Hardwood bottomland ecosystems provide critical habitat for various wildlife among numerous ecosystem services. Since the 1800s, these forested wetlands have been logged and drained for agriculture. The federal government passed a series of legislative acts that protected wetlands and provided monetary support for restoration. The Wetlands Reserve Program (WRP) was established in 1990 with the goal of restoring ecological function in wetlands. Although several studies have measured plant and wildlife responses to WRP restorations, no standard protocol has been developed to monitor the state of ecological restoration at sites. Index of biotic integrity (IBI) models are commonly used to evaluate ecological function by assigning scores derived from biological characteristics measured at disturbed sites and comparing them with reference sites. Therefore, the objectives of my study were to: (1) characterize vegetation, amphibian and bird communities among 17 WRP restoration and 4 reference bottomland sites, and (2) develop IBI models for these communities to use in monitoring ecological restoration. My study was conducted across 10 counties in western Tennessee from March – August 2008, and communities were measured using standard sampling techniques. I detected 15 amphibian and 95 bird species at bottomland WRP sites, which ranged 2 – 21 years old. Anurans were common among sites, but salamanders were only detected at reference sites containing mature forests. The bird community changed predictably in response to succession, with grassland birds dominating young restoration sites and scrub-shrub and forest birds dominating older restoration and reference sites. Vegetation structure was related to site age, and a good predictor of bird community composition. Variables retained in the vegetation IBI model included density of snags, logs and overstory trees, basal area, and percent vertical cover measured using a profile board. The bird IBI model contained relative abundance of bark feeding, branch nesting, and twig nesting guilds. Presence of salamanders was the only variable in the amphibian IBI model. My results indicate that the WRP is contributing to the regional biodiversity of western Tennessee. The IBI models that I developed can be used for monitoring ecological restoration in Tennessee hardwood bottomlands; however, their applicability outside this region should be validated.

Hardwood bottomland ecosystems provide critical habitat for various wildlife among numerous ecosystem services. Since the 1800s, these forested wetlands have been logged and drained for agriculture. The federal government passed a series of legislative acts that protected wetlands and provided monetary support for restoration. The Wetlands Reserve Program (WRP) was established in 1990 with the goal of restoring ecological function in wetlands. Although several studies have measured plant and wildlife responses to WRP restorations, no standard protocol has been developed to monitor the state of ecological restoration at sites. Index of biotic integrity (IBI) models are commonly used to evaluate ecological function by assigning scores derived from biological characteristics measured at disturbed sites and comparing them with reference sites. Therefore, the objectives of my study were to: (1) characterize vegetation, amphibian and bird communities among 17 WRP restoration and 4 reference bottomland sites, and (2) develop IBI models for these communities to use in monitoring ecological restoration. My study was conducted across 10 counties in western Tennessee from March – August 2008, and communities were measured using standard sampling techniques. I detected 15 amphibian and 95 bird species at bottomland WRP sites, which ranged 2 – 21 years old. Anurans were common among sites, but salamanders were only detected at reference sites containing mature forests. The bird community changed predictably in response to succession, with grassland birds dominating young restoration sites and scrub-shrub and forest birds dominating older restoration and reference sites. Vegetation structure was related to site age, and a good predictor of bird community composition. Variables retained in the vegetation IBI model included density of snags, logs and overstory trees, basal area, and percent vertical cover measured using a profile board. The bird IBI model contained relative abundance of bark feeding, branch nesting, and twig nesting guilds. Presence of salamanders was the only variable in the amphibian IBI model. My results indicate that the WRP is contributing to the regional biodiversity of western Tennessee. The IBI models that I developed can be used for monitoring ecological restoration in Tennessee hardwood bottomlands; however, their applicability outside this region should be validated.

The earth’s climate is increasing in temperature and as a result many species’ habitat ranges are shifting. The shift in habitat ranges threatens the local persistence of many species. Mathematical models that capture this phenomena of range shift do so by considering a bounded domain that has a time dependant location on the real line. The analysis on persistence conditions has been considered in both continuous-time and -space, and discrete-time, continuous-space settings. In both model types density was considered to be continuous across the boundaries. However it has been shown that many species exhibit particular behaviour at habitat edges, such as biased movement towards the more suitable habitat. This behaviour should be incorporated into the analysis to obtain more accurate persistence conditions. In this thesis persistence conditions are obtained for generalized boundary conditions with a continuous-time and -space model for a range-shifting habitat. It is shown that a high preference for the suitable habitat at the trailing edge can greatly reduce the size of suitable habitat required for species persistence. As well, for fast shifting ranges, a high preference at the trailing edge is crucial for persistence.

