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Financial Modelling Using Fractional Processes And The Wiener Chaos Expansion / Undersökning Av Finasiella Modeller Med Fraktionella Processer Och Wiener's KaosexpansionHummelgren, Olof January 2022 (has links)
The aim of this thesis is to simulate stochastic models that are driven by a fractional Brownian motion process and to apply these methods to financial applications related to yield rate and asset price modelling. Several rough volatility processes are used to model the asset price and yield dynamics. Firstly fractional processes of Cox-Ingersoll-Ross, CEV and Vasicek types are introduced as models for volatility and yield data. In this framework it holds that the Hurst parameter that determines the covariance structure of the fBM process can be directly estimated from observed data series using a least squares log-periodogram approach. The remaining parameters in the model are estimated using a combination of Maximum Likelihood estimates and expectation estimations. In the modelling and pricing of assets one model that is studied is the fractional Heston model, that is used to model an asset price process using both observed asset and volatility data. Similarly two other similar rough volatility models are also studied, which are constructed so as to have log-Normal returns. These processes which in the thesis are called the exponential models 1 and 2 have rough volatility that are characterized by the CEV and Vasicek processes. Additionally the first order Wiener Chaos Expansion is implemented and explored in two ways. Firstly the Chaos Expansion is applied to a parametric fractional stochastic model which is used to generate a Wick product process, which is found to resemble the underlying process. It is also used to generate an approximate expansion of real yield rate data using a bootstrap sampling approach. / Den här uppsatsen syftar till att simulera stokastiska modeller som drivs av fraktionell Brownsk rörelse och att använda dessa modeller i finansiella tillämpningar relaterade till räntor och finansiella tillgångar. Flera volatilitetsprocesser som är rough används för att modellera ränte- och aktiedynamiken. Först introduceras de fraktionella varianterna av Cox-Ingersoll-Ross, CEV och Vasicek processer, vilka används för att modellera volatilitet och ränteprocesser. Med detta tillvägagångssätt gäller det att Hurstparametern, vilken bestämmer covariansstrukturen för den fraktionella Brownska rörelsen, kan uppskattas direkt från observerad data med en minsta kvadrat log-periodogram-metod. Samtliga andra parametrar i modellen uppskattas med en kombination av Maximum Likelihood och uppskattning av väntevärden. I modelleringen och prissättningen av finansiella tillgångar är en model som studeras den fraktionella Hestonmodellen, som används för att modellera en tillgång baserat på både volatilitets- och aktiedata. Ytterligare två liknande modeller studeras, vilka också har volatilitet som är rough och är konstruerade så att deras avkastning är log-Normal. Dessa processer, vilka i uppsatsen är benämnda som de exponentiella modellerna 1 och 2 har volatilitet som karaktäriseras av CEV- och Vasicekprocesser. Ytterligare är Wiener's Kaosexpansion av första ordningen också implementerad och undersöks från två håll. Först används den på en parameterbestämd fraktionell stokastisk modell, vilken används för att generera en Wickproduktprocess. Expansionen används även med hjälp av en bootstrap-metod för att generera en process från observerad data.
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Primene polugrupa operatora u nekim klasama Košijevih početnih problema / Applications of Semigroups of Operators in Some Classes of Cauchy ProblemsŽigić Milica 22 December 2014 (has links)
<p>Doktorska disertacija je posvećena primeni teorije polugrupa operatora na rešavanje dve klase Cauchy-jevih početnih problema. U prvom delu smo<br />ispitivali parabolične stohastičke parcijalne diferencijalne jednačine (SPDJ-ne), odredjene sa dva tipa operatora: linearnim zatvorenim operatorom koji<br />generiše <em>C</em><sub>0</sub>−polugrupu i linearnim ograničenim operatorom kombinovanim<br />sa Wick-ovim proizvodom. Svi stohastički procesi su dati Wiener-Itô-ovom<br />haos ekspanzijom. Dokazali smo postojanje i jedinstvenost rešenja ove klase<br />SPDJ-na. Posebno, posmatrali smo i stacionarni slučaj kada je izvod po<br />vremenu jednak nuli. U drugom delu smo konstruisali kompleksne stepene<br /><em>C</em>-sektorijalnih operatora na sekvencijalno kompletnim lokalno konveksnim<br />prostorima. Kompleksne stepene operatora smo posmatrali kao integralne<br />generatore uniformno ograničenih analitičkih <em>C</em>-regularizovanih rezolventnih<br />familija, i upotrebili dobijene rezultate na izučavanje nepotpunih Cauchy-jevih problema viš3eg ili necelog reda.</p> / <p>The doctoral dissertation is devoted to applications of the theory<br />of semigroups of operators on two classes of Cauchy problems. In the first<br />part, we studied parabolic stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs),<br />driven by two types of operators: one linear closed operator generating a<br /><em>C</em><sub>0</sub>−semigroup and one linear bounded operator with Wick-type multipli-cation. All stochastic processes are considered in the setting of Wiener-Itô<br />chaos expansions. We proved existence and uniqueness of solutions for this<br />class of SPDEs. In particular, we also treated the stationary case when the<br />time-derivative is equal to zero. In the second part, we constructed com-plex powers of <em>C</em>−sectorial operators in the setting of sequentially complete<br />locally convex spaces. We considered these complex powers as the integral<br />generators of equicontinuous analytic <em>C</em>−regularized resolvent families, and<br />incorporated the obtained results in the study of incomplete higher or frac-tional order Cauchy problems.</p>
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Uopšteni stohastički procesi u beskonačno-dimenzionalnim prostorima sa primenama na singularne stohastičke parcijalne diferencijalne jednačine / Generalized Stochastic Processes in Infinite Dimensional Spaces with Applications to Singular Stochastic Partial Differential EquationsSeleši Dora 15 June 2007 (has links)
<p>Doktorska disertacija je posvećena raznim klasama uopštenih stohastičkih procesa i njihovim primenama na rešavanje singularnih stohastičkih parcijalnih diferencijalnih jednačina. U osnovi, disertacija se može podeliti na dva dela. Prvi deo disertacije (Glava 2) je posvećen strukturnoj karakterizaciji uopštenih stohastičkih procesa u vidu haos ekspanzije i integralne reprezentacije. Drugi deo disertacije (Glava 3) čini primena dobijenih rezultata na re·savanje stohastičkog Dirihleovog problema u kojem se množenje modelira Vikovim proizvodom, a koefcijenti eliptičnog diferencijalnog operatora su Kolomboovi uopšteni stohastički procesi.</p> / <p>Subject of the dissertation are various classes of generalized<br />stochastic processes and their applications to solving singular stochastic<br />partial di®erential equations. Basically, the dissertation can be divided into<br />two parts. The ¯rst part (Chapter 2) is devoted to structural characteri-<br />zations of generalized random processes in terms of chaos expansions and<br />integral representations. The second part of the dissertation (Chapter 3)<br />involves applications of the obtained results to solving a stochastic Dirichlet<br />problem, where multiplication is modeled by the Wick product, and the<br />coe±cients of the elliptic di®erential operator are Colombeau generalized<br />random processes.</p>
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