There is no bank in Taiwan who doesn¡¦t prepare meticulously for implementation of The New Basel Capital Accord coming in 2007.Banking is more complex in recent years, except tranditional loans and investments.The products of derivatives are to change with each passing day under rapid development of financial engineering among which the credit derivatives not only can transfer credit risks,but also be a tool admitted within Basel II for mitigation,so This research is to prob into Basel II and the function of credit derivatives affecting the management strategy of medium and small-sized non-financial holding banks. This research was adopted qualitative methods which is to select two medium and small-sized non-financial holding banks whose total assets are beneath NT$600 billions at the end of Year 95 as interview cases,and conducted in-depth interviews with officers of the two banks.The interview result obtained was induced and analyzed found as follow: 1. The constitution of medium and small-sized non-financial holding banks is generally not sound. 2. The medium and small-sized non-financial holding banks have limited weakness of resoures and credit rating relatively,and will suffer biggest impact after implementation of Basel II. 3. Banks will execute a more strict lending policy to avoid over-risky loan assets and boost the efficiency of capital utility. 4. The medium and small-sized banks have no room and ability to develop and design the products of credit derivatives at present. 5. The effects of mitigation resulted from using the tool of credit derivatives or securitization of financial assets require observing. 6. As The banking industry changes,Lebensraum of the medium and small-sized banks becomes more and more limited.They should seek to keep strategic alliance with or to be merged by large-scale financial holding company or foreign bank for survival.

SME Credit Guarantee Fund established for the express purpose is to supply SME credit guarantee with the potential for development but lack the Collateral. It was financial institutions and credit financing. This study was based on a combination of market-based risk neutral evaluation model and insurance actuarial Principle assess the SME Credit Guarantee Fund to ensure that the current main business of insurance rates, According to the estimate and to the SME Credit Guarantee Fund and commercial banks to be charged with considerable risk of price compensation. In the management of business credit guarantees default risk. Bank of samples by the empirical results show that under this model receivable procedures for estimating costs, and the total amount of compensation rather, past a single 0.75% guaranteed rates significantly undervalued, with a single rate is the inverse effect of choice, nearly half over the industry higher than the current guarantee fee from the top 1.5%. If a word, which is the standard fees, fear is still not allow the fund to two-profit and loss. The model is a simple response to both the characteristics of market information, for the SME Credit Guarantee Fund in the risk management and pricing rates to be on the reference. Keywords:SME Credit Guarantee Fund. Credit risk. Risk management. Insurance Actuarial Model

Abstract According to the latest statistical data from Ministry of Finance, it is found that domestic consuming loan is growing up continuously these years. Up to the end of September in 2000 the sum of this business is 3984.9 billion. It is equal to 34.1% among loan of native banks. Personal small-scale consumer credit is increasing at 18% rate per year from 148.6 billion in 1994 to 365.1 billion in the end of September in 2000. It is developed vigorously, and even to be the main profit for banks. This is because consumers have slowly changed their concepts about how to use their money. Another reason is that the banks are actively to provide small-scale consumer credit with easy formality. But its potential risk is becoming higher since depression in economy and unemployment are getting higher. ¡§How to do the credit estimation for your consumers; how to make the lost of breaking an appointment lower¡¨ is the most urgent for the banks who would like to have good performance in the field of consuming finance. This research takes 1764 consumers who have small-scale consumer credit from a specific bank as samples for analysis. We found 29 elements that will affect the payment from literature and credit estimation from other branches. After concluding 6 types of credit risk, 25 influent elements offered by sample bank are listed for the purpose of analysis. ¡§K-W independent check¡¨ and ¡§Spearman¡¦s rho related analysis¡¨ are used to gain 17 variables. They are interactive and remarkable for credit. The summarized introduction of this research is as follows. 1. Age is notable for payment. The risk between ages of 41 ~45 is higher than the average. Seniority around 7 ~10 years is also dangerous. The above appearance is figured out to be concerned about transition of economical environment such as depression in economy and unemployment. The thought ¡§ higher ages or seniority means lower risk¡¨ should be done some amendment. 2. Actual net income should be considered while estimating the credit. Higher income is not necessarily equal to lower risk. People with high income were easily to obtain more loans since they would have better payment capacity. It is observed from credit estimation of each bank. In fact income is unable to reflect payment capacity. Debt will be important reason to influence payment capacity. 3. Having real property doesn¡¦t mean having no risk. We could find that consumer¡¦s property usually took large percentage in credit estimation. Sometimes consumers would become dangerous since they had debt for real property. The banks had better to correct their illusion ¡¨land is wealth¡¨ as soon as possible. 4. More or less guarantees are not essential for credit risk. Simple and fast formality appeals to the popular while the banks are promoting small-scale consumer credit. In the past the banks believed that more guarantees could lower the risk. It is wrong and will be the block in developing business. The banks should focus on payment capacity as main accordance for credit estimation. Key words: Consumers loan; Credit risk management, Credit scoring system.

