Orientador: Célia Regina Lopes Zimback / Banca: Sergio Lázsaro de Lima / Banca: Norma Regina Truppel Constantino / Banca: Jandira Liria Biscalquini Talamoni / Banca: Ivan Fúrio Batista / Resumo: O presente trabalho descreveu uma metodologia para o projeto de redes ecológicas na escala territorial, como instrumento de planejamento territorial e urbano que, sob o paradigma da sustentabilidade, pode representar um meio para atenuar o fenômeno da fragmentação dos habitats naturais. Com esta finalidade a metodologia foi aplicada ao triângulo constituído pelos municípios de Agudos - Bauru - Piratininga no estado de São Paulo, Brasil, para dar suporte aos trabalhos de elaboração do Plano Diretor Participativo do Município de Agudos. A caracterização da área foi desenvolvida para evidenciar as reais potencialidades do território, em termos de idoneidade das áreas com maior propensão a hospedar os corredores verdes da rede ecológica. A idoneidade foi determinada através de uma análise multicriterial utilizando o método da Combinação Linear dos Pesos (WLC). Um conjunto de informações ambientais e físicas sobre a área de estudo foi extraído das análises pedológicas, desenvolvidas para a determinação da capacidade de uso. Estas informações foram reinterpretadas e complementadas por dados relativos à conservação da biodiversidade e à preservação do sistema verde e avaliadas com o método WLC. Com base no mapa de idoneidade, foram individualizados os traçados ideais, segundo uma lógica de menor custo, para a instauração de uma série de corredores verdes, que pudessem cumprir a função de conexão entre os pontos nodais da rede ecológica. Os pontos nodais foram escolhidos de modo a privilegiar as áreas verdes que contenham áreas nucleares e o eixo fluvial do Rio Batalha, principal rio da região. Sugeriu-se uma avaliação dos resultados segundo os princípios da ecologia da paisagem, confrontando os cenários projetuais de redes ecológicas (paisagens modificadas - PM) com o cenário zero (isto é, como a paisagem atual - PA)...(Resumo completo, clicar acesso eletrônico abaixo) / Abstract: This work described a methodology to design ecological networks for a territorial scale, as an instrument for territorial and urban planning. Under the sustainability paradigm, it represented a means to mitigate the phenomenon of habitat fragmentation. Therefore, the methodology was applied to the triangle of the municipalities of Agudos - Bauru - Piratininga, in San Paolo State, Brazil, in order to support the ongoing work for the Participatory Plan for the municipality of Agudos. The area characterization was carried out highlighting the real capabilities of the territory in terms of suitability for the implantation of green corridors for ecological networks. Suitability analysis is determined by a multicriteria evaluation with weighted linear combination method (WLC). A set of environmental and physical information about the study area was derived from pedology investigations developed during the land use capability stage. This information were reconsidered and completed to take into account the biodiversity conservation issue and the green system preservation issue, and later evaluated by the WLC method. Over the suitability map, the best paths for the ecological network were identified through a least cost method in order to interconnect the nodal point of the network, that means, ecological valuable patches with core area and fluvial strips near Batalha River, the most important river in the region. The assessment of the ecological network proposals is based on the landscape ...(Complete abstract click electronic access below) / Doutor

This thesis describes the implementation methods for multi-criteria evaluation into the software application. IZAR is a software product that solves decision problems. IZAR solves single and multi-criteria, continuous and discrete decision problems. This thesis describes the extension of application IZAR. Several methods of multi-criteria evaluation were added into application. Supplemented methods were chosen so that the extended applications use the most basic methods from the decision theory. Introductory part of the thesis describes the basic methods that have been implemented into IZAR. There is summarized the theoretical basis of each method. The central part deals with the description of each method in terms of implementation. Attention is paid to the parts of the algorithms that have been modified or extended so that the methods are universal. Finally, the thesis shows the test examples in which functionality of methods was verified. There is described a group of complicated decision problems and control conditions that were created for these problems to find the right results.

