As alterações das paisagens promovidas pelo homem, em razão das atividades relacionadas ao uso e ocupação do solo, representam um desafio para as atividades de controle da malária na Amazônia brasileira. Desse modo, buscou-se avaliar o sistema ecológico da malária através da construção de três eixos: desmatamento, uso do solo e diversidade de Culicidae. Esses eixos tiveram a paisagem como centro de conexão, modulados por fatores de pressão (hospedeiro humano), de risco (o vetor) e de causa (o agente infeccioso). A transmissão de patógenos, incluindo espécies de Plasmodium, ocorre na intersecção entre os nichos do hospedeiro humano, dos vetores e dos parasitos, em ambiente que permite a interconexão dos mesmos. Nesse sentido, verificou-se que cada quilômetro quadrado de área impactada pelo desmatamento, entre 2009-2015, produziu 27 novos casos de malária (r² = 0,78; F1,10 = 35,81; P <0,001) na Amazônia Legal brasileira, com uma correlação positiva altamente significativa entre o número de áreas de florestas impactadas com menos de 5 km² e a incidência da doença. Em virtude das relações indiretas com o desmatamento, foi possível verificar que o aumento da produção de soja, madeira, gado e óleo de palma no mundo apresentou alta correlação positiva significativa com a incidência de malária em países tropicais. No cenário brasileiro, a abundância de Nyssorhynchus darlingi respondeu positivamente à perda da cobertura florestal de áreas endêmicas de malária. Ao contrário, a diversidade de Culicidae diminuiu, deixando os vetores como espécies dominantes, favorecendo a taxa de picada e a capacidade de transmissão do Plasmodium. Desse modo, foi possível concluir que a incidência da doença, em áreas rurais, está fortemente associada aos padrões de uso e ocupação do solo. A estrutura da paisagem pode ser indicador de risco para a doença, em virtude das dinâmicas ecológicas do Ny. darlingi. / Changes in the landscapes caused by humans, due to the activities related to the use and occupation of the soil, represent a challenge for malaria control activities in the Brazilian Amazon. Therefore, we evaluated the ecological system of malaria in relation to the construction of three drivers: deforestation, land use and Culicidae diversity. These drivers had in common the landscape, modulated by factors of pressure (human host), risk (the vector) and necessary cause (the infectious agent). The transmission of pathogens, including species of Plasmodium, occurs at the intersection among niches of the human host, the vectors and the parasites, in an environment that allows the interconnection of these organisms. The data analyzed herein verified that every square kilometer of area impacted by deforestation between 2009-2015 produced 27 new cases of malaria (r² = 0.78, F1.10 = 35.81, P <0.001) in the Brazilian Legal Amazon, with a highly significant positive correlation between the number of forest areas with impacted less than 5 km² and the incidence of the disease. Due to the indirect relationship with deforestation, it was possible to verify that the increase in the production of soybean, wood, cattle and palm oil worldwide showed a significant positive correlation with the incidence of malaria in tropical countries. In the Brazilian scenario, the abundance of Nyssorhynchus darlingi responded positively to the loss of forest cover of endemic areas of malaria. In opposite, the Culicidae diversity decreased, leaving vectors as dominant species, favoring the biting rate and the capacity to Plasmodium transmission. Thus, it was possible to conclude that the incidence of the disease in rural areas is strongly associated with the patterns of land use and occupation. The structure of the landscape can be an indicator of risk for the disease, due to the ecological dynamics of the Ny. darlingi.

