The investigation of the role of basin-scale forcing on the circulation of the Faroe-Shetland Channel (FSC) is important to further understanding of the inter-annual variability of the Atlantic water (AW) fluxes in this region. The FSC plays a key role in the transfer of warm and saline AW towards the Nordic Seas that is an integral part of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation which is projected to decline over the twenty-first century and might reduce the oceanic heat and salt transports towards the Arctic. So far little attention has been paid to the mechanisms driving the AW fluxes in the FSC, reliable estimates of AW temperature and salt transports time series are lacking. This study presents a new time series of the AW fluxes based on the combination of hydrography and altimetry data. The mechanisms involved in driving the variability of AW fluxes are considered based on observational data and the output from a high-resolution ocean model (VIKING20). The hydrographic observations from 1993 to 2015 show an increase in temperature and salinity of AW. However, there is no evidence of trends in AW volume, temperature or salt transports during the observed period. This analysis confirms that the amount of heat and salt transported through the FSC is dominated by the volume transport. Moreover, this study identifies a bias in the standard deviation of the geostrophic velocity at a depth associated with referencing the geostrophic calculations to the sea surface geostrophic velocity from satellite altimetry. This finding does not strongly influence the AW volume transports in the AW layer, however, it has important implications for estimates of the geostrophic volume transport at depth. This study shows that the Ekman driven up/downwelling and the differential Ekman pumping mechanisms driven by the local wind forcing may influence sea surface height (SSH) and the displacement of isopycnals in the channel, leading to AW volume transport variabilit However, due to the large associated error bars on the surface and subsurface parameters, there is no clear evidence that these mechanisms are significantly responsible for the AW volume transport variability in the FSC. Lagrangian trajectories show evidence of two pathways from the North Atlantic to the FSC that may explain AW variability in the FSC: one pathway involves the flow of warm and saline waters from the Rockall Trough that corresponds to high temperatures and low AW volume transport in the channel, and the other pathway involves the flow of relatively cooler and less saline waters from the Iceland Basin that is linked to low temperatures and stronger volume transport in the FSC. Moreover, we show that the first (second) pathway is associated with the negative (positive) phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the ocean gyre contraction (expansion). The changes of the NAO index phases explain 26 % of the AW volume transport variance in the FSC. Another important mechanism that leads to stronger (weaker) AW volume transport is stronger (weaker) pressure gradient across the Greenland-Scotland Ridge, reflected by the SSH changes. This mechanism explains 29 % of AW volume transport variance in the FSC.

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Les gyres subtropicaux sont au coeur des changements observés au cours des dernières décennies. On y observe entre la surface et la pycnocline permanente une augmentation du contenu thermique de l’océan. La pycnocline permanente délimite un important réservoir de chaleur et joue un rôle majeur en empêchant la chaleur accumulée en surface d’atteindre les profondeurs de l’océan. La pycnocline permanente est donc d’un intérêt important dans un contexte de changement climatique. Pour la première fois et grâce au réseau de données Argo, nous avons été capables de déterminer les propriétés de la pycnocline permanente. L’objectif de cette thèse est de déterminer la structure de la pycnocline permanente et d’étudier sa variabilité au cours des dernières décennies. Une méthode de détermination objective de la pycnocline permanente a été développée. Cette méthode a d’abord été appliquée à l’océan Atlantique nord avec les données Argo puis à l’océan global. Une structure complexe de la pycnocline permanente a été mise en évidence avec de fortes différences d’un gyre à l’autre. La pycnocline permanente est la plus profonde et la plus épaisse dans le gyre subtropical nord Atlantique. Cela explique que le gyre subtropical nord Atlantique soit le plus grand réservoir de chaleur au monde. Ensuite, les relations entre la variabilité du contenu de chaleur et les propriétés de la pycnocline permanente ont été étudiées en s’appuyant sur des réanalyses océaniques. Au cours des dernières décennies, un réchauffement important de l’océan a été observé et