La culture de l'ananas s'est fortement développée à la Réunion et représente la première production fruitière de l'île en termes de valeur et de tonnage exporté. L'hétérogénéité des conditions climatiques de l'île ainsi que la diversité des pratiques culturales, notamment en ce qui concerne la fertilisation azotée et l'irrigation, mène à une forte variabilité des rendements, de la qualité gustative des fruits et d'utilisation des ressources naturelles du milieu. Le développement de systèmes de culture plus durables impose de repenser et d'optimiser l'assemblage des pratiques culturales, en prenant en compte les spécificités des différentes zones de production. Un modèle ad-hoc, SIMPIÑA a été développé afin de décrire la croissance et le développement de la plante et la qualité gustative des fruits (teneur en sucres et en acides) en fonction du climat et des pratiques culturales (poids de rejets plantés, densité, date d'induction florale, fertilisation et irrigation). Ce modèle présente la particularité d'intégrer des modules mécanistes (croissance de la plante, teneur en sucre des fruits, bilans hydriques et azotés) et des modules statistiques pour la prévision de l'acidité des fruits à la récolte et la partie économique. Les pratiques culturales sont prises en compte au travers de règles de décision qu'il est ainsi possible d'évaluer. Une typologie des pratiques culturales a été élaborée sur 40 exploitations de l'île, en amont, afin de réduire le champ des possibles et permettre de proposer des systèmes de culture innovants, en optimisant les performances des systèmes tout en prenant en compte les principales contraintes des exploitations. SIMPIÑA a été utilisé pour identifier des combinaisons de pratiques culturales des systèmes qu'il conviendra de tester « au champ ». Cette approche intégrative a permis des avancées significatives au niveau de la modélisation de la culture de l'ananas et de la définition de systèmes de culture innovants. / Pineapple production is increasing on Réunion Island and represents the first fruit production, in terms of value and yield exported. The heterogeneity of climatic conditions on the island and the diversity of cultural practices, particularly with regard to nitrogen fertilization and irrigation, lead to a high variability in yield, gustatory quality of fruit and use of natural resources. The development of more sustainable cropping systems requires rethinking and optimizing the combination of agricultural practices, by taking into account the specificities of the different production areas. An ad-hoc model, SIMPIÑA was developed to describe the growth and development of pineapple plant and fruit quality (sugar and acid content) depending on climate and cultural practices (sucker weight at planting, planting density, date of flowering induction, fertilization and irrigation). This model has the particularity to integrate process-based model modules (plant growth, sugar content, water and nitrogen balance) and statistical modules (for predicting the acidity of fruit at harvest and the economic part). Cultural practices are taken into account through decision rules that may thus be assessed with the model. A typology of cultural practices was carried out based on interviews of 40 farmers all over Réunion Island and led to three farm's types with specific climatic and organizational constraints. SIMPIÑA was used to explore a wide range of combination of cultural practices, taking into account the constraints of each farm-type. We identified trends of cultural practices combinations which optimize the performances of the systems and that should be tested in the field. This integrative approach has led to significant advances in modeling pineapple production and in defining innovative cropping systems.

The topic of this diploma thesis is the application of certain operation research methods on a practical example. The main objective is to evaluate and compare hypermarkets of selected retail company on the basis of data from cosmetics department for the year 2013. In the thesis are firstly described theoretical assumptions necessary for understanding the decision theory and DEA models, next part is then focused on selected company and its history, current market position and the different types of store formats. Following practical part shows the application of multicriteria evaluation methods (WSA, TOPSIS, ELECTRE III) and DEA models (CCR and BCC) on concrete intern data and results which are then commented, compared and completed with recommendations, how to eliminate store or stores weaknesses, if needed. All calculations in the practical part of this thesis were done by the supplement of MS Excel -- Sanna and optimalization software LINGO.

The diploma thesis deals with simulation of manufacturing of the order for production of 50 pieces of radial fans RFC 200 in company ALTEKO, Inc. The aim of this diploma thesis is to find out whether it is under current conditions feasible to complete the order and deliver goods to customer in time. The order also includes selection of appropriate engine supplier using the methods of multicriteria evaluation of alternatives. The objective of the first three chapters is to familiarize reader with theoretical basis of multiple criteria decision making, simulation models and project management. The fourth part describes the concept of simulation program Simul8. The fifth part provides information about the company ALTEKO, its history and current business running. In the last chapter theoretical knowledge is used to real problem by using the most important tool simulation of manufacturing process. In the simulation current state of the manufacturing process is explored and proposals how to eliminate weak bottle necks of the process using the experimenting with the model. Based on the obtained results the possible solutions which should be helpful for improvement of company´s processes even in case that the order is completed in time will be proposed.

Este trabalho apresenta um diagnóstico preliminar do aporte de sedimentos ao reservatório da Usina Hidrelétrica de Volta Grande (MG), oferecendo subsídios ao planejamento do uso e ocupação do solo, visando à manutenção dos usos múltiplos desse reservatório. A geração de cartas temáticas, bem como a distribuição espacial do aporte de sedimentos foram obtidas com a utilização da análise multi-critério. As cartas de risco obtidas, mesmo utilizando diferentes fatores, ressaltam áreas coincidentes de média e de alta vulnerabilidade à perda de solo e à sedimentação, indicando, portanto, a necessidade de planejamento, conservação e uso racional dos recursos de solo e água. / This work presents a preliminary diagnosis of the sediments silting up the Reservoir of the Hydro-electric Power Station of Volta Grande (MG), offering subsidies to the planning of use and occupation of the soil, aiming at the maintenance of the multiple uses of this reservoir. The development of thematic maps, as well as the area distribution of the sediments silting up, was obtained from the use of the multicriteria analysis. The risk maps obtained, even using different factors, show coincidental areas of medium and high vulnerability to the soil loss and sedimentation, pointing out, therefore, the need of planning to the recovery, conservation and rational use of the soil and water resources.

