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An introduction to the bond market in South Africa with special reference to risk, risk evasion and strategy formulationSnyman, Charles Napier 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 1984. / The capital market is a field of very specialised financial
knowledge and expertise. The latter is concentrated in relatively
few people who manage vast portfolios of such assets.
I was introduced to the South African capital market early in 1983.
In an effort to comprehend the intricacies of my new surroundings I
started to look for something to read to answer the many questions I
had. Very little is written about the South African capital market,
even more so for readers who are not well acquainted with this
subject.
This technical report endeavours to fill such a need. It surveys
risk, risk management and strategy formulation pertaining to the
holding of a single or portfolio of bonds.
Chapter 1 is a general introduction. It surveys the growth of the
capital market, the reason for such growth and briefly points out
the parameters of thereof. It introduces the financial intermediaries
that are responsible for the matching of demand and supply and
briefly points out the difference between the money- an capital
markets.
Three important concepts, yield to maturity, a yield curve and the
price calculation of a bond is explained and three important general
shapes that the yield curve might adopt, is introduced.
Chapter 2 takes account of the risk that is presently associated
with the holding of a single or a portfolio of bonds. The effects
of inflation, changes in the level of applicable yield to maturities
and the reinvestment risk is explained and quantified given a
particular scenario of ex ante contingencies.
Less quantifiable elements of risk, namely, marketability, political
and default risk and the role of emotions and expectations, are
discussed and possible problems in this regard are pointed out.
Chapter 3 turns to a more theoretical discussion of risk. It looks
at the expected rate of return on a single or portfolio of bonds and
reviews the method of measuring expected risk in terms of a standard
deviation. Chapter 3 concludes by making the important remark that
risk is an esoteric concept which is based on an expected scenario
of contingencies of each investor. Central to the discussion is the
formation of a scenario pertaining to the relevant variables
concerning the bond investment market.
Chapters 4 and 5 are dedicated to two lesser known concepts,
duration and immunisation. Each bond has its own unique duration.
That is the time period during which a loss of capital value will be
exactly equal to the gain in interest earned on invested coupons
received in the case of an upwards move in the applicable yield to
maturity curve, and vice versa. Chapter 5 uses this feature to
immunise a bond portfolio against loss of return. This method,
however, needs considerable study before it can be used as a
portfolio management tool since it is based on parallel movements of
the yield to maturity curve.
Chapter 6 introduces a new· feature, namely options on bonds, of the
South African bond market. It defines options and explains the
strategic utilization thereof in both bear and bull markets.
Chapter 7 is a practical discussion of strategy formulation in the
bond market. It defines strategic decision making and describes the
investment process, and its dynamics in terms of strategy
formulation and execution. Active and passive portfolio management
and the main problem encountered in South Africa pertaining to
strategy execution are briefly discussed. Two different portfolio
tactics that are employed, namely, options and switching, to enhance portfolio performance (earnings) are introduced. The chapter makes
mention of the present state of the art of portfolio management and
concludes that portfolio managers must above all be people who can
cope with, and anticipate change.
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The effect of the participation of quoted companies within the industrial sector of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, on income tax receipts of the receiver of revenue during 1982 and 1983Baister, Michael Frank Byrne 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 1984. / INTRODUCTION: One of the methods utilized by the S.A. Government to stimulate ecomonic growth has been to grant tax incentives for the investment, by industrialists, in capital equipment for use "in a process of manufacture". These incentives comprised the investment allowance as at May 1984, an allowance of 30% of the cost of the capital asset, as an off balance sheet deduction from taxable income, and the initial allowance, currently an allowance of 25% of the cost of the capital asset, which can be written off as depreciation during the first tax year during which the asset is utilized.
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Korporatiewe verwantskappe en die eliminering van dubbeltelling in die industriele sektor van die Johannesburgse effektebeurs (1984-85)Kotze, Johannes Gideon 03 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 1986. / INLEIDING: Maatskappye publiseer jaarliks finansiële state waarin o.a. items soos direkteursvergoeding, ouditfooie, belasting, ens. verskyn. Daar word op 'n gereelde basis by die Universiteit van Stellebosch Nagraadse Bestuurskool (USBS) navorsing gedoen om die tendense van hierdie en ander items te volg. Alhoewel items van belang en die gepaardgaande bedrae relatief maklik geïdentifiseer kan word in die finansiële state van elke maatskappy, onstaan die verskynsel "dubbeltelling" wanneer finansiële inligting van sommige maatskappye bestuur word.
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A growth rate modelSpies, Izak Jacob 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 1988. / INTRODUCTION: The object of this technical report is to enhance an already existing computer program which calculates the possible growth rate under certain given conditions. These enhancements would make the program more applicable to a variety of situations and possibly a more true indication of what would happen in real life. The existing program was initially written in the FORTRAN-77 language by J C d Bruin in 1982 and translated to the TRUE BASIC language in 1985. The main objective of the program is to determine the maximum growth % of a business subject to certain given parameters or constraints.
