We present crustal velocities for 29 continuously recording GPS stations from the southern central Andes across the Puna, Eastern Cordillera, and Santa Barbara system for the period between the 27 February 2010 Maule and 1 April 2014 Iquique earthquakes in a South American frame. The velocity field exhibits a systematic decrease in magnitude from similar to 35mm/yr near the trench to <1mm/yr within the craton. We forward model loading on the Nazca-South America (NZ-SA) subduction interface using back slip on elastic dislocations to approximate a fully locked interface from 10 to 50km depth. We generate an ensemble of models by iterating over the percentage of NZ-SA convergence accommodated at the subduction interface. Velocity residuals calculated for each model demonstrate that locking on the NZ-SA interface is insufficient to reproduce the observed velocities. We model deformation associated with a back-arc decollement using an edge dislocation, estimating model parameters from the velocity residuals for each forward model of the subduction interface ensemble using a Bayesian approach. We realize our best fit to the thrust-perpendicular velocity field with 705% of NZ-SA convergence accommodated at the subduction interface and a slip rate of 9.10.9mm/yr on the fold-thrust belt decollement. We also estimate a locking depth of 149km, which places the downdip extent of the locked zone 13520km from the thrust front. The thrust-parallel component of velocity is fit by a constant shear strain rate of -19x10(-9)yr-(1), equivalent to clockwise rigid block rotation of the back arc at a rate of 1.1 degrees/Myr.

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Temporal variation of crustal structure is key to our understanding of Earth processes on human timescales. Often, we expect that the most significant structural variations are caused by strong ground shaking associated with large earthquakes, and recent studies seem to confirm this. Here we test the possibility of using P receiver functions (PRF) to isolate structural variations over time. Synthetic receiver function tests indicate that structural variation could produce PRF changes on the same order of magnitude as random noise or contamination by local earthquakes. Nonetheless, we find significant variability in observed receiver functions over time at several stations located in northeastern Honshu. Immediately following the Tohoku-oki earthquake, we observe high PRF variation clustering spatially, especially in two regions near the beginning and end of the rupture plane. Due to the depth sensitivity of PRF and the timescales over which this variability is observed, we infer this effect is primarily due to fluid migration in volcanic regions and shear stress/strength reorganization. While the noise levels in PRF are high for this type of analysis, by sampling small data sets, the computational cost is lower than other methods, such as ambient noise, thereby making PRF a useful tool for estimating temporal variations in crustal structure.

京都大学 / 0048 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(理学) / 甲第21580号 / 理博第4487号 / 新制||理||1644(附属図書館) / 京都大学大学院理学研究科地球惑星科学専攻 / (主査)准教授 宮﨑 真一, 教授 福田 洋一, 教授 橋本 学 / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Science / Kyoto University / DGAM

京都大学 / 0048 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(理学) / 甲第22029号 / 理博第4533号 / 新制||理||1651(附属図書館) / 京都大学大学院理学研究科地球惑星科学専攻 / (主査)教授 橋本 学, 教授 福田 洋一, 准教授 深畑 幸俊 / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Science / Kyoto University / DGAM

No description available.

Land subsidence and coastal erosion are worldwide problems, particularly in densely populated deltas. The Nile Delta is no exception. Currently, it is undergoing land subsidence and is simultaneously experiencing retreat of its coastline. The impacts of these long-term interrelated geomorphic problems are heightened by the economic, social and historical importance of the delta to Egypt. Unfortunately, the current measures of the rates of subsidence and coastal erosion in the delta are rough estimates at best. Sustainable development of the delta requires accurate and detailed spatial and temporal measures of subsidence and coastal retreat rates. Radar interferometry is a unique remote sensing approach that can be used to map topography with 1 m vertical accuracy and measure surface deformation with 1 mm level accuracy. Radar interferometry has been employed in this dissertation to measure urban subsidence and coastal change in the Nile Delta. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data of 5.66 cm wavelength acquired by the European Radar Satellites (ERS-1 and ERS- 2) spanning eight years (1993-2000) have been used in this investigation. The ERS data have been selected because the spatial and temporal coverage, as well as the short wavelength, are appropriate to measure the slow rate of subsidence in the delta. The ERS tandem coherence images are also appropriate for coastal change detection. The magnitude and pattern of subsidence are detected and measured using Permanent Scatterer interferometry. The measured rates of subsidence in greater Cairo, Mansura, and Mahala are 7, 9, and 5 mm yr-1, respectively. Areas of erosion and accretion in the eastern side of the delta are detected using the ERS tandem coherence and the ERS amplitude images. The average measured rates of erosion and accretion are -9.57 and +5.44 m yr-1, respectively. These measured rates pose an urgent need of regular monitoring of subsidence and coastline retreat in the delta. This study highlighted the feasibility of applying Permanent Scatterer interferometry in inappropriate environment for conventional SAR interferometry. The study addressed possibilities and limitations for successful use of SAR interferometry within the densely vegetated delta and introduced alternative strategies for further improvement of SAR interferometric measurements in the delta.

