Antecedentes: La neumonía es una infección grave común en la infancia y principal causa de muerte en niños menores de 5 años. Se sabe poco sobre escalas que evalúen el riesgo de muerte por neumonía. Objetivos: Establecer qué escala tiene mejor desempeño como predictor de muerte por neumonía adquirida en la comunidad (NAC) en niños menores de cinco años. Métodos: Se realizo un estudio observacional, retrospectivo, analítico con un diseño de precisión diagnóstica en una cohorte de registros clínicos de pacientes con NAC entre 2013 y 2015 en las primeras 24 horas de ingreso al hospital. El desempeño de las tres escalas se evaluó comparando el área bajo la curva (ABC) como medida de capacidad discriminativa. Resultados: La escala PIRO modificada (Predisposition, Insult, Response and Organic dysfunction) tiene mayor capacidad discriminatoria con un ABC de 0,93 (IC del 95%: 0,89 a 0,96), siendo la mejor de las tres escalas evaluados. En segundo lugar, la escala RISC (Respiratory Index of Severity in Children) con ABC 0,83 (IC 95%: 0.79-0.87) y, finalmente, la escala PRESS (Pediatric Respiratory Severity Score) ABC 0.67 (IC 95% 0.61 - 0.74). Conclusión: Las escalas PIROm y RISC son buenos predictores de muerte en niños menores de 59 meses, basados en criterios clínicos, radiológicos y laboratoriales. La primera escala podría ser utilizada en centros de salud de mayor complejidad. La segunda escala netamente clínica podría ser utilizada en centros de atención primaria de salud. Se sugiere realizar más estudios en poblaciones con diversas características clínicas, demográficas y ambientales. / Background: Pneumonia is a common serious infection in childhood, being the major cause of death in children under 5 years. Little is kwon about clinical scales predicting risk of death owing to pneumonia Objectives: Establish which scale has better performance as a predictor of death due to community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in children under five years. Methods: An observational, retrospective, analytical study with a diagnostic precision design was conducted in a cohort of clinical records of patients with CAP between 2013 and 2015 that were review in the first 24 hours of admission to the hospital. The performance of the three scales were evaluated by the comparison of the area under the curve (AUC) as a measure of discriminative capacity. Results: The PIRO modified scale (Predisposition, Insult, Response and Organic dysfunction) has greater discrimination capacity AUC of 0.93 (95% CI 0.89 - 0.96) being the best of the three evaluated. Secondly, the RISC scale (Respiratory Severity Index in children) with AUC 0.83 (95% CI: 0.79-0.87) and, finally, the PRESS scale (Pediatric Respiratory Severity Score) AUC 0.67 (95% CI 0.61 - 0.74). Conclusion: The PIROm and RISC scales are good predictors of death in children under 59 months, based on clinical, radiological and laboratory criteria. The first scale could be used in healthcare centers of higher complexity. The second scale purely clinical could be used in centers of primary health care attention. It is suggested to carry out more studies in diverse populations with different clinical, demographical and environmental characteristics. / Tesis

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Submitted by Ana Maria Fiscina Sampaio (fiscina@bahia.fiocruz.br) on 2012-07-18T19:29:56Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Federico Costa EStudos ecológicos sobre reservatórios....pdf: 1462379 bytes, checksum: 12cd0ac366f256448b7800dbac8ca53a (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2012-07-18T19:29:56Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Federico Costa EStudos ecológicos sobre reservatórios....pdf: 1462379 bytes, checksum: 12cd0ac366f256448b7800dbac8ca53a (MD5) Previous issue date: 2010 / Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Centro de Pesquisas Gonçalo Moniz. Salvador, Bahia, Brasil / A leptospirose é um importante problema de saúde urbana devido às epidemias anuais que ocorrem em comunidades carentes e à alta mortalidade associada às formas graves. Os ratos são considerados os principais reservatórios na transmissão urbana. Entretanto, não existem estudos que sistematicamente definam os fatores de infestação por ratos e as características ambientais que influenciam o risco de transmissão da leptospirose. Objetivos: 1) Determinar a associação entre infestação por roedores e infecção por Leptospira em um estudo de coorte prospectivo realizado em uma comunidade carente de Salvador-BA. 2) Desenvolver e validar um escore domiciliar baseado em características da infestação de ratos para predizer o risco de leptospirose em Salvador. Métodos: Para o objetivo 1 realizou-se um estudo de caso-controle aninhado numa coorte longitudinal onde foram definidos como domicílios-casos aqueles que tiveram um ou mais indivíduos com infecção assintomática por Leptospira. Controles foram domicílios aleatoriamente selecionados daqueles que tiveram indivíduos sem infecção. Avaliaram-se domicílios registrando sinais de infestação por roedores e características ambientais e foi realizada regressão logística para identificar fatores de risco para infecção. Para o objetivo 2 desenvolveu-se um estudo caso-controle 1:2, onde domicílios-casos foram aqueles nos quais residiam pessoas (casos) com leptospirose. Utilizou-se metodologia similar a do objetivo 1 para avaliar e analisar fatores de risco. Adicionalmente foi desenvolvido um escore preditivo baseado no modelo de regressão logística que foi validado num grupo independente de domicílios-casos e controle. Utilizaram-se curvas características de recepção (ROC) para analisar o desempenho preditivo do escore. Resultados: Objetivo 1: Registrou-se elevado nível de infestação por Rattus norvegicus (>45%). Identificaram-se como fatores de risco de infecção: fezes de R. norvegicus (OR 4.6 IC 95% 1.9-10.7), tocas (OR 2.8, IC 95% 1.1-7.3), parede do domicilio sem reboco (OR 2.5, IC 95% 1.1-7.4) e renda domiciliar per capita (OR 0.9 por US$/dia, IC 95% 0.8-0.9). Objetivo 2: Achamos uma elevada proporção (>44%) de domicílios infestados. Os fatores de risco independentes para leptospirose foram tocas, fezes de Rattus norvegicus, trilhas, casa abandonada <10m e domicílio sem reboco. Designaram-se valores de escore para cada fator de risco (3, 3, 2, 2 e 2 respectivamente). A área sob a curva ROC foi 0,70 (IC95%, 0,64-0,76) para o grupo de desenvolvimento e 