Orientador: Didier Gastmans / Resumo: A compreensão dos processos de geração de escoamento nos rios torna necessário o entendimento das interações existentes entre as águas superficiais e subterrâneas, identificando a importância do fluxo de base (FB), e consequentemente dos processos de recarga, para as estimativas de balanço hídrico. A recarga representa a entrada da água na zona saturada e o FB representa a fração do escoamento produto da conexão entre o canal e o aquífero. Em épocas de estiagem a água subterrânea é considerada como a principal componente do FB, e em regiões úmidas é possível se associar a recarga com o FB. No presente estudo foram realizadas as estimativas do FB para 17 sub-bacias localizadas na bacia do rio Atrato (Colômbia). A partir da análise do comportamento temporal da descarga, e considerando o Q90 como parâmetro comparativo do FB, foi identificada uma estreita relação com as variáveis fisiográficas. As bacias com Q90 entre 5,3 e 10,0 mm/dia correspondem as menores declividades médias no curso do rio e Q90 inferiores (1,0 e 5,2 mm/dia) correspondem as maiores declividades. Não foi identificada uma correlação forte entre o FB e a litologia, a partir do qual ressalta-se a importância de categorizar as unidades hidrogeológicas de uma maneira mais detalhada. Posteriormente, foi realizada uma análise de recessão, que definiu a recessão característica (12,8<K[dia]<28,0) e o coeficiente de recessão das bacias (0,92<c<0,96), e consequentemente a separação do hidrograma implementando os seguint... (Resumo completo, clicar acesso eletrônico abaixo) / Abstract: Comprehension about runoff generation process in rivers becomes necessary to understand interactions between surface and groundwater, identifying the importance of base flow (BF) and recharge processes in water balance applications. Recharge represents the water entrance into the saturated zone and the BF shows the fraction of the runoff result from the connection between the river and the aquifer. On dry periods groundwater is the main component of the BF, which in wet regions is associated with the recharge. In this study, the BFs were estimated for the 17 subbasins, located in the Atrato River basin (Colombia). Through the analysis of the temporal behavior of the river discharge and considering the Q90 as a comparative parameter of the BF, a close relationship between the Q90 and the physical variables was identified. Basins with Q90 between 5.3 and 10.0 mm/day correspond to rivers with higher slopes and lower Q90 (between 1.0 and 5.2 mm/day) correspond to basins with lower river slopes. A correlation between BF and lithology was not identified, which proves the importance of the detailed classification of the hydrogeological units. Subsequently, a recession analysis was performed, which allowed for the definition of the characteristic recession (12.8<K[day]<28.0) and the recession coefficient of the basins (0.92<c<0.96). Finally, the separation of hydrographs was done using the flowing digital filters: Lyne and Hollick filter (FLH), Chapman and Maxwell filter (FCM), Eckha... (Complete abstract click electronic access below) / Resumen: La comprensión de los procesos de generación de escorrentía en los ríos hace necesario el entendimiento de las interacciones existentes entre las aguas superficiales y subterráneas, identificando la importancia del flujo base (FB) y de los procesos de recarga en aplicaciones de balance hídrico. La recarga representa la entrada de agua en la zona saturada y el FB representa la fracción de la escorrentía producto de la conexión con el acuífero. En periodos secos el agua subterránea es la principal componente del FB, que en regiones húmedas es asociado con la recarga. En este estudio fueron estimados los FB para 17 subcuencas, ubicadas dentro de la cuenca del río Atrato (Colombia). A partir del análisis del comportamiento temporal de la descarga del río y considerando el Q90 como parámetro comparativo del FB, fue identificada la estrecha relación entre el Q90 y las variables físicas. Cuencas con Q90 entre 5,3 y 10,0 mm/día corresponden a ríos con mayores pendientes y Q90 inferiores (entre 1,0 y 5,2 mm/día) corresponden a cuencas con menores pendientes del río. No fue identificada una correlación entre o FB y la litología, por lo que se resalta la importancia de una clasificación detallada de las unidades hidrogeológicas. A continuación, fue realizado un análisis de recesión, que permitió la definición de la recesión característica (12,8 <K[día] < 28,0) y el coeficiente de recesión de las cuencas (0,92 <c< 0,96), y posteriormente la separación del hidrograma usando los siguientes... (Resumen completo clicar acceso eletrônico abajo) / Mestre

