Current rates of extinctions are estimated to be around 1000 times higher than background rates that would occur without anthropogenic impacts. These extinction rates refer to the traditional view of extinctions, i.e. numerical extinctions. This thesis is about another type of extinctions: functional extinctions. Those occur when the abundance of a species is too small to uphold the species’ ecologically interactive role. I have taken a theoretical approach and used dynamical models to investigate functional extinctions and threshold values for species’ mortality rates in ecological networks. More specifically, I have derived threshold values for focal species mortality rates at which another species or the focal species itself goes numerically extinct (Paper I-II), or transgresses some predefined threshold abundance (Paper III). If an increased mortality rate of a focal species causes another species to go numerically extinct, the focal species can be regarded as functionally extinct, since its abundance is no longer large enough to uphold its ecologically interactive role. Such functional extinctions are investigated in the first papers (Paper I-II). In the following paper, limits for both increased and decreased mortality rates of species are explored (Paper III). Paper III also extends the basic theoretical idea developed in paper I-II into a more applied setting. In this paper I develop a time series approach aimed at estimating fishing mortalities associated with a low risk that any species in a community transgresses some predefined critical abundance threshold. In the last paper (Paper IV) the community wide effect of changes in the abundance of species is investigated. In the first paper (Paper I) I investigate threshold levels for the mortality rate of species in ecological networks. When an increased mortality rate of a focal species causes another species to go extinct, the focal species can be characterized as functional extinct, even though it still exists. Such functional extinctions have been observed in a few systems, but their frequency and general patterns have been unexplored. Using a new analytical method the patterns and frequency of functional extinctions in theoretical and empirical ecological networks are explored. It is found that the species most likely to be the first to go extinct is not the species whose mortality rate is increased, but instead another species in the network. The species which goes extinct is often not even directly linked to the species whose mortality rate is increased, but instead indirectly linked. Further, it is found that large-bodied species at the top of food chains can only be exposed to small increases in mortality rate and small decreases in abundance before going functionally extinct compared to small-bodied species lower in the food chains. These results illustrate the potential importance of functional extinctions in ecological networks and lend support to arguments advocating a more community-oriented approach in conservation biology, with target levels for populations based on ecological functionality rather than the mere persistence of species. In Paper II I use the approach developed in Paper I to explore the frequency and patterns of functional extinctions in ecological networks with varying proportions of mutualistic and antagonistic (predator-prey) interactions. The general results from Paper I are also found in Paper II; that is, an increased mortality rate of one focal species often first leads to an extinction of another species rather than to an extinction of the focal species itself. Further, the frequency of functional extinctions is higher in networks containing a mixture of interaction types than in networks with only antagonistic interactions. Overall, this study generalize the findings of paper I for networks containing a variety of interaction types. To make the theoretical approaches developed in paper I-II operational in a management setting I develop a time series approach aimed at estimating ecologically sustainable fishing mortalities in a multispecies fisheries context (Paper III). An ecologically sustainable fishing mortality is here defined as a long-term fishing mortality associated with a multispecies objective which infers a low risk that any species, either the focal species itself or another species, in a community transgresses a critical biomass limit, below which the risk of recruitment failure is high. The approach is exemplified using a statistical food web model of the dominating fish stocks in the Baltic Sea. For the most abundant fish stock a counterintuitive result is found; it is more likely that the multispecies objective is met if its mortality caused by fishing is increased compared to if it is decreased. Further, simultaneous changes of the fishing mortality of a number of interacting species in the food web model shows a much narrower region of possible sustainable fishing mortalities than a single species approach, something that is not captured by current stock assessment models. Altogether these results are governed by indirect effects propagating in the community and pinpoints the need to adopt community dynamical approaches in fisheries management. The population sizes of many species in the world are declining. Negative population trends are particular pronounced in large-bodied herbivores and carnivores, species known to play important regulatory roles in many ecosystems. Although this indicates that the ecological consequence of declining populations of species might be profound, its impact on ecosystem stability remains largely unexplored. In paper IV it is therefore explored how declining populations of rare and common species affects the resilience – recovery rate – of ecological networks. An analytical approximation shows that network resilience is a function of the harmonic mean of the species’ abundances. This means that network resilience is especially sensitive to declining abundances of rare species. Consistent with this analytically derived result, a clear and positive relationship between resilience and the abundance of the rarest species in a broad spectrum of dynamical models of ecological networks is found. Together these results illustrate the potentially negative consequences of declining populations of rare species for the stability of the ecological systems in which they are embedded, and provide ecological arguments for the protection and management of rare species.

