Organizações públicas ou privadas que possuem atuação em todo o território nacional têm adotado projetos padronizados de suas edificações, desenvolvidos especificamente para atender a questões técnicas e econômicas de sua rede de atendimento, tais como escolas, agências de serviços públicos, postos de saúde e lojas de redes varejistas. As edificações são construídas por meio da repetição do mesmo projeto padrão em diferentes localidades que, muitas vezes, não consideram as características bioclimáticas regionais. O trabalho analisou e classificou o desempenho energético da envoltória do projeto padrão de uma agência bancária por meio de parâmetros do Método Prescritivo do RTQ-C, em diferentes zonas bioclimáticas brasileiras. Nas situações em que o edifício apresentou oportunidades de melhoria (quando não foi atingida a classificação com o Nível A), foram testadas estratégias bioclimáticas em relação às aberturas envidraçadas, tais como sombreamentos (AVS e AHS) e alteração do fator solar (FS) dos vidros. Para avaliação do potencial de economia de energia elétrica do sistema de ar condicionado com as alterações propostas, foi realizada a simulação computacional com o programa EnergyPlus, considerando o projeto padrão e o projeto com as alterações propostas. Em apenas 6 situações verificou-se que a envoltória do projeto padrão original não atingiu o Nível A. Para essas situações, foram testados valores de AVS, AHS e FS nas equações do Método Prescritivo para obtenção de um valor do índice de consumo da envoltória (ICEnv) abaixo do valor limite para classificação com o Nível A. Para o projeto padrão implantado na Zona Bioclimática ZB-1 com orientação da fachada principal para Oeste, o valor de ICEnv para o Nível A somente é atingido com a retirada de todas as proteções de sombreamento verticais (redução de AHS), aumento do FS médio dos vidros e aumento da largura da marquise sobre a entrada da agência (aumento do AVS). Essa proposta de alteração do projeto foi simulada para o município de Curitiba/PR, apresentando um potencial de economia de energia elétrica de 25,97% em relação ao projeto original. Para o projeto padrão implantando nas Zonas Bioclimáticas ZB-4 e ZB-5 com orientação da fachada principal para Oeste, a única alternativa viável de acordo com as equações do Método Prescritivo é reduzir o valor do FS médio dos vidros. No caso do município de Brasília/DF (localizado na ZB-4), a simulação mostrou uma economia de até 30,53% em relação ao projeto original. Não foram feitas simulações do projeto otimizado para a ZB-5, devido à falta de arquivos com dados climáticos para municípios localizados nesse zoneamento. O projeto original também não atingiu o Nível A quando implantando na Zona Bioclimática ZB-7 com orientações da fachada principal para o Norte, Leste e Sul. As alterações dos valores na equação do Método Prescritivo para a ZB-7 indicaram três possibilidades para melhoria do projeto original (aumentar o valor médio do FS, aumentar o AVS ou reduzir o AHS). As simulações computacionais para validação das equações da ZB-7 foram feitas para o município de Cuiabá/MT. No caso da alteração do FS, a simulação apontou que o potencial de economia é praticamente nulo (0,04 a 0,50%). Com o aumento do AVS, as economias são de 0,68% para a fachada Sul, 2,80% para a fachada Leste e 3,90% para a fachada Norte. Já a redução do valor de AHS não foi confirmada pela simulação, pois houve aumento do consumo de energia de 1,43% para a fachada Norte, 1,74% para a fachada Leste e 3,23% para a fachada Sul. / Some public and private organizations that operate throughout Brazil have standardized their building projects. These projects have been developed to achieve a common approach to the implementation of technical, economic and service networks. Buildings are constructed by repeating the same standard design in different locations often without considering regional bioclimatic conditions. This study analyzed and rated the energy performance of a standard project undertaken by a bank to build new branches using the Prescriptive Method of RTQ-C in different bioclimatic zones in Brazil. In situations where the building presented opportunities for improvement, bioclimatic strategies were tested, such as shading fenestration areas or changing the solar heat gain coefficient (SHGC) of the windows. In order to evaluate the potential of saving electricity, computer simulation software (EnergyPlus) was used. Simulations were run for the original standard design and the optimized design taking into consideration each bioclimatic zone. In only six cases the envelope of the original standard building design did not reach Level A (best) by Prescriptive Method of RTQ-C. For these cases, changes to the shading devices (overhangs and fins) were tested as well as the SHGC of windows. The equations for the Prescriptive Method were recalculated to obtain a value of the envelope’s consumption (ICEnv) below the maximum value for classification with Level A. For the original standard building design implemented in Bioclimatic Zone ZB-1 having its main façade to the West, the value of ICEnv for the Level A could only be achieved with the removal of all its windows vertical shading protections (reduced AHS), increasing the SHGC of some windows and increasing the width of the overhang at the entrance of the agency (increased AVS). This proposed amendment was simulated for the city of Curitiba/PR, indicating a potential energy saving of 25.97% over the original project. When the original project was deployed in Bioclimatic Zones ZB-4 and ZB-5 having the main façade to the West, the only viable alternative according to the equations of the Prescriptive Method was to reduce the value of the SHGC of some windows. In the case of the city of Brasilia/DF (located in ZB-4), the simulation showed savings of up to 30.53% when compared to the original standard project. There have been no simulations of the optimized project for the ZB-5 due to lack of climate data files for cities located in that zone. The original project did not attain Level A when deployed in Bioclimatic Zone ZB-7 having the main façade to the North, East and South. Changing values in the equation of Prescriptive Method for the ZB-7 indicated three possibilities for improving original project (increasing the average value of SHGC, increasing AVS or reducing AHS). Computer simulations validating the equations of ZB-7 were made for the city of Cuiabá/MT. With the amendment of the SHGC, the simulation showed that the savings potential is practically nil (0.04 to 0.50%). Increasing AVS gave savings of 0.68% for the Southern façade, 2.80% for the Eastern façade and 3.90% for the Northern façade. The reduction of AHS has not been confirmed by the simulation, due to there being an increase in energy consumption of 1.43% for the Northern façade, 1.74% for the Eastern façade and 3.23% for the Southern façade.

