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An application of the Delphi method of forecasting to nursing education planning in West VirginiaStead, Floyd Lorenzo, January 1975 (has links)
Thesis--West Virginia University. / Spine title: The Delphi method of forecasting to nursing education planning in West Virginia. Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 126-129).
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Identification of intangible resources essential to agri-tourism enterprises in Taiwan a Delphi study /Hsu, Chia-Chien, January 2005 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--Ohio State University, 2005. / Title from first page of PDF file. Includes bibliographical references (p. 223-235).
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The Role of the Public School Superintendent in Local Economic DevelopmentThomas, Cheryl 26 April 2002 (has links)
The public school superintendent is seen as the leader of schools and as a spokesperson bridging schools and the community. With this thought in mind, along with reports suggesting school and business collaboration as the key to better schools and lasting economic growth, defining the school superintendent's role in local economic development becomes valuable. As school and business relationships change, superintendents must be prepared to address this evolving interdependence.
The purpose of this study was to clarify the role of the public school superintendent in local economic development. Using a three-round Delphi technique, panelists representing various geographic locations and employment domains participated in developing a consensus on this role. Superintendents, economic development leaders, business leaders, and government officials individually identified the tasks important to the public school superintendent's responsibility in local economic development. Panel members then rated the level of importance of each suggested task and worked through the rounds to develop agreement using statistical feedback from the group response. The tasks agreed upon by 80% of the panel members as being important to extremely important were then examined to disclose the level of importance. The rating response mean and standard deviation were calculated for each task. These descriptive measures were then used to rank the most important tasks and better define the public school superintendent's role in local economic development. / Ed. D.
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Les obstacles à la continuité des soins en médecine familialeDe Serres, Jean January 2002 (has links)
Mémoire numérisé par la Direction des bibliothèques de l'Université de Montréal.
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Is midwifery knowledge a relevant construct in contemporary practice? A report on international Delphi surveyMacVane Phipps, Fiona E. January 2013 (has links)
No / Is midwifery knowledge a relevant construct for contemporary practice? In other words, is it useful to think about the things midwives know and the skills they possess in terms of midwifery knowledge? Or, in an era of interprofessional practice, clinical governance and risk management, have midwives lost whatever was unique to their profession about how to help women give birth?
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Previsão Tecnológica a médio e longo prazo sobre os processos de geração de Hidrogênio, considerando cenários futuros probabilísticos que levem em conta o desenvolvimento das pilhas a combustível / TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AT MEDIUM AND LONG TERM ABOUT HYDROGEN GENERATION PROCESS, CONSIDERING PROBABILISTICS FUTURE SCENARIOS AND TAKING INTO ACCOUNT FUEL CELLS DEVELOPMENTNakano, Milton Satocy 23 March 2009 (has links)
As Pilhas a Combustível estão cada vez mais atraindo o interesse como dispositivos de conversão de energia eficientes e, principalmente limpos. O Hidrogênio que alimenta as Pilhas a Combustível, deve ser gerado também de forma eficiente e limpa. Este trabalho utiliza a metodologia Delphi para Previsão Tecnológica aplicada ao assunto Geração de Hidrogênio, identificando os métodos que mais provavelmente serão utilizados no futuro para obtermos Hidrogênio aqui no Brasil. O método Delphi consiste na aplicação de um questionário a um grupo de especialistas na área em estudo. Foi elaborado um questionário contendo 10 questões direcionados ao assunto Produção de Hidrogênio para utilização em Pilhas a Combustível. Este questionário foi enviado a 677 pesquisadores através do correio eletrônico e obtivemos um retorno de 115 respostas que foram tabuladas e receberam um tratamento estatístico. Estes dados foram reenviados aos respondentes do questionário para uma avaliação de suas respostas e uma possível alteração. Após o ciclo de avaliações obtivemos os resultados finais que foram novamente tabulados e tratados estatisticamente. Através da análise destes dados chegamos aos métodos mais prováveis de produção de hidrogênio que serão utilizados no futuro, se vier a ser utilizado em larga escala. / Fuel Cells are attracting interest as efficient and clean energy conversion devices. Hydrogen is the combustible of the Fuel Cells and must be generated by an efficient and clean method. This work exploits Delphi methodology of Technological Forecasting applied to Hydrogen Generation and identifies the most probable methods that, in future, can be used to obtain Hydrogen in Brazil. Delphi methodology consist in application of one questionnaire to a group of experts in the studied area. One questionnaire with 10 questions was elaborated about theme Hidrogen Generation to Fuel Cells utilization. This questionnaire was sent by Email to 677 experts and we received 115 answers that was tabulated and statistically treated. These data was resent to respondents of questionnaire to evaluate your answers and make a possible change. After evaluation cycle we obtained the final results that was tabulated and statistically treated again. By analysis of these data we obtained the most probable hydrogen generation methods that will be utilized in the future.
