A dissertação trata do padrão de especialização e inserção internacional da indústria de software brasileira à luz de experiências paradigmáticas do setor, como é o caso da Índia, Irlanda e Israel. O desenvolvimento inicial do setor nos países centrais das redes globais de produção seguiu os avanços da indústria eletrônica e lhes permitiu acumular competências e trancar a trajetória tecnológica em determinados segmentos, como é o caso do software pacote. No entanto, as respostas de alguns países emergentes frente uma indústria caracterizada pela rápida mudança e pelas altas taxas de oportunidades tecnológicas, cujas possibilidades foram ampliadas com o advento da globalização, são a principal motivação do trabalho. A despeito da difundida idéia de que Índia, Irlanda e Israel representariam casos subordinados às limitações de um modelo terciário-exportador, argumenta-se aqui que eles retratam trajetórias plurais e dinâmicas de desenvolvimento desta indústria. Plurais posto que reproduzem diferentes padrões de especialização e inserção internacional e dinâmicos dados os elementos de mudança evidenciados por parte da literatura especializada. Este dinamismo se faz presente, na indústria de software brasileira, através dos mecanismos de diferenciação e diversificação que lhe permitem adicionar valor aos produtos e obter resultados positivos na forma de incrementos de produtividade de outros setores de atividade econômica. Embora seja caracterizado pela integração competitiva que a difere, de partida, da caracterização terciário-exportadora, é para o caráter dinâmico do debate acerca destas configurações que a dissertação pretende contribuir. / The dissertation deals with the pattern of specialization and international integration of Brazilian software industry in light of paradigmatic experiences of the sector, such as India, Ireland and Israel. The sectors early development in the core countries of the global production networks has followed the progress of the electronics industry and allowed them to accumulate competences and to lock-in the technological trajectory in some segments, such as the packaged software. However, the responses of some emerging countries face an industry characterized by rapid changes and high rates of technological opportunities, whose possibilities have been expanded with the advent of globalization, are the main motivation of the study. Despite the widespread idea that India. Ireland and Israel represent cases that are subject to the limitations of a tertiary export model, it is argued here that they represent plural and dynamic trajectories of development of this industry. Plural once they reproduce different patterns of specialization and international integration and dynamic if considered some elements of change made evident by part of the literature. This dynamism is present in the Brazilian software industry through the mechanisms of differentiation and diversification that allow it to add value to products and achieve positive results in form of increased productivity in other sectors of economic activity. Although it is commonly characterized by a competitive integration that differs it from the tertiary export aspect, the dynamic nature of the debate about these settings is the aim contribution of the dissertation.

A dissertação trata do padrão de especialização e inserção internacional da indústria de software brasileira à luz de experiências paradigmáticas do setor, como é o caso da Índia, Irlanda e Israel. O desenvolvimento inicial do setor nos países centrais das redes globais de produção seguiu os avanços da indústria eletrônica e lhes permitiu acumular competências e trancar a trajetória tecnológica em determinados segmentos, como é o caso do software pacote. No entanto, as respostas de alguns países emergentes frente uma indústria caracterizada pela rápida mudança e pelas altas taxas de oportunidades tecnológicas, cujas possibilidades foram ampliadas com o advento da globalização, são a principal motivação do trabalho. A despeito da difundida idéia de que Índia, Irlanda e Israel representariam casos subordinados às limitações de um modelo terciário-exportador, argumenta-se aqui que eles retratam trajetórias plurais e dinâmicas de desenvolvimento desta indústria. Plurais posto que reproduzem diferentes padrões de especialização e inserção internacional e dinâmicos dados os elementos de mudança evidenciados por parte da literatura especializada. Este dinamismo se faz presente, na indústria de software brasileira, através dos mecanismos de diferenciação e diversificação que lhe permitem adicionar valor aos produtos e obter resultados positivos na forma de incrementos de produtividade de outros setores de atividade econômica. Embora seja caracterizado pela integração competitiva que a difere, de partida, da caracterização terciário-exportadora, é para o caráter dinâmico do debate acerca destas configurações que a dissertação pretende contribuir. / The dissertation deals with the pattern of specialization and international integration of Brazilian software industry in light of paradigmatic experiences of the sector, such as India, Ireland and Israel. The sectors early development in the core countries of the global production networks has followed the progress of the electronics industry and allowed them to accumulate competences and to lock-in the technological trajectory in some segments, such as the packaged software. However, the responses of some emerging countries face an industry characterized by rapid changes and high rates of technological opportunities, whose possibilities have been expanded with the advent of globalization, are the main motivation of the study. Despite the widespread idea that India. Ireland and Israel represent cases that are subject to the limitations of a tertiary export model, it is argued here that they represent plural and dynamic trajectories of development of this industry. Plural once they reproduce different patterns of specialization and international integration and dynamic if considered some elements of change made evident by part of the literature. This dynamism is present in the Brazilian software industry through the mechanisms of differentiation and diversification that allow it to add value to products and achieve positive results in form of increased productivity in other sectors of economic activity. Although it is commonly characterized by a competitive integration that differs it from the tertiary export aspect, the dynamic nature of the debate about these settings is the aim contribution of the dissertation.