No description available.

Large Igneous Provinces (LIPs) represent geologically rapid emplacements of vast quantities of igneous material into/onto Earth's crust. There is a marked correlation in the known ages of LIPs and Mesozoic extinctions and other environmental perturbations, suggesting a possible causal link between these events. However, uncertainties in matching LIP basalt ages to the stratigraphic record of Mesozoic events mean that a sedimentary tracer of volcanism would better indicate a precise coincidence between the two phenomena. Mercury (Hg) has shown potential as such a proxy. Volcanism is a major source of Hg to the natural environment, and its relatively long atmospheric residence time (0.5–2 years) allows global distribution of the element before it is deposited to sediments. However, questions remain about how the manner of LIP emplacement might influence its impact on the Hg cycle, as well as how sedimentary processes may locally overprint any global signal. Here, the Hg records of three Mesozoic events are investigated: the end-Triassic extinction (TJ: ~201.5 Ma), Cretaceous Oceanic Anoxic Event 2 (OAE 2: ~94 Ma), and the latest Cretaceous (K–Pg: ~67–66 Ma). These events coincided with markedly different LIPs: OAE 2 with multiple submarine LIPs; the K–Pg and TJ with subaerial LIPs; with the TJ also featuring release of additional thermogenic volatiles from intrusion of organic-rich lithologies by LIP sills. Additionally, mercury is used with osmium and carbon isotopes to study the temporal relationships between volcanism, weathering, and the carbon cycle during the Toarcian Oceanic Anoxic Event (~183 Ma). This work highlights the links between LIP volcanism and other surface processes, and shows that subaerial LIPs featuring thermogenic emissions are most likely to perturb the global Hg cycle, with the record of such perturbations dependent on the nature of the sedimentary archive.

L’impact actuel de l’Homme sur la biosphère affecte l’ensemble des organismes vivants et des milieux. Il est souvent considéré comme étant à l’origine de la 6ème crise d’extinction de masse. La quantification des effets de ce phénomène est cependant complexe car certains ont débuté bien avant que les scientifiques ne s’intéressent à ces questions et ne produisent des données de référence. Ce problème est tout particulièrement manifeste dans les milieux les plus fragiles, telles que les îles, dont les écosystèmes ont pu être bouleversés par l’Homme de manière très rapide et cela avant que leur biodiversité n’ait été documentée. Dans ce cas, les ossements fossiles s’avèrent être les uniques vestiges témoignant de l’existence passée de faunes parfois éteintes. Ils deviennent donc l’unique fenêtre permettant d’entrevoir la biodiversité ancienne de ces milieux. Mon travail de thèse se questionne sur la biodiversité passée au sein de l’archipel de la Guadeloupe (Antilles françaises) à travers l’exemple des reptiles squamates (lézards et serpents). L’étude de près de 40 000 ossements issus de 31 sites archéologiques et paléontologiques datant de la fin du Pléistocène (30 000 B.P.) à nos jours, a permis de mettre en évidence l’évolution de la diversité de ces vertébrés dans le temps ainsi que de leurs relations avec les différentes populations humaines. Ces résultats ont été obtenus grâce à l’utilisation de diverses méthodes (anatomie comparée, morphométries traditionnelle et géométrique, paléohistologie et archéozoologie, récits des premiers voyageurs) et grâce au développement d’approches méthodologiques spécifiques aux squamates. Les données obtenues font état de l’impact limité sur les faunes par les populations humaines amérindiennes ayant occupé la Guadeloupe pendant plus de 4000 ans jusqu’au 17éme siècle. En effet, bien qu’ayant chassé