada, cuya distribución a través de gran parte de los Andes centrales constituye el rasgo definidor del Horizonte Medio, no parece haberse manufacturado dentro del tipo de contexto urbano visualizado por V. Gordon Childe, asociado con interdependencia socio económica de poblaciones económicamente especializadas y divididas en clases sociales. Es improbable que implique la propagación de este tipo de urbanismo durante el Horizonte Medio. Los estudiosos de este periodo deben explorar nuevos modelos alternativos andinos de la organización política, la producción artesanal y la interacción interregional.
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Interação espacial estratégica intermunicipal no Programa Minha Casa Minha Vida e spillover laboralMuniz, Maurício Pinto 04 July 2018 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2018-07-04 / A definição das instâncias governamentais adequadas para a gestão de diferentes recursos e políticas públicas é tema de extensa e histórica discussão. Partindo do princípio de que a população de um país disfruta e exerce livre movimento no seu território, podendo migrar e se estabelecer em novas localidades, argumenta-se que, de acordo com as especificidades de cada política ou o nível central ou os níveis locais dos governos seriam melhores gestores/alocadores e garantiriam a maximização da utilidade dos impostos aos seus “consumidores”, ou seja, os habitantes de uma nação. O presente trabalho busca analisar esse fenômeno utilizando a política habitacional brasileira como indicador. Em 2009, através do Programa Minha Casa Minha Vida, denotouse a retomada parcial à competência federal desse tipo de política desde o fim do BNH (Banco Nacional de Habitação) em 1986 e, a partir dela, torna-se válido analisar se o aumento da centralização federal trouxe ganhos de eficiência na alocação dos recursos. A literatura e artigos sobre o tema apresentam teoria e evidências de que a gestão local de políticas habitacionais de cunho social podem causar spillover populacional entre municípios vizinhos advindo do welfare migration e, ao tomar isso como verdade, instaurar um jogo estratégico dos gestores municipais para reduzir a provisão de habitação popular (Mattos et al. 2014), o chamado race to the bottom. Este estudo investiga se após 2009, com o aumento da centralização na tomada de decisão da política, ainda é possível verificar essa interação, e procura encontrar indícios que a política habitacional seria uma potencial causadora de movimentação populacional, através de uma análise de spillover laboral entre os municípios. Utilizando um painel com dados anualizados de 2009 a 2014, aplicado a modelos de autocorrelação espacial, constatou-se que na média nacional ainda existem evidências de um jogo estratégico intermunicipal na alocação de recursos da política habitacional. No entanto, ao analisarmos a evolução quantitativa dos indicadores do Programa, sugere-se que a centralização da política inverteu o panorama de Race to the Bottom para um de Yardstick Competition, ou seja, um ganho significativo de eficiência quando comparado com a política local anterior. Os resultados também sugerem que há indícios de uma correlação estatisticamente significativa entre investimentos de política habitacional com movimentações laborais entre os municípios o que pode estar relacionado à teoria de Welfare Migration. / The choice of appropriate governmental instances for managing different resources and public policies is the subject of extensive and historical discussion. Assuming that a country’s population enjoys and exercises free movement within its territory, being able to migrate and settle in new localities, it is argued that, according to the specificities of each policy, the central or local levels of governments would be better managers / allocators and would ensure the maximization of utility of taxpayers. The present essay seeks to analyze this phenomenon using the Brazilian housing policy as an indicator. In 2009, through the establishment of the Minha Casa Minha Vida Program, the policy got partially back to federal government control since the end of BNH (National Housing Bank) in 1986 what raised the valid question of assessing if the increase of federal centralization brought efficiency gains on the allocation of resources. The literature and articles on the subject present theory and evidence that local management of social housing policies can cause population spillover among neighboring municipalities arising from Welfare Migration. This could establish a strategic game of municipal managers to reduce the provision of social housing when they assume the migration actually takes place (Mattos et al., 2014), the so-called Race to the Bottom. This study investigates if after 2009, with the increase of centralization in the policy decision making, it is still possible to verify this game, and seeks to find evidence that housing policy would be a potential cause of population movements through a labor spillover analysis. Using a panel with annualized data from 2009 to 2014 applied to spatial autocorrelation models, it was observed that in the national average there is still evidence of a strategic intermunicipal game in the allocation of housing policy resources. However, when analyzing the quantitative evolution of the Program indicators it is suggested that the policy centralization reversed the panorama from Race to the Bottom to one of Yardstick Competition, what is a significant gain of efficiency when compared with the previous local politics. The results also suggest that there is indeed evidence of a statistically significant correlation between housing policy investments with labor movements which, in turn, could be related to the Welfare Migration theory.