Microearthquake (< M3.0) swarms occur frequently in volcanic environments, but do not always culminate in an eruption. Such non-eruptive swarms may be caused by stresses induced by magma intrusion, hydrothermal fluid circulation, or regional tectonic processes, such as slow-slip earthquakes. Strandline Lake, located 30 km northeast of Mount Spurr volcano in south-central Alaska, experienced an intense earthquake swarm between August 1996 and August 1998. The Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) catalog indicates that a total of 2,999 earthquakes were detected during the swarm period, with a maximum magnitude of Mw 3.1 and a depth range of 0-30 km below sea level (with the majority of catalog hypocenters located between 5-10 km BSL). The cumulative seismic moment of the swarm was 2.03e15 N-m, equivalent to a cumulative magnitude of Mw 4.2. Because of the swarm's distance from the nearest Holocene volcanic vent, seismic monitoring was poor and gas and GPS data do not exist for the swarm period. However, combined waveforms from a dense seismic network on Mount Spurr and from several regional seismic stations allow reanalysis of the swarm earthquakes. I first developed a new 1-D velocity model for the Strandline Lake region by re-picking and inverting precise arrival times for 27 large Strandline Lake earthquakes. The new velocity model reduced the average RMS for these earthquakes from 0.16 to 0.11s, and the average horizontal and vertical location errors from 3.3 to 2.5 km and 4.7 to 3.0 km, respectively. Depths of the 27 earthquakes ranged from 10.5 to 22.1 km with an average depth of 16.6 km. A moderately high b-value of 1.33 was determined for the swarm period, possibly indicative of magmatic activity. However, a similarly high b-value of 1.25 was calculated for the background period. 28 well-constrained fault plane solutions for both swarm and background earthquakes indicate a diverse mixture of strike-slip, dip-slip, and reverse faulting beneath Strandline Lake. Finally, five Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) images spanning the swarm period unambiguously show no evidence of surface deformation. While a shallow volcanic intrusion appears to be an unlikely cause of the Strandline Lake swarm based on the new well-constrained earthquake depths and the absence of strong surface deformation, the depth range of 10.5 to 22.1 km BSL for relocated earthquakes and the high degree of FPS heterogeneity for this swarm are similar to an earthquake swarm beneath Lake Tahoe, California in 2003 caused by a deep intrusion near the base of the crust (Smith et al, 2004). This similarity suggests that a deep crustal magmatic intrusion could have occurred beneath the Strandline Lake area in 1996-1998 and may have been responsible for the resulting microearthquake activity.