Submitted by Silvana Teresinha Dornelles Studzinski (sstudzinski) on 2015-07-06T12:45:06Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Manuela Gomes de Lima.pdf: 883281 bytes, checksum: 4b78d080e8a45e184d5ff754cbf2c0a8 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2015-07-06T12:45:06Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Manuela Gomes de Lima.pdf: 883281 bytes, checksum: 4b78d080e8a45e184d5ff754cbf2c0a8 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2013 / Nenhuma / O objetivo principal deste trabalho foi avaliar, com base na literatura recente sobre competitividade internacional, o desempenho exportador de China, Estados Unidos, Alemanha, Rússia, Coreia do Sul, Japão e Brasil entre 2000 e 2011. Por meio da aplicação do modelo de Constant-Market-Share foi possível quantificar a participação da composição da pauta, da distribuição dos mercados de destino e da competitividade na variação das exportações desses países. Verificou-se que o crescimento da demanda internacional favoreceu as economias exportadoras de bens intensivos em recursos naturais e que os países que priorizaram mercados mais dinâmicos (principalmente a Ásia) tiveram resultado positivo no fator mercado. Os resultados para o efeito competitividade foram menos precisos, pois seus fatores determinantes têm impacto variável conforme o padrão de especialização de cada economia. / The main objective of this study was to evaluate the export performance of China, United States, Germany, Russia, South Korea, Japan, and Brazil between 2000 and 2011, based on the recent literature on international competitiveness. By applying the Constant-Market-Share model, it was possible to quantify the contribution of the product composition, market distribution and competitiveness on countries’ exports growth. It was found that growing international demand favored the commodity exporters and also countries that have prioritized the most dynamic markets (especially Asia). The results for the competitiveness effect were less accurate because its determinant factors’ impact varies according to the specialization pattern of each economy.

This thesis consists of four self-contained empirical essays. In the first essays "Markets for Risk and Openness to Trade: How are They Related?" (with Helena Svaleryd), we ask if there is an empirical relationship between financial development and openness to trade. Numerous theoretical papers have noted that trade policies can be used as an insurance against shocks from international markets. It follows that the development of markets for risk should reduce the incentives to rely on trade policy for insurance purposes. Feeney and Hillman (2001) explicitly demonstrate how asset-market incompleteness can affect trade policy in a model where trade policy is determined by the lobbying of interest groups. If risk can be fully diversified, special-interest groups have no incentive to lobby for protection, and free trade will prevail. Likewise, trade liberalization might increase the demand for financial services, thereby spurring the development of financial markets. Using several indicators of both openness to trade and financial development, we find an economically significant relation between the two. In particular, the relation holds when using the well known, although criticized (Rodriguez and Rodrik 1999), Sachs-Warner index, and structurally adjusted trade, as indicators of openness. For tariff levels and non-tariff barriers, the results hold only for relatively rich countries. Causality seems to be running both from openness to financial development and the other way around, depending on which indicator and methodology are used. Due to underlying technological differences, industries differ in their need for external financing (Rajan and Zingales, 1998). Since services provided by the financial sector are largely immobile across countries (Pagano et al., 2001), the pattern of specialization should be influenced by the degree of financial development. In the second essay, "Financial Markets, the Pattern of Specialization, and Comparative Advantage: Evidence from OECD Countries" (with Helena Svaleryd), we find this effect to be strong. In fact, the financial sector has an even greater impact on the pattern of specialization among OECD countries than differences in human- and physical capital. Further, the financial sector gives rise to comparative advantage in a way consistent with the Hecksher-Ohlin-Vanek model. Large and active stock markets, as well as the degree of concentration in the banking sector, produce the strongest and most consistent effects. The results also support the view that the quality accounting standards and the legal protection of creditors affect the pattern of industry specialization, while the depth of the financial system (measured by the amount of liquidity in an economy) is a source of comparative advantage. The third essay, "Who Wants Political Integration? Evidence from the Swedish EU-Membership Referendum" looks directly at the determinants of political attitudes towards regional integration and separation. More precisely, the regional voting pattern of the 1994 Swedish EU-membership referendum is analyzed. To explain this variation, an empirical investigation based on the extensive theoretical literature analyzing the determinants of regional economic and political integration is undertaken. Since enhanced possibilities of inter-regional risk sharing is one of the main gains from integration discussed in the literature (e.g Persson and Tabellini, 1996), special attention is given to this issue. The empirical results show that individuals living in labor markets exposed to a high degree of risk were more negative towards EU-membership than those living in safe ones. It is also shown that inhabitants of high-income labor markets, with a high level of schooling and small receipts of central government transfers were relatively positive towards the EU-membership. Given the restrictive regulations limiting discretionary policies within the EU, these results suggest that inhabitants of safe and rich regions voted in favor of secession from the Swedish transfer system, rather than in favor of European integration. In the final essay, "Does Labor Market Risk Increase the Size of the Public Sector? Evidence From Swedish Municipalities", I study if a high degree of private labor-market risk is related to a larger public sector in Swedish municipalities. The theoretical hypothesis is based on Rodrik (1998), who argues (and shows empirically) that countries exposed to a high degree of external risk also tend to have larger governments. The safe public sector is expanded at the expense of risky sectors and hence provides insurance against income volatility. Several problems related to data availability and comparability that apply to cross-country studies are circumvented by using data on Swedish municipalities. Further, there is no need to aggregate the public sector across different levels of governance: local risk is directly related to the size of the local public sector. The paper is not a complete parallel to Rodrik’s study, however. Several alternative insurance mechanisms that do not exist between countries are available between municipalities. For example, the central government provides insurance against individual-specific risk such as unemployment and illness, private capital markets are better integrated within than between countries, and the central government can hand out grants to municipalities. Despite these mitigating factors, local labor-market risk is found to have a substantial impact on municipal public employment. It is also found that shocks increasing the size of the public sector across all municipalities tend to generate a larger increase in risky locations. For municipal public spending and taxation the results are, however, much weaker. Hence, labor-market risk affects the labor intensity of the municipal public sector, rather than its size. / <p>Diss. Stockholm : Handelshögskolan, 2002</p>