0,71 (95; 0,65-0,79) para o de validação. Conclusões: Foi identificada uma elevada proporção de domicílios infestados com R. norvegicus. Os fatores de risco para infecção por Leptospira e leptospirose grave foram similares. Foi definido e validado um escore preditivo que identifica domicílios de elevado risco dentro de comunidades com transmissão endêmica de leptospirose. Estes achados sugerem que a triagem da infestação por roedores e a identificação de domicílios de risco, podem constituir ações de uma estratégia recomendável para dirigir intervenções de controle de roedores em populações de risco. / Leptospirosis is a relevant problem of urban health because of the epidemics occurring in cities throughout the developing world and the high mortality associated with severe disease. In urban areas, leptospirosis is transmitted to humans by the rodent Rattus norvegicus. However, there are no studies that systematically defined rodent infestation factors and environmental characteristics that influence the risk for Leptospirosis transmission. Aims: 1) To identify environmental risk factors for asymptomatic or subclinical Leptospira transmission. 2) To develop and validate a household score based on rodent infestation characteristics to predict leptospirosis risk in Salvador. Methods: For aim 1 a nested case-control study was conducted in the study site. A household was regarded as a case household if at least one new Leptospira infection occurred among cohort subjects. Control households were randomly selected and households were surveyed for signs of rodent infestation and environmental characteristics. We used conditional logistic regression modeling to identify risk factors for Leptospira infection. For aim 2 we developed a case-control study (1:2), where case households were households in which leptospirosis cases resided. Control households were located within 30m of a case-household. We used similar methodology to that in aim 1 to identify and analyze risk factors for leptospirosis. Additionally, we used the logistic regression model to develop a predictive score for leptospirosis that was validated in an independent group of cases and control households. We used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to evaluate the performance of the prediction score. Results: Aim 1: we identified a high level of R. norvegicus infestation (>45%). We identified the following independent risk factors: R. norvegicus feces (OR 4.6 CI 95% 1.9-10.7), burrows (OR 2.8, CI 95% 1.1-7.3), unplastered walls (OR 2.5, CI 95% 1.1-7.4) and household per capita income (OR 0.9 for each US$ per day increase, CI 95% 0.8-0.9). Aim 2: more than 44% of the households presented rodent signs. Independent risk factors for acquiring leptospirosis in a household were rodent burrows, Rattus norvegicus feces, rodent runs, household bordering an abandoned house, and unplastered walls. A prediction score was developed by assigning points (3, 3, 2, 2 and 2 respectively) to each risk factor. The area under the ROC curve for the scoring system was 0.70 (95% CI, 0.64-0.76) and 0.71 (0.65-0.79) for the development and validation datasets. Conclusions: Our study indicates that high proportions of urban slum households are infested with R. norvegicus. Risk factors for asymptomatic Leptospira infection and severe leptospirosis were similar. The prediction score showed good performance in identifying high-risk households for leptospirosis. These findings suggest that community-based screening for rodent infestation can be a strategy to target rodent and environmental control measures to populations at highest risk for leptospirosis

Les patients de réanimation sont des patients à très haut risque de survenue de candidoses invasives associées à une importante mortalité. Les espèces du genre Candida sont retrouvées en troisième position des agents infectieux les plus fréquemment isolés au cours des septicémies. Le diagnostic reste difficile en raison d’une clinique aspécifique et d’une sensibilité médiocre des hémocultures. Des scores prédictifs, des biomarqueurs ou encore des PCR ont été développés de manière à améliorer le diagnostic et l’identification des patients à risque. Dans ce travail, la première partie présente les données de l’évolution de l’écologie fongique, des candidoses invasives, des prescriptions d’antifongiques et des sensibilités aux antifongiques sur une période de dix ans dans un service de réanimation. Au cours de cette période, les changements observés dans la prescription d’antifongiques n’ont pas entrainé de modifications significatives de l’écologie fongique ni d’apparition de résistances. Dans une deuxième partie, nous présentons les résultats d’une étude prospective observationnelle bicentrique réalisée chez 435 patients non neutropéniques de réanimation. L’analyse de plusieurs variables (facteurs de risque de candidose invasive, colonisation à Candida sp., dosages d’antigène mannane et d’anticorps anti-mannane) a permis l’élaboration d’un score prédictif de survenue de candidose invasive. Finalement, la dernière partie du travail présente la mise au point de PCR Candida en temps réel dans le sang ainsi qu’une évaluation de la technologie de digital PCR. / Patients in intensive care units (ICU) are at very high risk of invasive candidiasis associated with high mortality rate. Candida species are the third cause of septicemia. Clinical signs lack of specificity and blood cultures lack of sensitivity, and therefore the diagnosis remains a challenge. In order to improve the identification of patients with invasive candidiasis, predictive rules, biomarkers and PCR have been developed. The first part of this work describes the evolution over a ten years period in one ICU in Candida species distribution, susceptibility to antifungal drugs and consumption of antifungal agents. Changes in antifungal drug consumption were observed but they were not associated with significant changes in fungal ecology or with the emergence of resistant species. In a second part, we present a prospective, observational and bicentric study performed in 435 non-neutropenic patients in ICU. Several variables (risk factors of invasive candidiasis, Candida colonization, mannan antigen and anti-mannan antibodies) were analyzed and a predictive score of invasive candidiasis has been developed. Finally, the last part presents the development of Candida real-time PCR in blood, as well as the evaluation of a digital PCR.