The aim in this study was to develop a model for the probability of finding active golden eagle nests during their breeding season. It was done by using environmental variables derived from expert models which were tested against empirical data. This resulted in a habitat suitability index (HSI), which in this case is assumed to indicate the probability of active nests of golden eagles. The study was conducted together with the County Administrative Board of Västernorrland with the purpose to improve golden eagle’s ecological status.To develop the model, different combinations of several explanatory variables were tested in a model selection process, where the most optimal and parsimonious model was chosen. The tested variables have earlier been shown to affect golden eagles, as slope, aspect, forest age, foraging habitat, suitable flight routes, human population density, roads, railways, power lines, wind power plants, hiking trails and clear cuts. The variables where applied in in ArcMAP at three different scales: nest scale (25 x 25 meter), proximate scale (a circle with the radius of 500 meter) and home range scale (a circle with the radius of 8253 meter). A preliminary test of the variables showed that all golden eagle nests were found in slopes with at least 5֯ degreesas well as in home ranges with human population density not more than 8 people/km2. Due to that a stratified analysis wasperformed. The variables where analysed by multiple logistic regression in R, where the occurrence of golden eagles’ nestswas compared towards random points in the landscape. All variables were also tested one by one by logistic regression. Afterperforming the multiple logistic regression, it was possible to apply its equation into ArcMap to obtain suitability maps withHSI values over Västernorrland’s county.The comparisons of different models show that it is better to combine different spatial scales in the model than only using one spatial scale. The result indicate that three different models might be the best, which all had different combinations of slope and aspect at nest scale and power lines at the proximate scale. Two of these models also include hiking trails and human population density, both at home range scale, in their equation. Since it was some unclarity about the causality between hiking trails and human population density, the conclusion was not to choose any of these as the final model. The final model was more parsimonious and had an additive effect from slope and southern aspect at the nest scale and an antagonistic effect from power lines at the proximate scale.This study clarifies that golden eagles’ habitat preferences for nesting sites during their breeding period is steep slopes (at minimum 5֯ degrees) in more southern aspects with few power lines in the proximate area surrounding the nest. Their homeranges are also situated in areas with less than 8 people/km2. The study also pinpoints a potential conflict between golden eagleand wind power planning, as golden eagles prefer steep slopes and remote areas, which also are valuable areas for wind powerplants. Golden eagles’ preference of remote areas also indicate that they might be affected by human persecution, why certainconservation effort should be focused into this issue. Out from the final model, you can find cluster in the landscape where youcan focus conservation management and restrict exploitation. Due to low number of wind power plants in the landscape, nothingcould be concluded about their effect on golden eagle in this study. An advice from the golden eagle’s perspective is to use theprecautionary principle and further plan wind power plants in areas which already have high disturbance, as for example closeto power lines or roads. The result also indicates that forest age from SLU Forest Map is not suitable for telling where to findgolden eagle nests. GIS-data over forest age would facilitate conservation management for plenty of species connected to theforest.Although good statistical results for the final model, cautions need to be taken in general, since neither population viability analysis have been included, nor changes over time in the landscape. Another issue is the low sample size, where a larger sample size would make it possible to perform profound calibration and validation of the data. To develop a more robust model, the advice is to include these into the model and use a larger sample size.

No description available.

