In the last decade, with the extensive use of mobile electronic and wireless communication devices, there is a growing need for context aware applications and many pervasive computing applications have become integral parts of our daily lives. Context aware recommender systems are one of the popular ones in this area. Such systems surround the users and integrate with the environment / hence, they are aware of the users&#039 / context and use that information to deliver personalized recommendations about everyday tasks. In this manner, predicting user&rsquo / s next activity preferences with high accuracy improves the personalized service quality of context aware recommender systems and naturally provides user satisfaction. Predicting activities of people is useful and the studies on this issue in ubiquitous environment are considerably insufficient. Thus, this thesis proposes an activity prediction model to forecast a user&rsquo / s next activity preference using past preferences of the user in certain contexts and current contexts of user in ubiquitous environment. The proposed model presents a new approach for activity prediction by taking advantage of ontology. A prototype application is implemented to demonstrate the applicability of this proposed model and the obtained outputs of a sample case on this application revealed that the proposed model can reasonably predict the next activities of the users.

Learning to recognize and predict common activities, performed by objects and observed by sensors, is an important and challenging problem related both to artificial intelligence and robotics.In this thesis, the general problem of dynamic adaptive situation awareness is considered and we argue for the need for an on-line bottom-up approach.A candidate for a bottom layer is proposed, which we consider to be capable of future extensions that can bring us closer towards the goal.We present a novel approach to adaptive activity learning, where a mapping between raw data and primitive activity concepts are learned and continuously improved on-line and unsupervised. The approach takes streams of observations of objects as input and learns a probabilistic representation of both the observed spatio-temporal activities and their causal relations. The dynamics of the activities are modeled using sparse Gaussian processes and their causal relations using probabilistic graphs.The learned model supports both estimating the most likely activity and predicting the most likely future (and past) activities. Methods and ideas from a wide range of previous work are combined to provide a uniform and efficient way to handle a variety of common problems related to learning, classifying and predicting activities.The framework is evaluated both by learning activities in a simulated traffic monitoring application and by learning the flight patterns of an internally developed autonomous quadcopter system. The conclusion is that our framework is capable of learning the observed activities in real-time with good accuracy.We see this work as a step towards unsupervised learning of activities for robotic systems to adapt to new circumstances autonomously and to learn new activities on the fly that can be detected and predicted immediately. / Att lära sig känna igen och förutsäga vanliga aktiviteter genom att analysera sensordata från observerade objekt är ett viktigt och utmanande problem relaterat både till artificiell intelligens och robotik. I det här exjobbet studerar vi det generella problemet rörande adaptiv situationsmedvetenhet, och vi argumenterar för behovet av ett angreppssätt som arbetar on-line (direkt på ny data) och från botten upp. Vi föreslår en möjlig lösning som vi anser bereder väg för framtida utökningar som kan ta oss närmare detta mål. Vi presenterar en ny metod för adaptiv aktivitetsinlärning, där en mappning mellan rå-data och grundläggande aktivitetskoncept, samt deras kausala relationer, lärs och är kontinuerligt förfinade utan behov av övervakning. Tillvägagångssättet bygger på användandet av strömmar av observationer av objekt, och inlärning sker av en statistik representation för både de observerade spatio-temporala aktiviteterna och deras kausala relationer. Aktiviteternas dynamik modelleras med hjälp av glesa Gaussiska processer och för att modellera aktiviteternas kausala samband används probabilistiska grafer. Givet observationer av ett objekt så stödjer de inlärda modellerna både skattning av den troligaste aktiviteten och förutsägelser av de mest troliga framtida (och dåtida) aktiviteterna utförda. Metoder och idéer från en rad olika tidigare arbeten kombineras på ett sätt som möjliggör ett enhetligt och effektivt sätt att hantera en mängd vanliga problem relaterade till inlärning, klassificering och förutsägelser av aktiviteter. Ramverket är utvärderat genom att dels inlärning av aktiviteter i en simulerad trafikövervakningsapplikation och dels genom inlärning av flygmönster hos ett  internt utvecklad quadrocoptersystem. Slutsatsen är att vårt ramverk klarar av att lära sig de observerade aktivisterna i realtid med god noggrannhet. Vi ser detta arbete som ett steg mot oövervakad inlärning av aktiviteter för robotsystem, så att dessa kan anpassa sig till nya förhållanden autonomt och lära sig nya aktiviteter direkt och som då dessutom kan börja detekteras och förutsägas omedelbart.