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Dividends as a contributor to the total returns of South African equities over the long-termMahura, Kagisho 03 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 2007. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: When considering the expected returns from an investment, investors often
focus on the appreciation of the share price (capital appreciation) and ignore
the contribution of dividends paid, thus overlooking a potentially significant
contributor to returns.
The objectives of this study are to determine the respective contributions of
dividends and capital appreciation to the total returns of South African equities
over a 10-year period, beginning 31 July 1996 and ending 31 July 2006, by
using the Top 40 index of shares listed on the Johannesburg Securities
Exchange over that period. The study also aims to determine whether
dividend policy should be considered as carefully as the share's potential
capital appreciation by investors when constructing portfolios.
The study determined that dividends paid contributed more than 50% of the
total return for 10% of the shares in the sample tested. In total, dividends
contributed more than 25% of the total return for 33% of the shares.
The study also concludes that a share's dividend policy should be considered
carefully, as dividends paid may be a significant contributor to a share's
expected return. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Wanneer die verwagte opbrengste van 'n belegging in ag geneem word, Ie
beleggers dikwels klem op die waardestyging van die aandeleprys
(kapitaalappresiasie) en ignoreer die bydrae van dividende wat betaal word.
Hulle sien nie dividende as 'n potensieel belangrike bydraer tot opbrengste raak
nie.
Die doelwitte van hierdie studie is om die onderskeie bydraes van dividende en
kapitaalappresiasie tot die totale opbrengs van Suid-Afrikaase aandele oor 'n
tydperk van 10 jaar - vanaf 31 Julie 1996 tot 31 Julie 2006 - te bepaal deur die
Top 40 indeks van aandele te gebruik wat in daardie tydperk op die
Johannesburgse Aandelebeurs genoteer was. Die ondersoek wil ook bepaal of
beleggers net so versigting na dividendbeleid as na aandele se potensiele
kapitaalappresiasie behoort te kyk wanneer portefeuljes saamgestel word.
Die studie het bepaal dat dividende wat betaal is, meer as 50% van die totale
opbrengste vir 10% van die aandele in die toetsvoorbeeld uitgemaak het.
Dividende het altesaam meer as 25% van die totale opbrengs vir 33% van die
aandele uitgemaak.
Die studie het ook tot die gevolgtrekking gekom dat 'n aandeel se dividendbeleid
baie versigtig oorweeg moet word omdat dividende wat betaal word 'n belangrike
bydraer tot 'n aandeel se verwagte opbrengs kan wees.
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An empirical analysis of the Johannesburg Stock Exchange : an annotated bibliographyWatson, Leigh-Ann 03 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 1991. / The contents of this study project is an annotated bibliography of research and articles on the Johannesburg Stock Market over the period 1974-1990. It is for this reason that only articles published in : 1. The South African Journal of Business Management, and 2. The Investment Analysts Journal over this 16 year period have featured in this study project.
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Die ontwikkeling van 'n vooruitskattings-model vir die voorspelling van verkopeCalitz, P. G. 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 1985. / Aangesien historiese data geredelik beskikbaar was, is 'n kwantitatiewe vooruitskattingsmetode gebruik met die doel om gebeure in die verlede te bestuur. Sodoende kon die onderliggende struktuur van die data beter begryp
word en daarom kon 'n model daargestel word om die nodige inligting te verskaf
vir bestuursbesluitneming.
Die klassieke vermenigvuldigende tydreeks is gebruik om die toekomstige
verkope van Stodels Nurseries (Edms.) Bpk. te projekteer. Aangesien die
maatskappy se verkope onderhewig is aan hewige seisoenskommelings, is
kontantvloeibeplanning van kardinale belang vir die finansiele bestuur van die
maatskappy.
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Selecting common stocks for investment by utilising the Graham-Buffett contrarian focus value investment approachDe Witt, Sarel Jacobus 03 1900 (has links)
Theses (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 2007. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: This study project concentrated on the investment approach of one individual
that consistently achieved above average investment returns over a period
of fifty years and became the second richest person in America primarily
through the use of his unique investment skill and philosophy. He managed
to increase a $100 personal investment in 1956 into a personal net worth of
$46 billion in 2006. This person is Warren Buffett, and the primary goal of
the study project was to integrate and summarise the main features of his
investment approach and philosophy as described in the many books,
articles and essays written about him .
The study project further strove to use findings from contemporary scientific
works to support and validate the scientific soundness of his investment
approach and principles. Finally, the investment approach and techniques
described in the study project were used to systematically analyse and select
a common stock for future investment.