particulièrement dans l’océan Atlantique nord. Ce réchauffement est principalement dominé par un approfondissement des isopycnes. Les déplacements verticaux des isopycnes induisent des changements dans la stratification et affectent les propriétés de la pycnocline permanente (profondeur et densité potentielle). / Subtropical gyres are central to the observed climate changes throughout the last decades. It is observed between the surface and the permanent pycnocline an intense increase in the ocean heat content. The permanent pycnocline delineates thus an important heat reservoir. The permanent pycnocline has a major role in preventing heat to reach the deep ocean and it thus of a relative importance in the context of climate change. For the first time and thanks to the development of the Argo array, we have been able to characterize the observed structure of the permanent pycnocline. The objective of this PhD thesis is to investigate the structure of the permanent pycnocline and its variability over the last decades. We developed an objective method to characterize the properties of the permanent pycnocline. This method has been first applied to the North Atlantic Ocean with Argo data and then to the global ocean. A complex structure of the permanent pycnocline emerges with strong differences from one gyre to another. The permanent pycnocline is found to be the deepest and the thickest in the North Atlantic subtropical gyre. It implies that the North Atlantic subtropical gyre is the largest heat reservoir on Earth. Then, ocean reanalyses have been used to investigate the changes in the permanent pycnocline properties in the North Atlantic subtropical gyre. Over the last decades, there is a strong warming of the upper ocean, especially in the North Atlantic subtropical gyre. The warming in the ocean is dominated by the heaving of isopycnal surfaces. This heaving strongly affects the depths of isopycnals and the stratification. This in turn affects the properties of the permanent pycnocline, especially its depth and potential density.

Le but de cette thèse est d’analyser les impacts de la variabilité atmosphérique grande échelle sur la circulation océanique. Ceci a déjà fait l’objet de nombreuses publications, dans lesquelles la variabilité atmosphérique est analysée en termes de modes de variabilité, déterminés par analyse en composantes principales (EOF en anglais) des anomalies de pression de surface. Ces modes sont l’Oscillation Nord-Atlantic (NAO), le Pattern Est-Atlantique (EAP) et le Pattern Scandinave (SCAN). La décomposition en EOF implique que les modes sont orthogonaux et symétriques. Cette dernière hypothèse a été montrée comme étant invalide pour la NAO. Par conséquent, un nouveau concept est proposé dans cette étude pour estimer la variabilité atmosphérique, celui des régimes de temps. Ces derniers sont des structures spatiales de grande échelle, récurrents et quasi-Stationnaires qui permettent de capturer la variabilité des forçages atmosphériques. De plus, ils permettent de séparer les patterns spatiaux des deux phases de la NAO. Ces régimes de temps sont donc une alternative prometteuse pour l’analyse de la variabilité océanique forcée par l’atmosphère. A partir d’observation et de modèles numériques (réalistes ou idéalisés), nous avons montré que les régimes Atlantic Ridge (AR), NAO− et NAO+ induisent une réponse rapide (échelles mensuelles à interannuelles) des gyres subtropical et subpolaire (via un mécanisme de Sverdrup topographique) et de la cellule de retournement (MOC, ajustement aux anomalies de transport d’Ekman). Aux échelles décennales, le gyre subpolaire s’intensifie lors de conditions NAO+ et BLK persistantes via un ajustement barocline aux flux de flottabilité et s’affaiblit pour AR via un ajustement barocline aux anomalies de rotationnel de vent. Ce dernier mécanisme explique aussi l’augmentation du gyre subtropical pour une NAO+ persistante et son affaiblissement pour un AR persistant. La réponse des gyres pour des conditions de NAO− persistantes est un déplacement vers le sud des gyres (l’intergyre gyre). L’intensité de la MOC est augmentée pour des conditions de NAO+ et BLK persistantes, dû à l’augmentation de la formation d’eau dense en mer du Labrador, et inversement pour NAO− et AR. Finalement, des bilans de contenu de chaleur dans la gyre subpolaire et les mers nordiques ont été effectués dans quatre modèles océaniques globaux. Les moyennes d’hiver de convergence océanique de chaleur dans la partie ouest de la gyre subpolaire sont positivement corrélées aux occurrences d’hiver de NAO−, ce qui est dû à la présence de l’intergyre, tandis que cette convergence est négativement corrélée aux occurrences d’AR, ce qui est dû à la réduction des deux gyres qui lui est associée. Les flux de chaleur vers l’océan dans la gyre subpolaire sont