This thesis is about construction of forecasting models for prediction of flood flows of systems measuring profile Batelov – Dvorce, Dvorce – Ptáčov and Batelov – Ptáčov on the river Jihlava. For forecasting flood flows were used classic hydrological forecasting models. Another forecasting models contained neural networks. Data for construction of forecasting models were used for years 1960 – 2010. Evaluation was made in the end of thesis. The thesis also containes theoretical line of flood flows volume.

付記する学位プログラム名: グローバル生存学大学院連携プログラム / 京都大学 / 0048 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(工学) / 甲第20341号 / 工博第4278号 / 新制||工||1662(附属図書館) / 京都大学大学院工学研究科社会基盤工学専攻 / (主査)教授 寶 馨, 教授 立川 康人, 准教授 佐山 敬洋 / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Philosophy (Engineering) / Kyoto University / DFAM

The Mississippi Alluvial Plain, a robust agricultural region in the South-Central United States, provides commodities across the United States and around the world. Water for irrigation, which is necessary due to irregular rainfall patterns during the growing season, is withdrawn largely from the Mississippi River Valley Alluvial aquifer, one of the most intensely used aquifers in the United States. The groundwater-dependent region has observed recent declines in groundwater and streamflow levels, raising concerns about the availability and use of fresh-water resources. Declining water levels have prompted investigation into the current understanding of groundwater and surface-water interaction. Previous research does not adequately quantify the unobservable exchange of water between surface-water bodies and the underlying aquifer. This research was designed to advance the current understanding of the interaction between groundwater and surface water through the quantification of spatial and temporal trends in streamflow and groundwater level changes and the use of high-resolution spatial estimates of streambed hydraulic conductivity. Changes in streamflow and groundwater levels were quantified with the use of hydrograph-separation techniques and trend analyses. High-resolution estimates of streambed hydraulic conductivity were found through the correlation of waterborne continuous resistivity profiling data to hydraulic conductivity and streambed hydraulic conductivity estimates were incorporated into the existing Mississippi Embayment Regional Aquifer Study (MERAS) groundwaterlow model. Site-specific empirical relationships between resistivity and hydraulic conductivity were developed with near-stream borehole geophysical logs to improve model estimates of streambed hydraulic conductivity. Results of the quantification of changes in streamflow and groundwater levels suggested agricultural groundwater withdrawals for irrigation to be the primary source of groundwater-level declines. Results from the incorporation of high-resolution estimates of streambed hydraulic conductivity showed that the existing groundwaterlow model is sensitive to changes in streambed hydraulic conductivity, which may impact model accuracy. The incorporation of streambed hydraulic conductivity estimates derived from site-specific empirical relationships impacted MERAS model water-budget estimates. Information gained from this research will be used to improve the existing groundwaterlow model, which acts as a decision-support tool for water-resource managers at state and local levels to make informed water-use decisions for the conservation of fresh-water resources for sustainable agricultural irrigation practices.

