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Estimating misalignment of Chinese currency by modified Balassa-Samuelson model.January 2008 (has links)
Wu, Tujin. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2008. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves [47]-49). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Abstract --- p.i / 摘要 --- p.ii / Acknowledgments --- p.iii / Chapter I. --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter II. --- China´ةs Economic Transition and Literature Review --- p.6 / Chapter II.1. --- Export-led Strategy and Exchange Rate Evolution --- p.6 / Chapter II.2. --- Literature review of exchange rate misalignment --- p.10 / Chapter III. --- Theories Background --- p.14 / Chapter 1. --- Purchasing Power Parity and Balassa Samuelson Hypothesis --- p.14 / Chapter 2. --- Modified Balassa Samuelson Hypothesis --- p.17 / Chapter IV. --- Empirical Estimation --- p.21 / Chapter 1. --- Cross-Section Estimate --- p.21 / Chapter 2. --- Time Series Estimation --- p.25 / Chapter 3. --- Policy proposal in the duration of price revaluation --- p.36 / Chapter V. --- Summary --- p.44
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The effects of inflation targeting on economic growth in South AfricaMokgola, Aubrey January 2015 (has links)
Thesis (M. Com. (Economics)) -- University of Limpopo, 2015 / South Africa is among a number of countries that have adopted inflation targeting as their monetary policy framework since 1990. This policy was adopted in the year 2000 in South Africa, and there have been a growing number of concerns about the effects of inflation targeting on economic growth in South Africa. The main purpose of this study is to determine these effects of inflation targeting on economic growth in South Africa. In this paper, the author used co-integration and error correction model to empirically examine the long-run and short-run dynamics of inflation targeting effects on economic growth. A final conclusion that inflation targeting does not have significant negative effects on economic growth is drawn from two interesting results. Firstly, there is an insignificant negative relationship between inflation targeting and economic growth. Secondly, the influence that inflation targeting has on the relationship between the lag of inflation and economic growth is also insignificant. These findings have important policy implications. Therefore, the critique that the SARB achieves relatively low inflation at the expense of low economic growth is a misconception. This led to the conclusion that the SARB should maintain its monetary policy framework of inflation targeting which has helped it to reduce inflation.
Keywords: Inflation targeting, inflation, economic growth, error correction model, monetary policy.
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Essays on monetary policy and the ouput gap in the US /Basistha, Arabinda. January 2002 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Washington, 2002. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (p. 85-93).
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Essays on inflation forecast based rules, robust policies and sovereign debtRodriguez, Arnulfo 28 August 2008 (has links)
Not available / text
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Three essays on openness, international pricing, and optimal monetary policyEvans, Richard William, 1975- 29 August 2008 (has links)
Not available / text
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Profit sharing, unemployment, and inflation in Canada : a simulation analysis / v.2. Statistical appendix.Sood, Premlata Khetan. January 1996 (has links)
The thesis examines the impact of a partial switch to a share system in Canada on unemployment and inflation. Simulations with an independent Canadian macro model and Canadian data for the period 1973-1983 show that profit sharing will not always resolve unemployment and inflation, as claimed by Martin Weitzman. Some combinations of the share parameters resolve them, while others aggravate them. Thus, the combinations of the share parameters play a key role in terms of impact of the profit sharing on unemployment and inflation.
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Essays on output and real exchange rate dynamicsKhan, Hashmat Ullah 05 1900 (has links)
There are two key observations in international macroeconomics which pertain to output
and real exchange rate dynamics. First, fluctuations in national output around its long-run
growth path are very persistent. Second, fluctuations in real exchange rates are very
persistent. The sticky price framework offers an explanation for both phenomena. The
first and second essay of this thesis take an empirical approach to test the predictions of
this framework.
In the first essay I test the prediction of the sticky price model for output dynamics
using annual IFS data on 51 countries over the period 1950 -1996. The model predicts that
price stickiness should be less important in high inflation countries and therefore output
fluctuations less persistent. I find that, this inverse relationship is statistically insignificant
in the international data. A similar result holds for OECD countries. In the empirical
implementation I explicitly control for the within-country time variation in inflation by
first characterizing the inflationary environment using the long-run movements in inflation
(trend inflation), and secondly, by excluding episodes of hyperinflation. The analysis shows
that when the within-country time variation in inflation is ignored, there is support for
the prediction. For instance, the inverse relationship between persistence in deviations of
output from its long-run growth path and average inflation is statistically significant in
the full sample. However, the exclusion of a few episodes of hyperinflation renders this
relationship statistically insignificant.
In the second essay I investigate the prediction of the sticky price model for real exchange
rate dynamics using annual IFS data on 49 countries over the period 1972-1996.
The model predicts that deviations of real exchange rates from purchasing power parity
should be less persistent, in high inflation countries. The empirical analysis reveals that
the support for such an inverse relationship is extremely fragile. In particular, eliminating
episodes of hyperinflation renders this relationship statistically insignificant.
The lack of evidence in favour of the two predictions of the sticky price model is problematic
since this model is extensively used as a microfoundation for understanding output
and real exchange rate fluctuations.
In the third essay I take a structural approach to qualitatively explore the role of slow
diffusion of new products in propagating the effect of technology shocks on output. I
present a multi-sector dynamic general equilibrium model in which the creation of new
products requires real resources. These products are beneficial for the economy but only
upon complete diffusion. However, this diffusion is not instantaneous. I find that relative
to a model in which there is instantaneous diffusion of new products, the qualitative
output dynamics are similar to what is observed in the U.S. data. This warrants further
quantitative investigation.
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Time series modelling with application to South African inflation dataJanuary 2009 (has links)
The research is based on financial time series modelling with special application / Thesis (M.Sc.) - University of KwaZulu-Natal, Pietermaritzburg, 2009.
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An evaluation of inflation targeting in South Africa.Mabelane, Makgopa Freddy. January 2006 (has links)
This research was conducted to evaluate the adoption of inflation targeting in South Africa as a strategy to maintain price stability. The research was based on the period prior to inflation targeting and the period of inflation targeting. The comparison was done to determine if the Reserve Bank was on the right track in adopting inflation targeting. The research was conducted to determine if there is any correlation between CPIX inflation and other factors affecting inflation. The factors investigated were: food inflation, transport inflation, housing inflation, exchange rate, Brent crude oil, money supply, and the current account deficit to the GDP. The correlation studies were conducted during the same period and when the factors were lagged up to eight quarters. The correlations were statistically tested at 5% significant level. The results show that the period of inflation targeting has a strong correlation compared to the period prior to inflation targeting, when compared during the same time period and lagged time period. / Thesis (MBA)-University of KwaZulu-Natal, 2006.
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Money supply, inflation and the balance of payments : a case study of Ceylon (1960-1971)De Silva, K. E. A. January 1973 (has links)
No description available.
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