In the author's opinion, the study project was successful at identifying and
highlighting the essential principles of Warren Buffett's investment approach .
The investment framework presented in Chapter 3 could serve as a guideline
for an investor to apply Buffett's investment approach in a systematic
manner. The framework was successfully utilized by the author to analyse
and identify a so-called "Buffett company" that was trading at a significant
discount to its underlying value. A hypothetical purchase decision by an
investor in this company's common stock would have yielded a significant
return on investment over the long term. An investor that had knowledge of
this investment framework at the time could have "spotted" this opportunity
and capitalised on it. The above conclusion assumed that this hypothetical investor had been
operating within the same "circle of competence" as the author. What might
seem "simple" or "logical" to one investor, might seem completely complex
or irrational to another. In the author's opinion, Buffett's unique "circle of
competence" is the missing "ingredient" to his success formula.
A person's "circle of competence" evolves as a result of the unique blending
of that person's knowledge, experience, personality, attitude, intelligence
and external influences. It is thus unique to an individual and almost
impossible to duplicate by others. Buffett's "circle of competence" could be
viewed as his durable competitive advantage that gave him the insight to
invest successfully.
To lend credibility to the merits of Buffett's approach, the author presented
scientific literature that supported Buffett's investment principles. Many of
Buffett's principles were related to concepts that were named differently, but
essentially had the same meaning. It appeared that Buffett's investment
success stemmed from integrating and utilizing these concepts in an
effective and coherent way, consistent with his "circle of competence"
principle. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Hierdie studieprojek fokus op die beleggingsbenadering van 'n individu wat
konstant oor 'n tydperk van vyftig jaar bogemiddelde beleggingsopbrengste
behaal het. Hy het deur sy unieke beleggingsvermoens en filosofie die
tweede rykste man in Amerika geword. Hy het dit reggekry om 'n $100
persoonlike belegging in 1956 te vermeerder na 'n persoonlike nettobatewaarde
van $46 biljoen in 2006. Sy naam is Warren Buffett en die
primere doel van hierdie studie is om die belangrikste kenmerke van sy
beleggingsbenadering en filosofie, soos beskryf in vele boeke, artikels en
verhandelings te integreer en op te som.
Hierdie studie streef ook om van kontemporere wetenskaplike bevindings
gebruik te maak om te bewys en te ondersteun dat sy beleggingsbenadering
wetenskaplik gegrond is. Daarna is hierdie beleggingsbenadering en
tegnieke prakties gebruik in die stelselmatige analise en seleksie van 'n
gewone aandeel vir 'n moontlike toekomstige belegging.
Volgens die skrywer se mening slaag hierdie studie daarin om die
belangrikste beginsels van Buffett se beleggingsbenadering te identifiseer en
uit te lig. Die beleggingsraamwerk in Hoofstuk 3 kan dien as 'n riglyn vir 'n
belegger om Buffett se beleggingsbeginsels stelselmatig toe te pas. Hierdie
beleggingsraamwerk is suksesvol deur die skrywer toegepas om 'n
sogenaamde "Buffett maatskappy", wat verhandel het teen 'n aansienlike
afslag tot sy onderliggende waarde, te analiseer en te identifiseer. 'n
Hipotetiese aankoopbesluit deur 'n belegger van hierdie maatskappy se
gewone aandele sou oor die lang termyn 'n beduidende opbrengs gelewer
het. 'n Belegger wat kennis gedra het van hierdie beleggingsraamwerk kon
die beleggingsmoontlikheid ge"identifiseer het en so daarop gekapitaliseer
het. Die bogenoemde gevolgtrekking veronderstel dat die hipotetiese belegger
binne dieselfde "kring van bevoegdheid" as die skrywer funksioneer. Wat
logies en eenvoudig vir een belegger voorkom, Iyk dalk totaal kompleks en
irrasioneel vir 'n ander. Na die skrywer se mening is Buffett se unieke
insigte en vermoens (kring van bevoegdheid) die ontbrekende bestanddeel
tot sy suksesformule.
'n Persoon se "kring van bevoegdheid" ontwikkel as gevolg van 'n unieke
vermenging van daardie persoon se kennis, ervarings, persoonlikheid/
houding, intelligensievlak en eksterne invloede. Dit is dus uniek tot elke
individu en bykans onmoontlik om deur 'n ander te dupliseer. Buffett se
"kring van bevoegdheid" kan dus gesien word as sy volhoubare
kompeterende voordeel wat aan hom die insig verskaf om suksesvol te belê.
Om geloofwaardigheid aan Buffett se benadering te verleen, het die skrywer
wetenskaplike literatuur verskaf wat sy beleggingsbeginsels ondersteun.