Amphibians, because of their semi-permeable skin, sensitivity to changing microclimates, and important role in ecosystems, are often viewed as indicators of ecosystem health. They make excellent organisms for studies on the effects of silvicultural practices. My goal was to provide recommendations for forest management in the southern Appalachians so that harvesting operations are compatible with maintaining healthy populations of forest amphibians. I tested previously created habitat models that determined the most important habitat characteristics for salamanders. I counted salamanders in 240 10 x 10 m plots located in the MeadWestvaco Wildlife and Ecosystem Research Forest in north-central West Virginia. We also collected a variety of habitat data in these plots to predict salamander abundance with previously created models. These simple linear regression analyses of predicted versus observed values suggest for most models (7 out of 9) a weak relationship between predicted and observed values (R2 from 0.0033 to 0.2869, p from < 0.0001 to 0.7490). However, one of the models showed characteristics suggesting that it predicted new data as well or better than the original data, and therefore was the most accurate at predicting salamander abundance, and could be used for management purposes, although there was still much unexplained variation. This model included the variables woody stems (< 7.5 cm DBH), available rock, riparian status (i.e., within 15 m of a stream), percent overstory canopy cover, and available highly decomposed woody debris (decomposition classes 3 to 5). All of these relationships were positive except for woody stems, suggesting that in order to maintain healthy populations of salamanders, we should protect areas next to streams, with high amounts of rock, decomposed woody debris, overstory canopy cover, and few woody stems. I also examined the immediate effects of clearcuts on salamander movement and population estimates. I batch marked salamanders in plots at the edges of a clearcut, and in a control plot. Using the Schnabel estimator, I estimated population sizes in each plot. I then compared population estimates pre- and post-harvest on the interior (harvested) and exterior (unharvested) sides of the plots, taking into account the control plot. I also examined adult-juvenile ratios and movements from one side of the plot to the other. I found no significant changes (p > 0.05) following harvest in any of these measures, suggesting that salamanders do not move out of the harvested area post-harvest, at least over the short term (10 months of this study). This suggests that a longer period of time (> 1 year) is required to observe the population declines detected in most studies. / Master of Science

The main purpose of this study was to produce and test the reliability of predictive models of cetacean distributions off the west coast of Scotland. Passive acoustic and visual surveys were carried out from platforms of opportunity between 2003 and 2005. Acoustic identifications were made primarily of harbour porpoises (Phocoena phocoena), delphinids, and sperm whales (Physeter macrocephalus). Generalised Additive Models (GAMs) were used to relate species’ distributions to a range of environmental variables over a range of temporal and spatial scales. Predictive models of delphinid distributions showed both inter-annual and inter-month variations. Combining all data for all months and years resulted in a model that combined the environmental influences from each monthly and yearly model. Overall, delphinids were found to associate with the deep (> 400m) warm water (10.5°C-12.5°C), and in areas of deep thermocline. Relationships between sperm whales and environmental variables were consistent over changes in grain size (9 km or 18 km), but not between areas. Although sperm whales were distributed in deep water characterised by weak thermoclines and strong haloclines in the most northerly area (Faroe-Shetland Channel), they were found in deep productive areas with cold surface temperature in the more southerly waters (Rockall Trough). Within the southern Inner Hebrides, high use areas for harbour porpoises were consistently predicted over time (in years) and with differing survey techniques (acoustic versus visual), but not over space (southern Inner Hebrides versus whole of the Inner Hebrides). Harbour porpoises were mainly distributed in areas with low tidal currents and with higher detection rates during spring tides. The use of prey as a predictor variable within models of delphinid distribution shows some promise: there were correlations between delphinid and herring (Clupea harengus) in shelf-waters in 2005 but not in 2004. These models can be used in mitigating acoustic threats to cetaceans in predicted high use areas off the west coast of Scotland.

Praticamente todos os ecossistemas naturais têm sido afetados pelas atividades humanas. A construção de usinas hidrelétricas produz grandes impactos ambientais causando problemas notáveis como a fragmentação e perdas de habitats. No Brasil aproximadamente 70% da matriz energética é formada por hidrelétricas e há previsão de expansão nos próximos anos. A degradação ambiental é apontada como a principal ameaça à conservação da biodiversidade e a maior causa do declínio das populações de espécies ameaçadas, especialmente de grandes mamíferos e, particularmente, de grandes carnívoros. Apesar da ampla distribuição no continente, as populações de onça-pintada (Panthera onca) têm sido reduzidas ou extintas pela pressão antrópica, tendo sua área de distribuição reduzida aproximadamente à metade. No Brasil é considerada uma espécie Vulnerável e está Criticamente Ameaçada de extinção na Mata Atlântica. Na Ecorregião Florestas do Alto Paraná está distribuída na forma de metapopulação, possivelmente em processo de isolamento de suas subpopulações. No Alto Rio Paraná a Usina Hidrelétrica de Porto Primavera (UHEPP) alagou em 1998 uma área