Lakes present in arid regions of Central Anatolia need further attention with regard to water quality. In most cases, mathematical modeling is a helpful tool that might be used to predict the DO concentration of a lake. Deterministic models are frequently used to describe the system behavior. However most ecological systems are so complex and unstable. In case, the deterministic models have high chance of failure due to absence of priori information. For such cases black box models might be essential. In this study DO in Eymir Lake located in Ankara was modeled by using both Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). Phosphate, Orthophospate, pH, Chlorophyll-a, Temperature, Alkalinity, Nitrate, Total Kjeldahl Nitrogen, Wind, Precipitation, Air Temperature were the input parameters of ANN and ANFIS. The aims of these modeling studies were: to develop models with ANN to predict DO concentration in Lake Eymir with high fidelity to actual DO data, to compare the success (prediction capacity) of ANN and ANFIS on DO modeling, to determine the degree of dependence of different parameters on DO. For modeling studies &ldquo / Matlab R 2007b&rdquo / software was used. The results indicated that ANN has high prediction capacity of DO and ANFIS has low with respect to ANN. Failure of ANFIS was due to low functionality of Matlab ANFIS Graphical User Interface. For ANN Modeling effect of meteorological data on DO data on surface of the lake was successfully described and summer month super saturation DO concentrations were successfully predicted.

The main objective of this work is to develop models using multivariable regression and artificial neural network approaches for cost estimation of the construction costs of trackworks of light rail transit and metro projects at the early stages of the construction process in Turkey. These two approaches were applied to a data set of 16 projects by using seventeen parameters available at the early design phase. According to the results of each method, regression analysis estimated the cost of testing samples with an error of 2.32%. On the other hand, artificial neural network estimated the cost with 5.76% error, which is slightly higher than the regression error. As a result, two successful cost estimation models have been developed within the scope of this study. These models can be beneficial while taking the decision in the tender phase of projects that includes trackworks.

Chlorophyll-a is a parameter which can be used to understand the trophic state of water bodies. Therefore, monitoring of this parameter is required. Yet, distribution of chlorophyll-a in water bodies is not homogeneous and exhibits both spatial and temporal variations. Therefore, frequent sampling and high sample sizes are needed for the determination of chlorophyll-a quantities. This would in return increase the sampling costs and labor requirement, especially if the topography makes the location hard to reach. Remote sensing is a technology that can aid in handling of these difficulties and obtain a continuous distribution of chlorophyll-a concentrations in a water body. In this method, reflectance from water bodies in different wavelengths is used to quantify the chlorophyll-a concentrations. In previous studies in literature, empirical regression models that use the reflectance values in different bands in different combinations have been derived. Yet, prediction performances of these models decline especially in shallow lakes. In this study, the spatial distribution of chlorophyll-a in shallow Lake Eymir is determined using both regression models and artificial neural network models that use hybrid inputs. Unlike the models generated before, field measured parameters which can influence the reflectance values in remotely sensed images have been used in addition to the reflectance values. The parameters that are considered other than reflectance values are photosynthetically active radiation (PAR), secchi depth (SD), water column depth, turbidity, dissolved oxygen concentration (DO), pH, total suspended solids (TSS), total dissolved organic matter (TDOM), water and air temperatures, wind data and humidity. Reflectance values are obtained from QuickBird and World View 2 satellite images. Effect of using hybrid input in mapping the reflectance values to chlorophyll-a concentrations are studied. In the context of this study, three different high-resolution satellite images are analyzed for the spatial distribution of chlorophyll-a concentration in Lake Eymir. Field and laboratory studies are conducted for the measurement of parameters other than the reflectance values. Principle component analysis is applied on the collected data to decrease the number of model input parameters. Then, linear and non-linear regression and artificial neural network (ANN) models are derived to model the chlorophyll-a concentrations in Lake Eymir. Results indicate that ANN model shows better predictability compared to regression models. The predictability of ANN model increases with increasing variation in the dataset. Finally, it is seen that in determination of chlorophyll-a concentrations using remotely sensed data, models with hybrid inputs are superior compared to ones that use only remotely sensed reflectance values.