certains squamates (iguanes et améives) et probablement participé à un enrichissement de la faune, les Amérindiens ne semblent pas avoir contribué à appauvrir la biodiversité des squamates guadeloupéens. En revanche, les données fossiles plus récentes démontrent un fort impact sur les faunes de squamates exercé par les populations européennes qui colonisent ces îles à partir du XVIIème siècle. L’effet de cette seconde vague de colonisation se manifeste par la transformation morphologique de certains taxons (réduction de taille, réduction de variabilité morphologique) et par une série d’extinctions totales ou partielles d’espèces (restriction d’aire géographique). Ainsi, le taux d’extinction des squamates de Guadeloupe est estimé entre 47 et 56% depuis 300 ans. Cette vague d’extinctions s’oppose à l’apparente stabilité de la faune des squamates que révèle le registre fossile du Pléistocène et de la première moitié de l’Holocène. Ces résultats démontrent l’intérêt de l’étude minutieuse des faunes fossiles récentes pour une meilleure compréhension de l’impact de l’Homme sur son milieu au cours du temps, un domaine encore relativement peu développé, tout particulièrement pour ce qui concerne les squamates. / Current human impact on the biosphere affects all living organisms and environments. This global phenomenon is often considered as the origin of the 6th mass earth extinction crisis. Yet, the quantification of the effects of this crisis can be problematic because it started long before scientists started to investigate it and to produce reference data. This issue is especially obvious in fragile ecosystems, like islands, which environments could have been quickly modified in relation with anthropogenic phenomena before their biodiversity can have been described. In this case, fossil bones are often the sole remaining remains of past ecosystems and the only possibility to study them. My PhD work is interested in squamate (snakes and lizards) past biodiversity of the Guadeloupe Islands (French West Indies). I studied more than 40 000 fossil bones of squamates from 31 archaeological and paleontological deposits dated from Late Pleistocene (40 000 B. P.) to nowadays. My study reveals the evolution of the diversity of these reptiles along with their relations with past human populations. The results are obtained using several methods (comparative anatomy, traditional and geometric morphometrics, paleohistology and zooarchaeology) and thanks to new methodological tools I developed dedicated to the study of squamate bone remains. My results show the limited impact on squamate faunas of Amerindian human populations who inhabited Guadeloupe islands during more than 4 000 years. Indeed, although these populations seem to have hunted some squamates (iguanas and ameivas) and slightly contributed to enrich squamate diversity, they do not seem to be the cause of any extinction event. At the opposite, European populations who colonized Guadeloupe Islands since the XVIIth century strongly impacted the native squamate biodiversity. These effects take the forms of morphological modification of some taxa (size reduction, reduction of morphological variability) and partial (decrease of geographic distribution) or total extinction of many taxa. Indeed, the extinction rate of squamates species in Guadeloupe during the last 300 years is estimated between 47 and 56%. This recent mass extinction phenomenon strongly contrasts with the apparent stability of the squamate diversity between Pleistocene and the first half of Holocene revealed by fossil data. These results show the interest of studying late quaternary fossil faunas to better understand the impact of Human on its environment, a field of research still largely underdeveloped especially concerning squamates.