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Previsão Tecnológica a médio e longo prazo sobre os processos de geração de Hidrogênio, considerando cenários futuros probabilísticos que levem em conta o desenvolvimento das pilhas a combustível / TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AT MEDIUM AND LONG TERM ABOUT HYDROGEN GENERATION PROCESS, CONSIDERING PROBABILISTICS FUTURE SCENARIOS AND TAKING INTO ACCOUNT FUEL CELLS DEVELOPMENTMilton Satocy Nakano 23 March 2009 (has links)
As Pilhas a Combustível estão cada vez mais atraindo o interesse como dispositivos de conversão de energia eficientes e, principalmente limpos. O Hidrogênio que alimenta as Pilhas a Combustível, deve ser gerado também de forma eficiente e limpa. Este trabalho utiliza a metodologia Delphi para Previsão Tecnológica aplicada ao assunto Geração de Hidrogênio, identificando os métodos que mais provavelmente serão utilizados no futuro para obtermos Hidrogênio aqui no Brasil. O método Delphi consiste na aplicação de um questionário a um grupo de especialistas na área em estudo. Foi elaborado um questionário contendo 10 questões direcionados ao assunto Produção de Hidrogênio para utilização em Pilhas a Combustível. Este questionário foi enviado a 677 pesquisadores através do correio eletrônico e obtivemos um retorno de 115 respostas que foram tabuladas e receberam um tratamento estatístico. Estes dados foram reenviados aos respondentes do questionário para uma avaliação de suas respostas e uma possível alteração. Após o ciclo de avaliações obtivemos os resultados finais que foram novamente tabulados e tratados estatisticamente. Através da análise destes dados chegamos aos métodos mais prováveis de produção de hidrogênio que serão utilizados no futuro, se vier a ser utilizado em larga escala. / Fuel Cells are attracting interest as efficient and clean energy conversion devices. Hydrogen is the combustible of the Fuel Cells and must be generated by an efficient and clean method. This work exploits Delphi methodology of Technological Forecasting applied to Hydrogen Generation and identifies the most probable methods that, in future, can be used to obtain Hydrogen in Brazil. Delphi methodology consist in application of one questionnaire to a group of experts in the studied area. One questionnaire with 10 questions was elaborated about theme Hidrogen Generation to Fuel Cells utilization. This questionnaire was sent by Email to 677 experts and we received 115 answers that was tabulated and statistically treated. These data was resent to respondents of questionnaire to evaluate your answers and make a possible change. After evaluation cycle we obtained the final results that was tabulated and statistically treated again. By analysis of these data we obtained the most probable hydrogen generation methods that will be utilized in the future.