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Estrutura espacial da assembleia de cupins (Isoptera) em uma área de cerrado sensu stricto do Parque Estadual da Serra de Caldas Novas, Goiás / Spatial structure of the termites assemblage (Isoptera) in an area of cerrado sensu stricto in the Serra de Caldas Novas State Park, Goiás StateOLIVEIRA, Danilo Elias de 30 January 2009 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2009-01-30 / One of the major community ecology's objectives is to understand the factors that determine the spatial distribution of populations of different species belonging to an assembly. Works that investigate these causal factors on the termite fauna are rare, and to the Cerrado region, non-existent. This work aims to 1) describe the spatial structure of the termite assembly in a cerrado sensu stricto area, 2) verify whether there is spatial autocorrelation in the composition of termites and 3) whether the species are distributed on a checkerboard, and if so, what cause this distribution. On the plateau of Parque Estadual da Serra de Caldas Novas (PESCAN), I sampled the termites on 123 10m2 plots with distances to each other varying from 5 m to 3.5 km. This plots were divided into two sets, One of those arranged into 3 transects of 28 plots each and the other arranged into 13 triads distant 1 km to the next. I Identified the species and grouped them into food guilds. I made a Mantel s autocorrelogram with 10 distance classes to assess the changes in the similarity of the composition in function of space. I compared the C-score index, using the entire assembly and each guild alone, with a null distribution (with 5000 randomizations) to check whether there is a checkerboard distribution in the assembly and what its cause. I found 579 colonies of 57 species of termites, most of which was humivorous. There was no significant spatial autocorrelation in any distance class concerning the species composition because the values of r of Mantel for all distance classes were close to zero and not significant. The C-score was significant for the assembly as a whole (C-score = 52.01, p = 0.006), but was not significant for any of the guilds. The cerrado of PESCAN is one of the areas with the highest species diversity already registered for the Cerrado biome and possibly this is because of the well preserved condition of the park and the sampling effort employed. The absence of spatial autocorrelation indicates that the species of termites are distributed in space regardless of the distribution of others. This is the first study that shows that the assembly of termites is distributed on a checkerboard and that this is due to historical events of dispersal and colonization. In the area I studied, probably the dispersion of the allates during flight events makes the establishment of future colonies in a field forming a "scrambled" and not superimposed distribution known as checkerboard distribution. These results contradict the recurrent idea that intra and interspecific competition is the causal factor of the colonies spatial distribution of termites. / Um dos grandes objetivos da ecologia de comunidades é conhecer os fatores que determinam a distribuição espacial das populações de diferentes espécies pertencentes a uma assembleia. Trabalhos que investigam esses fatores causais na fauna de cupins são raros e, para a região do Cerrado, inexistentes. Objetivei 1) descrever a estrutura espacial da assembleia de cupins em uma área de cerrado sensu stricto, 2) verificar se existe autocorrelação espacial na composição de cupins e 3) se as espécies se distribuem em tabuleiro de xadrez e, em caso afirmativo, qual a causa dessa distribuição. No platô do Parque Estadual da Serra de Caldas Novas (PESCAN) amostrei os cupins em 123 parcelas de 10 m2 com distâncias de 5 a 3,5 km entre si dispostas em três transectos de 28 parcelas cada e em 13 tríades distantes 1 km entre si. Identifiquei as espécies e as classifiquei em guildas alimentares. Fiz um autocorrelograma de Mantel com 10 classes de distâncias, para avaliar a similaridade na composição em função do espaço. Comparei o índice C-score, utilizando toda a assembleia e cada guilda em particular, com uma distribuição nula (com 5000 aleatorizações) para verificar se existe distribuição em tabuleiro de xadrez na assembleia e qual sua causa. Encontrei 579 colônias de 57 espécies de cupins, sendo que a maioria era humívora. Não houve autocorrelação espacial significativa em nenhuma classe de distância para a composição de espécies, pois os valores do r de Mantel para todas as classes de distância foram próximos a zero e não significativos (p > 0,05). O índice C-score foi significativo para a assembleia como um todo (C-score = 52.01; p = 0,006), mas não foi significativo para nenhuma das guildas (p > 0,05). O cerrado do PESCAN é uma das áreas com a maior diversidade espécies já registradas para o bioma Cerrado, e isso possivelmente se deve às características do parque, como seu alto grau de preservação, e ao esforço amostral empregado. A ausência de autocorrelação espacial indica que as espécies de cupins se distribuem no espaço independentemente da distribuição das demais. Este é o primeiro estudo que demonstra que a assembleia de cupins se distribui em tabuleiro de xadrez e que isso é devido aos eventos históricos de dispersão e colonização. No cerrado que estudei provavelmente a dispersão dos alados durante as revoadas faz com que as futuras colônias se estabeleçam em uma determinada área formando uma distribuição embaralhada e não sobreposta conhecida como distribuição em tabuleiro de xadrez. Estes resultados contradizem a idéia recorrente de que a competição intra e interespecífica é o fator causal da distribuição espacial das colônias de cupins.
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