雙次抽樣平均數和變異數管制圖設計之研究 / Control charts are effective tools for detecting manufacturing processes and service processes. Nowadays, much of the data in manufacturing or service industries comes from processes having non-normal or unknown distributions. The commonly used Shewhart control charts, which depend heavily on the normality assumption, are not appropriately used for this situation. In this paper, we propose a standardized dynamic double sampling asymmetric EWMA mean control chart (SDDS EWMA-AM chart), a standardized dynamic double sampling asymmetric EWMA variance control chart (SDDS EWMA-AV chart), and their combined charts (joint SDDS EWMA-AM and SDDS EWMA-AV charts) to monitor process mean, variance and both shifts, respectively. The charts based on the double sampling procedure and two simple distribution-free transformed statistics are used for non-normal distribution of a quality variable. The performance of the proposed charts and that of some existing distribution-free mean and variance charts are compared. Further, a non-normal service times example from the service system of a bank branch is used to illustrate the applications of the proposed charts and to compare detection performance with the existing distribution-free mean and variance control charts. The charts we proposed show superior detection performance compared to the existing distribution-free mean and variance charts. Thus they are recommended.

This paper deals with CUSUM tests for monitoring of intensity parameter of a Poisson process if this process can be observed in a restricted manner only at pregiven equidistant time points. In this case the process can be monitored by means of a CUSUM test for the parameter of a corresponding Poisson distribution. For rational reference parameter values the computation of average run length is reduced to that of solving of a system of simultaneous linear equations. The performance of obtained CUSUM tests is discussed by means of corresponding examples.

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<p>The multivariate cumulative sum (MCUSUM) and the multivariate exponentially weighted moving average (MEWMA) control charts are the two leading methods to monitor a multivariate process. This thesis focuses on the MEWMA control chart. Specifically, using the Markov chain method, we study in detail several aspects of the run length distribution both for the on- and off- target cases. Regarding the on-target run length analysis, we express the probability mass function of the run length distribution, the average run length (ARL), the variance of run length (V RL) and higher moments of the run length distribution in mathematically closed forms. In previous studies, with respect to the off-target performance for the MEWMA control chart, the process mean shift was usually assumed to take place at the beginning of the process. We extend the classical off-target case and introduce a generalization of the probability mass function of the run length distribution, the ARL and the V RL. What Prabhu and Runger (1996) proposed can be derived from our new model. By evaluating the off-target ARL values for the MEWMA control chart, we determine the optimal smoothing parameters by using the partition method that provides an easy algorithm to find the optimal smoothing parameters and study how they respond as the process mean shift time changes. We compare the ARL performance of the MEWMA control chart with that of the multivariate Shewhart control chart to see whether the MEWMA chart is still effective in detecting a small mean shift as the process mean shift time changes. In order to apply the model to semiconductor manufacturing processes, we use a bivariate normal distribution to generate sample data and compare the MEWMA control chart with the multivariate Shewhart control chart to evaluate how the MEWMA control chart behaves when a delayed mean shift happens. We also apply the variation transmission model introduced by Lawless et al. (1999) to the semiconductor manufacturing process and show an extension of the model to make our application to semiconductor manufacturing processes more realistic. All the programming and calculations were done in R</p> / Master of Science (MS)

Orientador: Marcela Aparecida Guerreiro Machado Freitas / Resumo: O controle de qualidade, principalmente por meio do uso de gráficos de controle, torna-se essencial na indústria para garantir um processo livre de causas especiais de variabilidade. Como os dados amostrais podem incluir incertezas advindas da subjetividade humana e dos sistemas de medição, a teoria dos conjuntos fuzzy pode ser aplicada aos gráficos de controle quando dados precisos não estiverem disponíveis. Para tal feito, os valores da característica de qualidade são fuzzificados a partir da inserção de incertezas e transformados em valores representativos para uma melhor comparação com o gráfico de controle tradicional. Este trabalho propõe o uso da lógica fuzzy aos gráficos de controle para monitorar a média e a amplitude de processos univariados, assim como dois gráficos de controle fuzzy baseados nas regras especiais de decisão: Synthetic e Side Sensitive Synthetic. O desempenho do gráfico de controle é medido pelo número médio de amostras até sinal (NMA). Verificou-se neste trabalho que os gráficos de controle fuzzy possuem maior eficiência que os gráficos de controle tradicionais para menores valores de α-cut, ou seja, maior incerteza inserida no processo e para cenários onde se tem uma maior diferença entre os limitantes de incerteza dos números fuzzy. / Abstract: Quality control, mainly through the use of control charts, becomes essential in the industry to ensure a process free from special causes of variability. As sample data may include uncertainties arising from human subjectivity and measurement systems, fuzzy set theory can be applied to control charts when accurate data is not available. For this purpose, the quality characteristic values are fuzzified from the insertion of uncertainties and transformed into representative values for a better comparison with the traditional control chart. This work proposes the use of fuzzy logic to control charts to monitor the mean and range of univariate processes, as well as two fuzzy control charts based on the special run rules: Synthetic and Side Sensitive Syntehtic. The performance of the control chart is measured by the average run length (ARL). It was verified in this work that the fuzzy control charts have higher efficiency than the traditional control charts for lower values of α-cut, that is, greater uncertainty inserted in the process and for scenarios where there is a greater difference between the limiting uncertainties of fuzzy numbers. / Mestre