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The logic of consensus on the foundations of science education in Canada: a Delphi studyMurray, John James 05 December 2014 (has links)
Despite certain episodes of Canadian influences on science education, the last six decades of science education in Canada has been a decidedly American experience – particularly from the standpoints of: 1) the foundational policy documents that have provided explicit impetus to periodic science curriculum reform in Canada; 2) the principal theoretical foundations, guiding assumptions, and goals of science education, and; 3) the development of curricular frameworks in Canadian provincial jurisdictions. Though contested, it will be argued here and supported by the research that the Canadian systems of science education operating in the provinces and territories have not had opportunity, historically, to engage in the architecture of curriculum uniquely from Canada that supplies broad and respected appeal to the context of Canadian society, its demographics, its geographic diversity, and its geo-political position internationally.
The objective of this dissertation was to empirically determine the principal theoretical foundations and system conditions for a Canadian approach to science education. The research was conducted and documented through an online, anonymous, and asynchronous modified Delphi methodology. Over a five-month period, the assembled expert panel of 54 peer-acknowledged and representative science and education specialists from Canada - comprising fourteen identifiable professional affiliations in two cohorts - participated in a Delphi having three rounds. This first-of-kind Delphi has identified a number of consensus positions in accordance with standard statistical criteria developed in the research design. These consensus positions occur across four principal areas of impact on Canadian science education: (1) significant national and international globalization trends; (2) the foundations and goals of science education; (3) roles and responsibilities of stakeholders in curriculum, and; (4) a context for the future of science education in Canada.
The findings of the study provide a new basis for, and constitute potential new challenges to, science education in Canada and argue persuasively for new terminology. Sustainability Science, Technology, Economy and Environment (SSTEE) is presented as a new, original guiding foundation for science education in Canada. This terminology constitutes a new tension for science curriculum and directly challenges the emergent trend of Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics (STEM) as a basis for science curriculum reform.
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Análise prospectiva do desenvolvimento do produto nas indústrias automobilísticas de veículos comerciais instaladas no BrasilKubo, Pablo Yugo Yoshiura [UNESP] 06 March 2009 (has links) (PDF)
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kubo_pyy_dr_guara.pdf: 854634 bytes, checksum: c91e3063ee56f2acff6f33e070c95dd7 (MD5) / Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES) / O objetivo principal desta Tese é analisar prospectivamente as tendências sobre as estratégias mundiais de desenvolvimento dos veículos comerciais frente aos cenários nacional e internacional atuais. Para tanto, foi realizada uma pesquisa usando o método Delphi, que consiste em regular, sistematicamente, a apresentação de perguntas acerca de um determinado problema a um grupo de especialistas. Para um levantamento mais abrangente optou-se por aplicar os questionários a três grupos distintos: Acadêmicos, Executivos das montadoras de veículos comerciais e Executivos das indústrias de autopeças. É possível concluir, após a análise dos resultados, que o Brasil possui atualmente uma posição confortável na comercialização de caminhões e ônibus, além de certa autonomia no desenvolvimento desses veículos em relação às empresas matrizes. Adicionalmente destaca-se que poucos foram os argumentos que justificariam mudanças desse cenário até o ano de 2018, porém há claras deficiências – como ausência de profissionais (engenheiros) qualificados no mercado e necessidade de maior intercâmbio entre empresas e Universidades - que devem ser analisadas e superadas de modo a garantir ao Brasil a sustentabilidade no desenvolvimento deste tipo de produto. / The main objective of this Thesis is to present a prospective analysis about the tendencies of the world wide strategies of commercial vehicles’ development, in relation to the current local and international scenery. It has been done a research by using the Delphi method, which consists to regulate, systematically, the presentation of questions about a specific problem to a group of specialists. In order to guarantee more representative data, it has been adopted three distinct groups: Academics, OEMs Managers and OEM´s suppliers Managers. It is noticeable, after the data’s analysis, that Brazil has nowadays a comfortable status on the commercial vehicles’ market and also a good autonomy on product development. The specialists presented few arguments that could justify the modification of this scenery up to 2018, although there are clear evidences – like lack of qualified engineers on Brazilian market and the necessity of a better exchange of knowledge between the OEMs and Universities – that must be analyzed and suppressed, in order to guarantee the Brazilian product development sustainability in this segment.