A dispersão de sementes por vertebrados é um processo ecológico muito importante para a manutenção da biodiversidade, especialmente nas regiões tropicais. Estas interações mutualistas podem ser rompidas devido à caça e a perda e fragmentação de habitats, na medida em que estas ameaças podem levar os parceiros mutualistas à extinção. No presente trabalho, buscamos entender as consequências de possíveis extinções de aves frugívoras sobre a organização de sistemas de dispersão de sementes na floresta Atlântica brasileira. Primeiro, nós caracterizamos o papel que cada uma das espécies desempenha em estruturar as redes de interação de que fazem parte. Em seguida, investigamos possíveis correlatos biológicos deste papel estrutural e vimos que as plantas com sementes pequenas e com períodos de frutificação extensos tendem a ser estruturalmente mais importantes. Por outro lado, características morfológicas (tamanho do bico e massa corpórea) e ecológicas (abundância e grau de frugivoria) não se mostraram relevantes em explicar o papel das aves nas redes de dispersão de sementes. O risco de extinção, no entanto, está associado ao papel estrutural das espécies de aves, de tal modo que aves mais ameaçadas tendem a ser mais importantes para a estrutura das redes. Estes resultados indicam que a perda de espécies ameaçadas pode ter consequências para a organização dos sistemas de dispersão de sementes de que fazem parte. Em um capítulo posterior, buscamos entender como os sistemas de dispersão de sementes responderiam a crescentes perdas de habitat. Com base em dados empíricos, estimamos uma sequência de extinções de aves decorrentes da perda de habitat na floresta Atlântica. Simulamos esta sequência de extinções em redes de dispersão de sementes provenientes de uma área protegida, avaliando os impactos de tais remoções de espécies sobre a organização das interações. Nossos resultados sugerem relativa robustez das redes de dispersão de sementes à remoção de espécies decorrente da perda de habitat. Por outro lado, a estrutura das redes parece colapsar quando a porcentagem de habitat é reduzida a menos de 30% da paisagem. É possível que um limiar de riqueza de espécies gere também um limiar na resposta da estrutura das redes à perda de habitat. Por fim, em um capítulo de perspectivas sobre os impactos da defaunação, avaliamos a importância de grandes vertebrados frugívoros como dispersores de sementes. Sugerimos que a inclusão de aspectos da história natural dos grandes frugívoros na abordagem de redes complexas pode trazer novas contribuições e permitir avanços nos estudos que investigam como esses dispersores podem influenciar a dinâmica das comunidades de plantas. Considerando o conjunto de resultados apresentados nesta tese, ilustramos como a abordagem de redes pode ser útil ao se estudar sistemas com muitos elementos, como é o caso da dispersão de sementes. Contribuímos para um melhor entendimento dos aspectos da biologia das espécies que influenciam a posição que ocupam dentro das redes de dispersão de sementes. Ademais, procuramos combinar princípios da ecologia de paisagens e análises de redes complexas para entender as consequências da perda de habitat sobre a organização de sistemas de dispersão de sementes / Seed dispersal by vertebrates is a key ecological process for biodiversity maintenance, particularly in tropical regions. These mutualistic interactions can be disrupted due to hunting and habitat loss and fragmentation, threats that may lead mutualistic partners to extinction. In the present work, we seek to understand the consequences of possible extinctions of frugivorous birds on the organization of seed dispersal systems in the Brazilian Atlantic forest. First, we described the role each species plays in structuring the interaction networks they are part of. Then, we investigated potential biological correlates of these structural roles and we found that plants with small seeds and long fruiting periods tend to be more important to network structure. On the other hand, morphological traits (bill size and body mass) and ecological traits (abundance and degree of frugivory) were not relevant to explain the role bird species play in seed dispersal networks. Extinction risk, however, is associated with the structural role of bird species, so that higher-risk species tend to me more important for network structure. Our results suggest that the loss of higher-risk bird species may affect the organization of seed dispersal systems. In a later chapter, we seek to understand how seed dispersal systems would respond to increasing habitat loss. Based on empirical data, we estimated a sequence of bird species extinctions following habitat loss in the Atlantic forest. We simulated that sequence of extinctions in seed dispersal networks from a protected area, evaluating the impacts of such species deletions on the organization of interactions. Our results point out relative robustness of seed dispersal networks to removal of species due to habitat loss. On the other hand, the structure of the networks seems to collapse when the percentage of habitat cover shrinks to less than 30% of the landscape. It is possible that a threshold in species richness creates a threshold in network structure response to habitat loss. Finally, in a chapter of perspectives on the impacts of defaunation, we evaluated the importance of large frugivorous vertebrates as seed dispersers. We suggest that the inclusion of aspects of the natural history of large frugivores in complex networks may allow new insights and advances in studies investigating how these seed dispersers can influence the dynamics of plant communities. Considering the overall results presented in this work, we illustrate how the network approach can be useful when studying systems with many components, such as seed dispersal. We contribute to a better understanding of the biological aspects that affect the position species occupy within seed dispersal networks. Furthermore, we combined principles from landscape ecology and analysis of complex networks to understand the consequences of habitat loss on the organization of seed dispersal systems

No description available.