de cerca de 2.250 km². A dissertação aborda este impacto ambiental e tem por objetivo avaliar como o enchimento do reservatório da UHEPP afetou a população de onças-pintadas na região, em relação à distribuição espacial e adequabilidade de habitat. Foram monitorados 11 indivíduos por radiotelemetria em dois períodos (1992 a 1995 e 1998 a 2002), investigando-se o tamanho de área de uso e movimentação. Com estes dados mais a cobertura de solo foram avaliadas adequabilidade ambiental e seleção de habitat. A distribuição espacial e a adequabilidade do habitat foram avaliadas em dois cenários, anterior e posterior ao enchimento, relacionando as mudanças ocorridas com o impacto na área sob o efeito direto do enchimento. Um terceiro cenário foi também avaliado, englobando toda a área de várzea remanescente no Alto Rio Paraná e incluindo as Unidades de Conservação (UCs), quanto à adequabilidade e seleção de habitat. Para este cenário foram utilizadas localizações de outros 10 indivíduos monitorados no Parque Estadual das Várzeas do Rio Ivinhema, Mato Grosso do Sul e no Parque Estadual Morro do Diabo, São Paulo, entre 1998 e 2005. Após o enchimento houve um aumento significativo nas dimensões das áreas de uso das onças-pintadas (fêmeas: anterior, 78 km² [n=8]; posterior, 197 km² [n=5]; macho [n=1]: anterior, 111 km²; posterior, 149 km²) bem como em seus deslocamentos máximos, pois passaram a ocupar áreas mais degradadas de fazendas, com poucos refúgios e presas naturais. Porém não foram observadas diferenças nos deslocamentos médios e sobreposição de áreas, assim como as áreas de uso não diferiram sazonalmente. A modelagem de habitat demonstrou que o enchimento atingiu principalmente as áreas mais favoráveis para a espécie suprimindo cerca de metade dessas. As onças selecionaram várzeas e florestas enquanto que a paisagem altamente modificada pelo homem foi evitada. Com as áreas mais degradadas ocupadas e o conflito com o homem, grande parte dos animais foram mortos em retaliação à predação de animais domésticos, levando praticamente a extinção local da espécie na área sob o efeito direto do enchimento. A área remanescente do Alto Rio Paraná comporta ainda cerca de 50 onças-pintadas adultas, sendo um terço em UCs. Portanto áreas adjacentes às UCs, na sua maioria com várzeas, devem ser preservadas e áreas florestais devem ser restauradas para a conservação da espécie em longo prazo na região. As informações geradas nesta dissertação podem auxiliar nas ações de conservação e manejo da onça-pintada no Alto Rio Paraná e mostra que a modelagem de habitat pode ser uma importante ferramenta para avaliação de impactos ambientais. / Virtually all natural ecosystems have been affected by human activities. The construction of hydroelectric power plants is the cause of major environmental impacts, such as habitat destruction and fragmentation. Brazil's energy matrix is mostly based on hydroelectricity, which comprises approximately 70% of all produced energy in the country, and the national government plans to expand it in the coming years. Habitat destruction is considered the main threat to biodiversity conservation and the major cause of the decline of endangered species, especially large mammals and large carnivores. Despite their wide distribution in the Americas, jaguar (Panthera onca) populations have been reduced or extinguished by human pressure, and the species current distribution represents half of its past distribution. In Brazil, the jaguar is considered a vulnerable species and it is critically endangered in the Atlantic Rain Forest. In the Upper Paraná Forest Ecoregion the species is distributed as a metapopulation, possibly in an isolation process of its subpopulations. In the Upper Paraná River (UPR), the reservoir filling of the Porto Primavera Hydroelectric plant (PPHE) began in 1998, and flooded an area of approximately 2250 km ². I evaluated the effects of the PPHE reservoir filling on the local jaguar population, its effects on the species spatial distribution and habitat suitability. I monitored a total of 11 jaguars using radio telemetry in two periods (1992-1995 and 1998-2002). I investigated jaguar home range size and movements, and evaluated habitat selection and suitability combing spatial and land cover data (Geographic Information System). These two metrics were measured before and after reservoir filling, linking the impact with changes in the species spatial patterns between these two phases. I evaluated three scenarios: the area affected directly by the PPHE filling, before and after, and all the remaining wetlands in the UPR, including protected areas. Jaguars’ home ranges increased significantly after reservoir filling (females: 78 km ² before [n = 8], 197 km ² after [n = 5]; male [n = 1]: 111 km ² before, 149 km ² after). Maximum movement of the four jaguars (3 females and 1 male) also increased from one phase to the other (10.75 km before; 25.05 km after). The increase in movement patterns results from jaguars using new and more degraded areas in farms, where there are few refuges and natural preys. Home ranges did not differ seasonally on the first period; neither did the mean movements and overlapping areas. The PPHE filling mainly affected jaguars by suppressing approximately half of their suitable area. Jaguars selected wetlands and forests and avoided landscapes heavily modified by Man. Most jaguars were killed in retaliation to cattle predation as they commenced to occupy the most degraded areas, nearly driving the population to extinction. The remaining area of the UPR still holds approximately 50 adult jaguars and one third of them are in protected areas. Therefore, the long-term species conservation depends on the preservation of the adjacent wetlands and on the restoration of forest patches. My results can subsidize jaguar conservation and management plans in the UPR and show that habitat suitability modeling can be a useful tool for assessing environmental impacts.

