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Effects of exchange rate changes on the Zambi's trade balanceKuntashula, Justine January 2020 (has links)
In this paper, we examined the effects of real effective exchange rate (REER) changes on the Zambia´s trade balance, and whether the Marshal-Lerner condition (M-Lerner condition) and the Jcurve effect are satisfied in Zambia following the depreciation of the Zambian Kwacha (ZMK) against the U.S. dollar. Using annual time series data from 1990 through to 2019, the Johansen cointegration test results show that there is a long run relationship between the trade balance, the real effective exchange rate, the Zambia's GDP growth, the world´s GDP growth, and the Zambia´s terms of trade. A standard trade balance model was employed to estimate the long run and short run relationships between the trade balance and the variables in the trade balance model. The results from the trade balance show that the depreciation of the ZMK against the U.S. dollar improves the trade balance in the long run though the results could not validate the M-L condition since the coefficient value of REER was found to be far much less than unity (1). The results further uncover that the world´s GDP growth and the terms of trade both have a significant positive effect on the trade balance in the long run. The Zambia´s GDP growth was found to be statistically insignificant. In the short run, the results from the trade balance model show that the effects of the depreciation of the ZMK against the U.S. dollar on the trade balance were statistically insignificant, thus not consistent with the J-curve effect. The results from the Error Correction Model (ECM) on the other hand show that about 6.3% of the disequilibrium in the Zambia´s trade balance model is corrected every after one year.
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Essays on Small Open EconomiesZhong, Jiansheng 30 August 2017 (has links)
No description available.
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Bilateral trade between Sweden and Norway : A J-curve relation?Nostell, Carl January 2024 (has links)
This thesis studies the relationship between the trade balance ratio between Sweden and Norway and the real exchange rate. Following a real depreciation of the Swedish crown (SEK) against the Norwegian krone (NOK), the trade balance ratio of Swedish exports to Norway to Swedish imports from Norway (X/M), is expected to initially fall due to lower earnings from the exports and higher expenses associated with imports. As the goods become cheaper, the demanded quantity is expected to increase, which is how the J-curve appear. J-curve builds on the Marshall-Lerner theory, which says that if the sum of price elasticities of exports and imports is elastic, the Swedish trade balance will improve as a result of the real depreciation of SEK. A test for cointegration is performed to see if there is a significant long-run relationship between the variables. This relationship is studied at two different frequences of observations, quarterly and annually. Then the Autoregressive Distributed Lag model, ARDL is used to analyse the J-curve. One of the conclusions of the results is that although no significant relationship could be found at monthly or quarterly observations, there is a J-curve present at annual level.
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Determinants of Swedish and German FDI : The case of Baltic and CEE CountriesCociu, Sergiu, Gustavsson, Thomas January 2007 (has links)
This thesis tries to determine some of the driving force behind Swedish foreign direct in-vestments into the Baltic counties. The analysis is performed in three steps, first we analyze global FDI into transitional economies, and afterwards we look at Swedish FDI and com-pare it with German FDI. The determinants examined are index of economic freedom, R&D intensity, trade balance, wage level and proximity. The analyzed period is form 1995 to 2005. The analysis use data on the following transition countries Latvia, Lithuania, Esto-nia, Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Croatia, Romania and Bulgaria. The results show that the determinants vary across the countries. The motives of Swedish and German investors differ. Thus, for Swedish investors R&D, economical free-dom and trade balance are the influencing factors, but for Germany only trade balance and wage level are important. The conclusion is that different determinants triggers foreign di-rect investment in transitional economies in different ways.
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Determinants of Swedish and German FDI : The case of Baltic and CEE CountriesCociu, Sergiu, Gustavsson, Thomas January 2007 (has links)
<p>This thesis tries to determine some of the driving force behind Swedish foreign direct in-vestments into the Baltic counties. The analysis is performed in three steps, first we analyze global FDI into transitional economies, and afterwards we look at Swedish FDI and com-pare it with German FDI. The determinants examined are index of economic freedom, R&D intensity, trade balance, wage level and proximity. The analyzed period is form 1995 to 2005. The analysis use data on the following transition countries Latvia, Lithuania, Esto-nia, Poland, Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Croatia, Romania and Bulgaria. The results show that the determinants vary across the countries. The motives of Swedish and German investors differ. Thus, for Swedish investors R&D, economical free-dom and trade balance are the influencing factors, but for Germany only trade balance and wage level are important. The conclusion is that different determinants triggers foreign di-rect investment in transitional economies in different ways.</p>
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U.S.-China commodity trade and the yuan/dollar real exchange rateWang, Yongqing. January 2005 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, 2005. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 64-68).
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Trade adjustments to exchange rates in regional economic integration Argentina and Brazil /Sedano, Fernando Daniel. January 2005 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--Auburn University, 2005. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 164-173).