Made available in DSpace on 2017-07-10T17:48:28Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Aparecida_Oliveira.PDF: 706572 bytes, checksum: eaf8729b462e450590ef79f29daf8d4f (MD5) Previous issue date: 2012-02-10 / Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / This work aimed to study the electrolyte balance of diets on the metabolism of nitrogen balance, blood parameters, urinary pH and physiological response of barrows in the initial phase, in condition of stress and thermal comfort.. For the experiment were used 32 barrows in the early stages, with initial mean body mass of 18.5 ± 0.73. Distributed in experimental design of randomized blocks in a 2x4 factorial design with four replicates of 32 experimental units. The treatments consisted of four isonitrogenous diets with CP: 19.24% BE ration with 168 mEq/kg, R2: BE ration with 212 mEq/kg; R3: BE diet with 256 mEq/kg; R4: ration with EB 300 mEq/kg and two thermal conditions (comfort and stress). The parameters studied were nitrogen ingested, excreted in feces, urine excreted, absorbed, retained, retained/ingested, retained/absorbed, total excretion, protein intake (PBC), excreted in the feces (PBF) and urine (PBU) crude protein retained (PBR), net protein utilization (ULP), glucose, chloride, urea, creatinine, sodium (Na) and potassium (K) in blood plasma, urine pH, environmental conditions of the room, respiratory rate and temperature rectal cancer. The use of feed containing levels of EB between 168 and 300 mEq/kg did not influenced nitrogen balance, protein metabolism and blood parameters of pigs. Pigs exposed to 21 °C have higher consumption, fecal excretion of nitrogen, protein, sodium and potassium plasma than pigs reared under average temperature of 30 °C. Nitrogen retained: intake (%), net protein utilization (%), had higher creatinine values in the condition of thermal stress. The rations containing levels of EB between 168 and 300 mEq/kg to promote linear increase urine pH. The hours of daily observations promoted a positive linear effect (p <0.05) on the physiological parameter (rectal temperature and respiratory rate). The rise in rectal temperature was directly proportional to temperature. The respiratory rate showed an increase (57% above normal) in the heat stress condition / Este trabalho teve por objetivo estudar o balanço eletrolítico de rações sobre o metabolismo do balanço de nitrogênio, parâmetros sanguíneos, pH urinário e resposta fisiológica de suínos machos castrados na fase inicial, em condição de estresse e conforto térmico. Para o experimento foram utilizados 32 suínos machos castrados em fase inicial, com massa corporal média inicial de 18,5 ± 0,73. Distribuídos em delineamento experimental de blocos ao acaso em esquema fatorial 2x4 com quatro repetições totalizando 32 unidades experimentais. Os tratamentos foram constituídos de quatro rações isoprotéicas com 19,24% PB: R1: ração com BE 168 meq/kg; R2: ração com BE 212 meq/kg; R3: ração com BE 256 meq/kg; R4: ração com BE 300 meq/kg e duas condições térmica (conforto e estresse). Os parâmetros analisados foram Nitrogênio ingerido, excretado nas fezes, excretado na urina, absorvido, retido, retido/ingerido, retido/absorvido, excreção total, proteína bruta consumida (PBC), excretada nas fezes (PBF) e na urina (PBU), proteína bruta retida (PBR), utilização líquida de proteína (ULP), glicose, cloretos, uréia, creatinina, sódio (Na) e potássio (K), no plasma sanguíneo, pH da urina, condições ambientais da sala, frequência respiratória e temperatura retal. O uso de rações contendo níveis de BE entre 168 e 300 mEq/kg não influenciou o balanço de nitrogênio, metabolismo protéico e os parâmetros sanguíneos dos suínos. Os suínos expostos à temperatura de 21°C apresentam maiores consumo, excreção fecal de nitrogênio, proteína bruta, sódio e potássio plasmático do que suínos criados sob temperatura média de 30°C. O nitrogênio retido:ingerido (%), utilização líquida da proteína (%), Creatinina apresentaram maiores valores na condição de estresse térmico. As rações contendo níveis de BE entre 168 e 300 mEq/kg promovem aumento linear para o pH da urina. Os horários de observações diárias promoveram efeito linear positivo (p<0,05) sobre os parâmetros fisiológicos avaliados (temperatura retal e frequência respiratória). A elevação da temperatura retal foi diretamente proporcional a temperatura do ambiente. A frequência respiratória apresentou aumento (57% acima do considerado normal) na condição de estresse térmico

Made available in DSpace on 2017-07-10T17:48:33Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Debora_Cristiane_Freitag.pdf: 951246 bytes, checksum: 2fcc6daede28dcf8dac6f7f4dc54f30d (MD5) Previous issue date: 2012-08-24 / Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / This study aimed to evaluate the reduction of crude protein ration on nitrogen balance, blood parameters, and physiological urinary pH of barrows in the initial phase in stress condition (28,77 ˚C) and thermal comfort (18,13 ˚C). For the experiment we used 32 barrows in the initial phase, with initial mean body mass of 18,5 ± 0,73 kg. The animals were divided into two experiments in two environmental conditions (stress and thermal comfort) in a randomized complete block with four decreasing levels of crude protein (20,5; 19,4; 18,3 and 17,2%) with four replications, totaling 16 plots in each experiment. Each plot consisted of an animal, totaling 32 animals. The parameters