Author: Pavel Ryska Doctoral thesis: The Empirics of Deflation and Economic Growth Abstract This doctoral thesis deals with the relationship between deflation and economic growth. Existing empirical research has focused on the simple link between price growth and GDP growth or introduced narrower price measures as control variables. The goal of the present work is to account for shifts in both demand and supply, so that the effect of price inflation on growth as such could be separated from effects of changes in certain elements of nominal demand and supply. The work takes two general approaches. First, I use a large macroeconomic panel data set of 20 countries over approximately 140 years to explore long-run and short-run effects of inflation on output growth, after controlling for money supply growth as a demand shifter and oil price growth as a proxy for shifts in supply. In doing so, I use a range of methods such as the vector error-correction model, autoregressive distributed lag model and the fixed effects panel model. Second, I propose a new approach that uses disaggregated sector data from national accounts on output, prices and other variables to explore the link between quantity produced and sector inflation rates. The advantage of the data set is that it is rich in modern-day observations of...

This Diploma Thesis is being focused on Information Security Management System implementation for a certain municipality. The work has been divided into two parts. The first part deals with theoretical basis which are based on the ISO/IEC 27000 standards. The second part contains the practical implementation following the theoretical background from the first part. The implementation itself has been divided into three stages and this thesis is mainly concentrated on the first stage.

This master’s thesis contains performance evaluation of Profidebt company using financial analysis indicators from years 2006-2012, further SWOT analysis is performed together with statistical analysis of economic ratios with next term’s prognosis. In the first part, theoretical basis is explained and it is applied on the company in the second part of thesis. In the end, quantified results from the analysis are evaluated and proposals are devised.

Wealth, well-being and the standard of living of the population are among the most important topics of economic policy and statistics. This diploma thesis deals with statistical concepts of wealth measurement, especially the wealth of households. The aim of the thesis is to introduce various indicators that deal with the mentioned issues. This thesis will describe Gross Domestic Product, Household Consumption, EU-SILC Survey, or Alternative Indicators Assessing the Living Standard of the Population. The most important indicator characterizing the wealth of households will be the net worth of households. On the presented indicators I will describe the development of wealth of households in the Czech Republic since 1993. Another part of the thesis is focused on describing the relationship between net worth and other indicators of wealth through cointegration analysis of time series. In this cointegration analysis, the ADL model and the EC model will be used. The last part of the thesis is aimed at the international comparison of the wealth of households within selected European countries. For this comparison will be use a cluster analysis to build clusters of states with a similar household wealth.

Diploma thesis is focused on research and description of current state of machine learning field, focusing on methods that can be used for prediction and classification of time series, which could be then applied in the algorithmic trading field. Reading of theoretical section should explain basic principles of financial markets, algorithmic trading and machine learning also to reader, which was previously familiar with the subject only very thoroughly. Main objective of application part is to choose appropriate methods and procedures, which match current state of art techniques in machine learning field. Next step is to apply it to historical price data. Result of application of selected methods is determination of their success at out of sample data that was not used during model calibration. Success of prediction was evaluated by accuracy metric along with Sharpe ratio of basic trading strategy that is based on model predictions. Secondary outcome of this work is to explore possibilities and test usability of technologies used in application part. Specifically is tested and used SciPy environment, that combines Python with packages and tools designed for data analysis, statistics and machine learning.

The purpose of this thesis is to analyze investment options into wheat, corn and rice futures throughout different time horizons. Mostly we use daily closing prices for the last fifteen years. General knowledge of the field in context of nowadays is required to perform such an analysis. To achieve our goals we use technical analysis, time series analysis and we discuss the fundaments of price movements. Contribution of this thesis can be summed as presenting the basic tools of technical analysis in real world, presenting the fundamentals of price movements in one place and practical application of time series analysis on futures prices. By doing so we can confirm that random walk thesis is not unsubstantial but cannot be generalized for all instruments and periods of capital market.

The present thesis describes the relation of the gross domestic product and the unemployment rate by educational attainment. The analysis of relation between time series refers to data for the Czech Republic. The thesis is divided into four main chapters. The first chapter deals with the definition of the gross domestic product, the calculation method, the detection and the measurement. The following chapter is focused on the issue of unemployment. Both the chapters are supplemented by historical development of indicators in the Czech Republic. The last theoretical part presents the statistical methods used in the time series analysis. The fourth chapter provides the actual analysis of relations between the gross domestic product and the unemployment rate by educational attainment. The analysis is based on data for the period 1996--2014, which are quarterly seasonally unadjusted data.

The thesis describes interactions and relationships between selected economic indicators. These indicators are the gross domestic product and the average gross monthly wage. The analysis of these selected indicators, are made for the Czech Republic and Slovakia. The work has four main parts, which are divided into several other sections. The first defines the concept of national accounting, the second part contents gross domestic product, the method of its calculating and the frequency of compilation. In the third section is described the field theory of wages and salaries and the concepts such as minimum wage, the average gross monthly wage and median wage and salary are defined. In this two chapters are compared selected countries on the basis of the tables and graphs of selected indicators. The last chapter analyzes the relationships between selected economic indicators in selected countries based on quarterly data from the years 2001-2013.

This thesis deals with the application of quality management in the unconventional field of logistics that are increasingly becoming inseparable parts. The aim of the thesis is to find out logistics provider's attitude and opinion about various aspects of the quality, their interest in quality management and especially its usefulness in the real world. Secondary aim is to analyze the concept of quality management, methods being used and matter of connection with logistics. The theoretical part of the thesis focus on historical development and definition of the quality. There are methods being used to improve the quality, strategic importance of quality management and different types of quality awards in Czech Republic and around the world. In the next chapter are the most frequently discussed approaches to quality management as ISO 9000 standards and Total quality management. Following section is devoted to logistics and logistics providers. Last chapter deals with customer satisfaction in 21st century and customer expectations. Practical part is centered on creation of the survey, evaluation of the obtained data and the final result.

This diploma thesis deals with the investment life insurance. Investment life insurance combines the classical life insurance and the investments in open-end mutual funds. It is a widely discussed financial product, especially for its high expensiveness. Nevertheless, the investment life insurance holds a significant share of the insurance market. The aim of this diploma thesis is the analysis and exploration of investment life insurance market in Czech Republic. The thesis consists of theoretical and practical part. In theoretical part the basic concepts of this insurance product are defined. Theoretical part further contains the theory related to time series analysis and the description of mutual funds. Practical part deals with the five most significant insurance companies in Czech Republic, compares various mutual funds and analyses the selected mutual fund in detail. The forecast of selected mutual fund price development was performed. It turned out that the price forecasting is complicated because of variety of factors affecting the price behaviour. Further, the calculations of insurance premiums and technical provisions were performed. MS Excel was used for the calculations and the time series analysis was performed using the statistical software Eviews. Diploma thesis assists the readers with the orientation in the investment life insurance problematics.