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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
11

Enriching flood risk analyses with distributions of soil mechanical parameters through the statistical analysis of classification experiments

Schwiersch, Niklas, Heyer, Torsten, Stamm, Jürgen 04 June 2024 (has links)
The distributions of soil mechanical parameters required for a comprehensive flood risk assessment are often taken from the scarce literature available. This article therefore presents a method to indirectly obtain the distributions from the results of often conducted classification tests. Empirical correlation terms are used for the transformation of the classification data into stability-relevant parameters, in particular the void ratio, the soil unit weight, the friction angle and the saturated permeability. The method is applied exemplarily to a data set collected throughout Germany in the immediate vicinity of water bodies and plausible distributions are obtained for 2/3 of the 13 soil classes considered. For the validation of the results, the extension of (inter)national databases by samples of the considered soil mechanical parameters is recommended due to the current poor validation basis.
12

The impacts of varying 2D modelling strategies on flood hazard assessment in urban areas: case study of the Garonne River flood risk prevention plan / Effekterna av olika strategier för 2D-modellering på bedömningen av översvämningsrisker i stadsområden: fallstudie av planen för förebyggande av översvämningsrisker i Garonnefloden

Hérault, Alexis January 2024 (has links)
Flood risk assessment in urban areas necessitates the utilization of advanced modeling strategies to accurately depict inundation patterns and potential impacts on communities and infrastructure. This study investigates the impacts of varying 2D modeling strategies on flood risk assessment in the context of the Garonne River flood risk prevention plan. The research focuses on building 2D hydraulic models for the Garonne and Ariège rivers using Telemac 2D, supplemented by models for their tributaries on HEC-RAS. Following calibration, the 1875 reference flood event is simulated, sensitivity analyses were conducted on downstream boundary conditions, Strickler coefficient for the floodplain, and discharge parameters. The results reveal significant impacts of these parameters on the final hazard maps, underscoring the importance of thoughtful consideration in model calibration and parameter selection. It also questions the strategy to base the assessment on an extreme historical flood event with little data to back up the accuracy of the results, or favoring a less extreme event that will lead more accurate results, but with maybe less security.  The study highlights the critical role of high precision topography, particularly in flat and urban areas, where traditional discharge data may be lacking, and precipitation-based methods may prove less effective. The choice of modeling software also emerges as a key factor influencing the accuracy of flood hazard assessments, with variations in parameters and computation methods yielding differing outcomes.  Overall, this research underscores the complex interplay between modeling strategies, parameter selection, and topographic characteristics in urban flood risk assessment. It emphasizes the need for a nuanced approach in choosing flood events for modeling, balancing the availability of data with the accuracy and reliability of results. / Riskbedömning av översvämningar i stadsområden kräver användning av avancerade modelleringsstrategier för att korrekt beskriva översvämningsmönster och potentiella effekter på samhällen och infrastruktur. I denna studie undersöks effekterna av olika 2D- modelleringsstrategier på bedömningen av översvämningsrisker i samband med planen för förebyggande av översvämningsrisker i Garonnefloden. Forskningen fokuserar på att bygga hydrauliska 2D-modeller för floderna Garonne och Ariège med Telemac 2D, kompletterat med modeller för deras bifloder i HEC-RAS.  Efter kalibrering simuleras 1875 års referensflöde, känslighetsanalyser utförs på nedströms gränsvillkor, Strickler-koefficienten för översvämningsslätten och flödesparametrar. Resultaten visar att dessa parametrar har en betydande inverkan på de slutliga riskkartorna, vilket understryker vikten av noggranna överväganden vid modellkalibrering och val av parametrar.  Studien belyser den kritiska roll som högupplöst topografi spelar, särskilt i platta och urbana områden, där traditionella flödesdata kan saknas och nederbördsbaserade metoder kan vara mindre effektiva. Valet av modelleringsprogramvara framstår också som en nyckelfaktor som påverkar noggrannheten i bedömningen av översvämningsrisker, med variationer i parametrar och beräkningsmetoder som ger olika resultat.  Sammantaget understryker denna forskning det komplexa samspelet mellan modelleringsstrategier, val av parametrar och topografiska egenskaper vid riskbedömning av översvämningar i städer.  Den betonar behovet av ett nyanserat tillvägagångssätt när man väljer översvämningshändelser för modellering, och balanserar tillgången på data med resultatens noggrannhet och tillförlitlighet.
13

Modélisation hydrologique déterministe pour l'évaluation des risques d'inondation et le changement du climat en grand bassin versant. Application au bassin versant de Vu Gia Thu Bon, Viet Nam. / Deterministic hydrological modelling for flood risk assessment and climate change in large catchment. Application to Vu Gia Thu Bon catchment, Vietnam

Vo, Ngoc Duong 11 September 2015 (has links)
Le changement climatique dû à l'augmentation des émissions de gaz à effet de serre est considéré comme l'un des principaux défis pour les êtres humains dans 21ème siècle. Il conduira à des changements dans les précipitations, l'humidité atmosphérique, augmentation de l'évaporation et probablement augmenter la fréquence des événements extrêmes. Les conséquences de ces phénomènes auront une influence sur de nombreux aspects de la société humaine. Donc, il y a une nécessité d'avoir une estimation robuste et précise de la variation des facteurs naturels dus au changement climatique, au moins dans les événements de cycle et d'inondation hydrologiques pour fournir une base solide pour atténuer les impacts du changement climatique et s'adapter à ces défis. Le but de cette étude est de présenter une méthodologie pour évaluer les impacts de différents scénarios de changement climatique sur une zone inondable du bassin de la rivière côtière dans la région centrale du Viet Nam - bassin versant de Vu Gia Thu Bon. Les simulations hydrologiques sont basées sur un modèle hydrologique déterministe validé qui intègre la géologie, les sols, la topographie, les systèmes fluviaux et les variables climatiques. Le climat de la journée présente, sur la période de 1991-2010 a été raisonnablement simulée par le modèle hydrologique. Climat futur (2091-2100) information a été obtenue à partir d'une réduction d'échelle dynamique des modèles climatiques mondiaux. L'étude analyse également les changements dans la dynamique des inondations de la région de l'étude, le changement hydrologique et les incertitudes du changement climatique simulation. / Climate change due to the increase of greenhouse gas emissions is considered to be one of the major challenges to mankind in the 21st century. It will lead to changes in precipitation, atmospheric moisture, increase in evaporation and probably a higher frequency of extreme events. The consequences of these phenomena will have an influence on many aspects of human society. Particularly at river deltas, coastal regions and developing countries, the impacts of climate change to socio-economic development become more serious. So there is a need for a robust and accurate estimation of the variation of natural factors due to climate change, at least in the hydrological cycle and flooding events to provide a strong basis for mitigating the impacts of climate change and to adapt to these challenges. The aim of this study is to present a methodology to assess the impacts of different climate change scenarios on a flood prone area of a coastal river basin in the central region of Viet Nam – Vu Gia Thu Bon catchment. The hydrological simulations are based on a validated deterministic hydrological model which integrates geology, soil, topography, river systems and climate variables. The present day climate, over the period of 1991-2010 was reasonably simulated by the hydrological model. Future climate (2091-2100) information was obtained from a dynamical downscaling of the global climate models. The study also analyzes the changes in the flood dynamics of the study region, the hydrological shift and the uncertainties of climate change simulation.

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