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The stock market and South Africa's economic developmentFrank, Ashley Gavin 30 June 2004 (has links)
Financial liberalisation, through increasing investment as well as the average productivity of capital, should stimulate economic growth, or so the theory goes. Bank lending unfortunately suffers adverse selection and moral hazard effects, to which the establishment and expansion of stock markets has been offered as a remedy. However, research from developing country stock markets have shown that in many cases these markets did not complement the effects of credit market liberalisation but in rather important aspects subverted them. Countries that implemented credit market liberalisation and raised real interest rates only increased the price of debt capital rather than all capital. This caused a share price boom in many of them. When the price of equity capital fell it seriously undermined and indeed allowed large private corporations to skip altogether the main channel of high interest rates through which the theoretical McKinnon-Shaw effects were to operate.
This study asks the research question of what effect the expansion of the South African stock exchange has had for its economic development. It makes use of a general empirical model to explain the relationship between financial development and real output. The model comprises indicators for growth, banking system development, stock market volatility; and, stock market development through a conglomerate index that accounts for market size, liquidity and integration with world capital markets. Quarterly data from 1989 to 2001 is analysed based on the null hypothesis that, as far as financial architecture is concerned, the development of the JSE Securities Exchange has stimulated the country's economic growth.
This study found a negative and statistically significant relation between stock market development and economic growth. It suggests that while the JSE Securities Exchange is a relatively large stock market it is the presence of thin trading that prevents the proposed benefits of market development from accruing to the economy. Thus the hypothesis is rejected. However, since the only stable cointegrating vector is between growth and banking sector development, it recommends that by expanding their universal banking functions, the present banking structure, though oligopolistic, may be better suited to act as a catalyst for growth. / Business Management / D. Comm.
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The stock market and South Africa's economic developmentFrank, Ashley Gavin 30 June 2004 (has links)
Financial liberalisation, through increasing investment as well as the average productivity of capital, should stimulate economic growth, or so the theory goes. Bank lending unfortunately suffers adverse selection and moral hazard effects, to which the establishment and expansion of stock markets has been offered as a remedy. However, research from developing country stock markets have shown that in many cases these markets did not complement the effects of credit market liberalisation but in rather important aspects subverted them. Countries that implemented credit market liberalisation and raised real interest rates only increased the price of debt capital rather than all capital. This caused a share price boom in many of them. When the price of equity capital fell it seriously undermined and indeed allowed large private corporations to skip altogether the main channel of high interest rates through which the theoretical McKinnon-Shaw effects were to operate.
This study asks the research question of what effect the expansion of the South African stock exchange has had for its economic development. It makes use of a general empirical model to explain the relationship between financial development and real output. The model comprises indicators for growth, banking system development, stock market volatility; and, stock market development through a conglomerate index that accounts for market size, liquidity and integration with world capital markets. Quarterly data from 1989 to 2001 is analysed based on the null hypothesis that, as far as financial architecture is concerned, the development of the JSE Securities Exchange has stimulated the country's economic growth.
This study found a negative and statistically significant relation between stock market development and economic growth. It suggests that while the JSE Securities Exchange is a relatively large stock market it is the presence of thin trading that prevents the proposed benefits of market development from accruing to the economy. Thus the hypothesis is rejected. However, since the only stable cointegrating vector is between growth and banking sector development, it recommends that by expanding their universal banking functions, the present banking structure, though oligopolistic, may be better suited to act as a catalyst for growth. / Business Management / D. Comm.
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Church and community during the Apartheid Era, 1970s-1980s: a focus on the projects of the Transkei Council of Churches (TCC)Moreku, Clement 28 February 2003 (has links)
History / M.A. (History)
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International tourism and economic development: a South African perspectiveRoussot, Elizabeth Wambach 30 June 2005 (has links)
Tourism is one of the largest industries in the world. Since the 1980s the role of tourism as a means of achieving the objectives of economic development has received prominence within the sustainable development paradigm. This dissertation examines the role of international tourism in achieving the objectives of economic development in terms of its impact on key social and economic variables, such as the balance of payments, inflation, employment and the social fabric of host communities. It also examines the constraints facing international tourism, such as the effect of perceptions on tourism flows and the powerful position of multinationals in influencing the tourist decision-making process. The success of the international tourism industry in selected countries is assessed and the relative position of the South African tourist offering is highlighted in an attempt to draw lessons for the future development of the industry in South Africa. / Economics / M. A. (Economics)
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The state, non-state actors and violation of economic, social and cultural rights : making the case for paradigm shift in human rights advocacy and protection in AfricaBusia, Nana K. A. 06 1900 (has links)
For many sets of reasons, including the unequal power relationship between them and most underdeveloped states, and probably more in Africa than anywhere else in the world, non-state actors (NSAs) like states are involved in the violation of human rights. With the phenomenon of globalization, their role has become even more pronounced with some of the traditional functions of the state being performed by them, with implications for human rights, especially socioeconomic rights. Unfortunately, state-centred traditional international law has proved to be ill-equipped to hold NSAs directly accountable and liable for their violations of human rights. NSAs are only expected to adhere to non-binding voluntary standards, such as codes of conduct. Yet, if properly interpreted and enforced, the African Charter for Human and People’s Rights (ACHPR) can be relied upon to hold them accountable.