<p>Global climate change can cause shifts in species distributions, and increases in some of their competitors, predators, and diseases that might even cause their extinction. Species may respond to a warming climate by moving to higher latitudes or elevations. Shifts in geographic ranges are common responses in temperate regions. For the tropics, latitudinal temperature gradients are shallow: the only escape for species may be to move to higher elevations. There are few data to suggest that they do, and our understanding of the process is still very limited. Yet, the greatest loss of species from climate disruption may be for tropical montane species. To better understand the potential process of elevational range shifts in the tropics and their implications we have to: 1) Build theoretical models for the process of range shifting, 2) Evaluate potential constraints that species could face while moving to higher elevations, 3) Obtain empirical evidence confirming the uphill shift of species ranges, 4) Determine the number of extinctions that could arise from elevational range shifts (mountain top extinctions) and 5) Identify vulnerable species and areas, and determine their representation by the Protected Areas Network. The purpose of this dissertation is to address these issues, by applying novel methods and collecting empirical evidence. </p><p>In the second chapter I incorporated temperature gradients and land-cover data from the current ranges of species in a model of range shifts in response to climate change. I tested 4 possible scenarios of amphibian movement on a tropical mountain and estimated the constraints to range shifts imposed by each scenario. Confirming the occurrence of elevational range shifts with empirical data is also essential, but requires historical data as a baseline for comparison. I repeated a historical transect in Peru, sampling birds at the same locations they were sampled 40 years ago, and compared their elevational ranges between sampling occasions to evaluate if they were moving uphill as a response to warming temperatures. Finally, based on the results from this comparison, I estimated the potential extinctions derived from elevational range shifts, using information on the species distribution, the topography and land cover within the ranges and surrounding areas. I evaluated the extent of mountain top extinctions for 172 bird species with restricted ranges in the northern Andes. I also considered how Colombia's protected Area Network represents species and sites that are vulnerable in the face of climate change.</p><p>More than 30% of the range of 21 of 46 amphibian species in the tropical Sierra Nevada de Santa Marta is likely to become isolated as climate changes. More than 30% of the range of 13 amphibian species would shift to areas that currently are unlikely to sustain survival and reproduction. Combined, over 70% of the current range of 7 species would become thermally isolated or shift to areas that currently are unlikely to support survival and reproduction. The constraints on species' movements to higher elevations in response to climate change can increase considerably the number of species threatened by climate change in tropical mountains.</p><p>In the comparison of bird distributions in the Cerrros del Sira, in Peru, I found an average upward shift of 49 m for 55 bird species over a 41 year interval. This shift is significantly upward, but also significantly smaller than the 152 m one expects from warming in the region. The range shifts in elevation were similar across different trophic guilds. Endothermy may provide birds with some flexibility to temperature changes and allow them to move less than expected. Instead of being directly dependent on temperature, birds may be responding to gradual changes in the nature of the habitat or availability of food resources, and presence of competitors. If so, this has important implications for estimates of mountaintop extinctions from climate change. </p><p>The estimated number of mountain top extinctions from climate disruption in the northern Andes is low, both the absolute number (5 species) and the relative number (less than 0.5% of Colombian land birds). According to future climate predictions these extinctions will not likely occur in this century. The extent of species loss in the Andes is not predicted by absolute mountaintop extinctions modeled by the kind of processes most other studies use. Rather, it is highly contingent -- the species will survive or not depending on how well we protect their much reduced ranges from the variety of other threats.</p> / Dissertation

