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Avaliação do risco de crédito: aplicação do modelo KMV para obter a probabilidade de default no setor siderúrgico

Submitted by Joao Moura (joaosic@gmail.com) on 2009-06-30T19:59:09Z
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Previous issue date: 2007-05-30 / Credit risk management has assumed increasing importance for the managers and directors of enterprises. Thus, different approaches aimed to measure the probability of default are under discussion nowadays. This paper evaluates models that have become more popular over the last 30 years in order forecast defaults or to provide information regarding to financial difficulties of enterprises. This paper will focus on the KMV model in order to estimate the probability of default, its methodology based on market value of the asset and its volatility and finally estimate the probability of default. Finally, to test the KMV model will be used a sample of global steel companies that have credit in Companhia Vale do Rio Doce (CVRD), which will allow us to make comparisons with the models presented in this work.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:IBICT/oai:bibliotecadigital.fgv.br:10438/2686
Date30 May 2007
CreatorsMoura, João Sichieri
ContributorsLa Rocque, Eduarda Cunha de, Escolas::EPGE, FGV, Aragão, César Santiago Lima de
PublisherJoão Moura
Source SetsIBICT Brazilian ETDs
LanguagePortuguese
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion, info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
Sourcereponame:Repositório Institucional do FGV, instname:Fundação Getulio Vargas, instacron:FGV
Rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

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