Baie van Buffett se beginsels stem ooreen met reeds bestaande konsepte,
slegs met ander benamings. Dit wil voorkom of Buffett se beleggingssukses
uitvloei vanaf sy integrasie en gebruik van hierdie konsepte in 'n doelmatige
en samehangende manier, wat verenigbaar met sy "kring van bevoegdheid"
beginsel is.
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The role of coaching to improve decision-making by senior managersHughes, Trevor 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MPhil)--Stellenbosch University, 2013. / The purpose of this research assignment was to identify the role of coaching to improve decision-making by senior business managers. The research reviewed the theory of decision-making, business coaching and a coaching approach. The research captured the perceptions amongst a group of senior managers regarding the contribution of business coaching and coaching tools to their decision-making. The research then tracked how these perceptions changed as the group experienced coaching. The research identified how to use coaching for decision-making by teams and individuals.
Action research was the methodology used for conducting this research and was preferred because of the opportunity to pilot an approach in a real situation involving senior managers as participants in a process that allowed for adjustment and learning along the way. The sample comprised a team of group account managers in a South African beverage manufacturing company. An action research process of plan, act, observe and reflect was used with CLEAR (contract, listen, explore, action and review) as coaching approach, and coaching tools comprising Kolb’s experiential learning and reflective practice. The action research was a five-phase process, which included team sessions and individual coaching sessions.
The findings showed that coaching makes a positive contribution to more effective decision-making by senior managers. Participant perceptions were that the CLEAR coaching approach made a positive contribution to more effective decision-making, with Kolb’s experiential learning and reflective practice making important contributions. Based on the research findings, business leadership and management should pay specific attention to their business decision-making practices and put programmes in place to ensure effective decision-making. It is also an imperative for senior managers to identify opportunities to improve their decision-making skills through coaching or other means. Coaches working in the business environment should develop their knowledge of decision-making and adopt focused approaches to increase the decision-making effectiveness of their clients.
This research with a sample group of five senior managers occurred in a competitive fast moving consumer goods business environment over a twelve-week period. Further research could include samples that are more diverse, at different levels in an organisation, in different industries and over longer periods. Opportunity also exists to conduct further research into the role different coaching approaches and coaching tools could play with respect to improving decision-making effectiveness.
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An investigation to determine the extent to which the literature defines and endorses a proposed framework for a 'Practice of leadership'Albertyn, De Wet 07 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MBA)--Stellenbosch University, 2012. / During the past two to three decades the concept of leadership has become the subject of great debate, research and writing. The explosion of literature and perspectives are both to be welcomed but can also be bewildering. To date the subject of leadership has not yet evolved into a more mature ‘practice’ which enables the development of more consistent ‘agendas of leadership development and focus’. A review of internationally respected business schools and MBA programmes would, for instance, provide a good degree of consistency with regard to what should be included in the ‘Practice of Management’. The same would be true for other professional practices such as medicine, architecture, accounting, and various engineering disciplines etcetera.
The main objective of this study was to explore and determine the extent to which the literature defines and reinforces the development of an integrative ‘Practice of Leadership’. Based on internationally accepted best practices, the potential constituent elements of a ‘Practice of Leadership’ were divided into the four dimensions of Personal, Interpersonal, Organisational and Societal leadership. Twelve elements were identified that are addressed repeatedly in the literature and which may form a starting point to provide greater rigour in defining what the ‘agenda’ for a ‘Practice of Leadership’ may consist of. One hundred and sixty four sources of reference have been structured to explore the initial set of 12 elements to produce a framework relating to a ‘Practice of Leadership’.
The method used in this study was an extensive exploration of existing literature with a focus from 2000 onwards. Some core leadership principles were still mentioned, but the main focus of this study was done from 2000 to date. Various online databases have been used (with the main focus on the USB’s online databases) for the data collection, using key words relating to the 12 elements of a Practice of Leadership.
The result of this study indicates that a shift has happened during the past years where leadership is moving from a competency paradigm towards a shared understanding of what potentially could constitute a ‘Practice of Leadership’. The knowledge gained from the 166 sources of reference revealed that certain patterns emerged with relative frequency in the existing literature in order to produce an initial set of 12 elements to support a framework for a Practice of Leadership.
One of the conclusions of this study was that no existing literature refers to a framework arguing for a ‘Practice of Leadership’, although singular papers were sourced where there was a call to explore and establish a more concrete framework for a ‘Practice of Leadership’. This study has taken the bold, yet humble, step to identify and introduce an initial set of 12 elements which might lead to a shared and integrative framework for a ‘Practice of Leadership’. The conclusion was made that other potential elements may also form part of this integrative framework, but that further research is needed to substantiate their inclusion. There is no doubt that the framework for the ‘Practice of Leadership’ contained in this research will be challenged. It is hoped that it may contribute to taking the debate from the highly conceptual to the more concrete, and that it may at worst provide a working template to test, endorse, refine or reject content going forward.
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