As alterações das paisagens promovidas pelo homem, em razão das atividades relacionadas ao uso e ocupação do solo, representam um desafio para as atividades de controle da malária na Amazônia brasileira. Desse modo, buscou-se avaliar o sistema ecológico da malária através da construção de três eixos: desmatamento, uso do solo e diversidade de Culicidae. Esses eixos tiveram a paisagem como centro de conexão, modulados por fatores de pressão (hospedeiro humano), de risco (o vetor) e de causa (o agente infeccioso). A transmissão de patógenos, incluindo espécies de Plasmodium, ocorre na intersecção entre os nichos do hospedeiro humano, dos vetores e dos parasitos, em ambiente que permite a interconexão dos mesmos. Nesse sentido, verificou-se que cada quilômetro quadrado de área impactada pelo desmatamento, entre 2009-2015, produziu 27 novos casos de malária (r² = 0,78; F1,10 = 35,81; P <0,001) na Amazônia Legal brasileira, com uma correlação positiva altamente significativa entre o número de áreas de florestas impactadas com menos de 5 km² e a incidência da doença. Em virtude das relações indiretas com o desmatamento, foi possível verificar que o aumento da produção de soja, madeira, gado e óleo de palma no mundo apresentou alta correlação positiva significativa com a incidência de malária em países tropicais. No cenário brasileiro, a abundância de Nyssorhynchus darlingi respondeu positivamente à perda da cobertura florestal de áreas endêmicas de malária. Ao contrário, a diversidade de Culicidae diminuiu, deixando os vetores como espécies dominantes, favorecendo a taxa de picada e a capacidade de transmissão do Plasmodium. Desse modo, foi possível concluir que a incidência da doença, em áreas rurais, está fortemente associada aos padrões de uso e ocupação do solo. A estrutura da paisagem pode ser indicador de risco para a doença, em virtude das dinâmicas ecológicas do Ny. darlingi. / Changes in the landscapes caused by humans, due to the activities related to the use and occupation of the soil, represent a challenge for malaria control activities in the Brazilian Amazon. Therefore, we evaluated the ecological system of malaria in relation to the construction of three drivers: deforestation, land use and Culicidae diversity. These drivers had in common the landscape, modulated by factors of pressure (human host), risk (the vector) and necessary cause (the infectious agent). The transmission of pathogens, including species of Plasmodium, occurs at the intersection among niches of the human host, the vectors and the parasites, in an environment that allows the interconnection of these organisms. The data analyzed herein verified that every square kilometer of area impacted by deforestation between 2009-2015 produced 27 new cases of malaria (r² = 0.78, F1.10 = 35.81, P <0.001) in the Brazilian Legal Amazon, with a highly significant positive correlation between the number of forest areas with impacted less than 5 km² and the incidence of the disease. Due to the indirect relationship with deforestation, it was possible to verify that the increase in the production of soybean, wood, cattle and palm oil worldwide showed a significant positive correlation with the incidence of malaria in tropical countries. In the Brazilian scenario, the abundance of Nyssorhynchus darlingi responded positively to the loss of forest cover of endemic areas of malaria. In opposite, the Culicidae diversity decreased, leaving vectors as dominant species, favoring the biting rate and the capacity to Plasmodium transmission. Thus, it was possible to conclude that the incidence of the disease in rural areas is strongly associated with the patterns of land use and occupation. The structure of the landscape can be an indicator of risk for the disease, due to the ecological dynamics of the Ny. darlingi.

No / Sustainability is a triad including techno-economic efficiency, compatibility with the “Planetary Boundaries”, and equity - enabling a decent quality of life for all. Circular Economy models often focus only on closing material flows in order to increase economic activity or market share. This overlooks the equity dimension. Here we focus on the Performance Economy, which extends the Circular Economy in ways that can enhance equity. The Performance Economy model concentrates on making best use of stocks in the economy, including labour which is a renewable resource. Extending product life through re-use, remanufacturing and reprocessing and shifting from non-renewable inputs (including energy) to renewable inputs (including labour) can improve resource efficiency and increase the supply of rewarding employment. The Performance Economy requires changes in business practices more than technological innovation, including a different view of the functions of value chains, and can be promoted by different approaches to taxation.