The study of RNA-binding proteins has recently increased in importance due to discoveries of their larger role in cellular processes. One study currently conducted at Umeå University involves constructing a model that will be able to improve our knowledge about T-cells by explaining how these cells work in different diseases. But before this model can become a reality, Umeå Univerity needs to investigate the relation between RNA and RNA-binding proteins and find proteins of which highly contribute to the activity of the RNA-binding proteins. To do so, they have decided to use four penalized regression Machine Learning models to analyse protein sequences from CD4 cells. These models consist of a ridge penalized model, an elastic net model, a neural network model, and a Bayesian model. The results show that the models have a number of RNA-binding protein sequences in common which they list as highly decisive in their predictions.

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / The availability of low cost sensors and mobile devices allowed many advances in research of ubiquitous and pervasive computing area. With the capture of contextual data provided by the sensors attached to these devices it is possible to obtain user state information and the environment, and thus map the relationship between them. One approach to map these relationships are the activities performed by the user, which also are part of the context itself. However, even that human activities could cause injuries, there is not much discussion in the academy of how ubiquitous computing could assess the risk related to them. In this sense, the Activity Project aims to determine the risk situations related to activities performed by people in a context aware environment, through a middleware that considers the risk in the actions that composes an activity and the user performance while performing an activity. This thesis aims to specify the Activity Manager middleware layer proposed for the Activity Project, whose goal is to address issues relating to the prediction of actions and activities and the detection of risk situation in the actions performed by an user. The model developed to address the composition and prediction of activities is based on the Activity Theory, while the risk in actions is determined by changes in the physiological context of the user caused by the actions performed by itself, modeled through the model named Hyperspace Analogous to Context. Tests were conducted and developed models outperformed proposals found for action prediction, with an accuracy of 78.69%, as well as for risk situations detection, with an accuracy of 98.94%, showing the efficiency of the proposed solution. / A popularização de sensores de baixo custo e de dispositivos móveis permitiu diversos avanços nas pesquisas da área de computação ubíqua e pervasiva. Com a captura dos dados contextuais providos pelos sensores acoplados a estes dispositivos é possível obter informações do estado do usuário e do ambiente, e dessa forma mapear a relação entre ambos. Uma das possíveis abordagens para mapear essas relações são as atividades executadas pelo usuário, que inclusive são parte constituinte do próprio contexto. Entretanto, mesmo que as atividades humanas possam causar danos físicos, não há muita discussão na academia de como a computação ubíqua poderia avaliar esse risco relacionado a elas. Neste sentido, o projeto Activity Project objetiva determinar situações de risco no momento da realização de atividades desempenhadas por pessoas em um ambiente sensível ao contexto, através de um middleware sensível ao contexto que considera o risco nas ações que compõe uma atividade e o desempenho do usuário enquanto executa uma atividade. Esta dissertação tem por objetivo especificar a camada Gerência de Atividades do middleware proposto para o Activity Project, cujo objetivo é tratar as questões referentes à predição de ações e atividades e a detecção de situações de risco em ações. O modelo desenvolvido para tratar a composição das atividades e a predição das mesmas baseia-se na Teoria da Atividade, enquanto que o risco em ações é determinado pelas mudanças no contexto fisiológico do usuário, modeladas através do modelo Hiperespaço Análogo ao Contexto. Nos testes realizados os modelos desenvolvidos superaram as propostas encontradas até o momento para a predição de ações com uma a precisão de 78,69%, bem como para a determinação de situações de risco com uma precisão de 98,94%, demonstrando a eficácia da solução proposta.

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