A dispersão de sementes por vertebrados é um processo ecológico muito importante para a manutenção da biodiversidade, especialmente nas regiões tropicais. Estas interações mutualistas podem ser rompidas devido à caça e a perda e fragmentação de habitats, na medida em que estas ameaças podem levar os parceiros mutualistas à extinção. No presente trabalho, buscamos entender as consequências de possíveis extinções de aves frugívoras sobre a organização de sistemas de dispersão de sementes na floresta Atlântica brasileira. Primeiro, nós caracterizamos o papel que cada uma das espécies desempenha em estruturar as redes de interação de que fazem parte. Em seguida, investigamos possíveis correlatos biológicos deste papel estrutural e vimos que as plantas com sementes pequenas e com períodos de frutificação extensos tendem a ser estruturalmente mais importantes. Por outro lado, características morfológicas (tamanho do bico e massa corpórea) e ecológicas (abundância e grau de frugivoria) não se mostraram relevantes em explicar o papel das aves nas redes de dispersão de sementes. O risco de extinção, no entanto, está associado ao papel estrutural das espécies de aves, de tal modo que aves mais ameaçadas tendem a ser mais importantes para a estrutura das redes. Estes resultados indicam que a perda de espécies ameaçadas pode ter consequências para a organização dos sistemas de dispersão de sementes de que fazem parte. Em um capítulo posterior, buscamos entender como os sistemas de dispersão de sementes responderiam a crescentes perdas de habitat. Com base em dados empíricos, estimamos uma sequência de extinções de aves decorrentes da perda de habitat na floresta Atlântica. Simulamos esta sequência de extinções em redes de dispersão de sementes provenientes de uma área protegida, avaliando os impactos de tais remoções de espécies sobre a organização das interações. Nossos resultados sugerem relativa robustez das redes de dispersão de sementes à remoção de espécies decorrente da perda de habitat. Por outro lado, a estrutura das redes parece colapsar quando a porcentagem de habitat é reduzida a menos de 30% da paisagem. É possível que um limiar de riqueza de espécies gere também um limiar na resposta da estrutura das redes à perda de habitat. Por fim, em um capítulo de perspectivas sobre os impactos da defaunação, avaliamos a importância de grandes vertebrados frugívoros como dispersores de sementes. Sugerimos que a inclusão de aspectos da história natural dos grandes frugívoros na abordagem de redes complexas pode trazer novas contribuições e permitir avanços nos estudos que investigam como esses dispersores podem influenciar a dinâmica das comunidades de plantas. Considerando o conjunto de resultados apresentados nesta tese, ilustramos como a abordagem de redes pode ser útil ao se estudar sistemas com muitos elementos, como é o caso da dispersão de sementes. Contribuímos para um melhor entendimento dos aspectos da biologia das espécies que influenciam a posição que ocupam dentro das redes de dispersão de sementes. Ademais, procuramos combinar princípios da ecologia de paisagens e análises de redes complexas para entender as consequências da perda de habitat sobre a organização de sistemas de dispersão de sementes / Seed dispersal by vertebrates is a key ecological process for biodiversity maintenance, particularly in tropical regions. These mutualistic interactions can be disrupted due to hunting and habitat loss and fragmentation, threats that may lead mutualistic partners to extinction. In the present work, we seek to understand the consequences of possible extinctions of frugivorous birds on the organization of seed dispersal systems in the Brazilian Atlantic forest. First, we described the role each species plays in structuring the interaction networks they are part of. Then, we investigated potential biological correlates of these structural roles and we found that plants with small seeds and long fruiting periods tend to be more important to network structure. On the other hand, morphological traits (bill size and body mass) and ecological traits (abundance and degree of frugivory) were not relevant to explain the role bird species play in seed dispersal networks. Extinction risk, however, is associated with the structural role of bird species, so that higher-risk species tend to me more important for network structure. Our results suggest that the loss of higher-risk bird species may affect the organization of seed dispersal systems. In a later chapter, we seek to understand how seed dispersal systems would respond to increasing habitat loss. Based on empirical data, we estimated a sequence of bird species extinctions following habitat loss in the Atlantic forest. We simulated that sequence of extinctions in seed dispersal networks from a protected area, evaluating the impacts of such species deletions on the organization of interactions. Our results point out relative robustness of seed dispersal networks to removal of species due to habitat loss. On the other hand, the structure of the networks seems to collapse when the percentage of habitat cover shrinks to less than 30% of the landscape. It is possible that a threshold in species richness creates a threshold in network structure response to habitat loss. Finally, in a chapter of perspectives on the impacts of defaunation, we evaluated the importance of large frugivorous vertebrates as seed dispersers. We suggest that the inclusion of aspects of the natural history of large frugivores in complex networks may allow new insights and advances in studies investigating how these seed dispersers can influence the dynamics of plant communities. Considering the overall results presented in this work, we illustrate how the network approach can be useful when studying systems with many components, such as seed dispersal. We contribute to a better understanding of the biological aspects that affect the position species occupy within seed dispersal networks. Furthermore, we combined principles from landscape ecology and analysis of complex networks to understand the consequences of habitat loss on the organization of seed dispersal systems

