Dans l'histoire des éruptions volcaniques, le Papandayan à l'Ouest de Java est considéré comme l'un des plus meurtriers après avoir causé la mort de 2957 personnes et des dégâts sérieux en 1772. L'éruption la plus récente de ce volcan a eu lieu en 2002 et était de type phréatique. Cette éruption a été précédée d'une augmentation soudaine de l'activité sismique moins de deux jours avant l'éruption. Aucune victime n'a été déplorée. La nature de cette éruption est indéfinie. Cette thèse regroupe plusieurs études utilisant différentes techniques en vue d'améliorer la prédictibilité des éruptions du volcan Papandayan, principalement via l'interprétation des signatures sismiques.<p>Le monitoring sismique passif a débuté en décembre 2009 par l'installation d'une station sismique permanente à large bande dans le cratère du Papandayan. L'année suivante, une station météorologique a été installée pour compléter les mesures. La troisième année, 8 stations sismiques temporaires ont été déployées autour du volcan en réponse à une augmentation de l'activité sismique en 2011.<p>Nous avons conduit différentes études; (1) Nous avons examiné l'évolution de l'activité volcanique par réalisation d'une revue complète de l'histoire éruptive du volcan, autant pour la période préhistorique qu'historique. (2) Nous avons réalisé une analyse temps-fréquence des événements sismiques, étudié leurs caractéristiques et proposé une nouvelle classification avec une description des processus physiques supposés les générer. (3) Nous avons étudié les signatures sismiques précurseur de l'éruption de 2002 et pendant la crise volcanique de 2011 en implémentant différentes méthodologies, dont: la détection automatique d'événements sismiques à l'aide de filtres récursifs STA/LTA, l'analyse spectrale des formes d'onde, la mesure continue de l'amplitude spectrale du signal (SSAM), la polarisation des ondes et l'analyse de la distribution fréquence/magnitude (b-value). Nous avons alors réalisé un modèle chronologique des séquences sismiques du Papandayan. (4) Pour améliorer la compréhension de la dynamique des fluides sous le volcan Papandayan, nous avons réalisé une analyse des fréquences complexes des événements longue période (LP) et leurs variations temporelles peuvent être utilisées pour estimer (a) la composition des fluides présents dans les fractures sous le volcan et/ou (b) l'évolution des dimensions de ces fractures. Ces variations des fréquences complexes des événements LP peuvent être interprétées comme les réponses dynamiques du système hydrothermal à des changements d'impulsions de chaleur transférées par les flux de gaz volcaniques du magma sous le volcan. (5) nous avons calculé l'évolution temporelle du rapport spectral horizontal-sur-vertical (HVSR) en utilisant le bruit sismique ambiant enregistré par une station unique pour estimer les variations de vitesse de propagation des ondes de cisaillement en lien avec l'activité dynamique du volcan. Nous avons trouvé une corrélation claire entre les variations de fréquence de résonnance HVSR et l'augmentation de la sismicité.<p>Enfin, nous proposons des hypothèses sur les processus physiques qui se produisent sous le Papandayan. Cette étude est une première tentative d'utilisation de cette méthode pour surveiller l'activité volcanique en continu.<p> / Doctorat en Sciences / info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished

Surface manifestations of hydrothermal fluids such as fumaroles and hot springs provide valuable information about the level of activity of a volcano during quiescent period. Geochemical study of gas and spring waters is useful to elaborate geochemical model for magmatic-hydrothermal system. Furthermore, temporal geochemical monitoring of these fluids with time provides a better understanding in processes occurring inside the volcano and can be useful to detect any changes in the activity of the magmatic-hydrothermal system. This thesis investigates two hydrothermal systems at Kelud and Papandayan volcanoes that are located at Java Island in Indonesia. Kelud is considered as one of the most dangerous volcanoes of Java because of its frequent eruptions. After the last eruption that occurred in 1990, a new lake rapidly filled the crater of Kelud volcano. Water samples collected since 1993 are near neutral Na-K chloride fluids and are typical of aged hydrothermal system where the acidity has been completely neutralized by fluid-rock interaction and where the emission of acid magmatic gases has stopped. Two sudden increases in lake temperature in 1996 and 2001 were accompanied by rapid changes in lake water compositions and suggest the existence of two hydrothermal systems feeding the lake: a shallow hydrothermal system dominated by Ca-Mg sulfate waters and a deepest aquifer with neutral alkali chloride waters. From 2001 to 2005, measurements of CO2 emitted by the surface of the lake were performed by using the accumulation chamber method modified in order to work at the surface of a crater lake. Two statistical methods were used to process data: the graphical statistical and stochastic simulation methods. The results of graphical statistical approach showed that two different degassing processes are acting at the lake surface: one corresponding to CO2 fluxes resulting from rising bubbles and the other corresponding to equilibrium diffusion of dissolved CO2 at the