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The relationship between stock price, book value and residual income: A panel error correction approachBrandt, Oskar, Persson, Rickard January 2015 (has links)
In this paper we examine the short and long-term relations between stock price, book value and residual income. We employ a panel error correction model, estimated with Engle & Granger’s (1987) two-step procedure and the single equation methodology. The models are estimated with FE-OLS and the MG-estimator. We find that stock prices adjust previous periods equilibrium error. Further, we find that book value has short and long-term effects on stock prices. Finally, this paper finds mixed results regarding residual incomes impact on stock prices. The MG-estimator finds evidence for a short-term relationship, while the FE-OLS provides insignificant or weak support for short-term effects. FE-OLS and MG-estimator find insignificant or weak support regarding residual incomes long-term effects.
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Is the housing market in Sweden overrated? : A Study Of The Hypothetical Yield Of The Residential Real Estate In StockholmPatey, Julia January 2018 (has links)
This paper presents a method to value the residential real estate portfolio of an economy by summarizing the future discounted values of the net operating income. The motivation for this choice of subject is the concern for a house bubble in Sweden due to the double-digit rise in housing prices which the economy has experienced during many consecutive years. However, the method is general and can be applied anywhere where relevant statistics is available. The challenge to use an income approach to residential real estate valuation lies in the fact that there is no obvious net operating income, as the owner and the end user is in many cases the same person. To solve this challenge, we determine the maximum possible net operating income by taking the households’ disposable incomes and subtracting their expenses. This will be a fictional value for the maximum possible net operating income or the imputed income for real estate owners. When this fictional net operating income is compared to the mean prices of properties, a maximum potential yield to capital invested in residential real estate is extracted. The current number for this maximal potential yield on the Stockholm market seem to be 6,4 percent, 2017. The main contribution of this paper to the science of economy is that it presents a way to use classical fundamental valuation methods to evaluate the price level of residential real estate, that, due to lack of tangible net operating income is not as straightforward as the valuation of the commercial real estate market.
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Fundamentální analýza / Fundamental AnalysisGuňka, Pavel January 2010 (has links)
This thesis deals with a fundamental share analysis of the Czech ČEZ Group. The theoretical part summarizes the most frequent techniques and methods of a fundamental share analysis. In the practical part these findings are used to analyze the shares of ČEZ. The core of the fundamental analysis itself lies in the calculation of the intrinsic value of the share. And finally, investment recommendations are proposed on the basis of the comparison between the acquired intrinsic value and the current market price of the shares.
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Analýza specifik odvětví bankovního průmyslu / Analysis of specifics of the banking industryPavlíková, Ilona January 2017 (has links)
Diploma thesis focuses on the analysis of the banking industry, which uses the tools of fundamental analysis. The aim of this thesis is to identify and evaluate the characteristics of the banking industry which distinguishes it from the other sectors. The first part deals with the characteristics of the banking sector, to use global and sectoral fundamental analysis. In the second part there is a comparison of the banking sector with other sectors such as commodity companies, cyclical companies and companies engaged in the production and sale of comsumer goods. The third part is the calculation of the intrinsic value of a company Komerční banka, a.s. A dividend discount model, profit models and an Excess return model are used in the third part.
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Relative or Discounted Cash Flow Valuation on the Fifty Largest US-Based Corporations on Nasdaq : Which of these valuation methods provides the most accurate valuation forecast?Öhrner, Marcus, Öhman, Otto January 2023 (has links)
The topic of this Bachelor Thesis is “Which of these valuation methods provides the most accurate valuation forecast”. Assuming that the year is 2020, the goal of this thesis is to forecast the future stock prices of the fifty largest US-based companies on the Nasdaq stock exchange for 2021 and 2022. By using a quantitative method and looking ten years back at historical data. We determine which valuation method provides the most accurate stock price when conducted in a non-sector specific sample by comparing predicted prices to actual stock prices and discussing the results. There are several ways to evaluate a company and the ones being utilized in this thesis are the discounted cash flow valuation method, the price-to-earnings ratio method (equity multiple), and enterprise value to enterprise value before interest, tax, and depreciation (firm multiple). Our results show that when reviewing the valuations of multiple companies in different sectors the relative valuation methods provide better predictions with EV/EBITDA rather than the discounted cash flow method. This thesis provides the reader with a comprehensive overview of these different valuation methods and their effectiveness in providing valuation forecasts. The result of this thesis is beneficial for policymakers, investors, and financial analysts when forecasting future stock prices.
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Náklady vlastního kapitálu pro tržní ocenění podniku v podmínkách ČR s důrazem na rizikovou prémii kapitálového trhu / Cost of Equity for Market Valuation in the Czech Republic with an Emphasis on Market Risk PremiumNovotný, Tomáš January 2012 (has links)
The aim of the work is to analyze the theoretical basis of determination of the market risk premium in conditions of the national market in the Czech Republic with CAPM and practical procedures of its determination using the market data provided by Bloomberg. The work addresses some open problems of practical determination of market risk premium as a choice between historical and implied risk premium, determination of credit spread as a representative of country risk and accurate determination of the equity and bond market volatility ratio. The thesis also contains research on the cost of equity and single-factor sensitivity analysis demonstrating the significant influence of a small change in one parameter entering the calculation of the discount rate on the resulting value.
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