Examining methods for controlling the electricity demand in Kuwait was the main objective and motivation of this researchp roject. The extensiveu se of air-conditioning for indoor cooling in office and large commercial buildings in Kuwait and the Gulf States represents a major part of the power and electricity consumption in such countries. The rising electricity generation cost and growing rates of consumption continuously demand the construction new power plants. Devising and enforcing Demand-SideM anagemen(t DSM) in the form of energye fficient operations trategies was the response of this research project to provide a means to rectify this situation using the demand-side management technique known as demand levelling or load shifting. State of the art demand-sidem anagementte chniquesh ave been examined through the developmenot f a model basedp redictive control optimisations trategyf or an integrateda ndm odulara pproachto the provisiono f ice thermals torage. To evaluate the potential of ice-storage assisted air-conditioning systems in flattening the demand curve at peak times during the summer months in Kuwait, a model of a Heating, Ventilation, and Air-conditioning (HVAC) plant was developed in Matlab. The model engaged the use of model based predictive control (MPQ as an optimisation tool for the plant as a whole. The model with MPC was developed to chose and decide on which control strategy to operate the integrated ice-storage HVAC plant. The model succeeded in optimising the operation of the plant and introduced encouraging improvement of the performance of the system as a whole. The concept of the modular ice-storage system was introduced through a control zoning strategy based on zonal orientation. It is believed that such strategy could lead to the modularisation of ice-storage systems. Additionally, the model was examined and tested in relation to load flattening and demonstrated promising enhancement in the shape of the load curve and demonstrated flattened demand curves through the employed strategy. When compared with measured data from existing buildings, the model showed potential for the techniques utilised to improve the load factor for office buildings.

Conventionally, to support varying power demand, the utility company must prepare to supply more electricity than actually needed, which causes inefficiency and waste. With the increasing penetration of renewable energy which is intermittent and stochastic, how to balance the power generation and demand becomes even more challenging. Demand response, which reschedules part of the elastic load in users' side, is a promising technology to increase power generation efficiency and reduce costs. However, how to coordinate all the distributed heterogeneous elastic loads efficiently is a major challenge and sparks numerous research efforts. In this thesis, we investigate different methods to provide demand response and improve power grid efficiency. First, we consider how to schedule the charging process of all the Plugged-in Hybrid Electrical Vehicles (PHEVs) so that demand peaks caused by PHEV charging are flattened. Existing solutions are either centralized which may not be scalable, or decentralized based on real-time pricing (RTP) which may not be applicable immediately for many markets. Our proposed PHEV charging approach does not need complicated, centralized control and can be executed online in a distributed manner. In addition, we extend our approach and apply it to the distribution grid to solve the bus congestion and voltage drop problems by controlling the access probability of PHEVs. One of the advantages of our algorithm is that it does not need accurate predictions on base load and future users' behaviors. Furthermore, it is deployable even when the grid size is large. Different from PHEVs, whose future arrivals are hard to predict, there is another category of elastic load, such as Heating Ventilation and Air-Conditioning (HVAC) systems, whose future status can be predicted based on the current status and control actions. How to minimize the power generation cost using this kind of elastic load is also an interesting topic to the power companies. Existing work usually used HVAC to do the load following or load shaping based on given control signals or objectives. However, optimal external control signals may not always be available. Without such control signals, how to make a tradeoff between the fluctuation of non-renewable power generation and the limited demand response potential of the elastic load, and to guarantee user comfort level, is still an open problem. To solve this problem, we first model the temperature evolution process of a room and propose an approach to estimate the key parameters of the model. Then, based on the model predictive control, a centralized and a distributed algorithm are proposed to minimize the fluctuation and maximize the user comfort level. In addition, we propose a dynamic water level adjustment algorithm to make the demand response always available in two directions. Extensive simulations based on practical data sets show that the proposed algorithms can effectively reduce the load fluctuation. Both randomized PHEV charging and HVAC control algorithms discussed above belong to direct or centralized load shaping, which has been heavily investigated. However, it is usually not clear how the users are compensated by providing load shaping services. In the last part of this thesis, we investigate indirect load shaping in a distributed manner. On one hand, we aim to reduce the users' energy cost by investigating how to fully utilize the battery pack and the water tank for the Combined Heat and Power (CHP) systems. We first formulate the queueing models for the CHP systems, and then propose an algorithm based on the Lyapunov optimization technique which does not need any statistical information about the system dynamics. The optimal control actions can be obtained by solving a non-convex optimization problem. We then discuss when it can be converted into a convex optimization problem. On the other hand, based on the users' reaction model, we propose an algorithm, with a time complexity of O(log n), to determine the RTP for the power company to effectively coordinate all the CHP systems and provide distributed load shaping services. / Graduate