Lake Mead, the largest reservoir in the United States along the Colorado River on the border between the states of Nevada and Arizona, is one of the nation's most important sources of freshwater. As reported by the U.S. drought monitor (USDM), the entire region has been experiencing recurring severe to extreme droughts since the early 2000s, which have further intensified during the past two years. The drought-driven water deficit caused Lake Mead's water volume to decrease to approximately one-third of its capacity, creating a water crisis and negatively affecting soil and groundwater storage across the region. Water deficits have further reduced the mass of water loading on the Earth's crust, causing it to elastically deform. I observe this process from the ground by recording the vertical land motion occurring at Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) stations, or from space via Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) technology. In this study, I analyze vertical deformation observations from GNSS sites and multi-temporal InSAR analysis of Sentinel-1A/B to investigate the contribution of water mass changes in lake, soil, and groundwater to the deformation signal. To achieve this, I remove the effects of glacial isostatic adjustment and non-tidal mass loads from GNSS/InSAR observations. Our findings indicate that recent drought periods led to a notable uplift near Lake Mead, averaging 7.3 mm/year from 2012 to 2015 and an even larger rate of 8.6 mm/year from 2020 to 2023. Further, I provide an estimate of the expected vertical crustal deformation in response to well-known changes in lake and soil moisture storage. For that, I quantify hydrological loads through two different loading models. These include the application of Green's functions for an elastic, layered, self-gravitating, spherical Earth, and the Love load numbers from the Preliminary Reference Earth Models (PREMs), as well as elastic linearly homogeneous half-space Earth models. I further test various load models against the GNSS observations. Our research further investigates the impact of local crustal properties and evaluates the output of several elastic loading models using crustal properties and different model types under non-drought and drought conditions. For future studies, I suggest a comprehensive analysis of the deformation field InSAR data. Also, rigorous monitoring of groundwater levels is essential to accurately predict changes in water masses based on deformation. In addition, for each data set, I suggest implementing an uncertainty analysis to assess the predictability of groundwater level changes based on vertical loading deformation observed by INSAR/GNSS data around the region. Obtaining such estimates will provide valuable insight into the dynamic interactions of the local aquifers with Lake Mead. / Master of Science / The drought has led to a decline of approximately 40 meters in Lake Mead since 1999. During the process of water mass loss from a lake, the crust lifts and extends from the center. However, the water mass loss seen on the lake is not sufficient to explain the movement seen at nearby GPS sites. Hence, the uplift loading of water loss in the form of other hydrological components surrounding Lake Mead needs to be estimated. Here, I analyze several models that best fit the geodetic displacements and try to fill in the gap in deformation observations.