Against this backdrop, the study interrogates the existing universal and regional human rights laws and systems with the view to identifying any rules, principles, case law or literature that can help hold NSAs directly accountable for human rights violations. For better advocacy and protection of human rights on the African continent, it makes a case for a paradigm shift away from a state centred to a holistic approach that would include NSAs and ensure that they are also bound to protect human rights and become accountable for their violations. / Private Law / LL.M.
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A management plan for locally generated economic development in South AfricaNel, Verna Joan 06 1900 (has links)
Local authorities in South Africa need to compile and implement local economic
development plans. These plans are not only required by law as a component of
integrated development plans, but also emanate from the pressing needs of many
communities for development, job creation, and greater welfare and prosperity.
A review of the historical and theoretical background reveals changing approaches and
different theories to defend the actions taken. A critique of typical strategies and
processes reveals that no one strategy or process can be universally applied, but that
these should be adapted to the community's unique circumstances. Shortcomings and
appropriate applications are indicated.
The management plan presents a process to enable local authorities in partnership with
the community to compile a plan for locally generated and directed development. This
plan can, but need not, be a component of an integrated development plan and is thus
compatible with integrated development planning and the formulation of local
development objectives.
The plan draws on a number of planning methodologies including urban planning, city
marketing, strategic planning and neuro-linguistic programming approaches. Techniques
from these and community development methodologies are included to guide the
community through the process of creating a vision, analysis, goal setting, plan and
strategy formulation, implementation and review. This management plan is designed as a
generic process that can be applied to a variety of circumstances. The flexible nature of
the process permits innovation and adaptations to local needs and other fields of
planning. It also provides scope for further research on theories, methodologies and
techniques. / Geography / D.Phil. (Geography)
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Gender issues in development : an African rural perspectiveFetsha, Angela Joy Nosipho 11 1900 (has links)
The need to carry out an analysis of gender issues in development stems from a concern about the persistent inequalities surrounding African rural women. Women assume social and economic roles inside and outside the household but their contribution does not receive due recognition. Having being excluded from crucial
decision making processes, their productive roles have been secondary to their reproductive responsibilities.
The purpose of this study was to highlight the negative impact imposed by gender oppression on women's economic and social progress. This necessitated an in-depth review of literature that included journals, books,
newspaper articles and general publications. The review reflected that women have undisputedly faced social, cultural, economic, political and educational barriers and that simple rhetoric has not done much to
alleviate women's subordinate position and dependency on men. Finally a suggested plan- of action followed to provide an axis around which gender issues in development should revolve. / Development Studies / M. Admin. (Development Administration)
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Analysis of the relationship between business cycles and bank credit extenstion : evidence from South AfricaChakanyuka, Goodman 06 1900 (has links)
This study provides evidence of the relationship between bank-granted credit and
business cycles in South Africa. The study is conducted in three phases, namely
qualitative research (Phase I), quantitative research (Phase II) and econometric analysis
(Phase III). A sequential (connected data) mixed methodology (Phase I and II) is used to
collect and analyze primary data from market participants. The qualitative research
(Phase I) involves structured interviews with influential or well informed people on the
subject matter. Phase I of the study is used to understand the key determinants of bank
credit in South Africa and to appreciate how each of the credit aggregates behaves during
alternate business cycles. Qualitative survey results suggest key determinants of
commercial bank credit in South Africa as economic growth, collateral value, bank
competition, money supply, deposit liabilities, capital requirements, bank lending rates
and inflation. The qualitative results are used to formulate questions of the structured
survey questionnaire (Quantitative research- Phase II). The ANOVA and Pearman’s
product correlation analysis techniques are used to assess relationship between variables.
The quantitative results show that there is direct and positive relationship between bank
lending behavior and credit aggregates namely economic growth, collateral value, bank
competition and money supply. On the other hand, the results show that there is a
negative relationship between credit growth and bank capital and lending rates. Overall,
the quantitative findings show that bank lending in South Africa is procyclical. The
survey results indicate that the case for demand-following hypothesis is stronger than
supply-leading hypothesis in South Africa.