analyzed were ingested nitrogen, excreted in feces and urine, absorbed, retained, retained/absorbed, total excretion, net protein utilization (ULP), cholesterol, triglycerides, glucose, urea, creatinine in blood plasma, urine pH, respiratory rate, rectal temperature and body. In heat stress condition, reducing the crude protein content of the diet decreased the nitrogen excreted in the urine, the total excretion and plasma triglyceride in growing pigs. For thermal comfort condition in growing pigs had higher nitrogen ingested, absorbed, retained and, of plasma urea. The response surface for rectal temperature, body temperature and respiratory rate increased, in function to ITGU and different times of observation, being more evident in thermal comfort condition / Este trabalho teve por objetivo estudar a redução da proteína bruta de rações sobre o balanço de nitrogênio, parâmetros sanguíneos, fisiológicos e pH urinário de suínos machos castrados na fase inicial, em condição de estresse (28,77˚C) e conforto térmico (18,13˚C). Para o experimento foram utilizados 32 suínos machos castrados em fase inicial, com massa corporal média inicial de 18,5 ± 0,73kg. Os animais foram distribuídos em dois experimentos em duas condições de ambiente (estresse e conforto térmico) em um delineamento experimental de blocos com quatro níveis decrescentes de proteína bruta (20,5, 19,4, 18,3 e 17,2%) com quatro repetições, totalizando 16 parcelas em cada experimento. Cada parcela experimental constou de um animal, totalizando 32 animais. Os parâmetros analisados foram nitrogênio ingerido, excretado nas fezes e na urina, absorvido, retido, retido/absorvido, excreção total, utilização líquida de proteína (ULP), colesterol, triglicerídeos, glicose, uréia, creatinina no plasma sanguíneo, pH da urina, frequência respiratória, temperatura retal e corporal. Em condição de estresse térmico, a redução do teor de proteína bruta da ração diminuiu o nitrogênio excretado na urina, a excreção total e o triglicerídeo plasmático de suínos em crescimento. Para condição de conforto térmico os suínos em crescimento apresentaram maiores valores de nitrogênio ingerido, absorvido, retido, bem como, de uréia plasmática. A superfície de resposta para temperatura retal, temperatura corporal e frequência respiratória aumentaram em função do ITGU e diferentes horários de observação, sendo mais evidente em condição de conforto térmico

Ce travail de thèse étudie l'évolution des éclosions d'Aedes (Ochlerotatus) caspius (Pallas, 1771) (Culicidae) sur le littoral méditerranéen français dans un contexte de changement climatique. Aedes caspius est un moustique nuisant se développant dans les milieux naturels salés à submersions temporaires dont le cycle de vie est réglé par un nombre de paramètres environnementaux relativement limités. Nous avons tenté de mieux cerner les déterminants des dynamiques temporelles actuelle et future des éclosions d'Aedes caspius. L'étude de l'aire de répartition d'Aedes caspius à l'échelle du bassin méditerranéen a conduit à définir une enveloppe bioclimatique actuelle et future. L'ensemble des anomalies climatiques telles que envisagées par les scenarii A2 et B2 du GIEC (horizons 2020, 2050 et 2080) entraîne un élargissement de l'enveloppe bioclimatique vers le nord et l'ouest de la France, et potentiellement une extension de la zone d'intervention de l'Entente Interdépartementale pour la Démoustication Méditerranée (EID), sans toutefois exclure les zones humides actuellement démoustiquées. La dynamique temporelle a donc pu être étudiée à partir de la base de données des interventions quotidiennes de l'EID, sur la période 2004-2009. A cette échelle locale (3 105 ha) et tenant compte de la variabilité météorologique inter- et intra-annuelle sur la période, un modèle logistique binaire d'occurrences d'éclosion a été développé. / This thesis studies the evolution of hatching of Aedes (Ochlerotatus) caspius (Pallas, 1771) (Culicidae) on the French Mediterranean coast in the context of climate change. Aedes caspius is a nuisance mosquito in natural salt to temporary submersion wetlands whose life cycle is regulated by a number of environmental parameters relatively limited. We tried to understand the determinants of temporal dynamics of current and future hatching of Aedes caspius. The study of the distribution area of Aedes caspius across the Mediterranean basin has led to the definition of present and future bioclimatic envelopes. The set of climatic anomalies such as envisaged by the scenarios A2 and B2 of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (period 2020, 2050 and 2080) leads to an enlargement of the bioclimatic envelope to the north and west of France, and the potential extension of the present day intervention area of the Entente Interdépartementale pour la Démoustication Méditerranée (Interdepartmental Agreement for Mosquito Control Mediterranean (EID)). The temporal dynamics has been studied from the database of daily interventions of EID, over the period 2004-2009. At this local scale (3105 ha) and taking into account inter-and intra-annual meteorological variability, a binary logistic model of occurrences of daily outbreaks has been developed. The resulting model reports that the type of land use, minimum temperature, photoperiod, temperature amplitude and to a lesser extent precipitation and their variability are the main factors explaining the presence of Aedes caspius outbreaks.