L’histoire et les mécanismes de soulèvement des Andes centrales ont fait l'objet de débats animés depuis les années 1970. Notre étude se concentre sur l’analyse de la déformation Cénozoïque et de l'exhumation des Andes Centrales dans la région du Sud Pérou : à Cuzco, et dans la région de Nazca entre les cordillères Occidentale et Côtière. En effet, plusieurs auteurs soulignent le rôle du raccourcissement tectonique dans l'épaississement de la croûte, dans l’avant-arc Chilien ou à l’Est dans la région Subandine. Dans les modèles de déformation tectonique active issus du GPS, aucun raccourcissement ni transpression n’est pris en compte sur la bordure Occidentale des Andes au Cénozoïque ou dans les modèles de déformation crustale issus du GPS. La nouvelle cartographie des systèmes de failles actives dans la région sud du Pérou donnent un aperçu de la déformation active à l’échelle crustale pour la marge Pacifique des Andes Centrales. La géomorphologie et les paysages de l'avant-arc andin ont classiquement été présentés comme fossiles depuis le Miocène, sans évidence de structures actives accommodant la déformation cénozoïque. Cependant, les surfaces géomorphologiques bien préservées développées dans l'avant-arc du sud du Pérou fournissent d'excellents marqueurs et des évidences de déformation très nettes depuis le Cénozoïque jusqu’au Quaternaire récent. Ces marqueurs montrent tous un soulèvement des Andes le long de la marge ouest depuis les derniers Millions d’années. Bien que l’initiation et l’évolution de l'exhumation et du soulèvement cénozoïque aient été étudié dans les canyons de Colca et de Cotahuasi, il demeure peu contraint dans le segment nord de l'avant – arc, i.e., dans la région de Nazca. Dans cette étude, nous avons choisi d’apporter de nouvelles données (U-Th)/He et traces de fission sur apatite (AHe) et (AFT) respectivement dans cette région. L’échantillonnage a porté sur la Cordillère Occidentale entre Cañete et Nazca le long de deux nouvelles coupes transversales à la topographie. Le profil Age/Distance à la côte indique une mise en place de relief dans la région Andine au début du Miocène et une évolution découplée des deux systèmes de cordillères Cotière et Occidentale en terme d’exhumation dans le temps. A l’échelle Quaternaire, nous avons cartographié les failles actives pour déterminer leur géométrie, cinématique et les âges maximaux de l’activation de ces failles. Ceci afin de discuter du rôle de cette activité tectonique, précédemment supposée Miocène, dans le soulèvement et l’exhumation de l’avant-arc Andin. Nous avons utilisé la production et l’accumulation du 10Be cosmogénique dans les roches pour déterminer les âges d'exposition d’un escarpement tectonique marquant les derniers épisodes co-sismiques de la faille de Purgatorio. Nos nouveaux résultats, contrastent avec des conclusions précédentes qui concluaient à de l’extension et des vitesses lentes le long de l’avant arc Andin (<0.1mm/an). Les âges très récents indiquent une morphologie « historique » (free face) et deux tremblements de terre Mw6-7 sur ce système de failles transpressives qui se connectent au système principal d’Incapuquio. Les données suggèrent non seulement une déformation active significative de l’avant-arc, mais soulignent aussi l’existence d’un aléa sismique qui n’est toujours pas pris en compte pour les failles crustales dans les Andes. Tandis que l’hypothèse acceptée est que la déformation active est localisée dans le bassin d’avant pays subandin, ou à l’est de la cordillère orientale, nos données suggèrent qu’une partie de la déformation active se localise aussi sur la marge Occidentale ainsi que le long de la faille d'Incapuquio. De plus, les failles observées en néotectonique accommoderaient le partitionnement de la déformation le long de la subduction oblique et ceci n’a jamais été discuté précédemment. Ce mouvement, rigide, en bloc serait du à la présence du craton accrété sur le flanc Ouest et à sa rigidité. / ABSTRACTTiming and mechanisms of uplift in the Central Andes have been a matter of debate since at least the 1970’s. Our study focuses on Cenozoic deformation and exhumation of the Central Andean forearc in Peru, in Cuzco region, and between the Western Cordillera and the Coastal Cordillera in Nazca region. Our new mapping of active faults provides new insights into the Cenozoic to present-day crustal deformation of the Central Andean Western margin. Until now, apart from some local studies, the geomorphology of the Andean forearc has classically been presented as a remnant Miocene landscape with no significant active structures accommodating the Cenozoic deformation. Thanks to new high-resolution optical imagery, the well-preserved geomorphic surfaces developed within the forearc of southern Peru provide excellent regional markers to map patterns of deformation. Pertaining to the Cenozoic history, while the timing of uplift-related exhumation and Cenozoic exhumation has been studied in Colca and Cotahuasi canyons, it remain poorly constrained in the northern segment of the Central Andean forearc. I report new apatite (U–Th)/He (AHe) and fission track (AFT) ages from the western Cordillera between Cañete and Nazca along two new cross sections. The ages in Nazca region reflect relatively recent (since ~10Ma) relief creation along the western margin of the Altiplano, similar to what is described south in Colca region.The Quaternary tectonic history is revealed by the newly mapped fault segments affecting the Miocene deposits within forearc. Through field and remote mapping, I determined fault geometries and maximum ages for the activity of the faults systems based on stratigraphic relationships in order to assess the role of this tectonic activity in the Western Cordillera uplift and exhumation.To understand the Holocene tectonic history, we use in situ produced 10Be to determine the exposure ages of the free face and tectonic scarp of the Purgatorio Fault in order to map the temporal evolution of its seismotectonic activity. Our new results display evidence of transpression and the formation of meter-high coseismic scarps as well as very recent exposure ages indicating a youthful fault morphology and Mw6-7 earthquakes occurring along the Purgatorio fault segments. These new data are in contrast with some previous conclusions for this region which suggest extension and/or slow rates of deformation for this region and time period. Further, these new data not only suggest significant active deformation within the forearc, but also highlight a potential seismic hazard for the region that not take into account crustal forearc faults.While the general assumption is that active deformation is localized in the Subandean fold and thrust belt, or east of the Western Cordillera in the Altiplano, our data support a model where active deformation is occurring in the western margin as well, along the Incapuquio Fault and other neotectonic faults that accommodates the partitioning of the subduction oblique convergence.These crustal active faults and more precisely the “not migrating to the trench” Incapuquio fault zone reveal the rigid motion of the forearc. Our new model is nevertheless compatible with the recently published GPS data that measure a southeastward movement at 4–5 mm/yr relative to a stable South America reference frame. This rigid motion is in part due to the presence of the rigid Greenvillian accreted craton, that behave as a sliver, and rather tilt than deform through time.