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Previsão tecnológica a médio/longo prazos sobre a evolução das propriedades e de mercado dos polímeros de engenharia / Technology foresight in the medium /long-term evolution of properties on the market and engineering polymersCarvalho, Ricardo Venicio Cuzziol de 18 August 2018 (has links)
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Previous issue date: 2011 / Resumo: A indústria em geral e particularmente o segmento plástico enfrentam uma época de competitividade global e acirrada. Além disso, pressões sociais como a questão ambiental, eficiência energética e busca por produtos de qualidade são fatores que impulsionam a demanda por inovações e aprimoramentos constantes. Dentro do mercado dos polímeros, os plásticos de engenharia representam a fatia de materiais com melhor potencial para estes aprimoramentos. É objetivo deste trabalho avaliar as principais tendências de melhoria de propriedades, novas tecnologias de modificação e reforços, novas aplicações potenciais e volumes de consumo para os representantes dessa classe de materiais para os próximos 20 a 30 anos. O primeiro material selecionado para este estudo foi o Nylon 66, devido à sua grande versatilidade de modificação e aplicação além de ser um dos principais representantes dos polímeros de engenharia. O polipropileno também foi selecionado devido à sua grande versatilidade e possibilidade de utilização em aplicações de engenharia, especialmente na forma de compostos. A técnica de prospecção tecnológica utilizada foi o método Delphi que se baseia em um questionário enviado a especialistas da área em rodadas consecutivas para a obtenção de um consenso. O anonimato dos participantes, análise estatística dos resultados e feedback aos respondentes são as principais características deste método. Um questionário envolvendo os aspectos tecnológicos e mercadológicos foi elaborado e enviado aos respondentes em duas rodadas. São observadas nos resultados obtidos tendências de crescimento no mercado de polímeros de engenharia em aplicações de alta temperatura e em substituição aos materiais convencionais como os metais e cerâmicas, principalmente no mercado automotivo, industrial e eletroeletrônico. Avanços em propriedades como performance termo-mecânica e balanço entre rigidez e tenacidade além de inovações nas tecnologias de manufatura e moldagem dos polímeros de engenharia foram indicados como tendências futuras. Medidas para superar obstáculos em custos , definição de políticas públicas e privadas que viabilizem atividades de reciclagem, capacitação e mão de obra e o alinhamento entre indústria, academia e governo serão fundamentais para o sucesso dos polímeros de engenharia nas suas mais diversas aplicações / Abstract: Industry in general and the plastics segment in particular are facing a time of global and strong competition. Also, social claims like environmental care, energy efficient technologies and the need for high quality products are boosting innovations and improvements. On the plastics market, engineering polymers are the best suited materials for these improvements. It is the objective of this work to evaluate the tendencies for improved properties, new modification and reinforcement technologies, new potential applications and volumes of commercialization for this class of materials over the next 20 to 30 years. The first material selected for the research was Nylon 66 due to its huge ease of modification and versatility for application, in addition it is one of the most important engineering polymers. Polypropilene was also selected due to its versatility and possibility of utilization in engineering applications, specially in compounds. Delphi method was used as the research technique, it is based on a questionnaire sent to experts in polymers in successive rounds as a means of achieving consensus. Anonymity of participants, statistical evaluation of results and feedback to the experts are the main characteristics of this method. A questionnaire covering technological and market aspects was developed and sent to the participants in two rounds. It is seen in the results a tendency of growth in the market of engineering polymers for high temperature applications and in traditional materials replacement, like metals and ceramics, specially in the automotive, industrial and electro-electronic markets. Improvements in properties like thermomechanical performance and balance between stiffness and toughness in addition to technology innovations in manufacturing and molding of engineering polymers were pointed as future tendencies. Measures to overcome cost issues, public and private policy implementation to facilitate recicling, work force qualification and alignment between industry, academy and government will be vital for the success of enginering polymers in their various applications / Mestrado / Ciencia e Tecnologia de Materiais / Mestre em Engenharia Química
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