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Drivers of direct commercial real estate returns: evidence from South AfricaMkhabela, Nikiwe January 2016 (has links)
A research report submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for a Master of Science degree in Building to the Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment, School of Construction Economics and Management, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2016 / Background – The South African (SA) real estate sector lacks transparency and there is limited research and robust data on the performance drivers of underlying commercial real estate assets in investment portfolios as opposed to the residential and listed property sectors in the SA context. SA real estate competes internationally and the rapid growth in emerging countries is creating new real estate players and growing competition for real estate investment opportunities (PwC, 2015). It is important for investors in the industry to understand the factors that affect the sector’s performance to be able to plan, review investment strategies, allocate resources efficiently, understand past trends and manage future risks.
Purpose - The purpose of the study is to understand the performance of the SA direct commercial real estate sector and identify the key factors that drive the sector’s total returns in the country. Literature review is conducted to identify factors that drive direct commercial real returns in other countries and the identified drivers are tested for relevancy in the SA market. The study applies SA annual commercial real estate returns published by the International Property Databank (IPD) over the past 20 years, from 1995 to 2014, as dependent variables.
Findings - Using Pearson’s correlation analysis, the study tests for correlations between CRE returns and independent variables; macroeconomic indicators (exogenous factors) and property performance variables (endogenous factors). The study finds gross rental escalation and real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rates to be highly positively correlated with direct real estate returns. The results provide evidence that gross rental escalation and real GDP have high explanatory values of commercial real estate returns. The study concludes that rental income growth and economic growth are the key drivers of direct commercial real estate total returns.
Value - The findings provide evidence of the correlations that exist between exogenous, endogenous variables and CRE returns and assist in understanding the behaviour of the direct commercial real estate sector. This study sets a basis for real estate investments analysis and the results can be applied in asset allocation strategies by guiding investors on the direction CRE returns could take based on performance of the widely published macroeconomic and property performance variables under study.
Limitations - The limitation to this study is that the dependent variables, SA annual commercial real estate returns, has time series data of 20 variables in its existence and this has restricted the quantitative methodology choice, hence the use of correlation analysis to quantitatively analyse the relationships that exist between CRE returns and the exogenous and endogenous factors. Further research in the topic would include regression analysis to test for causality. This study has implications on real estate investment decision making and contributes to real estate market literature in SA. / MT2017
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Profit for change: catalysing architecture through commerce and identityLeshaba, Tebogo January 2017 (has links)
Thesis is submitted in partial fulfilment for the degree of Master of Architecture (Professional) to the Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment, School of Architecture and Planning at the University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2017 / Informal communities seem to thrive due to their ability to invent and adapt resilient organic systems. Although programmes are often conceptualized to intervene in social, economic or institutional settings, very few are able to address what I believe to be the problem underlying in many instances; money. The ability to attract, develop and maintain commerce in a closed system will determine the efficiency and dependency a community will have on external forces.
The quest for a self-sustaining economic system suggests a move towards creating complex commercial urban centres which can operate outside the parameters of a formal economy. History has provided such models, where out of necessity, informal industries have taken structure and found ways to attach to the mainstream economy.
My line of questioning stems from these principles and seeks to explore modes of community empowerment initiatives. The goal is to identify the necessary framework that will allow capitalist constructs to prevail within informal systems.
At the crux of economic emancipation for informal communities in South Africa must exist an environment that compels a shift in attitude for the mobilisation change. The state in its incumbency to deliver radical social transformation is in the best position to act, but history has shown that movements which were born from the society, despite financial, political & social hardships, have the propensity to dramatically advance and flourish along a greater trajectory. / XL2018
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The proximity effects of the planned commercial property development at O.R. Tambo International Airport on adjacent residential propertiesMkhasibe, Menziwezintozonke Skhumbuzo January 2016 (has links)
This Research Report is submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Property Development and Management to the Faculty of Engineering and Built Environment, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2016 / The two main traditional revenue streams for airports are aeronautical and non-aeronautical revenues. In recent times, factors such as the slowing economic growth, terrorism threats, aircraft fuel hikes and fierce airline competition have contributed in reduced aeronautical revenues. The decline in aeronautical revenues has seen a shift of focus where most international airports now pursue business strategies to increase their non-aeronautical revenues. Airports in developed countries such as Schiphol, Brisbane, Adelaide, Canberra, Perth are recorded in literature to have shifted their focus to exploit the vast undeveloped land within the airport precincts through enabling the undeveloped land to be taken up for commercial property developments. This has allowed these airports to increase their non-aeronautical revenues in light of the declining aeronautical revenues.
