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No description available.

No description available.

No description available.

No description available.

No description available.

Past political regimes and socio-economic imbalances have led to the formation of a transport system in the Republic of South Africa (RSA) that is unique to the developing world. Affluent communities in metropolitan cities are situated close to economic activity, whereas the people in need of public transport are situated on the periphery of the cities. This demographic structure is opposite to that of developed countries and complicates both the provision of transport services and the planning process thereof. Multi-Agent Transport Simulation (MATSim) has been identified as an Agent-Based Simulation (ABS) approach that models individual travellers as autonomous entities to create large scale traffic simulations. The initial implementation of MATSim in the RSA successfully simulated private vehicle trips between home and work in the province of Gauteng, proving that there is enough data available to create a realistic multi-agent transport model. The initial implementation can be expanded to further enhance the simulation accuracy, but this requires the incorporation of additional primary and secondary activities into the initial transport demand. This study created a methodology to expand the initial implementation in the midst of limited data, and implemented this process for Gauteng. The first phase constructed a 10% synthetic population that represents the demographic structure of the actual population and identified various socio-demographic attributes that can influence an individual's travel behaviour. These attributes were assigned to the synthetic agents by following an approach that combines probabilistic sampling and rule-based models. The second phase used agents' individual attributes, and census, National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) and geospatial data to transform the synthetic population into a set of daily activity plans - one for every agent. All the agents' daily plans were combined into a plans.xml file that was used as input to MATSim, where the individuals' activity plans were executed simultaneously to model the transport decisions and behaviour of agents. Data deficiencies were overcome by contemplating various scenarios and comparing the macroscopic transport demand patterns thereof to the results of the initial implementation and to actual counting station statistics. This study successfully expanded the initial home-work-home implementation of MATSim by including additional non-work activities in the transport demand. The addition of non-work activities improved the simulation accuracy during both peak and off-peak periods, and the initial demand therefore provides an improved representation of the travel behaviour of individuals in Gauteng. / Dissertation (MEng)--University of Pretoria, 2011. / Industrial and Systems Engineering / unrestricted

We consider the Lighthill-Whitman-Richards traffic model on a network consisting of a highway with an off ramp, connected by a junction. We compare the known coupling conditions for the evolution of traffic at the junction and suggest a novel improvement to the existing conditions. That is, we resolve the spurious effects that arise in standard models, namely clogging of the main highway and vehicle destination changes. We achieve this by tracking vehicle density buildup in the form of a queue, which is modeled by an ODE. We define the solution to the Riemann problem at the junction using the supply and demand functions. The numerical approximation is carried out using a modified Godunov scheme, adjusted to take into account the effects of an emptying queue. Exact and numerical comparisons of the model with existing models verify that the number of vehicles who wish to exit are preserved and the nonphysical clogging of the main highway does not occur. / Mathematics

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The realization that the U.S. infrastructure is deteriorating and that there is a need to establish a strategy to prevent an infrastructure catastrophe have propelled the development of various infrastructure management systems. Often, the expansion of transportation facilities is regarded as a means to the improvement of the condition of transportation infrastructure. However, building more infrastructure than can be properly maintained causes serious deterioration of the existing infrastructure. Sustainable development from a highway management perspective can be equated with qualitative development, which improves the current condition of the highway system, rather than expanding its physical resources. The objective of this research is to develop a highway management strategy to help achieve sustainable development for the Commonwealth of Virginia. This research is performed by developing a transportation planning model for state highway management (TPMSHM) within the framework of a decision support system (DSS). The planning model consists of ten subsystems, including pavement and bridge management subsystems. These subsystems encompass various socioeconomic parameters that influence the physical status of highways. In the dynamic simulation model, these parameters are expressed in causal relationships using a system dynamics methodology. The types of trajectories for highway conditions that lead to sustainable development are provided. This research proposes a state-dependent prioritization strategy for calculating efficient budget shares by hierarchical levels of highway conditions. In this strategy, the proportions of the highway budget allocated to each level of management activity are determined by the physical conditions of the highways. Highways in the worst condition are given the first priority to receive the budget allocations. The model also addresses the policy of raising fuels tax to increase the state's transportation revenue. The adverse impact of a fuels tax increase is discussed in terms of revenue, the physical sufficiency of highways, and user benefits. The TPMSHM constitutes a leading component of the DSS and governs the building processes of other two components, which include a Data Base and a Display Base. A Data Base is constructed by listing all the parameters needed by the TPMSHM within a frame designed in terms of the records and fields of the parameters. A Display Base is demonstrated in a possible form using system dynamics' Powersim software. The graphical capability of representing the simulation results and the interactive user interface inherent in the software are examined. The emphasis of this research is placed on the development of the TPMSHM, which strives to manage the physical condition of the state highway system at an acceptable level through a state-dependent prioritization strategy to achieve sustainable development. / Ph. D.