This paper deals with CUSUM tests based on grouped or classified observations. The computation of average run length is reduced to that of solving of a system of simultaneous linear equations. Moreover a corresponding approximation based on the Wald approximations for characteristics of sequential likelihood ratio tests is presented. The effect of grouping is investigated with a CUSUM test for the mean of a normal distribution based on F-optimal grouping schemes. The considered example demonstrates that hight efficient CUSUM tests can be obtained for F-optimal grouping schemes already with a small number of groups.

This paper deals with CUSUM tests based on grouped or classified observations. The computation of average run length is reduced to that of solving of a system of simultaneous linear equations. Moreover a corresponding approximation based on the Wald approximations for characteristics of sequential likelihood ratio tests is presented. The effect of grouping is investigated with a CUSUM test for the mean of a normal distribution based on F-optimal grouping schemes. The considered example demonstrates that hight efficient CUSUM tests can be obtained for F-optimal grouping schemes already with a small number of groups.

This paper deals with CUSUM tests for monitoring of intensity parameter of a Poisson process if this process can be observed in a restricted manner only at pregiven equidistant time points. In this case the process can be monitored by means of a CUSUM test for the parameter of a corresponding Poisson distribution. For rational reference parameter values the computation of average run length is reduced to that of solving of a system of simultaneous linear equations. The performance of obtained CUSUM tests is discussed by means of corresponding examples.

自舒華特發明以管制圖監測製程以來，管制圖在工程的應用日趨重要。在特殊工程中，一個高效的管制圖方法尤為重要。基於此項事實，在文獻中各式各樣的管制圖層出不窮且技術日益完善。但傳統管制圖往往受制于常態分佈，因此在無母數管制圖研究方向仍有大量工作值得探討。於是本文在母體分佈未知情況下，推廣Yang (2015)的無母數平均值管制圖方法建立變動樣本指数加权移动平均管制圖，VSS EWMA-np control chart。新的管制圖將變動樣本大小（VSS）和指數加權移動平均（EWMA）方法結合建立一種新的管制圖方法，並用這種新型管制圖監測未知分佈母體的平均值是否發生變動。而為了監測平均數是否發生變化，也為了減少抽樣損失，本文評估管制圖監測效力的指標為管制圖偵測出異常訊息所需抽樣的樣本數期望值（EN）、平均連串長度（ARL）和平均觀測值總數（ANOS）。從本文的比較結果看出新的變動樣本指數加權移動平均管制圖擁有更好的失控偵測力。 / Since Shewhart invention control chart monitor the process, control charts are increasingly important in engineering applications. In special projects, an efficient control chart is especially important. Based on this fact, the various kinds of control charts in the literature are not poor and the technology is improving. However, traditional control charts are often subject to normal distribution, so there is still a lot of work to be discussed in the direction of the study of non-parametric control charts. So in this paper under unknown distribution in the matrix, Yang (2015) established on the basis of the theory of a non-parametric method of control chart - Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart with Variable Sampling Sizes (VSS EWMA - np control chart). New control chart will change the sample size (VSS) and exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) method to establish a new control chart, and use new control chart for monitoring the mean of unknown distribution matrix is changed. And whether to monitor the average changes in order to reduce the loss of sampling, this paper mainly evaluate control chart for monitoring the effectiveness of the statistics for the expected value of the sample size (EN), the average run length (ARL) and the average number of observations to signal (ANOS). From the comparison shown in this paper, the new control chart has better detection.