Thesis (Ph. D.)--Ohio State University, 2005. / Title from first page of PDF file. Document formatted into pages; contains ix, 121 p.; also includes graphics (some col.) Includes bibliographical references (p. 114-121). Available online via OhioLINK's ETD Center

The entire thesis text is included in the research.pdf file; the official abstract appears in the short.pdf file; a non-technical public abstract appears in the public.pdf file. Title from PDF of title page (University of Missouri--Columbia, viewed on November 17, 2009). Thesis advisor: Dr. Patrick Westhoff. Includes bibliographical references.

Submitted by Marcia Bacha (marcia.bacha@fgv.br) on 2011-04-13T20:34:52Z No. of bitstreams: 1 000406595.pdf: 4214562 bytes, checksum: 97e1015e8de098949fa59d19fbf2eae9 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Marcia Bacha(marcia.bacha@fgv.br) on 2011-04-13T20:35:01Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 000406595.pdf: 4214562 bytes, checksum: 97e1015e8de098949fa59d19fbf2eae9 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2011-04-13T20:35:07Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 000406595.pdf: 4214562 bytes, checksum: 97e1015e8de098949fa59d19fbf2eae9 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2003-01-01 / The core of this research was to develop an analysis of príce trajectory from rubber through the XX eanfury, uslng sconorngfrics test from the ARCH cfass: GARCH, EGARCH and TARCH to calculate the intemational príce volatility of physical rubber, based on the price of Maiaysian Rubber Exchange maln entity in fhe sector. As resuiís frnm the statistical tests available in the market, it was possible to observe a strong incidence of seasona! cydes in the intematicna! price of rubber that impacfs direc% in the wodd production. It is also possible to notice the iow capacity of production to answer shocks of demand due to !ong time to mature the plantation. / O foco central deste estudo foi desenvolver uma análise da trajetória dos prsços da borracha natural bensflciada ao longo do século XX, através da utilização dos testes econométricos da dasse - ARCH: GARCH, E-GARCH e TARCH para o da Malásia, principal entidade de formação do preço intemacional da commodity. Como resultado dos testes estatísticos dos dados disponíveis no mercado, observouse uma forte incidência de ciclos de sazonalidade no preço intemacional da borracha impactando diretamente na produção mundial. Observa se ainda a baixa capacidade de resposta da produção a choques de demanda devido ao longo prazo de maturação das pfantações