Maintaining flows and quality of water resources is critical to support ecosystem services and consumptive needs. Understanding impacts of changes in climate and land use on ecohydrologic processes in a watershed is vital to sustaining water resources for multiple uses. This study completes a continental and regional scale assessment using statistical and simulation modeling to investigate ecohydrologic impacts within watershed systems. Watersheds across the continental United States have diverse hydrogeomorphic characters, mean temperatures, soil moistures, precipitation and evaporation patterns that influence runoff processes. Changes in climate affect runoff by impacting available soil moisture, evaporation, precipitation and vegetative patterns. A one percent increase in annual soil moisture may cause a five percent increase in runoff in watersheds across the continent. Low soil moisture and high temperatures influence runoff patterns in specific regions. Spring runoff is increased by the influence Spring soil moisture, Winter and Spring evaporation, and Winter and Spring evaporation. Spring runoff is decreased by increases in Winter and Spring temperatures and increases in the vegetation index. Winter runoff is affected by maximum vegetative index, temperature, soil moisture, evaporation and precipitation. Contributing factors to runoff are influenced by geomorphic and seasonal variations requiring strategies that are site-specific and use system-wide information. Regional scale watershed analysis investigates the influence of landscape metrics on temporal streamflow processes in multiple gauged watersheds in Massachusetts, U.S.A. Time of concentration, recession coefficient, base flow index, and peak flow are hydrologic metrics used to relate to landscape metrics derived using FRAGSTAT software. Peak flow increases with increasing perimeter-area fractal dimensions, and Contagion index and decreases as Landscape Shape Index increases. There was an increasing trend in the fractal dimension over time indicative of more complex shape of patches in watershed. Base flow index and recession coefficient fluctuated from low to high decreasing recently. This could be indicative of open space legislation, conservation efforts and reforestation within the state in the last ten years. Coastal systems provide valuable ecosystem services and are vulnerable to impacts of changes in climate and continental land use patterns. Effects of land use and climate change on runoff, suspended sediments, total nitrogen and total phosphorus are simulated for coastal watersheds around the Boston Bay ecosystem. The SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) model, a continuous-time, semi distributed, process-based model, is used to simulate the watershed ecohydrologic process affecting coastal bodies. Urbanization in watersheds increased runoff by as much as 80% from the baseline. Land use change poses a major threat to water quality impacts affecting coastal ecosystems. Total nitrogen increased average of 53.8% with conservative changes in climate and land use. Total phosphorus increased an average of 57.3% with conservative changes in land use and climate change. Climate change alone causes up to 40% increase in runoff and when combined with a 3.25% increase in urban development runoff increased an average of 114%. Coastal ecosystems are impacted by nutrient runoff from watersheds. Continued urbanization and changes in climate will increase total nitrogen, total phosphorus and suspended sediments in coastal ecosystems. Continental scale runoff is affected by soil moisture and vegetative cover. Cover crops, low tillage farm practices and natural vegetation contribute to less runoff. Developing policies that encourage protection of soil structure could minimize runoff and aid in maintaining sustainable water resources. Best Management Practices and Low impact development at the national level with continued stormwater legislation directed towards sustainable land use policy will improve water quantity and quality. Fragmentation observed in Massachusetts increases the number of urban parcels and decreases the size of forested areas. Faster runoff patterns are observed but recent land management may be changing this runoff pattern. Municipal and state zoning ordinance to preserve open space and large forest patches will restrict urban growth to specific regions of a watershed. This could improve quantities of water available to ecosystems. Increases in total nitrogen, phosphorus and suspended sediments to coastal ecosystems can be minimized with use of riparian buffers and Best Management Practices within coastal watersheds. Urbanization and climate change threatens coastal ecosystems and national policy to preserve and restrict development of coastal areas will preserve coastal ecosystem services.

Near-level Prairie landscapes have received limited attention in hydrological research. For this thesis, hydrometric measurements and four tracing experiments were completed at three “riparian-to-stream” sites in the Catfish Creek Watershed (southeastern Manitoba) to enhance Prairie hydrology understanding. First, hydrologic state variables were examined to infer vertical and lateral water movement. Second, tracer data were analyzed to evaluate the relative importance of surface versus subsurface water movement. Results show that hydrologic state variables can be useful for inferring riparian-to-stream water movement. Tracer data also revealed that subsurface water movement can contribute significantly to streamflow during snowmelt- and rainfall-triggered events in the study watershed. This thesis demonstrated that subsurface flow is a significant runoff generation mechanism in Prairie landscapes, thus challenging surface water-focused conceptualizations and management strategies that are traditionally used. The findings summarized in this thesis will be critical to improve the performance of hydrological models when applied to the Prairies. / February 2017