water-air surface. Total CO2 emission rate estimated by stochastic simulation ranges from 105 t/day for 2001 to 32 t/day for 2005. Thermal energy released by the lake was also estimated by using an energy balance model with a new constraint using the CO2 flux. The thermal flux decreased from 200 MW (2001) to 100 MW (2002) and then remained stable. Correlation between the chemical data of waters, the fluxes of CO2 and energy show that a constant decrease in the level of activity of the volcano since 1993 occurred although the lake temperature has been stable since 2003. Since the last magmatic eruption that occurred in 1772, phreatic eruptions occur on Papandayan volcano with the last one in 2002. The volcanic material ejected during this eruption is essentially made of altered rocks from within the hydrothermal system. The interaction of acid waters with the host rocks corresponds to an advanced argilic alteration. The chemical compositions of waters from Papandayan volcano and Kelud lake waters are contrasting. Indeed, the spring waters sampled since 1994 are acid sulfate-chloride waters and acid sulfate waters. The chemical and isotopic analyses of gases and waters suggest a significant magmatic contribution in SO2, HCl and HF to the hydrothermal system. The chemical composition of waters sampled after the 2002 eruption have provided information about origin of this eruption. Decrease in chloride concentration and in delta 34S of dissolved sulfates showed that the magmatic contribution in these fluids are less important and that the waters are likely to be formed by the condensation of steam (H2O, H2S) rising from a boiling aquifer.

Surface manifestations of hydrothermal fluids such as fumaroles and hot springs provide valuable information about the level of activity of a volcano during quiescent period. Geochemical study of gas and spring waters is useful to elaborate geochemical model for magmatic-hydrothermal system. Furthermore, temporal geochemical monitoring of these fluids with time provides a better understanding in processes occurring inside the volcano and can be useful to detect any changes in the activity of the magmatic-hydrothermal system. This thesis investigates two hydrothermal systems at Kelud and Papandayan volcanoes that are located at Java Island in Indonesia. Kelud is considered as one of the most dangerous volcanoes of Java because of its frequent eruptions. After the last eruption that occurred in 1990, a new lake rapidly filled the crater of Kelud volcano. Water samples collected since 1993 are near neutral Na-K chloride fluids and are typical of aged hydrothermal system where the acidity has been completely neutralized by fluid-rock interaction and where the emission of acid magmatic gases has stopped. Two sudden increases in lake temperature in 1996 and 2001 were accompanied by rapid changes in lake water compositions and suggest the existence of two hydrothermal systems feeding the lake: a shallow hydrothermal system dominated by Ca-Mg sulfate waters and a deepest aquifer with neutral alkali chloride waters. From 2001 to 2005, measurements of CO2 emitted by the surface of the lake were performed by using the accumulation chamber method modified in order to work at the surface of a crater lake. Two statistical methods were used to process data: the graphical statistical and stochastic simulation methods. The results of graphical statistical approach showed that two different degassing processes are acting at the lake surface: one corresponding to CO2 fluxes resulting from rising bubbles and the other corresponding to equilibrium diffusion of dissolved CO2 at the water-air surface. Total CO2 emission rate estimated by stochastic simulation ranges from 105 t/day for 2001 to 32 t/day for 2005. Thermal energy released by the lake was also estimated by using an energy balance model with a new constraint using the CO2 flux. The thermal flux decreased from 200 MW (2001) to 100 MW (2002) and then remained stable. Correlation between the chemical data of waters, the fluxes of CO2 and energy show that a constant decrease in the level of activity of the volcano since 1993 occurred although the lake temperature has been stable since 2003. Since the last magmatic eruption that occurred in 1772, phreatic eruptions occur on Papandayan volcano with the last one in 2002. The volcanic material ejected during this eruption is essentially made of altered rocks from within the hydrothermal system. The interaction of acid waters with the host rocks corresponds to an advanced argilic alteration. The chemical compositions of waters from Papandayan volcano and Kelud lake waters are contrasting. Indeed, the spring waters sampled since 1994 are acid sulfate-chloride waters and acid sulfate waters. The chemical and isotopic analyses of gases and waters suggest a significant magmatic contribution in SO2, HCl and HF to the hydrothermal system. The chemical composition of waters sampled after the 2002 eruption have provided information about origin of this eruption. Decrease in chloride concentration and in delta 34S of dissolved sulfates showed that the magmatic contribution in these fluids are less important and that the waters are likely to be formed by the condensation of steam (H2O, H2S) rising from a boiling aquifer.<p><p> / Doctorat en sciences, Spécialisation géologie / info:eu-repo/semantics/nonPublished