Throughout history species has gone extinct due to anthropogenic activities. During the last century efforts have been done to reintroduce species back into the wild. Zoos that originally were created as amusement parks for people have today a new purpose; to keep and breed species in captivity for later reintroductions in the wild. However a relaxed environment such as a zoo leads to a general fitness decline of up to 40% per generation in captivity. The probability of a successful reintroduction of a species that has been bred in a zoo will be lower the longer time it has been kept in captivity. The reintroduction of a captive bred species can also cause secondary extinctions and other negative effects on the food-web. Both changes in the community caused by the loss of a species and changes in the species itself caused by captivity can be expected to affect the outcome of a reintroduction attempt. Using a modeling approach I here investigate how the reintroduction of a captive bred species (at three different trophic levels; basal, intermediate and top predator species) affects a food-web and what risks there are in reintroducing it. A Lokta-Volterra model with type II functional response is used. I investigate three scenarios: the reintroduction of a species with 0% change in its attributes, 40% change in its attributes and 75% change in its attributes. It was found that the most important factor for reintroduction success when reintroducing a species is whether it is a producer species (basal species) or a consumer species (intermediate and top predator species). The producer species were most sensitive to the changes in their attributes, whilst consumer species were more sensitive to change in the food-web (Euclidian distance). The producer species were found to cause most secondary extinctions in all scenarios, hence indicating that it is a bottom-up controlled food-web. The present study suggests that the success of a reintroduction attempt is affected both by the degree of changes in the food web caused by the initial loss of the species and the degree of change in the species itself caused by captivity.

Aim: Identifying how climate change, habitat loss, and corridors interact to influence species survival or extinction is critical to understanding macro-scale biodiversity dynamics under changing environments. In North America, the ice-free corridor was the only major pathway for northward migration by megafaunal species during the last deglaciation. However, the timing and interplay among the late Quaternary megafaunal extinctions, climate change, habitat structure, and the opening and reforestation of the ice-free corridor have been unclear. Location: North America. Time period: 15–10 ka. Major taxa studied: Woolly mammoth (Mammuthus primigenius). Methods: For central North America and the ice-free corridor between 15 and 10 ka, we used a series of models and continental-scale datasets to reconstruct habitat characteristics and assess habitat suitability. The models and datasets include biophysical and statistical niche models Niche Mapper and Maxent, downscaled climate simulations from CCSM3 SynTraCE, LPJ-GUESS simulations of net primary productivity (NPP) and woody cover, and woody cover based upon fossil pollen from Neotoma. Results: The ice-free corridor may have been of limited suitability for traversal by mammoths and other grazers due to persistently low productivity by herbaceous plants and quick reforestation after opening 14 ka. Simultaneously, rapid reforestation and decreased forage productivity may have led to declining habitat suitability in central North America. This was possibly amplified by a positive feedback loop driven by reduced herbivory pressures, as mammoth population decline led to the further loss of open habitat. Main conclusions: Declining habitat availability south of the Laurentide Ice Sheet and limited habitat availability in the ice-free corridor were contributing factors in North American extinctions of woolly mammoths and other large grazers that likely operated synergistically with anthropogenic pressures. The role of habitat loss and attenuated corridor suitability for the woolly mammoth extinction reinforce the critical importance of protected habitat connectivity during changing climates, particularly for large vertebrates.