À partir des années 1970 et notamment à travers les travaux de Tüxen (1978) puis de Géhu & Rivas-Martínez (1981), la phytosociologie dynamico-caténale a permis de mieux intégrer la dynamique des végétations en décrivant plus finement les trajectoires dynamiques des séries de végétation. Si les méthodologies d’étude des dynamiques des végétations se sont multipliées depuis les dernières décennies en Europe, de tels travaux restent peu nombreux en France. Un programme national de Cartographie des Habitats naturels et semi-naturels (CarHAB), lancé par le Ministère de l’Écologie, du Développement Durable et de l’Énergie, à partir de 2011, a pour objectif de cartographier les végétations et les séries de végétation de France métropolitaine à l’échelle du 1 : 25 000 d’ici 2025. Dans ce contexte, la Corse a été choisie comme région "pilote" pour les particularités de ses végétations méditerranéenne et alticole. Au-delà de cette singularité, l’évolution de la société agropastorale au cours du XXe siècle a profondément marqué le paysage végétal de Corse et constitue une des problématiques fondamentales permettant d’appréhender les changements des trajectoires dynamiques des végétations. La démarche méthodologique repose sur une méthode inductive et semi-déductive qui permet de décrire les systèmes de végétation de la Corse, à partir d’une approche phytosociologique. Notre étude, d’abord consacrée à l’approche bioclimatique, géomorphologique et phytogéographique, permet de typifier et de spatialiser les unités écologiques (géologie, géomorphologie, pédologie et bioclimatologie) afin de mieux appréhender les patrons écologiques qui régissent l’agencement et les zonations des végétations et plus largement les séries et les géoséries de végétation. Les fondements de la phytosociologie paysagère ont été révisés et adaptés aux objectifs de gestion conservatoire et d’aménagement du territoire, dans le cadre du programme CarHAB. 78 unités, soit 34 séries, 14 minoriséries et 30 géopermaséries sont décrites selon plusieurs critères : écologie, chorologie, structure et nomenclature de la tête de série, trajectoires dynamiques et conservation. Une méthode cartographique a été élaborée pour spatialiser les unités sigmétales et géosigmétales. L’ensemble des travaux cartographiques est présenté sous la forme d’un atlas cartographique concernant huit vallées et plateaux (Asco, Cap Corse, Niolu, Castagniccia, Haut-Vénacais, Plateau du Cuscione, Plateau calcaire de Bonifacio) et 31 sites littoraux.Quelques méthodes de bioévaluation sont testées et discutées, pour répondre aux enjeux de conservation des séries et des géoséries de végétation ainsi que de territoires protégés (étang de Biguglia, massif du Haut-Vénacais). / Since the 1970’s and particularly through the works of Tüxen (1978) and Géhu & Rivas-Martínez (1981), the dynamico-catenal phytosociology allowed to better integrate vegetation dynamics, by describing more precisely the dynamic trajectories of vegetation series. If vegetations dynamic study methodologies have been developped over the recent decades in Europe, such works still remain scarce in France. A national program of habitat mapping (CarHAB), launched by the Ministry of Ecology, since 2011, aims to map the vegetation and vegetation series of metropolitan France at the scale of 1: 25 000 up to 2025. Within this context, Corsica has been chosen as a "pilot" region, due to its peculiarities regarding mediterranean and alticole vegetations. Beyond this singularity, the evolution of agropastoral society over the twentieth century caused main changes the landscape of Corsica and represents a major issue to understand the changes of dynamic trajectories of vegetation. Our methodology, based on an inductive and semi-deductive phytosociological approach, allows to describe vegetationsystems of Corsica.This study, firstly focused on bioclimatology, geomorphology and phytogeography, allows to typify and spatialize ecological units, in order to better understand ecological patterns that govern the layout and the zonation of vegetation and more widely vegetation series and geoseries. The principles of landscape phytosociology have been revised and adapted to the conservation management aims and spatial planning of the CarHAB program. 78 units, 34 series, 14 minoriseries and 30 geopermaseries are presented according to several descriptive criteria: ecology, chorology, serie head structure and nomenclature, dynamics trajectories and conservation.A mapping method was developed to spatialize sigmetal and geosigmetal units : the outcomes are presented in a mapping atlas concerning eight valleys and trays (Asco, Cap Corse, Niolu, Fium-Alto, Haut-Vénacais, Cuscione, Bonifacio) and 31 coastal sites.A few bioevaluation methods are tested and discussed to match the challenges of conservation series and vegetation géoséries, as well as evaluation protected sites (Biguglia, Haut-Vénacais).