In South Africa, Airports Company South Africa (ACSA) announced its intention in year 2010 to unlock undeveloped airport land for commercial property developments within the nine airports that it operates. At O.R. Tambo International Airport (one of airports owned by ACSA), ACSA publicly announced the availability of pieces of land within the airport which can be taken up for commercial developments by private investors. One of the pieces of land is located in close proximity to existing airport adjoining residential houses in a suburb called Bonaero Park. Authors in existing literature have discussed availability of both positive and negative proximity effects of commercial properties on adjoining residential houses.
This study researched the proximity effects of one of the proposed commercial property development at O.R. Tambo International Airport (ORTIA) on the houses in Bonaero Park through analyzing houses sales data of the suburb in the period of 2006 to 2014. A pre-announcement period was defined in the study from 2006 to 2010 and a post-announcement period defined from 2011 to 2014. House sales data from both the pre-announcement and post announcement period was analysed using quantitative methodologies. Qualitative data was gathered through conducting audio recorded interviews with Estate Agents who conducted house sales in Bonaero Park. Findings of the study reveal that the at both the pre-announcement and post-announcement
periods, the South African residential property market was going through a tumultuous period which revealed that the announcement by ACSA to unlock the piece of land located in close proximity to the residential houses in Bonaero Park did not produce positive or negative proximity effects. / MT2017
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A framework for mergers and acquisitions due diligence: lessons from selected REITs in South AfricaMabece, Yongama January 2018 (has links)
A research report submitted in fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Building Science in Property Development and Management to the Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2018 / In April 2013, the South African listed property sector converted from Property
Unit Trust and Property Loan Stock investment structures into a Real Estate
Investment Trust (REIT) structure that is understood globally. This conversion
spurred consolidations in the property market in the form of mergers and
acquisitions. Research shows that mergers and acquisitions tend to have high
failure rates as growth strategies.
It remains unknown how sufficient traditional due diligence is and how it can be
improved to enhance the chances of successful corporate marriages within the
South African REIT market. This paper reviews the aspects of the traditional due
diligence scope which generally comprises of financial, legal and commercial
due diligence in order to determine its adequacy as a decision making tool that
helps reduce the risk of failure in REIT merger and acquisition transactions in
South Africa.
There is consensus in the literature that due diligence is a means to reduce the
risk of merger and acquisition failure, some studies suggest that failure occurs
when due diligence is not done well. This paper uses interviews conducted with
due diligence professionals from seven REIT companies listed on the
Johannesburg Stock Exchange who were involved in large merger and
acquisition transactions in the preceding four years. The interviews were used to
ascertain how the professionals perform due diligence, whether or not they think
that traditional due diligence is sufficient for REIT mergers and acquisitions and
to solicit their views on how the due diligence scope can be expanded.
Transcribed data from each of the interviews was analysed based on three
concurrent sub-processes adapted from the works of Miles and Huberman
(1994) which consist of data reduction, data display and drawing and verifying
conclusions.
The results show that the traditional due diligence scope is not sufficient for REIT
merger and acquisition transactions, a majority of the respondents agree with
this observation. Encouragingly the professionals within the South African REIT
market have a due diligence scope which is already much wider than the
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traditional scope, be that as it may, there is still a high failure rate of 59%
observed in the sample analysed.