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Determinantes da balança comercial do complexo agroindustrial brasileiro : 1970-2002 / Determinants of the Brazilian agribusiness trade balance: 1970-2002Orlando Gonçalves Júnior 07 April 2005 (has links)
Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / A presente dissertação tem como objetivo principal examinar papel de diversas variáveis econômicas (taxa de câmbio efetiva real, renda interna, renda externa, termos de troca e produtividade total dos fatores) sobre o saldo da balança comercial do complexo agroindustrial brasileiro, considerado no agregado, no período de 1970 a 2002. Para essa análise, recorreu-se a um modelo teórico, denominado IS-TB, que fundamentou a especificação dos modelos econométricos. A ferramenta econométrica utilizada foi a regressão linear múltipla. Os modelos foram ajustados por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO). As elasticidades encontradas apresentaram sinais e magnitudes coerentes com o modelo econômico proposto. A renda externa mostrou ser a variável mais variante na explicação (do ponto de vista estatístico) das variações relativas observadas no saldo da balança comercial do complexo agroindustrial brasileiro. Por outro lado, a renda interna e a produtividade total dos fatores não foram estatisticamente significantes. Em suma, os resultados confirmam a importância do setor agroindustrial no processo de ajustamento da balança comercial total. / The goal of this dissertation is to examine the role of selected economic variables (real effective exchange rate, domestic income, foreing income, terms of trade and total factor prodictivity) on the Brazilian agribusiness trade balance from 1970 to 2002. The analysis is based on a theoretical model, named IS-TB, which sustained the specification of econometric models. The econometric tool employed was a multiple linear regression. The models were adjusted by ordinary least squares (OLS). Signs and magnitudes of the estimated elasticities were according to ours expectations, based on the economic relations of the proposed model. The foreign income showed to have the greatest relative influence (from a stastistical point of view) on the Brazilian agribusiness trade balance. On the other hand, domestic income and total factor productivity were not statistically significant. Overall, the results support the relevance of agribusiness sector on adjusting total trade balance of the country.
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Determinantes da balança comercial do complexo agroindustrial brasileiro : 1970-2002 / Determinants of the Brazilian agribusiness trade balance: 1970-2002Orlando Gonçalves Júnior 07 April 2005 (has links)
Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / A presente dissertação tem como objetivo principal examinar papel de diversas variáveis econômicas (taxa de câmbio efetiva real, renda interna, renda externa, termos de troca e produtividade total dos fatores) sobre o saldo da balança comercial do complexo agroindustrial brasileiro, considerado no agregado, no período de 1970 a 2002. Para essa análise, recorreu-se a um modelo teórico, denominado IS-TB, que fundamentou a especificação dos modelos econométricos. A ferramenta econométrica utilizada foi a regressão linear múltipla. Os modelos foram ajustados por mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO). As elasticidades encontradas apresentaram sinais e magnitudes coerentes com o modelo econômico proposto. A renda externa mostrou ser a variável mais variante na explicação (do ponto de vista estatístico) das variações relativas observadas no saldo da balança comercial do complexo agroindustrial brasileiro. Por outro lado, a renda interna e a produtividade total dos fatores não foram estatisticamente significantes. Em suma, os resultados confirmam a importância do setor agroindustrial no processo de ajustamento da balança comercial total. / The goal of this dissertation is to examine the role of selected economic variables (real effective exchange rate, domestic income, foreing income, terms of trade and total factor prodictivity) on the Brazilian agribusiness trade balance from 1970 to 2002. The analysis is based on a theoretical model, named IS-TB, which sustained the specification of econometric models. The econometric tool employed was a multiple linear regression. The models were adjusted by ordinary least squares (OLS). Signs and magnitudes of the estimated elasticities were according to ours expectations, based on the economic relations of the proposed model. The foreign income showed to have the greatest relative influence (from a stastistical point of view) on the Brazilian agribusiness trade balance. On the other hand, domestic income and total factor productivity were not statistically significant. Overall, the results support the relevance of agribusiness sector on adjusting total trade balance of the country.
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Hodnocení přesunů zátěže životního prostředí mezi státy a regiony prostřednictvím indikátorů materiálových toků / Assessment of shifts of environmental pressure among countires and regions by means of material flow indicatorsMaric, Andrija January 2012 (has links)
World regions are becoming more connected by every day and as a consequence of that dependence rises among states. The states become specialised in production of certain type of the product, services etc. Subsequently they turn to be even more dependent. One does not need to go further back then real-estate crisis in USA that spilled over worldwide. The world is turn out to be "smaller place". America and Europe are exploiting raw material less and less and become dependant on the import of those from around the world. Former exploitation and production became ballast to the environment [environment burdens]. One day factories and mines were closed or reorganised to different production activity and doing so reduced burden to the environment. The consumption of the product remained or was increased even more. In other words, some one else is producing that product. The production shifted among states moving the environment burdens with it. The aim of this document is to provide an overview of impacts relevant to the use of metals zinc, aluminium, nickel, iron and tin; quantification of physical import and export and calculation of international trade balance of before mentioned metals and analysis of six ores. Those aims are supposed to assist us on answering questions to which extent Czech...
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