O objetivo geral desta pesquisa consiste na avaliação de diferentes sistemas de alojamento para matrizes gestantes, visando caracterizar aspectos quantitativos e qualitativos do ambiente e as variáveis que influenciam o sistema de produção, determinando as condições favoráveis ao melhor desempenho animal, baseada nas respostas ao ambiente de criação. O experimento foi realizado no período compreendido entre 04/01 e 11/03/2005, em uma propriedade de produção industrial de suínos, localizada no município de Elias Fausto, estado de São Paulo. A pesquisa foi desenvolvida no setor de gestação, com 24 matrizes primíparas, 12 fêmeas alojadas em baias individuais (T1) e 12 animais em baias coletivas (T2) e posteriormente na maternidade, onde foram quantificados os índices de produção dos leitões provenientes do estudo. O trabalho foi dividido basicamente em três etapas, em função da forma de avaliação dos dados: análise bioclimática; análise dos sistemas de produção; avaliação de sistemas inteligentes disponíveis, lógica fuzzy e redes neurais artificiais (RNAs) para o estudo de padrões de conforto térmico ambiental e predição dos índices zootécnicos, peso no nascimento e número de leitões mumificados, com base nos dados de temperatura ambiente e taxa respiratória das matrizes. A avaliação bioclimática foi realizada por meio do registro das variáveis meteorológicas (temperatura ambiente, umidade do ar, temperatura de globo negro e velocidade do vento) e ambientais (concentração de gases), na sala de gestação e no ambiente externo, possibilitando a caracterização da eficiência térmica, pelos índices de temperatura de globo e umidade (ITGU) e entalpia específica (h) e da condição de salubridade da instalação. A análise do sistema de produção teve, como variáveis respostas aos tratamentos avaliados, as relações comportamentais, os parâmetros fisiológicos e os índices zootécnicos. O delineamento experimental foi em blocos casualizados, com dois tratamentos e 67 blocos, e as médias, comparadas pelo teste de Tukey. As variáveis meteorológicas e ambientais apontam o sistema de confinamento em baias coletivas como aquele que permitu melhor condicionamento térmico natural às matrizes em gestação. Com relação à concentração de gases, os teores médios não superaram as concentrações consideradas críticas para as matrizes. Os parâmetros fisiológicos e os índices zootécnicos apresentaram valores mais adequados para o T2, assim como seu reflexo no desempenho da parição dos leitões. A avaliação comportamental, realizada pelo monitoramento por meio do registro de imagens de vídeo, apontou menor incidência de comportamentos resultantes do estresse ambiental, estereotipias e interações agressivas referentes ao estabelecimento de uma organização social no T2 comparativamente ao T1. O uso da teoria dos conjuntos fuzzy permitiu que se fizesse uma alusão entre os dados resultantes do trabalho experimental com os estabelecidos pela literatura, por intermédio de uma base de regras estabelecidas, para a determinação do conforto ambiental aplicado a matrizes na fase de gestação. O sucesso das redes neurais esteve diretamente relacionado com a sua alta versatilidade, permitindo as aproximações propostas neste trabalho para a predição dos índices zootécnicos. / This study evaluated different housing systems for pregnant sows aiming to describe quantitative and qualitative aspects of environment, as well as variables that have effect on production system. The optimal conditions for animal performance improvement have been determined analyzing behavioral data took in breeding environment. Trial was carried out from january 4th to march 11th 2005 in a farm specialized in industrial production of pork, located in Elias Fausto City, São Paulo State. In gestation facility 24 gilts were allocated:12 in individual stalls (T1) and 12 in group housing (T2). Further, in farrowing housing, piglets were evaluated in relation to their production variables. Basicaly, this study was divided in three steps in function of the way chose for data analysis: bioclimatic analysis; analysis of the production systems; evaluation of the available intelligent systems: fuzzy logic and artificial neural nets (ANNs) for studing environmental thermal confort patterns and prediction of produtive indexes, birth weights and number of mummifed piglets, based on data of environmental temperature and sow respiratory rates. Bioclimatic evaluation was realized by registering metheorological variables (environmental temperature, air humidity, dark globe temperature and wind velocity) and environmental variables (concentration of gases) inside of parturition room and in external environment, which permitted to characterize thermal efficiency by indexes of globe temperature and humidity (IGTH) and specific enthalpy (h) and salubrious condition of facility. The analysis of production system had as variables the answers to treatments, the behavioral relationships, physiological parameters and productive indexes. Experimental design was randomized blocks with two treatments and 67 blocks. Means were compared by Tukey test. Metheorological and environmental variables indicated the confinement system in group-houses as that permitted the better natural thermal monitoring for pregnant gilts. In relation to concentration of gases, mean levels did not exceed the concentrations considered limitating for sows. Physiological parameters and productive indexes were more adequate in T2, which reflected in performance during parturition. Behavior evaluation, realized by image monitoring using video cameras, showed lower incidence of behaviors related to environmental stress, stereotypies and agressive interactions caused by social organization establishment within group-housing system. The fuzzy set theory permitted to compare experimental data with those reported in cientific papers through rules created for proportionating well-fare of sows during gestation period. The success of neural nets was directly related to it high versatility, wich allowed aproximating productive indexes for predictions proposed in this work.