This dissertation is dedicated to study the design and utilization of financial contracts and pricing mechanisms for managing the demand/price risks in electricity markets and the price risks in carbon emission markets from different perspectives. We address the issues pertaining to the efficient computational algorithms for pricing complex financial options which include many structured energy financial contracts and the design of economic mechanisms for managing the risks associated with increasing penetration of renewable energy resources and with trading emission allowance permits in the restructured electric power industry. To address the computational challenges arising from pricing exotic energy derivatives designed for various hedging purposes in electricity markets, we develop a generic computational framework based on a fast transform method, which attains asymptotically optimal computational complexity and exponential convergence. For the purpose of absorbing the variability and uncertainties of renewable energy resources in a smart grid, we propose an incentive-based contract design for thermostatically controlled loads (TCLs) to encourage end users' participation as a source of DR. Finally, we propose a market-based approach to mitigate the emission permit price risks faced by generation companies in a cap-and-trade system. Through a stylized economic model, we illustrate that the trading of properly designed financial options on emission permits reduces permit price volatility and the total emission reduction cost.

Face aux forts besoins de réduction de la consommation énergétique et de l’impact environnemental,le bâtiment d’aujourd’hui vise la performance en s’appuyant sur des sourcesd’énergie de plus en plus diversifiées (énergies renouvelables), une enveloppe mieux conçue(isolation) et des systèmes de gestion plus avancés. Plus la conception vise la basse consommation,plus les interactions entre ses composants sont complexes et peu intuitives. Seule unerégulation plus intégrée permettrait de prendre en compte cette complexité et d’optimiser lefonctionnement pour atteindre la basse consommation sans sacrifier le confort.Les techniques de commande prédictive, fondées sur l’utilisation de modèles dynamiqueset de techniques d’optimisation, promettent une réduction des consommations et de l’inconfort.Elles permettent en effet d’anticiper l’évolution des sources et des besoins intermittentstout en tirant parti de l’inertie thermique du bâtiment, de ses systèmes et autres élémentsde stockage. Cependant, dans le cas du bâtiment, l’obtention d’un modèle dynamique suffisammentprécis présente des difficultés du fait d’incertitudes importantes sur les paramètresdu modèle et les sollicitations du système. Les avancées récentes dans le domaine de l’instrumentationdomotique constituent une opportunité prometteuse pour la réduction de cesincertitudes, mais la conception d’un tel système pour une telle application n’est pas triviale.De fait, il devient nécessaire de pouvoir considérer les problématiques de monitoring énergétique,d’instrumentation, de commande prédictive et de modélisation de façon conjointe.Cette thèse vise à identifier les liens entre commande prédictive et instrumentation dansle bâtiment, en proposant puis exploitant une méthode générique de modélisation du bâtiment,de simulation thermique et de résolution de problèmes d’optimisation. Cette méthodologiemet en oeuvre une modélisation thermique multizone du bâtiment, et des algorithmesd’optimisation reposant sur un modèle adjoint et les outils du contrôle optimal. Elle a étéconcrétisée dans un outil de calcul permettant de mettre en place une stratégie de commandeprédictive comportant des phases de commande optimale, d’estimation d’état et decalibration.En premier lieu, nous étudions la formulation et la résolution d’un problème de commandeoptimale. Nous abordons les différences entre un tel contrôle et une stratégie de régulationclassique, entre autres sur la prise en compte d’indices de performance et de contraintes. Nousprésentons ensuite une méthode d’estimation d’état basée sur l’identification de gains thermiquesinternes inconnus. Cette méthode d’estimation est couplée au calcul de commandeoptimale pour former une stratégie de commande prédictive.Les valeurs des paramètres d’un modèle de bâtiment sont souvent très incertaines. Lacalibration paramétrique du modèle est incontournable pour réduire les erreurs de prédictionet garantir la performance d’une commande optimale. Nous appliquons alors notreméthodologie à une technique de calibration basée sur des mesures de températures in situ.Nous ouvrons ensuite sur des méthodes permettant d’orienter le choix des capteurs à utiliser(nombre, positionnement) et des paramètres à calibrer en exploitant les gradients calculéspar la méthode adjointe.La stratégie de commande prédictive a été mise en oeuvre sur un bâtiment expérimentalprès de Chambéry. Dans le cadre de cette étude, l’intégralité du bâtiment a été modélisé,et les différentes étapes de notre commande prédictive ont été ensuite déployées de mainière séquentielle. Cette mise en oeuvre permet d’étudier les enjeux et les difficultés liées àl’implémentation d’une commande prédictive sur un bâtiment réel.Cette thèse est issue d’une collaboration entre le CEA Leti, l’IFSTTAR de Nantes et leG2ELab, et s’inscrit dans le cadre du projet ANR PRECCISION. / More efficient energy management of buildings through the use of Model Predictive Control(MPC) techniques is a key issue to reduce the environmental impact of buildings. Buildingenergy performance is currently improved by using renewable energy sources, a betterdesign of the building envelope (insulation) and the use of advanced management systems.The more the design aims for high performance, the more interactions and coupling effectsbetween the building, its environment and the conditions of use are important and unintuitive.Only a more integrated regulation would take in account this complexity, and couldhelp to optimize the consumption without compromising the comfort.Model Predictive Control techniques, based on the use of dynamic models and optimizationmethods, promise a reduction of consumption and discomfort. They can generate energysavings by anticipating the evolution of renewable sources and intermittent needs, while takingadvantage of the building thermal inertia and other storage items. However, in the caseof buildings, obtaining a good dynamic model is tough, due to important uncertainties onmodel parameters and system solicitations.Recent advances in the field of wireless sensor networks are fostering the deployment ofsensors in buildings, and offer a promising opportunity to reduce these errors. Nevertheless,designing a sensor network dedicated to MPC is not obvious, and energy monitoring,instrumentation, modeling and predictive control matters must be considered jointly.This thesis aims at establishing the links between MPC and instrumentation needs inbuildings. We propose a generic method for building modeling, thermal simulation andoptimization. This methodology involves a multi-zone thermal model of the building, andefficient optimization algorithms using an adjoint model and tools from the optimal controltheory. It was implemented in a specific toolbox to develop a predictive control strategywith optimal control phases, state estimation phases and model calibration.At first, we study the formulation and resolution of an optimal control problem. We discussthe differences between such a control and a conventional regulation strategy, throughperformance indicators. Then, we present a state estimation method based on the identificationof unknown internal gains. This estimation method is subsequently coupled with theoptimal control method to form a predictive control strategy.As the parameters values of a building model are often very uncertain, parametric modelcalibration is essential to reduce prediction errors and to ensure the MPC performance. Consequently,we apply our methodology to a calibration technique based on in situ temperaturemeasurements. We also discuss how our approach can lead to selection techniques in orderto choose calibrated parameters and sensors for MPC purposes.Eventually, the predictive control strategy was implemented on an experimental building,at CEA INES, near Chambéry. The entire building was modeled, and the different steps ofthe control strategy were applied sequentially through an online supervisor. This experimentgave us a useful feedback on our methodology on a real case.This thesis is the result of a collaboration between CEA Leti, IFSTTAR Nantes andG2ELab, and is part of the ANR PRECCISION project.