Habitat selection has long been viewed as a multi-scale process. Observed species responses to resource gradients are influenced by variation at the scale of the individual, population, metapopulation, and geographic range. Understanding how species interact with habitat at multiple levels presents a complete picture of an organism and is necessary for conservation of endangered species. The main goal of this dissertation is to evaluate distribution, relative abundance, and habitat selection of a rare species, the pygmy rabbit Brachylagus idahoensis, at multiple scales in order to improve management and conservation for this species. At the broadest scale, pygmy rabbit occurrence and relative abundance were modeled in the Duck Creek allotment of northern Utah using a hierarchical spatial model. Pygmy rabbits are not easily observable, and the model used two levels of indirect detection to make statistically rigorous spatial predictions. We found that the model predicted the general pattern of rabbit occurrence and abundance within the study area, and that there was spatial heterogeneity in the probability of pygmy rabbit occurrence within a study domain that was known to be occupied. The resulting model framework could be used to develop a long-term monitoring program for pygmy rabbits and other species for which hierarchically nested levels of indirect observation are collected. The mid-scale analysis evaluated pygmy rabbit home range placement and movement with respect to sagebrush removal treatments using null models based on an optimal central place foraging behavior. While placement of home-range centers did not appear to be affected by the treatments, within-home range movements were farther from treatments than expected by the null models for two rabbits (of eight), and rabbits that approached treatment edges were less likely to enter treatments than expected by chance. Rabbits are not extirpated from sites that have been treated, but the observed reluctance to enter treated patches calls for caution when conducting sagebrush removal treatments near occupied pygmy rabbit burrows. At the finest level of resolution, the spatial ecology of pygmy rabbit use of burrows was evaluated. Both the placement of burrows in general and pygmy rabbit use of burrows were clustered. While the habitat gradients experienced by each of the rabbits evaluated affected the modeled habitat selection responses, some generalities were observed. Selection of high cover suggests that pygmy rabbit use of burrows may be linked to predator avoidance behavior. Additionally, pygmy rabbit use of clustered burrows affects management actions including: habitat modeling, monitoring, and species introduction. Explicit attention to resource distribution will improve efforts to predict species responses to management actions.

Praticamente todos os ecossistemas naturais têm sido afetados pelas atividades humanas. A construção de usinas hidrelétricas produz grandes impactos ambientais causando problemas notáveis como a fragmentação e perdas de habitats. No Brasil aproximadamente 70% da matriz energética é formada por hidrelétricas e há previsão de expansão nos próximos anos. A degradação ambiental é apontada como a principal ameaça à conservação da biodiversidade e a maior causa do declínio das populações de espécies ameaçadas, especialmente de grandes mamíferos e, particularmente, de grandes carnívoros. Apesar da ampla distribuição no continente, as populações de onça-pintada (Panthera onca) têm sido reduzidas ou extintas pela pressão antrópica, tendo sua área de distribuição reduzida aproximadamente à metade. No Brasil é considerada uma espécie Vulnerável e está Criticamente Ameaçada de extinção na Mata Atlântica. Na Ecorregião Florestas do Alto Paraná está distribuída na forma de metapopulação, possivelmente em processo de isolamento de suas subpopulações. No Alto Rio Paraná a Usina Hidrelétrica de Porto Primavera (UHEPP) alagou em 1998 uma área de cerca de 2.250 km². A dissertação aborda este impacto ambiental e tem por objetivo avaliar como o enchimento do reservatório da UHEPP afetou a população de onças-pintadas na região, em relação à distribuição espacial e adequabilidade de habitat. Foram monitorados 11 indivíduos por radiotelemetria em dois períodos (1992 a 1995 e 1998 a 2002), investigando-se o tamanho de área de uso e movimentação. Com estes dados mais a cobertura de solo foram avaliadas adequabilidade ambiental e seleção de habitat. A distribuição espacial e a adequabilidade do habitat foram avaliadas em dois cenários, anterior e posterior ao enchimento, relacionando as mudanças ocorridas com o impacto na área sob o efeito direto do enchimento. Um terceiro cenário foi também avaliado, englobando toda a área de várzea remanescente no Alto Rio Paraná e incluindo as Unidades de Conservação (UCs), quanto à adequabilidade e seleção de habitat. Para este cenário foram utilizadas localizações de outros 10 indivíduos monitorados