Due diligence professionals have a low regard for understanding and resolving
the different companies cultural issues, this is cited in the literature as one of the
contributing factors for merger and acquisition failure. This is an area that can
possibly augment the due diligence cycle and professionals should focus on it in
order to improve the chances of success. The research proposes expanding the
due diligence scope by incorporating strategic due diligence which is forward
looking and it overcomes the challenges of traditional due diligence of relying on
historic information. Strategic due diligence assists the acquirers understand the
target’s future prospects, and it allows the acquirers to determine if the target
prospects fit with their own strategic objectives. This together with a higher focus
on understanding and resolving cultural issues of the merging companies should
augment the traditional scope and ultimately lead to transactions that yield higher
shareholder value. / XL2018
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The financing of corporate real estate acquisition, a South African studyAvivi, Rami January 2017 (has links)
Thesis is submitted in partial fulfilment for the degree of Master of Science in Building (Property Development and Management), to the Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment, School of Architecture and Planning at the University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2017 / The purpose of this study is to fill specific gaps in the existing body of knowledge of South African corporate real estate management by investigating the determinants influencing the lease versus buy decision; the methods and financing sources of corporate real estate acquisition; and the criteria used in deciding on the financing technique for corporate real estate acquisition.
The research followed a similar methodology to that of Redman and Tanner (1991) in their study “The Financing of Corporate Real Estate: A Survey”. However, it specifically focused on the South African corporate real estate environment. The data collection instrument was an online survey and the survey produced quantitative descriptions of certain aspects of the population. The population for the research was corporate real estate decision makers of leading South African companies. The data captured was presented through the aid of tables, charts and graphs. The data was further analysed through cross tabulations and hypothesis testing using the Chi Squared test of independence to determine significance of results.
South African firms use some form of leasing (mainly long term leasing) in acquiring their corporate real estate. However, ownership is also a common form of real estate acquisition through the use of mortgages secured by the acquired property, mortgage backed securities and sale of unsecured bonds. The decision criteria for acquisition includes both financial and non-financial determinants. Financial analysis is also an important factor in analysing the lease versus buy decision. This is mainly done by comparing the undiscounted cash flow of leasing versus buying. Where a discounting approach of evaluation is used, the most favoured discount rates include the weighted average cost of capital and rate of return on new investments. Mostly outscored professional services are used when making the lease versus buy decision.
The benefit of this study was to understand the factors influencing the corporate real estate decision making process and to provide a corporate real estate decision makers with a decisional framework when determining the form or real estate tenure. Future studies should attempt to secure better response rate to allow for robustness of results and other methodologies of analysis. / XL2018
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Corporate real estate management: a survey of the South African entertainment & media companiesSelamolela, Matla January 2017 (has links)
Thesis is submitted in partial fulfilment for the degree of Master of Science in property development and Management
to the Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment, School of Construction Economics and Management at the University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, 2017 / Purpose- The main objective of this study was to determine a particular knowledge and skill of the senior management of the South African entertainment and media industry towards corporate real estate management.
[Abbreviated Abstract. Open document to view full version] / MT 2018
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The determination and disclosure of the contribution of turnover rent to lessor revenue in the South African retail property sectorKruger, Leopold Ferreira 02 1900 (has links)
Notes:
i) the terms "lessee" and "tenant" are used alternatively, the latter only when quoted
ii) the terms "lessor" and "landlord" are used alternatively, the latter only when quoted / The research intends to assess the availability of information to determine the contribution of turnover rent to lessor revenue as the publicly available information on building performance, and in specific turnover rent, is not adequate to answer the research problem. Academic, legal and accounting sources are consulted and referenced as background on turnover rent. Limitations applicable to the study is noted.
A content analysis of published financial statements analyses the application of the prevailing accounting standards in the real estate sector and assesses to what extent information is available to determine the contribution of turnover rent to lessor revenue. Disclosure was found to be inconsistent and inadequate to calculate the contribution to lessor revenue and to assess individual building performance.
With relevant building performance data of a large retail centre sourced from an asset manager, the contribution of turnover rent to lessor revenue was calculated for a period of eight years as part of a retail centre case study. With information available, but not disclosed, it is recommended that the IASB considers additional disclosure for listed real estate entities to enable stakeholders to assess individual building performance. Further recommendations are made in this study.
The building performance indicators were further compared to relevant economic indicators. The results of this analysis indicates an indirect correlation between the prime interest rate and three building performance indicators being lessee turnover, total rent collected and centre foot-count. This confirms the strong reliance of the South African retail sector on credit sales. / Financial Accounting / M. Ph. (Accounting Sciences)
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