A risk assessment model (MAcRisk) have been developed to forecast the probability and the risk of maritime accidents on Bosphorus. Accident archives of Undersecretariat Maritime Affairs Search and Rescue Department, weather conditions data of Turkish State Meteorological Service and bathymetry and current maps of Office of Navigation, Hydrography and Oceanography have been used to prepare the model input and to forecast the accident probability. Accident data has been compiled according to stated sub-regions on Bosphorus and event type of accidents such as collision, grounding, capsizing, fire and other. All data that could be obtained are used to clarify the relationship on accident reasons. An artificial neural network model has been developed to forecast the maritime accidents in Bosphorus.

Along with advancement of human industrialization, pollution in the ocean is getting worse. Moreover, the overfishing through the years has caused catastrophic damage to the ocean eco-system. In order to avoid exhaustion of fishery resource, many concepts of planned administrative fishery has become popular, and thereamong, ocean ranch draws the most attention. Artificial reef plays a key role in an ocean ranch, which starts with incubating brood fish in the laboratory. Often, the brood fish will grow in the cage near coast till proper size, then be released to the artificial reef. If fish groups do not disperse and multiply, the artificial reef can be considered successful. The success of the artificial reef relies on the stable foundation. Consequently, the composition of seabed sediment under the planned site should be investigated thoroughly before hand. This research introduced a remote investigation method, which an active sonar, depth sounder, was used to emit and collect acoustic signals. By using the signals reflected from the seabed, the sediment composition can be analyzed. However, all acoustic signals are subjected to noise through propagation, and distorted somehow. Therefore, certain signal pre-processing should be applied to the received signal, and representative characteristics can be extracted from it. In this research, the recognition platform was built on artificial neural network (ANN) in this research. Among many network algorithm modes, this research chose the widely used backpropagation learning algorithm to be the main structure in ANN. The goal of this research was to discriminate among three seabed sediments: fine sand, medium sand, and rock. During the signal processing, characteristics were extracted by using peak value selection method. Selected major frequency peaks were fed into the network to train and learn. According to partial error relation between recognition and practical result, weights of the network were adjusted for improving successful ratio. Finally, a reliable acoustic wave signal recognition system was constructed.

Power system protection is important for service reliability and quality assurance. Various faults may occur due to natural and artificial calamity. To reduce the outage duration and promptly restore power services, fault section estimate has to be done effectively with appeared fault alarms. Dispatchers could study the changed statuses of primary/back-up relays and circuit breakers to identify the fault section and fault types. It is difficult to process too many alarms under various conditions in a large power system. Single fault, multiple faults, single and multiple faults could coexist with the failed operation of relays and circuit breakers, or with the erroneous data communication. Dispatchers need more time to process the many uncertainties before identifying the fault. This thesis presents the use of artificial intelligence for fault section detection in substation with neural networks. Probabilistic Neural Networks (PNN) are proposed for fault detection system in substation. The proposed methodology will use primary/back-up information of protective relays and circuit breakers to detect the fault sections involving single fault, multiple faults, or fault with the failure operation of the relays and circuit breakers. This paper also presents a fuzzy theory-based method to identify fault types. It is derived to improve the inadequacy of making decisions by selecting a fixed threshold value and has the capability of non-deterministic decision making with a prior knowledge of uncertainties in fault location, fault resistance and the a size of loads. The proposed approach has been tested on a typical taipower system with accurate results.