no Parque Estadual das Várzeas do Rio Ivinhema, Mato Grosso do Sul e no Parque Estadual Morro do Diabo, São Paulo, entre 1998 e 2005. Após o enchimento houve um aumento significativo nas dimensões das áreas de uso das onças-pintadas (fêmeas: anterior, 78 km² [n=8]; posterior, 197 km² [n=5]; macho [n=1]: anterior, 111 km²; posterior, 149 km²) bem como em seus deslocamentos máximos, pois passaram a ocupar áreas mais degradadas de fazendas, com poucos refúgios e presas naturais. Porém não foram observadas diferenças nos deslocamentos médios e sobreposição de áreas, assim como as áreas de uso não diferiram sazonalmente. A modelagem de habitat demonstrou que o enchimento atingiu principalmente as áreas mais favoráveis para a espécie suprimindo cerca de metade dessas. As onças selecionaram várzeas e florestas enquanto que a paisagem altamente modificada pelo homem foi evitada. Com as áreas mais degradadas ocupadas e o conflito com o homem, grande parte dos animais foram mortos em retaliação à predação de animais domésticos, levando praticamente a extinção local da espécie na área sob o efeito direto do enchimento. A área remanescente do Alto Rio Paraná comporta ainda cerca de 50 onças-pintadas adultas, sendo um terço em UCs. Portanto áreas adjacentes às UCs, na sua maioria com várzeas, devem ser preservadas e áreas florestais devem ser restauradas para a conservação da espécie em longo prazo na região. As informações geradas nesta dissertação podem auxiliar nas ações de conservação e manejo da onça-pintada no Alto Rio Paraná e mostra que a modelagem de habitat pode ser uma importante ferramenta para avaliação de impactos ambientais. / Virtually all natural ecosystems have been affected by human activities. The construction of hydroelectric power plants is the cause of major environmental impacts, such as habitat destruction and fragmentation. Brazil's energy matrix is mostly based on hydroelectricity, which comprises approximately 70% of all produced energy in the country, and the national government plans to expand it in the coming years. Habitat destruction is considered the main threat to biodiversity conservation and the major cause of the decline of endangered species, especially large mammals and large carnivores. Despite their wide distribution in the Americas, jaguar (Panthera onca) populations have been reduced or extinguished by human pressure, and the species current distribution represents half of its past distribution. In Brazil, the jaguar is considered a vulnerable species and it is critically endangered in the Atlantic Rain Forest. In the Upper Paraná Forest Ecoregion the species is distributed as a metapopulation, possibly in an isolation process of its subpopulations. In the Upper Paraná River (UPR), the reservoir filling of the Porto Primavera Hydroelectric plant (PPHE) began in 1998, and flooded an area of approximately 2250 km ². I evaluated the effects of the PPHE reservoir filling on the local jaguar population, its effects on the species spatial distribution and habitat suitability. I monitored a total of 11 jaguars using radio telemetry in two periods (1992-1995 and 1998-2002). I investigated jaguar home range size and movements, and evaluated habitat selection and suitability combing spatial and land cover data (Geographic Information System). These two metrics were measured before and after reservoir filling, linking the impact with changes in the species spatial patterns between these two phases. I evaluated three scenarios: the area affected directly by the PPHE filling, before and after, and all the remaining wetlands in the UPR, including protected areas. Jaguars’ home ranges increased significantly after reservoir filling (females: 78 km ² before [n = 8], 197 km ² after [n = 5]; male [n = 1]: 111 km ² before, 149 km ² after). Maximum movement of the four jaguars (3 females and 1 male) also increased from one phase to the other (10.75 km before; 25.05 km after). The increase in movement patterns results from jaguars using new and more degraded areas in farms, where there are few refuges and natural preys. Home ranges did not differ seasonally on the first period; neither did the mean movements and overlapping areas. The PPHE filling mainly affected jaguars by suppressing approximately half of their suitable area. Jaguars selected wetlands and forests and avoided landscapes heavily modified by Man. Most jaguars were killed in retaliation to cattle predation as they commenced to occupy the most degraded areas, nearly driving the population to extinction. The remaining area of the UPR still holds approximately 50 adult jaguars and one third of them are in protected areas. Therefore, the long-term species conservation depends on the preservation of the adjacent wetlands and on the restoration of forest patches. My results can subsidize jaguar conservation and management plans in the UPR and show that habitat suitability modeling can be a useful tool for assessing environmental impacts.