Os custos econômicos e perdas potenciais de vidas humanas resultantes de falhas em sistemas de drenagem de águas pluviais podem ser enormes, aumentando a necessidade da busca de melhores métodos de dimensionamento destes. Os métodos baseados na precipitação de projeto são os mais usados para a estimativa do hidrograma de projeto em bacias urbanas, devido às facilidades que os mesmos apresentam em relação aos outros métodos. Entretanto, estes métodos têm suas limitações e incertezas, que podem influenciar as características do hidrograma de projeto resultante, incertezas que são, em consequência, transferidas ao dimensionamento hidráulico das obras propostas. No presente trabalho, foram avaliados os efeitos da discretização espacial da bacia, da discretização temporal e da posição do pico do hietograma de projeto, sobre as principais características do hidrograma de projeto. Esses efeitos foram ainda avaliados no dimensionamento hidráulico do sistema de macrodrenagem dos bairros de Mavalane “A” e Maxaquene “A”, localizados na cidade de Maputo em Moçambique. Para avaliar os referidos efeitos, a bacia foi discretizada em 1, 5, 7 e 12 sub-bacias. O intervalo de tempo do hietograma de projeto foi discretizado em 1, 2, 3, 4 e 5 minutos, sendo calculados para cada discretização e intervalo de tempo, hietogramas com pico no início, 25%, 50%, 75% e final do evento com duração correspondente a 90 minutos e 24 horas. Os hietogramas foram transformados em vazão no programa IPHS1, a qual foi propagada no sistema de macrodrenagem usando o modelo EPA SWMM 5.0, sendo obtidos os hidrogramas de projeto resultantes. O exutório da bacia e o trecho C19 localizado na região central da bacia foram escolhidos para análise dos resultados. Os resultados obtidos mostram uma influência importante dos efeitos avaliados nas características do hidrograma de projeto: vazão de pico, tempo de pico e volume parcial e, consequentemente, no dimensionamento da rede de macrodrenagem, sendo o efeito da discretização da bacia o mais influente, seguido dos efeitos da posição do pico da chuva e intervalo de tempo. / The economic costs and potential losses of human lives due to failure in stormwater drainage systems can be significant, calling for an improvement in methods used for its design. The design storm approach, also known as “single-event design-storm” is widespread used in formulating design hydrograph from historical rainfall data in urban watersheds, due to its relative advantages when compared to other methods. Therefore, this approach has its uncertainties which can affect the resulted design hydrograph, and consequently affect the hydraulic design of proposed structures. In this study is presented an assessment of the adopted values in design criteria, during the estimation of design hydrograph used in hydraulic design of stormwater drainage systems. In particular, are assessed the effects of spatial discretization of the watershed, the temporal discretization and peak position of the design hyetograph, in the main features of the resulted design hydrograph. The same effects are then assessed in the hydraulic design of the major stormwater drainage system of Mavalane “A” and Maxaquene “A” neighborhoods, located in Maputo city in Mozambique. To assess these effects, the watershed was discretized into 1, 5, 7 and 12 sub-watersheds. The time step of the design hyetograph was discretized into 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 minutes, and then computed for each discretization and time step, hyetographs with peak positioned in the beginning, 25%, 50%, 75% and the end of the duration of 90 minutes and 24 hours. The hyetographs were converted into runoff in IPHS1, wish was dynamically routed in the drainage system, using EPA SWMM 5.0. The watershed outlet and conduit C19 were used to analyze the results. The results show an important influence of the assessed effects on the design hydrograph features: hydrograph peak, time to peak and partial volume and, consequently, on the hydraulic design of the major stormwater drainage system, being the effect of spatial discretization of the watershed, the most important, followed by hyetograph peak position and time step.

This research is part of an ongoing effort to improve predictions for bathymetric and morphological changes in the Lower Mississippi River. The utilized model is a subset of a previously calibrated Delft3D model. This shorter model has reduced computational time, and can be deployed for analysis focused on the area between Belle Chasse and HOP, which is the domain of the model. Simulation runs conducted under this study vary from 12 years to 48 years, utilizing a developed 12-year variable hydrograph. The comparison of variable annual hydrograph and repeated representative annual (uniform) hydrograph input data on bathymetric changes indicated that the absolute bathymetric equilibrium is dependent on year to year variability. The utilization of a uniform hydrograph increases the predicted deposition within the river domain. When evaluating diversion sand capture, utilizing a uniform hydrograph can be considered a conservative approach, while utilizing a variable hydrograph will result in more accurate sand load volumes captured by the diversion.In general, sediment capture showed only minor interdependencies amongst multiple diversions, as long as the total diversion flow is less than 140,000cfs. This study shows that morphological changes are dependent on the number and location of multiple diversions. The largest interdependencies occur for the most downstream diversions, which increase with the total diverted flow. A true equilibrium was not achieved within 48 years, with or without sea level rise. It was observed, that the system with diversions responds to sea level rise by an increase in deposition, which increases with total diverted flow.