Countries across the globe have started taking measures to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions andto power the future with more sustainable forms of energy. One such initiative towards sustainableenergy generation is through wind energy. The wind energy contribution has shown a drastic increasein Sweden during the last few years. However there are several issues due to improper siting of windmills. This thesis aims to conduct a multi-criteria evaluation to determine suitable wind farm sites inVästernorrland County. The spatial planning through multi-criteria evaluation is done jointly usinganalytical hierarchy processing and weighted linear combination in ArcMap. There are 29 criteriataken into account and the buffer zones from each criterion are decided based on Swedish legislation,discussions with stakeholders and from similar previous studies. Three scenarios namely green,economy and tourism are created giving emphasize on the aspects as the title implies. The scenarioeconomy has the least area with very high suitability scores when compared to the other two scenarios.The results obtained for the three scenarios are grouped into classes with suitability scores. About 60%of the total area is unsuitable for wind farm installations and most of the area has less to moderaterange of suitability. The major constraints that restrict the wind mill installations are spaces with landcover like water, roads and national protected areas. Based on the suitability scores, the best three sitesare finally selected which covers the three scenario aspects. Other sites are excluded due to reasons likelow suitability, closeness to the county boundary and too small in size. Among the best three sites, twosites already have permission to build wind farms. The proposed third site is about 2.5 squarekilometres located to the south-east of the county. In conclusion, the project result not only shows thatthere are more potential / Länder över hela världen har börjat vidta åtgärder för att minska utsläppen av växthusgaser och att iframtiden övergå till mer hållbara energikällor. Ett sådant initiativ mot en hållbar energiproduktion äratt satsa på vindkraft. Vindenergi har visat en drastisk ökning i Sverige under de senaste åren. Detfinns dock flera problem på grund av olämplig placering av vindkraftverk. Avhandlingen syftar till attgenomföra en utvärdering av flera kriterier för att bestämma lämpliga lägen för vindkraftparker iVästernorrlands län. Den fysiska planeringen genom utvärdering av flera kriterier görs gemensamtmed hjälp av en analytisk hierarki-bearbetning och vägd linjär kombination i ArcMap. Det tas hänsyntill cirka 29 kriterier och buffertzoner för varje kriterium bestäms utifrån svensk lagstiftning,diskussioner med intressenter och liknande tidigare studier. Tre scenarier, med respektive tonvikt påekologi, ekonomi och turism skapas och analyseras. Scenario ekonomi har det minsta området medmycket höga lämplighetspoäng jämfört med de andra två scenarierna. Resultaten som erhållits för detre scenarierna grupperas i klasser med olika lämplighetsresultat. Cirka 60% av den totala arealen ärolämplig för vindkraftsanläggningar och majoriteten av området har mindre till måttligt lämpligtutbud. De stora begränsningarna som sätter gränser för vindkraftsanläggningar är de områden somupptas av exempelvis vatten, vägar och nationella skyddsområden. Baserat på lämplighetspoängen ärde bästa tre platserna utvalda som representerar de tre scenarierna. Andra platser utesluts på grund avskäl som låg lämplighet, närhet till länets gräns och alltför små områden. Bland de utvalda områdenahar två redan tillstånd att bygga vindkraftparker. Den föreslagna tredje platsen är cirka 2,5kvadratkilometer belägen i sydöstra delen av länet. Sammanfattningsvis visarprojektet resultatet intebara att det finns fler potentiella platser men identifierar också de mest lämpliga platserna förinstallation av vindkraftverk i Västernorrlands län.

The IPCC has identified small islands and coastal zones among regions most vulnerable to climate change. The geomorphological characteristics of Prince Edward Island (PEI), such as highly erodible sandstone bedrock and low elevation, contribute to a high degree of physical vulnerability to climate change. The province is highly susceptible to physical impacts of climate change including relative sea-level rise and increased rates of coastline retreat. In order to assess the physical coastal vulnerability of the ParCA study area of the North Shore, PEI, a model employing Geographic Information Systems (GIS), multi-criteria evaluation (MCE), and time step analysis is formulated. The physical vulnerability of the North Shore for the year 2010 was quantified in terms of wind-wave exposure condition, morphological resiliency, and permanent and episodic flood risk. These results are employed as model inputs to predict the shoreline for the subsequent time steps (2050, 2100), which are again analyzed to estimate future physical coastal vulnerability. Such an approach allows for updated predictions in intent to improve accuracy when compared to linear extrapolation. Finally, areas of highest priority for adaptation measures are quantified for each time step. This physical vulnerability analysis together with community-based and socioeconomic coastal vulnerability analyses will portray the comprehensive vulnerability of the North Shore to current and future effects of climate change.