The technology of power electronics is used increasingly during recent years, and the electronic power facilities are used more and more in the power system. The non-linear electronic loads produce heavy harmonic currents and could significantly degrade the power quality. Nonlinear loads, including the un-interruptible power supply, motor control and converter, etc, are important equipment in a modern factory, however, these nonlinear loads could lead to power facility malfunction and capacitor damage. The harmonics would eventually cause severe unexpected capital loss. Identification of harmonic sources location becomes an important study for power quality. An effective tool is thus helpful for the harmonic source locating. This paper proposes a method to deal with the harmonic sources and location detection in the power system by using the artificial neural network (ANN). The non-linear loading characteristics are studied by the power flow analysis, and then the proposed methodology uses the Probabilistic Neural Networks¡]PNN¡^and wavelet-probabilistic network (WPN) for harmonic source locating. An IEEE 14-bus power system is used for study to show the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

PM10 and ozone are the dominant air pollutants in the Urban Kaohsiung. Ozone is a secondary pollutant generated in the troposphere from the precursors nitrogen dioxide and non-methane hydrocarbons. The trends of ozone concentrations first statistically are summarized utilizing the monitoring data during the period 1998¡Ð2007. All data are collected from four fixed-site air quality monitoring stations in Kaohsiung City. The results show that ozone concentration in Kaohsiung has one perennial peak concentration, occurring in October and March. The highest values occur in October and the secondary high value in March. The lowest values occur in the summer. The monitor data possess timeliness of data and the non-linear dynamic tendency. Artificial Neural Network ¡]ANN¡^, a system recognition, self-study function and ability of the solution to non-linearity dynamic system problem, was used as a tool to analyze these monitor data. This work utilizing neural networks develops a model to predict the trend of ozone situations in the Urban Kaohsiung. The network was trained using meteorological factor and air quality data when the ozone concentrations are the highest. The optimum set value of five parameters including date partition, hidden layer neurons, training function, leraning rate , and momentum coefficient were obtained based on trial and error methods. The simulated results of ozone concentration have a correlation coefficient within the range 0.865¡Ð0.899 and IOA within the range 0.927¡Ð0.934. The trend results of ozone concentration reflect strong relationships in all stations. The results of this study indicate that the artificial neural network (ANN) is a promising method for air pollution modeling.

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This dissertation is to design the operation strategy and protective scheme of micro-grid systems with dispersed generation (DG). The industrial power system with cogeneration units and the distribution feeder with wind power generators were selected as the study micro-grids for computer simulation. The mathematical models of cogeneration units and wind generators were included in the computer simulation by considering the operation control modes of DGs. The micro-grid systems and the nearby utility networks were constructed to solve the power flows of the micro-grids with various operation scenarios of power generation and load demand. For the severe external fault contingencies, the micro-grids have to be isolated from the utility power system in time to prevent the tripping of critical loads and DGs. By considering the fault ride through capability of cogenerators and voltage tolerance curves of critical loads, the critical tripping time (CTT) of tie circuit breaker of the micro-grids was determined according to the transient stability analysis. To maintain the stable operation of the micro-grids after tie line tripping, the load shedding scheme was designed by applying the under frequency and under voltage relays to disconnect the proper amount of non-critical loads according to the governor responses of cogeneration units. For the micro-grid of distribution feeder with wind power generator, the STATCOM was used to provide adaptive reactive power compensation for the mitigation of voltage fluctuation due to the variation of wind speed and feeder loading. The STATCOM can also be applied for the support of terminal voltage of wind generator (WG) to enhance the transient response of the micro-grid. The CTT of tie circuit breaker was determined by considering the low voltage ride through (LVRT) capability and the critical fault cleaning time of WG. To achieve more effective islanding operation of the micro-grids, the artificial neural network (ANN) was applied to determine the proper timing for tie line tripping and the proper amount of load shedding by using the wind speed, feeder loading and the voltage of micro-grid system as the input of ANN. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed tie line tripping and load shedding scheme, different fault contingencies of the external utility network have been simulated by using the computer program for the transient stability analysis. It is found that the critical and voltage sensitive loads of the micro-grid can be maintained when the tie circuit breaker is activated to isolate the external fault in time and followed by the execution of load shedding scheme.