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Performance evaluation of the Delphi machineSaraswat, Sanjay. January 1900 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Cambridge, 1995. / Cover title. "December 1995." Includes bibliographical references.
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The statistical manipulation of Delphi statementsNelson, Bradley William 01 January 1977 (has links)
Since its invention twenty years ago, the Delphi technique has been gaining wider and wider acceptance as a tool for forecasting technology; gathering expert opinion from a local to world wide "advice community" upon which government, industry, and other policy making bodies must so frequently rely; and providing judgmental input for studies (e. g., social sciences) where hard data are unavailable or too difficult to obtain. Accompanying this increased acceptance is an increased danger of manipulation of a Delphi to produce the results desired by one certain individual or group of individuals. Manipulation is increasingly being mentioned in the literature as a danger but little has been done to study the problem. Two groups of thirty United States Air Force Officers enrolled in a Masters of Business Administration program participated in a fact probing Delphi containing thirty statements. The participants of one group were given falsified statistical feedback on fifteen of the statements, while the participants of the other group were given falsified statistical feedback on the other fifteen statements. A similar study was done with another group of officers using a value probing Delphi. The results of these studies showed a high degree of success in obtaining a desired value through the use of manipulated statistical feedback. This success was enhanced by running additional rounds. It was also found that the statistical manipulation had a significant effect on the convergence and stability of the Delphi statements. The effects of statistical manipulation on confidence as measured by self-rating was also studied. It was found that there was a significant tendency for Delphi participants to shift their selfrating during later rounds toward the middle. The effect of the distance between a participant's original estimate and the median reported back to him on the amount the participant changed his self-rating was investigated. The results were inconsistent. Statistically manipulated participants showed an overall decrease in confidence, regardless of their original self-rating. Suggestions for extending the research in the area of manipulation of Delphi statements plus a taxonomy of the variables that comprise the problem of manipulation are discussed.
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Future personal attributes and job competencies needed by the Texas Department of State Health Services (DSHS), state hospital section, registered nurse managers: a Delphi studyHarrison, Joseph, Jr. 01 November 2005 (has links)
The first purpose of this study was to describe and illustrate a modification of
the Delphi technique that was designed to identify future personal attributes and job
competencies needed to help update requirements for the year 2006 needed by the
Texas Department of State Health Services (DSHS) nursing middle manager, the
registered nurse manager, as perceived by the DSHS subject matter experts. The
subject matter experts consisted of a group of registered nurses holding leadership
positions in the DSHS, State Hospital Section. The second purpose was to determine a
consensus of future personal attributes and job competencies developed from the
responses of the DSHS subject matter experts. For the last purpose of this study, using
the findings of the future personal attributes and job competencies identified through
this study, DSHS would have a tool to develop a model to guide hiring decisions and
initial training. Additionally, the hiring and initial training model could also serve to assist in developing a content model for future in-service and continuing education
training.
The modified Delphi technique used in this study was comparable to the
complete Delphi technique in terms of approach, for example, using a sequence of
rounds with chosen experts and objectives to predict future events and to arrive at
consensus. For this study, the foremost modification of the Delphi technique consisted
of beginning the process with a set of 28 thoroughly selected personal attributes and
job competencies clusters that the panel could use as a guide for personal attributes and
job competencies selection. These pre-selected personal attributes and job
competencies clusters were drawn from various sources including related competency
profiles, job descriptions, and synthesized reviews of the literature.
The approach consisted of a 15-member expert panel of 10 nurse managers and
5 chief nurse executives currently working within and representing the 11 facilities of
the DSHS, State Hospital Section. The panel members were nominated by the nursing
director of the State Hospital Section of the Texas Department of State Health
Services. The panel completed three rounds of the Delphi process, identifying 24
personal attributes and job competencies clusters.
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The planning of the Department of Resources in a technical teachers' college: an application of the Delphitechnique within a systems approach顔顯華, Ngan, Hin-wah. January 1982 (has links)
published_or_final_version / Education / Master / Master of Education
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A fire safety evaluation points scheme for dwellingsShields, T. J. January 1991 (has links)
No description available.
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Environmental education in Taiwan : a curriculum development of environmental education for primary schoolsKao, Trai-shar January 1995 (has links)
No description available.
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An application of the Delphi method of forecasting to nursing education planning in West VirginiaStead, Floyd Lorenzo, January 1975 (has links)
Thesis--West Virginia University. / Spine title: The Delphi method of forecasting to nursing education planning in West Virginia. Vita. eContent provider-neutral record in process. Description based on print version record. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 126-129).
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Financing Hong Kong education : a Delphi consensus on alternative models /Chiu, Ping-kwan. January 1983 (has links)
Thesis (M. Ed.)--University of Hong Kong, 1982.
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An investigation into the inclusion of consumerism in pre-registration nursing and midwifery curriculaFox, Jane Lynda January 2000 (has links)
No description available.
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Development of criteria and indicators for evaluating forest-based ecotourism destinations a Delphi study /Bender, Maureen Young. January 2008 (has links)
Thesis (M.S.)--West Virginia University, 2008. / Title from document title page. Document formatted into pages; contains ix, 142 p. : ill. (some col.), col. map. Includes abstract. Includes bibliographical references (p. 116-120).
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