<p>Modern food production is a complex, globalized system in which what we eat and how it is produced are increasingly disconnected. This thesis examines some of the ways in which global trade has changed the mix of inputs to food and feed, and how this affects food security and our perceptions of sustainability. One useful indicator of the ecological impact of trade in food and feed products is the Appropriated Ecosystem Areas (ArEAs), which estimates the terrestrial and aquatic areas needed to produce all the inputs to particular products.</p><p>The method is introduced in Paper I and used to calculate and track changes in imported subsidies to Swedish agriculture over the period 1962-1994. In 1994, Swedish consumers needed agricultural areas outside their national borders to satisfy more than a third of their food consumption needs. The method is then applied to Swedish meat production in Paper II to show that the term “Made in Sweden” is often a misnomer. In 1999, almost 80% of manufactured feed for Swedish pigs, cattle and chickens was dependent on imported inputs, mainly from Europe, Southeast Asia and South America. Paper III examines ecosystem subsidies to intensive aquaculture in two nations: shrimp production in Thailand and salmon production in Norway. In both countries, aquaculture was shown to rely increasingly on imported subsidies. The rapid expansion of aquaculture turned these countries from fishmeal net exporters to fishmeal net importers, increasingly using inputs from the Southeastern Pacific Ocean.</p><p>As the examined agricultural and aquacultural production systems became globalized, levels of dependence on other nations’ ecosystems, the number of external supply sources, and the distance to these sources steadily increased. Dependence on other nations is not problematic, as long as we are able to acknowledge these links and sustainably manage resources both at home and abroad. However, ecosystem subsidies are seldom recognized or made explicit in national policy or economic accounts. Economic systems are generally not designed to receive feedbacks when the status of remote ecosystems changes, much less to respond in an ecologically sensitive manner. Papers IV and V discuss the problem of “masking” of the true environmental costs of production for trade. One of our conclusions is that, while the ArEAs approach is a useful tool for illuminating environmentally-based subsidies in the policy arena, it does not reflect all of the costs. Current agricultural and aquacultural production methods have generated substantial increases in production levels, but if policy continues to support the focus on yield and production increases alone, taking the work of ecosystems for granted, vulnerability can result. Thus, a challenge is to develop a set of complementary tools that can be used in economic accounting at national and international scales that address ecosystem support and performance.</p><p>We conclude that future resilience in food production systems will require more explicit links between consumers and the work of supporting ecosystems, locally and in other regions of the world, and that food security planning will require active management of the capacity of all involved ecosystems to sustain food production.</p>

Modern food production is a complex, globalized system in which what we eat and how it is produced are increasingly disconnected. This thesis examines some of the ways in which global trade has changed the mix of inputs to food and feed, and how this affects food security and our perceptions of sustainability. One useful indicator of the ecological impact of trade in food and feed products is the Appropriated Ecosystem Areas (ArEAs), which estimates the terrestrial and aquatic areas needed to produce all the inputs to particular products. The method is introduced in Paper I and used to calculate and track changes in imported subsidies to Swedish agriculture over the period 1962-1994. In 1994, Swedish consumers needed agricultural areas outside their national borders to satisfy more than a third of their food consumption needs. The method is then applied to Swedish meat production in Paper II to show that the term “Made in Sweden” is often a misnomer. In 1999, almost 80% of manufactured feed for Swedish pigs, cattle and chickens was dependent on imported inputs, mainly from Europe, Southeast Asia and South America. Paper III examines ecosystem subsidies to intensive aquaculture in two nations: shrimp production in Thailand and salmon production in Norway. In both countries, aquaculture was shown to rely increasingly on imported subsidies. The rapid expansion of aquaculture turned these countries from fishmeal net exporters to fishmeal net importers, increasingly using inputs from the Southeastern Pacific Ocean. As the examined agricultural and aquacultural production systems became globalized, levels of dependence on other nations’ ecosystems, the number of external supply sources, and the distance to these sources steadily increased. Dependence on other nations is not problematic, as long as we are able to acknowledge these links and sustainably manage resources both at home and abroad. However, ecosystem subsidies are seldom recognized or made explicit in national policy or economic accounts. Economic systems are generally not designed to receive feedbacks when the status of remote ecosystems changes, much less to respond in an ecologically sensitive manner. Papers IV and V discuss the problem of “masking” of the true environmental costs of production for trade. One of our conclusions is that, while the ArEAs approach is a useful tool for illuminating environmentally-based subsidies in the policy arena, it does not reflect all of the costs. Current agricultural and aquacultural production methods have generated substantial increases in production levels, but if policy continues to support the focus on yield and production increases alone, taking the work of ecosystems for granted, vulnerability can result. Thus, a challenge is to develop a set of complementary tools that can be used in economic accounting at national and international scales that address ecosystem support and performance. We conclude that future resilience in food production systems will require more explicit links between consumers and the work of supporting ecosystems, locally and in other regions of the world, and that food security planning will require active management of the capacity of all involved ecosystems to sustain food production.