Zugl.: Potsdam, Univ., Diss., 2006

Thesis (M.Sc.)--Lund University, 2001. / Title from title screen of PDF file (viewed 9 Dec. 2003). Includes bibliographical references.

I det här examensarbetet har utvecklingen av den svenska politiken kring biodrivmedel under perioden 1975–2020 undersökts. Detta i syfte att öka förståelsen för de politiska motiv som legat till grund vid utformningen av politiska styrmedel samt hur sambanden mellan styrmedel och biodrivmedelsproduktion utvecklats. I rapporten ingår granskningen av de propositioner och underlagsrapporter som varit grund till svenska styrmedel riktade mot biodrivmedel. Styrmedelsförslagen har beskrivits och vissa skillnader mellan underlagsrapporter och slutgiltigt förslag har diskuterats. De motiveringar och politiska mål som hänvisas till i styrmedelsförslagen har satts i en bredare kontext för att beskriva hur utvecklingen sett ut. Utvecklingen av biodrivmedelsmarknaden har samtidigt undersökts med hjälp av Energimyndighetens årliga rapporter samt årsredovisningar och offentliga uttalanden från de största biodrivmedelsproducenterna. Vad denna genomgång visat är att biodrivmedel använts som ett medel för att minska användningen av fossilbaserad bensin och diesel för att nå målen inom ett flertal olika politikområden. I början av tidsperioden var det främsta målet att öka den svenska energiförsörjningstryggheten, det målet kompletterades sedan med mål om att minska hälso- och miljöskadliga utsläpp. Att minska utsläppen av växthusgaser började sedan bli allt mer prioriterat och har under de senaste 20–30 åren varit det främsta målet. Vilka målsättningar som biodrivmedel kopplats till har skiftat under tidperioden och det har även funnits skillnader mellan olika styrmedel under samma tidsperiod. Forsknings- och utvecklingsstöd har varit fokuserade på att omvandla inhemska råvaror till biodrivmedel. Finansiella- och administrativa styrmedel har i stället främst varit utformade för att öka andelen biodrivmedel i den totala mängden drivmedel och inte för att öka den inhemska produktionen. Efter Sveriges inträde i EU har en stor del av den svenska biodrivmedelspolitiken varit utformad till att uppfylla de EU-direktiv som funnits. De styrmedel som existerat har haft en tydlig koppling till hur den svenska biodrivmedelsmarknaden utvecklats men sambandet är komplext och det har även funnits andra faktorer så som oljepriset som också haft en påverkan på utvecklingen. / In this thesis, the development of Swedish biofuel policy during the period 1975–2020 were investigated. The goal was to increase the understanding of the political motives behind the formulation of policy instruments and how the links between policy instruments and biofuel production have developed. A review of policy instruments targeting biofuels were conducted and presented in the report. The basis for the policy proposals has been summarized and some differences between the suggested policy and the final proposal have been discussed. The justifications and policy objectives referred to in the proposals have been put in a broader context to describe the development. The development of the biofuel market was investigated using the reports compiled annually by the Swedish Energy Agency, as well as previous compilations from several journals. What these reviews have shown is that biofuels have been used as a means of reducing the use of fossil-based petrol and diesel to achieve the targets in several different policy areas. At the beginning of the period, the main goal was to increase Swedish energy security, which was then supplemented by the goal of reducing harmful emissions. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions then became an increasing priority and has over the past 20–30 years been the main goal. The objectives to which biofuels have been linked have both changed during the period, and there have also been d¬ifferences between different policy instruments during the same period. Research and development support have been focused on converting domestic raw materials into biofuels, while financial and administrative instruments have mainly been designed to increase the share of biofuel use within the total use of transportation fuels and not to increase domestic production. Since Sweden's entry into the EU, a large part of the Swedish biofuels policy has been designed to comply with the EU directives that have existed. The policy instruments that have existed have had a clear connection to how the Swedish biofuels market has developed, but the relationship is complex and there have also been other factors that have affected the development, such as the oil price.

The main objective of the dissertation is to develop a dynamic, inter-regional, and multi-sector general equilibrium model of the Belgian economy capable of analysing issues related to the environment, energy, fiscal policies and accounting for distributive effects between household groups. The dissertation focuses on BelMod, a computable general equilibrium model (CGE).<p>BelMod is intended to act as an analytical and quantitative support for decision-making in the energy/environment field and fiscal policies. The tool would be in evaluating ex-ante the cost and benefit of different policies to be implemented. The winners and the losers may easily be identified. BelMod also aims at filling the gaps left by the other models currently used in Belgium, in particular by explicit bottom-up modelling of the three Belgian regions (Brussels, Flanders, Wallonia) in the full integrated framework, by further disaggregating the production and consumption blocks, by distinguishing different types of households to study the distributional effects of environmental and fiscal policies.<p>The effect of let’s say, carbon tax, may affect branches of activities, markets and institutions differently over time and space. Under the “Burden Sharing Agreement”, Belgium committed to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions by 7.5 % by 2008-2012 from the 1990 level. Therefore the efficient way of dealing with this issue requires an analytical tool which can take into account the interactions between institutional agents (regional governments, community’s governments, central government, households, firms and rest of the world), their behaviour and the time horizon. The most adequate tool to do so is the general equilibrium model.<p>A CGE model such as BelMod requires a consistent, detailed and well structured database in the form of a social accounting matrix (SAM). A SAM is a square matrix which takes into account the production, consumption, revenues, expenditures and transactions of institutions at a given period of time. The reference year for our SAM is 2003. The SAM we built contains sixty two (62) branches of activity, sixty nine (69) commodities, three (3) regional governments, the French Community, the Central Government, the capital accounts and the Rest of the World.<p>Finally, to illustrate the capabilities of the model we provide two scenario analyses. In the first policy scenario, we simulate the introduction of a carbon tax at 20 euro per ton of CO2 emissions in 2013-2020 and 30 euro per ton of CO2 emissions in 2021-2050. In the second policy scenario, we simulate a linear and gradual increase of the crude oil price to 150 US dollars per barrel in 2050. The increase starts in 2008 and the target (150 US dollars) is reached in 2050.<p> / Doctorat en Sciences économiques et de gestion / info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished