<p> </p><p> </p><h1>Sammanfattning</h1><h1>Företag har alltid drabbats av ekonomiska svårigheter och gått i konkurs. Detta faktum harlänge intresserat forskare och legat till grund för en mängd studier inom området.Kassaflödesanalysens användbarhet vid konkursprognostisering har länge diskuterats ochtidigare forskning har visat på varierande resultat. Eftersom en kassaflödesanalys visar på detfaktiska in- och utflödet av pengar i företaget tror vi att den kan utgöra en viktigare indikatorpå om ett företag befinner sig i kris än resultat- och balansräkningen, som lättare kanmanipuleras. De flesta företag som går i konkurs är mindre företag, som inte omfattas av det lagstiftande kravet på att upprätta en kassaflödesanalys. Därför anser vi det intressant att studera vilket stöd en kassaflödesanalys kan utgöra för att förutsäga en konkurs.</h1><h1>Detta mynnar ut i vår problemformulering:</h1><h1>· Hur kan en kassaflödesanalys bidra till att prognostisera en framtida konkurs av små aktiebolag?</h1><h1>Syftet med vår studie är att undersöka om tillämpningen av en kassaflödesanalys påverkar prognostiseringen av en eventuell framtida konkurs i ett aktiebolag. Studiens delsyften är att undersöka om en kassaflödesanalys ger bättre information än resultat- och balansräkningen samt att undersöka om den lagstiftande gränsen på vilka företag som ska omfattas av att upprätta en kassaflödesanalys är rimlig.</h1><h1>Genom en kvantitativ metod, en positivistisk kunskapssyn och ett deduktiv angreppssätt, har vi upprättat kassaflödesanalyser på 20 små aktiebolag i Västerbotten. 10 konkursade bolag och 10 verksamma bolag. Kassaflödesanalyser gjordes fem år tillbaka i tiden och information från de två grupperna jämfördes sedan via logistisk regression. Vår teoretiska referensram grundar sig på teorier angående konkurser, kassaflödesanalyser och redovisning. En stor genomgång av tidigare studier på området har legat till grund för analysen. I teorikapitlet återfinns också en intressentmodell som synliggör vilka intressentersom kan ha nytta av en kassaflödesanalys.</h1><h1>Studien visar att information från kassaflödesanalysen kan bidra vid prognostisering av framtida konkurser. Studien visar också att informationen från kassaflödesanalysen inte är överlägsen information från resultat- och balansräkningen. Författarna anser att generaliserbarheten i studien kan ifrågasättas men att studien trots allt ger en fingervisning av kassaflödesanalysens användbarhet vid konkursförutsägelse och att studien kan ligga till grund för fortsatt forskning.</h1>

<p>This paper presents the feasibility study of setting up the new potting tray production line based on the two alternatives: partly outsource a process in the production line or wholly make all processes in-house. Both the qualitative and quantitative approaches have been exploited to analyze and compare between the make or buy decision. Also the nature of business, particularly SMEs, in Thailand has been presented, in which it has certain characteristics that influence the business doing and decision, especially to the supply chain management. The literature relating to the forecasting techniques, outsourcing decision framework, inventory management, and investment analysis have been reviewed and applied with the empirical findings. As this production line has not yet been in place, monthly sales volumes are forecasted within the five years time frame. Based on the forecasted sales volume, simulations are implemented to distribute the probability and project a certain demand required for each month. The projected demand is used as a baseline to determine required safety stock of materials, inventory cost, time between production runs and resources utilization for each option. Finally, in the quantitative analysis, the five years forecasted sales volume is used as a framework and several decision making-techniques such as break-even analysis, cash flow and decision trees are employed to come up with the results in financial aspects.</p>

<p>Detta arbete är skrivet för inköpsavdelningen på enheten PGI4, representerat på Siemens Industrial Turbomachinery i Finspång (SIT), med målet att reducera kostnader genom ett förbättrat arbete med Cash Management. Då inköpt material utgör en så pass stor del av värdet på slutprodukten, nära 60 procent, inses genast vilket stort inflytande inköpsfunktionen har på företagets totala kostnader. Även om Cash Management ägnas störst fokus hos företag med likviditetsproblem, finns det mycket att vinna genom att arbeta aktivt med konceptet också i goda tider.</p><p>Därmed är syftet med arbetet att; ”analysera möjligheterna för inköpsavdelningen på Siemens PGI4 att utnyttja Cash Management för att reducera de totala kostnaderna”.</p><p>Längs arbetets gång har en totalkostnadsmodell tagits fram för att tydliggöra kostnaderna relaterade till inköp, och därefter har områden specifikt intressanta ur ett Cash Management-perspektiv identifierats. Utgående från dessa områden har undersökts hur dagens verksamhet ser ut på SIT samt hur andra företag hanterar liknande aktiviteter. På så vis har lösningarna tagits fram angående vad inköp på SIT bör arbeta annorlunda med, samt hur de kan nå förbättringar.</p><p>Genom tydligare riktlinjer för standardkontrakt, ekonomistyrning och villkor för transporter och prognostisering kan arbetssätt inom inköp förbättras. Ett utnyttjande av kassarabatter kan ge kostnadsbesparingar motsvarande 1% av köpesumman. Rekommendationer kopplade till orderprocessen och fakturering syftar till att undvika de årliga kostnaderna på 2,4 miljoner SEK och 300 000 SEK för tidiga leveranser respektive räntefakturor. Ett utnyttjande av inköparnas kompetens inom lagerstyrning, kan resultera i sänkningar av lagernivåer genom att styra lager per leverantör.</p>

<p>När en värdering av ett företag skall göras finns det flera olika typer av värderingsmetoder som kan användas. Bakgrunden till den här studien är att uppsatsförfattarna blev kontaktade av ägarna till ett företag som undrade vad deras företag skulle vara värt vid en eventuell försäljning. Det specifika med företaget är att det endast arbetar mot en kund, samt att företaget nästan inte har några materiella tillgångar.</p><p>Syfte: Syftet är att kartlägga de olika värderingsmodeller som används vid värdering av företag, för att därefter klargöra vilken eller vilka metoder som är bäst lämpade för vårt fallföretag. Detta syftar till att resultera i en värdering av vårt fallföretag.</p><p>Metod: Vi har använt oss av en kvalitativ metod i form av en grundlig litteraturstudie, samt en genomgång av tidigare forskning. Vidare har ett antal e-postintervjuer genomförts och slutligen presenteras en modell för värdering av vårt fallföretag.</p><p>Teori: Den teoretiska delen av denna studie består av de värderingsmetoder som beskrivs i den litteratur som finns inom området. Vidare redovisas en del teori i form av tidigare forskning som publicerats i olika vetenskapliga tidskrifter.</p><p>Empiri: Empirin består av två stycken e-postintervjuer med representanter för Nordeas, samt Swedbanks Corporate Finance avdelningar. Vidare har intervjuer genomförts med representanter för fallföretaget. Vi har även tagit del av information från fallföretagets ekonomisystem i form av balans- och resultatrapporter.</p><p>Resultat: Denna studie visar att de lämpligaste värderingsmetoderna att använda vid värdering av ett företag i den specifika situation som vårt fallföretag befinner sig i, är kassaflödesmetoden samt residualvinstmetoden. Vidare visar studien att de vanligast använda värderingsmetoderna är multipelvärdering samt kassaflödesvärdering. Studien visar också att det är väldigt svårt att komma fram till ett exakt värde på ett företag då framtiden är oviss.</p> / <p>When valuing a company there exist various possible valuation methods to use. The reason behind this study is that the authors were contacted by the owners of a company, who where interested to know how much their company would be worth in the case of a possible sale. Specific with this company is that it only has one customer and almost no tangible assets.</p><p>Purpose: The purpose of this study is to make a survey of the different valuation methods that exist and to clarify which one is best suited in this particular case. This will result in a valuation of our case company.</p><p>Method: We have used a qualitative method in the shape of a thorough literary study and an exposition of earlier research in the area of company valuation. Furthermore we have made two interviews by email with representatives from the Corporate Finance departments of Swedbank and Nordea.</p><p>Theory:The theorethical framework of this study involves the different valuation methods that are described in the litterature that exists in the area. We have also shown some theory in the shape of earlier research that has been published in various scientific magazines.</p><p>Empirical foundation: The empirical foundation contains two interviews carried out by email with representatives from the Corporate Finance departments of Swedbank and Nordea. Interviews have also been made with representatives from our case company. The balance sheet and income statement from our case company’s economic system have also been studied.</p><p>Conclusion: This study shows that the most suitable valuation methods for our case company are the Discounted Cash Flow Model and the Residual Income Model. The study also shows that the most commonly used valuation methods are Multiple Valuation and Discounted Cash Flow Valuation. Finally the study shows that it is very difficult to reach one precise value when valuing a company with an uncertain future.</p>

<p>According to earlier research farmer's crop orientation in developing countries mainly depends on farm size, large-scale farmers prefer cash crop while small-scale farmers prefer subsistence crops. The first aim of this study is to see if this hypothesis can be applied on six households in Babati District in rural Tanzania. The second aim is to investigate if other factors than farm size affect crop portfolio choice and the final aim is to see if those crop portfolio models can be improved. A case-study research design and qualitative interviews are used. The primary data is based on a fieldwork that took place from the 18th of February until the 7th of March 2009 in the study area.</p><p>From a theoretical perspective the underlying assumptions of the Marcel Fafchamp's model <em>Crop portfolio choice under multivariate risks </em>is discussed in connection to the result of the study.</p><p>Interviews were made with six households of different farm size. The result of the study indicates that both small-scale and large-scale farmers are using cash crops. The fact that all crops can be used for selling, gives also small-scale farmers in season with higher prices, an opportunity to sell a large share of their crops. It's thereby not possible to state that large-scale farmers devote a larger share of their land for cash crop than small-scale farmers do.</p><p> </p>

<p>The ongoing financial crisis which has upset the financial markets of the world since the late summer of 2007 has not left Swedish corporations unaffected. Strategies which can be adapted within the firm to improve liquidity and cash flows concern the management of working capital and cash management, areas which are usually neglected in times of favourable business conditions.</p><p>In this study it is examined how companies have adjusted their liquidity strategies before the crisis started to spread worldwide and a year afterwards, in the beginning of the 2009 when economies are in the middle of the turbulence, still feeling the consequences of the financial crisis and not yet started to recover. Research problem consisted of two main questions:</p><p><em>Do active liquidity strategies have a positive effect on company’s profitability in times of financial turbulence/ economic turbulence? </em></p><p><em> </em></p><p><em>Have the importance of key ratios in the measurement of liquidity changed during the time period?</em></p><p>The primary purpose of the study was to evaluate and compare the use and extent of the liquidity practices in two time points. Furthermore, the aim was to measure if the changing of liquidity strategy is related to the profitability measured by return on assets (ROA).</p><p>Sample consisted of companies listed on Stockholm Stock Exchange’s Small and Mid cap- lists, with some restrictions. The quantitative research strategy was employed and data was collected by using telephone interviews and financial ratios from financial statements. Hypotheses tested different aspects of cash management and liquidity practices. Statistical analysis was conducted by using regression analysis of the change scores and profitability.</p><p>Overall findings suggested that the adaptation of liquidity strategies do not have a significant impact on ROA. Only increased use of liquidity forecasting and short-term financing during financial crisis had a positive impact on ROA. Moreover, it was found that the importance of the key ratios monitoring companies liquidity have not changed between the studied time points. Working capital ratio is the most commonly used liquidity measurement and in addition the use of working capital and DIO metrics has increased most during the crisis.</p><p>More frequent monitoring and forecasting on liquidity levels and making more short-term investments can provide gains in profitability Based on the findings the adjustment of liquidity practices is beneficial for the companies, even though benefits are not always directly measurable in profitability. Furthermore, companies are recommended to maintain their focus on liquidity and working capital management in an economic downturn.</p><p> </p>