O objetivo geral desta pesquisa consiste na avaliação de diferentes sistemas de alojamento para matrizes gestantes, visando caracterizar aspectos quantitativos e qualitativos do ambiente e as variáveis que influenciam o sistema de produção, determinando as condições favoráveis ao melhor desempenho animal, baseada nas respostas ao ambiente de criação. O experimento foi realizado no período compreendido entre 04/01 e 11/03/2005, em uma propriedade de produção industrial de suínos, localizada no município de Elias Fausto, estado de São Paulo. A pesquisa foi desenvolvida no setor de gestação, com 24 matrizes primíparas, 12 fêmeas alojadas em baias individuais (T1) e 12 animais em baias coletivas (T2) e posteriormente na maternidade, onde foram quantificados os índices de produção dos leitões provenientes do estudo. O trabalho foi dividido basicamente em três etapas, em função da forma de avaliação dos dados: análise bioclimática; análise dos sistemas de produção; avaliação de sistemas inteligentes disponíveis, lógica fuzzy e redes neurais artificiais (RNAs) para o estudo de padrões de conforto térmico ambiental e predição dos índices zootécnicos, peso no nascimento e número de leitões mumificados, com base nos dados de temperatura ambiente e taxa respiratória das matrizes. A avaliação bioclimática foi realizada por meio do registro das variáveis meteorológicas (temperatura ambiente, umidade do ar, temperatura de globo negro e velocidade do vento) e ambientais (concentração de gases), na sala de gestação e no ambiente externo, possibilitando a caracterização da eficiência térmica, pelos índices de temperatura de globo e umidade (ITGU) e entalpia específica (h) e da condição de salubridade da instalação. A análise do sistema de produção teve, como variáveis respostas aos tratamentos avaliados, as relações comportamentais, os parâmetros fisiológicos e os índices zootécnicos. O delineamento experimental foi em blocos casualizados, com dois tratamentos e 67 blocos, e as médias, comparadas pelo teste de Tukey. As variáveis meteorológicas e ambientais apontam o sistema de confinamento em baias coletivas como aquele que permitu melhor condicionamento térmico natural às matrizes em gestação. Com relação à concentração de gases, os teores médios não superaram as concentrações consideradas críticas para as matrizes. Os parâmetros fisiológicos e os índices zootécnicos apresentaram valores mais adequados para o T2, assim como seu reflexo no desempenho da parição dos leitões. A avaliação comportamental, realizada pelo monitoramento por meio do registro de imagens de vídeo, apontou menor incidência de comportamentos resultantes do estresse ambiental, estereotipias e interações agressivas referentes ao estabelecimento de uma organização social no T2 comparativamente ao T1. O uso da teoria dos conjuntos fuzzy permitiu que se fizesse uma alusão entre os dados resultantes do trabalho experimental com os estabelecidos pela literatura, por intermédio de uma base de regras estabelecidas, para a determinação do conforto ambiental aplicado a matrizes na fase de gestação. O sucesso das redes neurais esteve diretamente relacionado com a sua alta versatilidade, permitindo as aproximações propostas neste trabalho para a predição dos índices zootécnicos. / This study evaluated different housing systems for pregnant sows aiming to describe quantitative and qualitative aspects of environment, as well as variables that have effect on production system. The optimal conditions for animal performance improvement have been determined analyzing behavioral data took in breeding environment. Trial was carried out from january 4th to march 11th 2005 in a farm specialized in industrial production of pork, located in Elias Fausto City, São Paulo State. In gestation facility 24 gilts were allocated:12 in individual stalls (T1) and 12 in group housing (T2). Further, in farrowing housing, piglets were evaluated in relation to their production variables. Basicaly, this study was divided in three steps in function of the way chose for data analysis: bioclimatic analysis; analysis of the production systems; evaluation of the available intelligent systems: fuzzy logic and artificial neural nets (ANNs) for studing environmental thermal confort patterns and prediction of produtive indexes, birth weights and number of mummifed piglets, based on data of environmental temperature and sow respiratory rates. Bioclimatic evaluation was realized by registering metheorological variables (environmental temperature, air humidity, dark globe temperature and wind velocity) and environmental variables (concentration of gases) inside of parturition room and in external environment, which permitted to characterize thermal efficiency by indexes of globe temperature and humidity (IGTH) and specific enthalpy (h) and salubrious condition of facility. The analysis of production system had as variables the answers to treatments, the behavioral relationships, physiological parameters and productive indexes. Experimental design was randomized blocks with two treatments and 67 blocks. Means were compared by Tukey test. Metheorological and environmental variables indicated the confinement system in group-houses as that permitted the better natural thermal monitoring for pregnant gilts. In relation to concentration of gases, mean levels did not exceed the concentrations considered limitating for sows. Physiological parameters and productive indexes were more adequate in T2, which reflected in performance during parturition. Behavior evaluation, realized by image monitoring using video cameras, showed lower incidence of behaviors related to environmental stress, stereotypies and agressive interactions caused by social organization establishment within group-housing system. The fuzzy set theory permitted to compare experimental data with those reported in cientific papers through rules created for proportionating well-fare of sows during gestation period. The success of neural nets was directly related to it high versatility, wich allowed aproximating productive indexes for predictions proposed in this work.