Orientador: Didier Gastmans / Resumo: A necessidade do estudo os diferentes processos do ciclo hidrológico de forma integrada tem se tornado cada vez mais urgente, uma vez que o uso do termo “crise hídrica” se torna cada vez mais frequente. Nesse sentido, a determinação de taxas de recarga e quantificação dos fluxos subterrâneos, aliados ao uso de isótopos estáveis (2H e 18O), que são excelentes traçadores da movimentação da água no ciclo hidrológico, impulsionaram esse estudo, buscando gerar informações científicas fundamentais para uma melhor gestão dos recursos hídricos. Situada numa porção de afloramento do Sistema Aquífero Guarani (SAG), a área de estudo está inserida em uma pequena bacia hidrográfica na porção oeste do estado de São Paulo, onde as águas subterrâneas e superficiais são responsáveis pelo abastecimento de inúmeras cidades da região. O estudo teve como principal objetivo compreender a dinâmica entre os diversos compartimentos do ciclo hidrológico, buscando mudanças nos padrões de precipitação e de recarga subterrânea, por métodos de fácil aplicação, como balanço hídrico e flutuações dos níveis d’água (WTF), bem como a aplicação de traçadores isotópicos (δ2H e δ18O) em diferentes sazonalidades. Ao considerar a sazonalidade dos dados isotópicos na chuva, águas superficiais e subterrâneas, pode-se observar que os valores de δ18O são mais empobrecidos durante a estação chuvosa e mais enriquecidos durante a estação seca. A diferença entre os sinais isotópicos permitiu compreender a movimentação da á... (Resumo completo, clicar acesso eletrônico abaixo) / Abstract: The need to study the different processes of the hydrological cycle in an integrated way has become increasingly urgent since the use of the term "water crisis" becomes more and more frequent. In this sense, the determination of rates of recharge and quantification of the underground flows, together with the use of stable isotopes (2H and 18O), which are excellent tracers of water movement in the hydrological cycle, stimulated this study, seeking to generate scientific information fundamental to better management of water resources. Located in a portion of the outcrop of the Guarani Aquifer System (SAG), the study area is in a small hydrographic basin in the western portion of the state of São Paulo, where groundwater and surface waters are responsible for the supply of numerous cities located there. The main objective of this study is to understand the dynamics between the various compartments of the hydrological cycle, searching for changes in precipitation and underground recharge patterns, using easy-to-apply methods such as water balance and water level fluctuations (WTF), as well as the application of isotopic tracers (δ2H and δ18O) in different seasonal conditions. When considering the seasonality of the isotopic data in rainfall, surface water, and groundwater, it can be observed that δ18O values are more depleted during the rainy season and more enriched during the dry season. The difference between the isotopic signals allowed to understand the movement of the water... (Complete abstract click electronic access below) / Doutor

Low relief, heavily human-impacted landscapes like those of the Prairies in south-central Canada have received little attention in previous hydrological research. Here, the rainfall-runoff relationship in the context of both a field-based investigation and an empirical model is examined in an effort to provide insight into Prairie hydrology. Rainfall and water level data were collected for nested sub-watersheds of the Catfish Creek watershed, a 642 km2, near-level, mixed land use and engineered Prairie watershed. First, the dataset is examined for runoff controls. Second, the history of the United States Curve Number Method is reviewed and its initial abstraction ratio examined against collected field data to determine the applicability of a single, constant ratio to Prairie landscapes. Overall, the results indicate that Prairie runoff generation processes differ significantly from those of humid, pristine catchments of higher relief and a conceptual model is proposed with that regards.