Biofuels have been widely recognized as a potential renewable energy source, and the United States’ government has been interested in producing ethanol from lignocellulosic biomass such as switchgrass. To evaluate whether lignocellulosic biomass based biofuels production is economically feasible, this paper estimated the capital investment outlays, operation costs, and net present value for investment in alternative switchgrass feedstock supply chain configurations in East Tennessee a 25 million gallon per year ethanol biorefinery. Two scenarios are analyzed in the study. The conventional hay harvest scenario includes the production, harvest, storage and transportation of biomass feedstocks from the fields to the biorefinery. The preprocessing scenario added preprocessing facilities into the biomass supply chain. According to various harvest, storage, preprocessing, and harvest equipment options, analysis and comparisons were made among different systems. The capital budgeting model developed in this study generated the optimal feedstock supply chain configurations to determine the largest net present value of cash flow from investment. Results of this study shown that with the Biomass Crop Assistance Program (BCAP) incentives, a round bale system using feedstock stored without tarp on pallets using custom hired equipment had the largest positive net present value. By comparison, if all the harvest equipment is purchased rather than custom hired, the stretch wrap baler preprocessing systems, using switchgrass harvested by a chopper with rotary cutter-header, was found to have a cost advantage over conventional hay harvest logistic systems (large round bale and large square bale systems) and pellet preprocessing systems. Assuming most likely values for switchgrass price and production costs, none of the feed stock supply chain configurations evaluated in this study produced a positive net present value when BCAP subsidies were assumed to not be available. However, without the BCAP incentives and based on combination of optimistic assumption, the round bale system using feedstock stored without tarp on pallets using custom hired equipment still has the largest positive net present value. Without the BCAP incentives, no feedstock supply chain configuration using purchased rather than custom hired equipment generated a positive net present value.

Background: Liquidity and the management of liquidity are of great importance for companies. Cash management is not a new term, but the need for it has increased recently, for one thing because of the internationalisation and growing harmonisation between the countries in Europe. Netting is a cash management technique, where receivables and liabilities are netted. This technique can be used to release capital and increase the company’s cash flow by reducing the number of transactions in the internal payment system. Purpose: The purpose of this thesis is to study and describe the idea of netting, and to examine how netting can be used as a cash management tool. Method: The study is based on literature as well as personal interviews with co- workers at the case company. Result: Netting leads to a reduction in internal payments and hence a reduction of the transaction volume. Some conditions must however be fulfilled in order to make the implementation of this technique profitable. Among other things, the company’s internal transactions must be of considerable proportions.

The long-term external financing of a corporation is satisfied through the bond market where issues of index-linked bonds, which are discussed in this thesis, is one alternative. (Finnerty&amp;Emery 2001) An index- linked bond is a debt instrument where the investor is guaranteed the principal and premium amount in real terms. As the bonds cash flows are indexed to the inflation this implies that the issuer of an index-linked bond assumes an inflation risk. Purpose: The purpose of this thesis is to describe and examine corporate motives for choosing index-linked bonds as way of financing their business. Realization: Primary data was collected through interviews with corporate issuers of non-swapped index-linked bonds. Results: From our research it has been acknowledged that both internal and external factors determine the decision to issue index-linked bonds. The most important internal reason for the issuance was that this type of financing implies matching advantages, which helps lowering the companies’ risks. This is achieved by balancing the size and time of the cash inflows with the cash out- flows. Of the external factors we found that it is primary the financing cost that is of interest. The cost savings are primarily achieved because of the lower liquidity premium demanded when using index-linked bonds as a way of financing the business. We believe that this depends partly on the character of the investors and on market imperfections.

In the first essay, "Why Won't You Forgive Me? Evidence of a Financial Misreporting Stigma in Bank Loan Pricing," we examine the relation between bank loan pricing and intentional financial misreporting. Firms that misreport financial information pay greater spreads on their bank loans for five years following their restatements, whether benchmarked against their pre-restatement loans or similar loans made to matched non-misreporting firms. Misreporting firms that promptly replace certain parties who are potentially related to the misreporting see their spreads fall to benchmark levels within three years following restatement. Large fractions of firms, however, do not promptly replace the potentially related parties and continue to pay premiums over benchmark spread levels for five years following restatement. The results suggest that misreporting creates a long-lasting and costly stigma, but that certain actions can reduce the duration of the stigma. In the second essay, "Can Shareholder-Creditor Conflicts Explain Weak Governance? Evidence from the Value of Cash Holdings," we look into whether shareholder-creditor conflicts generate costs large enough to prevent improvements in governance. If firms choose to remain weakly governed, some cost must prevent improvements. We address our research question by estimating the value of cash as a function of governance, leverage, and the interaction of the two. We find that governance increases the value of cash, but that leverage reduces the gain from strong governance. However, the magnitudes are far too small to explain why weak governance firms remain weakly governed. Our estimates suggest more than 80 percent of weakly governed firms would increase the value of their cash by improving governance. In fact, half of weakly governed firms would increase the value of their cash holdings by $0.35 or more per dollar held by improving governance. Our focus on cash holdings does not seem to drive our results, nor do endogenous governance choices or nonlinearities reverse our conclusions.