La dernière décennie a vu l'émergence de la prévision probabiliste de débits en tant qu'approche plus adaptée pour l'anticipation des risques et la mise en vigilance pour lasécurité des personnes et des biens. Cependant, au delà du gain en sécurité, la valeur ajoutée de l'information probabiliste se traduit également en gains économiques ou en une gestion optimale de la ressource en eau disponible pour les activités économiques qui en dépendent. Dans la chaîne de prévision de débits, l'incertitude des modèles météorologiques de prévision de pluies joue un rôle important. Pour pouvoir aller au-delà des limites de prévisibilité classiques, les services météorologiques font appel aux systèmes de prévision d'ensemble,générés sur la base de variations imposées dans les conditions initiales des modèlesnumériques et de variations stochastiques de leur paramétrisation. Des scénarioséquiprobables de l'évolution de l'atmosphère pour des horizons de prévision pouvant aller jusqu'à 10-15 jours sont ainsi proposés. L'intégration des prévisions météorologiques d'ensemble dans la chaîne de prévision hydrologique se présente comme une approche séduisante pour produire des prévisions probabilistes de débits et quantifier l'incertitude prédictive totale en hydrologie.

Climate variability and change as well as sea level rise poses significant challenges to livelihoods, water and food security in small island developing states (SIDSs) including the Zanzibar Islands. Thus, without planned strategic adaptation, the future projected changes in climate and sea level will intensify the vulnerability of these sensitive areas. This thesis is based on research conducted in two sites located in the north eastern parts of each island, namely Kiuyu Mbuyuni, Pemba Island and Matemwe, Unguja Island. The research focused firstly on assessing the vulnerability of these two coastal communities to climate variability and change and other stressors. This included investigation of (1) the perceptions of fishers, farmers and seaweed farmers regarding climate stressors and shocks and associated risks and impacts, (2) existing and possible future water and food security issues, and (3) household's access to important livelihood assets. This was followed by an exploration of the coping and adaptive responses of farmers, fishers and seaweed farmers to perceived shocks and stresses and some of the barriers to these responses. Lastly, an analysis of the implications of the findings for achieving sustainable coastal livelihoods and a resilient coastal community was undertaken. The general picture that emerges is that local people along the east coasts of both islands are already vulnerable to a wide range of stressors. Although variability in rainfall is not a new phenomenon in these areas, increasing frequency of dry spells and coastal floods resulting from the influence of El Niño and La Niña events exert enormous pressures on local activities (fishing, farming and seaweed farming) which are the crux of the local economy. The main argument of the study is that the nature and characteristics of these activities are the main source of sensitivity amongst these communities and this creates high levels of vulnerability to climate shocks and trends. This vulnerability is evidenced by the reoccurrence of localised food shortages and the observed food and water insecurity. The study found that food insecurity is a result of unreliable rainfall, drought and seasonality changes. These interacted with other contextual factors such as poor soil, low purchasing power and the lack of livelihood diversification options. In addition to exposure to these almost unavoidable risks from climate variability, the vulnerability of the local communities along the east coasts is also influenced by the low level of capital stocks and limited access to the assets that are important for coping and adaptation. Despite this, some households managed to overcome barriers and adapt in various ways both within the three main livelihood sectors (fishing, farming and seaweed farming) as well as through adopting options outside these sectors resulting in diversification of the livelihood portfolio. However, the study found that most of the strategies opted for by fishers, farmers and seaweed farmers were mainly spontaneous. Few planned adaptation measures supported by state authorities were observed across the sites, with the exception of the provision of motorised boats which were specifically meant to increase physical assets amongst fishers, reduce pressure in the marine conservation areas and prevent overfishing in-shore. Furthermore, numerous strategies that people adopted were discontinued when further barriers were encountered. Interestingly, some of the barriers that prevented households adapting were the same ones that forced households that had responded to abandon their adaptations. To increase resilience amongst east coast communities to current and future predicted changes in climate and sea level, the study argues that traditional livelihood activities (fishing, farming and seaweed farming) need to be better supported, and access to a range of livelihood assets improved. This may be achieved through increased access to local sources of water and facilitation of rainwater harvesting, expanding the livelihood options available to people and increasing climate change awareness, and access to sources of credit.