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This paper provides a credit risk quantification system for banks to estaminate the credit risk of loans to small and mediume nterprises(SMEs). As we know, the most difficult thing for banks to handle SME loans is whose financial reporting lacks transparency and no valuable reference. We use non-financial variables and employ the logisitic regression to develop the credit risk predict model. We concludet: first, when construct a SMEs credit rating system, non-financial factors should be seriously considered and adopted. Second, because of positioned different stage of firm life cycle, the credit rating model should be set up differently by different stage of firm. Third, SME loans should to make much of establishing ¡§relationship-based¡¨ in order to meet the various demands of risk management.

We examine recovery rates of defaulted bonds in the US corporate bond market, based on a complete set of traded prices and volumes. A study of the trading microstructure around various types of default events is provided. We document temporary price pressure with high trading volumes on the default day and the following 30 days, and low trading activity thereafter. Based on this analysis, we determine market-based recovery rates and quantify various liquidity measures. We study the relation between the recovery rates and these measures, considering additionally a comprehensive set of bond characteristics, firm fundamentals, and macroeconomic variables. (authors' abstract)

Magistro darbe yra suformuluoti Lietuvoje veikiančių bankų fizinių ir juridinių asmenų kreditavimo principai ir būdai, išanalizuoti ir susisteminti įvairių Lietuvos ir užsienio autorių teoriniai ir praktiniai bankų kredito valdymo metodai, pateikti populiariausi kredito rizikos valdymo metodai, įvertinti kreditavimo paslaugų analizei taikytini metodai. Išsamiai atlikta AB DnB NORD banko kreditavimo paslaugų analizė, bei numatytos kreditavimo prognozės. Patvirtinama autorių suformuluota mokslinio tyrimo hipotezė, kad AB DnB NORD banko kredito rizikos valdymas turi būti gerinamas, taikant įvairesnius kredito rizikos valdymo metodus modelius. / This master’s final paper is formulate Lithuania banks operating in the natural and legal persons of credit principles and techniques to analyze and structure the various Lithuanian and foreign authors of theoretical and practical approaches to the management of bank credit, to provide the most popular credit risk management techniques, to assess the credit service analysis methods. In detail by the AB DnB NORD bank credit analysis services, and forecasts for the credit. Confirmed by the authors formulated the research hypothesis, that of AB DnB NORD bank credit risk management should be improved through the diversification of credit risk management methods of the models.

This dissertation investigates agency problems within risk transfer contracts. We pay particular attention to the consequences of credit risk transfer in the context of banking. The first two chapters provide an introduction and literature review. We then analyze the effect of counterparty risk on financial insurance contracts in the following two chapters, and uncover a new moral hazard problem on the part of the insurer. If the insurer believes it is unlikely that a claim will be made, it is advantageous for them to invest in assets which earn higher returns, but may not be readily available if needed. We find that counterparty risk can create an incentive for the insured to reveal superior information about the risk of their "investment". In particular, a unique separating equilibrium may exist even in the absence of any signalling device. This constitutes a first example in which the separation of types can be achieved without a costly signalling device. Our research suggests that regulators should be wary of risk being offloaded to other, possibly unstable parties, especially in financial markets such as that of credit derivatives. The fifth chapter models loan sales and loan insurance (e.g. credit default swaps) as two key instruments of risk transfer within the banking environment. Recent empirical evidence suggests that the asymmetric information problem is as relevant in loan insurance as it is in loan sales. Contrary to previous literature, this paper allows for informational asymmetries in both markets. Our results show that a well capitalized bank will tend to use loan insurance regardless of loan quality in the presence of moral hazard and relationship banking costs of loan sales. Finally, we show that a poorly capitalized bank may be forced into the loan sales market, even in the presence of possibly significant moral hazard and relationship banking costs that can depress the selling price. / Thesis (Ph.D, Economics) -- Queen's University, 2008-09-26 13:03:32.81

The dissertation deals with credit risk and default prediction for software companies in the light of Basel II, the new capital accord for financial institutions. A credit risk model was developed which can be used by lenders to predict the default of software companies. Such model was developed by using three independent approaches: In a first approach, a model was created which was based solely on quantitative data (i.e. accounting data). In a second approach, a model was developed which was based entirely on qualitative information, including management skills, know how, quality of services and others. In a third approach, the quantitative and the qualitative models were combined. The results indicate that a credit risk model which is based on both quantitative and qualitative information yields the strongest predictive power. (author´s abstract)

Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Waikato, 2008. / Title from PDF cover (viewed May 27, 2008) Includes bibliographical references (p. 313-326)