L’hémolyse post transfusionnelle retardée (HPTR) est une complication potentiellement mortelle de la transfusion dans la drépanocytose. Sa fréquence est sous-estimée et aucun facteur prédictif de sa survenue n'a encore été identifié. Nous avons mené une étude observationnelle prospective monocentrique pendant 30 mois. Nous avons inclus 694 épisodes transfusionnels (ET) chez 311 patients adultes drépanocytaires, divisés en ET ponctuels (ETP = 360) et en ET chronique dans le cadre d’un programme (ETC = 334). Au cours de ce suivi, 15 HPTR ont été enregistrées, exclusivement après un ETP. L'incidence cumulative d’HPTR sur 30 mois était de 4,2 % par ETP (IC 95 % [2,6 ; 6,9]) ou 6,8 % par drépanocytaires transfusés (IC 95 % [4,2 ; 11,3]). Le taux d’incidence était de 16,4 HPTR pour 1000 ETP-Année (IC 95 % [10,1 ; 27,2]) ou 27,1 HPTR pour 1000 Personne-Année (IC 95% [16,7 ; 45,0]). Nous avons étudié 11 HPTR supplémentaires afin de construire un score prédictif. Les variables retenues étaient un antécédent d’HPTR, le nombre d’unités précédemment transfusées et l’état d’immunisation pré transfusionnelle. L’adéquation du score était excellente (Hosmer-Lemeshow = 1,40, p = 0,71), sa capacité discriminante très satisfaisante (aire sous la courbe ROC = 0,85 ; p < 0,0001), une valeur prédictive négative de 98,4 % et une valeur prédictive positive de 50,0 %. La validité interne du score, réalisée par Bootstrap, montre une très bonne performance. Nous rapportons, pour la première fois, l'incidence de l’HPTR et montrons qu’elle survient uniquement suite à un ETP. Nous décrivons également un score simple de prédiction d’une HPTR avant un ETP afin de mieux prendre en charge cette transfusion. / Delayed hemolytic transfusion reaction (DHTR) is a life-threatening complication of transfusion in sickle cell disease (SCD). The frequency of DHTR is underestimated and no predictive fac-tors for identifying patients likely to develop DHTR have yet been defined. We conducted a prospective single-center observational study over 30 months. We included 694 transfusion epi-sodes (TE) in 311 adult patients, divided into occasional TE (OTE: 360) and TE during a chronic program (CTE: 334). During follow-up, 15 cases of DHTR were recorded, exclusively after OTEs. DHTR cumulative incidence durin the 30 months was 4.2% per OTE (95% CI [2.6, 6.9]) or 66.8% per patient (95% CI [4.2, 11.3]). The incidence rate was 16.4 DHTR per 1000 OTE-Year (95% CI [10.1, 27.2]) or 27.1 DHTR per 1000 Person-Year (95% CI [16.7 ; 45.0]). We studied 11 additional DHTR cases to construct a score for predicting DHTR after OTE. Fifteen % of the 26 DHTR patients died. The variables retained in the multivariate model were history of DHTR, number of units previously transfused and immunization status before transfusion. The score adequacy was excellent (Hosmer-Lemeshow = 1.40, p = 0.71), very satisfactory dis-criminant capacity (area under ROC curve = 0.85, p <0.0001), negative-predictive value of 98.4% and a positive-predictive value of 50%. The internal validity of the score, realized by Bootstrap, shows a very good performance.We report, for the first time, the incidence of DHTR and we show that DHTR developed only in OTE. We also describe a simple score for predicting DHTR in patients undergoing occasional transfusion, to facilitate the management of blood transfusion in SCD patients.