Examining methods for controlling the electricity demand in Kuwait was the main objective and motivation of this researchp roject. The extensiveu se of air-conditioning for indoor cooling in office and large commercial buildings in Kuwait and the Gulf States represents a major part of the power and electricity consumption in such countries. The rising electricity generation cost and growing rates of consumption continuously demand the construction new power plants. Devising and enforcing Demand-SideM anagemen(t DSM) in the form of energye fficient operations trategies was the response of this research project to provide a means to rectify this situation using the demand-side management technique known as demand levelling or load shifting. State of the art demand-sidem anagementte chniquesh ave been examined through the developmenot f a model basedp redictive control optimisations trategyf or an integrateda ndm odulara pproachto the provisiono f ice thermals torage. To evaluate the potential of ice-storage assisted air-conditioning systems in flattening the demand curve at peak times during the summer months in Kuwait, a model of a Heating, Ventilation, and Air-conditioning (HVAC) plant was developed in Matlab. The model engaged the use of model based predictive control (MPQ) as an optimisation tool for the plant as a whole. The model with MPC was developed to chose and decide on which control strategy to operate the integrated ice-storage HVAC plant. The model succeeded in optimising the operation of the plant and introduced encouraging improvement of the performance of the system as a whole. The concept of the modular ice-storage system was introduced through a control zoning strategy based on zonal orientation. It is believed that such strategy could lead to the modularisation of ice-storage systems. Additionally, the model was examined and tested in relation to load flattening and demonstrated promising enhancement in the shape of the load curve and demonstrated flattened demand curves through the employed strategy. When compared with measured data from existing buildings, the model showed potential for the techniques utilised to improve the load factor for office buildings.