négativement corrélés aux occurrences d’hiver de la NAO+ et inversement pour la NAO−. Dans les mers Nordiques, ils sont positivement corrélés aux occurrences de BLK et, dans une moindre mesure, aux occurrences de AR. De plus, nous suggérons que la variabilité du contenu de chaleur dans la partie ouest du gyre subpolaire est la réponse décalée (lag de 6 ans) à l’intégration temporelle du forçage lié au régime NAO+, due à la combinaison de la réponse en phase (0-Lag) des flux de chaleur et à la réponse décalée (lag de 3 ans) de la convergence de chaleur. / The aim of the PhD is to investigate the impacts of the large-Scale atmospheric variability on the North- Atlantic ocean circulation. This question has already been addressed in a large number of studies, in which the atmospheric variability is decomposed into modes of variability, determined by decomposing sea-Level pressure anomalies into Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOFs). These modes of variability are the North-Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the East-Atlantic Pattern (EAP) and the Scandinavian Pattern (SCAN). EOF decomposition assumes that the modes are orthogonal and symmetric. The latter assumption, however, has been shown to be inadequate for the NAO. Hence, a different framework is used in this study to assess the atmospheric variability, the so-Called weather regimes. These are large-Scale, recurrent and quasi-Stationary atmospheric patterns that have been shown to capture well the interannual and decadal variability of atmospheric forcing to the ocean. Furthermore, they allow to separate the spatial patterns of the positive and negative NAO phases. Hence, these weather regimes are a promising alternative to modes of variability in the study of the ocean response to atmospheric variability. Using observations and numerical models (realistic or in idealised settings), we have shown that the Atlantic Ridge (AR), NAO− and NAO+ regimes drive a fast (monthly to interannual) wind-Driven response of the subtropical and subpolar gyres (topographic Sverdrup balance) and of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC, driven by Ekman transport anomalies). At decadal timescales, the subpolar gyre strengthens for persistent NAO+ and Scandinavian Blocking (BLK) conditions via baroclinic adjustment to buoyancy fluxes and slackens for persistent AR conditions via baroclinic adjustment to wind-Stress curl anomalies. The latter mechanism also accounts for the strengthening of the subtropical gyre for persistent NAO+ conditions and its weakening for persistent AR conditions. The gyres response to persistent NAO− conditions reflects the southward shift of the gyre system (the intergyre gyre). The MOC spins-Up for persistent NAO+ and BLK conditions via increased deep water formation in the Labrador Sea, and conversely for the NAO− and AR regimes. Last, heat budget calculations in the subpolar gyre and the Nordic Seas have been performed using four global ocean hindcasts. The winter averaged heat convergence in the western subpolar gyre is positively correlated with the NAO− winter occurrences, which is due to the intergyregyre circulation, while it is negatively correlated with AR winter occurrences, because of the wind-Driven reduction of both gyres. Downward surface heat flux anomalies are negatively correlated with NAO+ occurrences, and conversely for the NAO−. In the Nordic Seas, they are positively correlated with BLK and to a lesser extent AR occurrences. Furthermore, we suggest that the heat content variability in the western subpolar gyre is the signature of the delayed response (6-Year lag) to the time-Integrated NAO+ forcing, due to the combination of the immediate (0-Lag) response of surface heat flux and the lagged (3 year lag) response of ocean heat convergence.

The linear Barotropic Non-Divergent simulation of a vortex on a beta plane is consistent with Willoughby’s earlier shallow-water divergent results in that it produced an unbounded accelerating westward and poleward motion without an asymptotic limit. However, Montgomery’s work which yielded finite linear drift speeds for his completely cyclonic vortex was inconsistent with ours. The nonlinearly-forced streamfunction exhibited a beta-gyre like structure, but with opposite polarity phase to the linear gyres. Utilization of the linear model with time-dependent, but otherwise beta-like, forcing revealed increasing magnitude and phase reversal in the neighborhood of a low cyclonic frequency. Here, the mean bounded vortex has an outer waveguide that supports Vortex Rossby Wave propagation that is faster than the mean flow and confined to a very narrow band of frequencies between zero and the Vortex Rossby Wave cutoff. The low frequency waves constitute the beta-gyre mode described previously by Willoughby.