The econometric methodology is used to augment results of the survey study. Phase III of
the study re-examines econometric relationship between bank lending and business
cycles. The study employs cointegration and vector error correction model (VECM)
techniques in order to test for existence of long-run relationship between the selected
variables. Granger causality test technique is applied to the variables of interest to test for
direction of causation between variables. The study uses quarterly data for the period of
1980:Q1 to 2013:Q4. Business cycles are determined and measured by Gross Domestic
Product at market prices while bank-granted credit is proxied by credit extension to the
private sector. The econometric test results show that there is a significant long-run
relationship between economic growth and bank credit extension. The Granger causality
test provides evidence of unidirectional causal relationship with direction from economic
growth to credit extension for South Africa. The study results indicate that the case for
demand-following hypothesis is stronger than supply-leading hypothesis in South Africa.
Economic growth spurs credit market development in South Africa.
Overall, the results show that there is a stable long-run relationship between macroeconomic
business cycles and real credit growth in South Africa. The results show that
economic growth significantly causes and stimulates bank credit. The study, therefore,
recommends that South Africa needs to give policy priority to promotion and
development of the real sector of the economy to propel and accelerate credit extension.
Economic growth is considered as the significant policy variable to stimulate credit
extension. The findings therefore hold important implications for both theory and policy. / Business Management / D.B.L.
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Analise van die politieke, ekonomiese en militêre verhouding tussen die Republiek van Suid-Afrika en die Volksrepubliek van Sjina, 1998-2012Bezuidenhout, Marius 05 1900 (has links)
Text in Afrikaans / Suid-Afrika het sy diplomatieke bande met Taiwan verbreek en hegte diplomatieke bande met Sjina in 1998 aangeknoop. Hierdie hegte verhouding wat tussen Suid-Afrika en Sjina ontwikkel het, word dikwels deur politici, die media en vakbonde veroordeel as nadelig vir Suid-Afrika. Ten einde hierdie veroordelings te staaf, of te weerlê, is ‘n analise van die politieke, ekonomiese en militêre verhouding tussen Suid-Afrika en Sjina onderneem. Aangesien Suid-Afrika voor 1998 verhoudinge met Taiwan gehandhaaf het, kon die verhouding wat tans tussen Suid-Afrika en Sjina bestaan, vergelyk word met die vorige verhouding met Taiwan. Die verhandeling kon gevolglik tot ’n gevolgtrekking kom rakende die verhouding. / In 1998 South Africa broke off diplomatic ties with Taiwan when it established full relations with China. Since then, South Africa’s ties with China have been frequently criticised by politicians, the media and trade unions as disadvantageous to South Africa. To refute or confirm this perception, an analysis of the political, economic and military ties between South Africa and China has been undertaken. South Africa’s relations with Taiwan prior to 1998 are the basis for the comparison of South Africa’s relations with China. As a result, this dissertation is able to reach a conclusion regarding these ties. / Political Sciences / M.A. (International Politics)
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The impact of globalisation on trade unions : Cosatu’s present and future engagement in international issuesNepgen, Arnold 03 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MA (Political Science. International Studies))--Stellenbosch University, 2008. / The effects of ‘accelerated globalisation’ can not be denied when observing modern
innovations shaping human life. Its development and consequent revolutionary
impact is unlike any other in modern history. The last half of the twentieth century
witnessed changes in exponential terms, such as informational and technological
innovations that constantly redefine the way people function. This study focuses on
the effect of globalisation on trade unions, paying particular attention to the formation
of liberal economic conditions, the rise of global capital flows, and the diversification
of workers, working conditions and employment patterns.
Globalisation has led to the formation of new social, economic, and political
conditions which have made it increasingly difficult for trade unions to function in
traditional ways. At the heart of this lies the fundamental opposition of capital to
labour, and increasingly so under conditions of global competition. Trade unions, are
organisations that represent worker interests through solidarity and strength in
numbers, traditionally at the national level but increasingly they are being challenged
on a global level. Thus, due to various internal and external factors, the situation
many unions find themselves in is one of survival instead of growth and influence.
The case study of Cosatu was chosen due to the benefit of analysing the
organisation’s past success as well as present situation. Although it has not been
unaffected by the problems facing unions worldwide, it has managed to achieve some
notable successes in the process. The practice of social movement unionism has been
highly effective in mobilising under-represented groups, and is found to still be
effective in South Africa, although at a diminished scale.
It is imperative for all unions to restructure the way they function so as to incorporate
previously marginalised groups, to utilise technology and globalisation to their
advantage, and to educate potential new entrants to the labour market.
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