Os movimentos de massa são fenômenos naturais que fazem parte dos processos de dinâmica superficial que modelam a superfície terrestre. Quando ocorrem em áreas ocupadas, podem provocar perdas econômicas, impactos sociais e, em casos extremos, perda de vidas humanas. O estabelecimento de medidas preventivas para mitigar estes danos demanda a identificação das áreas mais propensas a esses fenômenos. Partindo deste contexto, o objetivo desta dissertação foi desenvolver uma proposta metodológica para mapear a suscetibilidade a escorregamentos no município de Porto Alegre-RS, com o emprego de ferramentas de geoprocessamento. As variáveis utilizadas foram: declividade, geologia, distância de lineamentos, acúmulo de fluxo, uso do solo e cobertura vegetal, as quais foram processadas no software Idrisi. Após a padronização das variáveis por meio da aplicação de funções fuzzy e pela atribuição direta de notas, definiu-se a importância de cada uma na predisposição do terreno a escorregamentos com base na consulta a especialistas, com o apoio da técnica denominada processo analítico hierárquico. A integração das variáveis foi realizada por meio de combinação linear ponderada, estabelecendo-se dois cenários de suscetibilidade a escorregamentos: o primeiro com a suscetibilidade natural e o segundo com a suscetibilidade induzida. Os resultados indicam que as áreas mais suscetíveis a escorregamentos situam-se, principalmente, nos morros da Crista de Porto Alegre e nos morros isolados no sul do município. O restante do município apresenta, de maneira geral, baixa suscetibilidade. A validação dos resultados obteve uma exatidão geral de 95% e 94% respectivamente para os Cenários 1 e 2. As áreas abaixo da curva ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) foram respectivamente de 0,960 e 0,966, o que indica que as variáveis e os pesos foram adequados e que ambos os cenários são robustos. Assim, constata-se que as ferramentas de geoprocessamento são úteis no mapeamento da suscetibilidade a escorregamentos, pois tornam ágil o mapeamento e sua atualização, e dão mais clareza e transparência ao processo de avaliação da suscetibilidade. Além disso, o método proposto permite reduzir os esforços nas etapas iniciais da gestão de riscos, possibilitando ao gestor priorizar os mapeamentos mais detalhados nas áreas com maior suscetibilidade. Isso demonstra que as rotinas de apoio à decisão, como as utilizadas neste trabalho, podem ser incorporadas em estudos de suscetibilidade, provendo importantes informações para o planejamento urbano dos municípios. / Mass movements are natural phenomena that are part of the surface dynamic processes that shape the Earth’s surface. When they occur in urban areas, can cause economic losses, social impacts and, in extreme cases, losses of human lives. The implementation of preventive measures to mitigate those damages requires the identification of the areas prone to these events. Therefore, the aim of this dissertation was to develop a methodological approach to map landslide susceptibility at the municipality of Porto Alegre-RS, with the use of geoprocessing tools. The variables used were: slope, geology, distance from lineaments, flow accumulation and land use, which were processed in the Idrisi software. After the standardization of the variables through the application of fuzzy functions and the direct assignment of notes, the importance of each one on the predisposition of landslides was defined, based on the opinion of experts, with the support of the technique entitled analytic hierarchy process (AHP). The integration of the variables was based on weighted linear combination, resulting in two scenarios: the first with the natural susceptibility and the second with the induced susceptibility. The results indicate that the most susceptible areas to landslide are located in the hills of the Crista de Porto Alegre and in the isolated hills located at the south of the municipality. The remaining area has, in general, low susceptibility. The validation of the results obtained an overall accuracy of 95% and 94%, respectively for Scenarios 1 and 2. The areas under the ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) curve were respectively 0.960 and 0.966, indicating that the variables and weights were adequate and both scenarios are robust. Thus, it is noted that geoprocessing tools are useful to map the landslide susceptibility, since they make the mapping process and its updates agile, and give more clarity and transparency to the susceptibility assessment process. In addition, the proposed method reduces efforts in the early stages of risk management, enabling the manager to prioritize the most susceptible areas for detailed mappings. This demonstrates that decision support routines, such as those used in this dissertation, can be incorporated into susceptibility studies, providing important information for the urban planning.

The aim of my thesis is to make mutual comparison of individual regions in terms of traffic characteristics and their subsequent evaluation.