Understanding and modeling microbial responses and feedbacks to climate change is hampered by a lack of a framework in the pelagic environment by which to link local mechanism to large scale patterns. Where terrestrial ecology draws from landscape theory and practice to address issues of scale, the pelagic seascape concept is still in its infancy. We have applied the patch mosaic paradigm of landscape ecology to the study of the seasonal and interannual variability of the North Pacific to facilitate comparative analysis between pelagic ecosystems and provide spatiotemporal context for eulerian time-series studies. Using multivariate, 13-year climatologies of sea surface temperature, photosynthetically active radiation, and chlorophyll a derived from remote sensing observations, we classified hierarchical seascapes at monthly and interannual scales. These dynamic, objectively-determined seascapes offer improved hydrographic coherence relative to oceanic regions with subjectively defined and static boundaries (Chapter 2) and represent unique biogeochemical functioning (Chapter 2) and microbial communities (Chapter3). Furthermore they provide consilience between satellite studies and in situ observations (Chapter 4) and allow for objective comparison of ecosystem forcing (Chapters, 4 and 5). In Chapter 2, we rigorously tested the assumption that satellite-derived seascapes describe regions of biogeochemical coherence. The seasonal cycle of the North Pacific was characterized at three levels of spatiotemporal hierarchy and broader relevance of monthly ���resolved seascapes was assessed through analysis of variance (ANOVA) and multiple linear regression (MLR) analyses of nutrient, primary productivity, and pCO��� data. Distinct nutrient and primary productivity regimes were well-characterized in the coarsest two levels of hierarchy (ANOVA, R�� = 0.5-0.7). Finer scale partitioning was more relevant for pCO���. MLR analyses revealed differential forcing on pCO��� across seascapes and hierarchical levels and a 33 % reduction in mean model error with increased partitioning (from 18.5 ��atm to 12.0 ��atm pCO���). In Chapter 3 we verified the seascapes with in situ collections of microbial abundance and structure. Flow cytometry data was collected from two long term time series and several cruises spanning thousand kilometers of the NE Pacific; these data allowed us to quantify spatiotemporal patterns. In addition, multiple response permutation analysis revealed differences in community structure across discrete seascapes, in terms of both absolute and relative abundances. Principal component analysis of the assemblage supported seascape divisions and revealed structure along environmental gradients with strong associations with chlorophyll a and sea surface temperature and, to a lesser extent, with mixed layer depth and mean photosynthetically active radiation in the mixed layer. Differences of assemblage structure between seascapes and strength of environmental forcing were strong in the subarctic and transition zones, but less pronounced in the subtropics, suggesting satellite-detected changes in bulk properties that may be associated with local physiology or interannual shifts in seascape boundaries. Based on the work presented in Chapter 4, we discovered that interannual shifts in the boundaries of a transition seascape and two distinct oligotrophic subtropical seascapes affect the variability observed at benchmark time series Station ALOHA; the latter two seascapes oscillate in their contributions to the expansion of the entire subtropics. On interannual scales, in situ phytoplankton abundance (as measured by chl-a), net primary productivity (NPP), and the relative abundance of eukaryotic phytoplankton and Synechococcus sp. increased during periods of encroachment by the transition seascape. Conversely, the relative abundance of Prochlorococcus increased and chl ���a and NPP decreased when the highly oligotrophic seascape encroached on Station ALOHA. The dynamic range (~6 million km��) of subtropical expansion is born almost entirely by the transition zone - resulting in a transfer of ~1.2 Pg of total primary C production between a system primed for export production and one dominated by the microbial loop. In Chapter 5, we investigated multiple factors that contribute to the effectiveness of the biological pump in the transition seascape. Near-continuous measurements of net primary production (NPP), net community production (NCP) and several ecophysiological variables were collected in across subarctic, transition, and subtropical seascapes of the Northeast Pacific during August and September of 2008. Mesoscale processes and shifts in community structure contributed to high export efficiency in the subtropical seascape; the convergence of assemblage structure, high biomass, moderate NPP: NCP and high NCP contributed to biologically mediated air-sea exchange in the transition seascape. Furthermore, NPP and NCP were strongly spatially coupled in both the transition (r[subscript 1, 39]=0.70; p<0.0001) and subtropical seascapes (r[subscript 1, 45]= 0.68, p<0.0001), suggesting the possibility for empirical modeling efforts. This dissertation provides a first step to characterize the seascape variability in the NE Pacific and to understand the modulation of primary and export production in a critical transition region. The multivariate seascape approach described here provides spatiotemporal context for in situ studies and allows objective comparisons of systems' responses to climatic forcing. An integrated ocean observing system will require insight from in situ observations and experiments, ecosystem models, and satellite remote sensing. The results highlighted in this dissertation suggest that the pelagic seascape framework, through its capacity to scale both context and mechanism, may serve as an important and unifying component of such an observing system. / Graduation date: 2013