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The human core of the shared socioeconomic pathways: Population scenarios by age, sex and level of education for all countries to 2100KS, Samir, Lutz, Wolfgang 04 February 2017 (has links) (PDF)
This paper applies the methods of multi-dimensional mathematical demography to project national
populations based on alternative assumptions on future, fertility, mortality, migration and educational
transitions that correspond to the five shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) storylines. In doing so it
goes a significant step beyond past population scenarios in the IPCC context which considered only total
population size. By differentiating the human population not only by age and sex - as is conventionally
done in demographic projections - but also by different levels of educational attainment the most
fundamental aspects of human development and social change are being explicitly addressed through
modeling the changing composition of populations by these three important individual characteristics.
The scenarios have been defined in a collaborative effort of the international Integrated Assessment
Modeling community with themedium scenario following that of a major new effort by the Wittgenstein
Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, OEAW, WU) involving over 550 experts from
around the world. As a result, in terms of total world population size the trajectories resulting from the
five SSPs stay very close to each other until around 2030 and by the middle of the century already a
visible differentiation appears with the range between the highest (SSP3) and the lowest (SSP1)
trajectories spanning 1.5 billion. The range opens up much more with the SSP3 reaching 12.6 billion in
2100 and SSP1 falling to 6.9 billion which is lower than today's world population.
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Our Shared Storm: Exploring Five Scenarios of Climate Fiction FuturesJanuary 2020 (has links)
abstract: This project uses the tools of speculative climate fiction to explore and imagine the future of the United Nations climate negotiations in each of the five Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios. Climate fiction (cli-fi) proves a powerful but imperfect tool for envisioning future challenging and turning scientific models into meaningful narratives. / Dissertation/Thesis / Masters Thesis Sustainability 2020
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Studies on Heat-related Health Risks and Evaluation Methods in Japan: The Effects of Global Warming and COVID-19 Pandemic / 日本の熱関連健康リスクとその評価手法に関する研究-地球温暖化と新型コロナウイルスの影響を踏まえて-Ke, Deng 25 March 2024 (has links)
学位プログラム名: 京都大学大学院思修館 / 京都大学 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(総合学術) / 甲第25460号 / 総総博第36号 / 京都大学大学院総合生存学館総合生存学専攻 / (主査)教授 IALNAZOVDimiter Savov, 教授 山敷 庸亮, 准教授 関山 健, 寶 馨 (防災科学技術研究所) / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Philosophy / Kyoto University / DFAM
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HISTORICAL AND FUTURE CHANGES IN COLD AIR OUTBREAKS ACROSS THE GLOBE AND THE INFLUENCE OF ATMOSPHERIC TELECONNECTIONSSmith, Erik T. 25 March 2021 (has links)
No description available.
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