Cette thèse s'intéresse à la coordination des sous-systèmes d'un nouveau genre de centrale de production d'énergie : un cycle combiné hybride (HCC - Hybrid Combined Cycle). Cette centrale HCC n'existe pas encore mais combine un cycle combiné gaz (CCG), un moyen de production solaire thermodynamique (miroirs cylindro-paraboliques) et un moyen de stockage thermique (stockage indirect de chaleur sensible utilisant deux réservoirs de sels fondus). Comment coordonner ces trois sous-systèmes de manière optimale lors des variations de demande de puissance ou des prix du gaz ?Dans un premier temps, chacun des trois sous-systèmes est étudié de manière indépendante afin d'obtenir, d'une part, un modèle physique permettant de caractériser le comportement dynamique du sous-système considéré et, d'autre part, un contrôle local qui agit en fonction des objectifs de fonctionnement prédéfinis. Un modèle du système complet interconnecté de l'HCC est ensuite obtenu en couplant les modèles des trois sous-systèmes. Enfin, une coordination des différents sous-systèmes est mise en place pour adapter le fonctionnement de chacun, en fonction des objectifs globaux de la centrale HCC complète, en optimisant les consignes de chaque sous-système. Dans ce travail, une coordination de type linéaire quadratique et une coordination de type optimale prédictive sont étudiées. Les résultats obtenus sont bien prometteurs : ils montrent, tout d'abord, que lors d'un appel de puissance, la commande coordonnée permet au système HCC de répondre plus rapidement, en utilisant plus efficacement la partie solaire. De plus, lorsque la demande subit beaucoup de variations, la partie solaire et la partie stockage absorbent toutes ces variations et la Turbine à Combustion (TAC) du CCG est beaucoup moins sollicitée. Lorsqu'il n'y a plus d'irradiation solaire, la partie stockage prend la relève pour continuer à produire de la vapeur solaire, jusqu'à ce que les stocks se vident. Finalement, le stockage permet d'ajuster la production de la TAC en fonction des prix du gaz. / This work concerns the subsystems coordination of a new type of power plant: a Hybrid Combined Cycle (HCC). This HCC plant is not yet build but consists of a Combined Cycle Power Plant (CCPP), a concentrated solar plant (parabolic trough) and a thermal storage system (a molten-salts two-tank indirect sensible thermal storage). How to coordinate these three subsystems optimally during variations in power demand or in gas price?First, each subsystem is studied independently in order to get on one hand a physical model that reproduces the dynamical behavior of the considered subsystem, and on the other hand, a local control that achieves an operation according to pre-specified objectives. Then, a model of the HCC system is obtained by coupling the models of the three defined subsystems.Eventually, a coordination of the subsystems is set up in order to adapt the behavior of each subsystem according to the global objectives for the full HCC system, by optimizing subsystem setpoints. In this study, a linear quadratic coordination and a model predictive coordination are designed. The obtained results are promising: they first show that during a power demand, the coordination allows the global system to quickly respond, using extensively the solar production. Besides, when the power demand undergoes many fluctuations, the solar and storage parts absorb these variations and the gas turbine of the CCPP is much less stressed. In addition, when there is no more solar radiation, the storage part continues producing solar steam, until storage tanks are empty. At last, the storage part allows to adjust the gas turbine production according to the gas prices.

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES / Monitoring of process control systems is extremely important for industries to ensure the quality of the product and the safety of the process. Predictive controllers, also known by MPC (Model Predictive Control), usually has a well performance initially. However, after a period, many factors contribute to the deterioration of its performance. This highlights the importance of monitoring the MPC control systems. In this work, tools based on multivariate statistical methods are discussed and applied to the problem of monitoring and Performance Assessment of predictive controllers. The methods presented here are: PCA (Principal Component Analysis) and ICA (Independent Component Analysis). Both are techniques that use data collected directly from the process. The first is widely used in Performance Assessment of predictive controllers. The second is a more recent technique that has arisen, mainly in order to be used in fault detection systems. The analyzes are made when applied in simulated processes characteristic of the petrochemical industry operating under MPC control. / O monitoramento de sistemas de controle de processos é extremamente importante no que diz respeito às indústrias, para garantir a qualidade do que é produzido e a segurança do processo. Os controladores preditivos, também conhecidos pela sigla em inglês MPC (Model Predictive Control), costumam ter um bom desempenho inicialmente. Entretanto, após um certo período, muitos fatores contribuem para a deterioração de seu desempenho. Isto evidencia a importância do monitoramento dos sistemas de controle MPC. Neste trabalho aborda-se ferramentas, baseada em métodos estatísticos multivariados, aplicados ao problema de monitoramento e avaliação de desempenho de controladores preditivos. Os métodos aqui apresentados são: o PCA (Análise por componentes principais) e o ICA (Análise por componentes independentes). Ambas são técnicas que utilizam dados coletados diretamente do processo. O primeiro é largamente utilizado na avaliação de desempenho de controladores preditivos. Já o segundo, é uma técnica mais recente que surgiu, principalmente, com o intuito de ser utilizado em sistemas de detecção de falhas. As análises são feitas quando aplicadas em processos simulados característicos da indústria petroquímica operando sob controle MPC.

Made available in DSpace on 2014-12-17T14:55:47Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 JoseSBL_DISSERT.pdf: 1769944 bytes, checksum: 43863b3b32771c922314a0fa73be8bf8 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2011-02-14 / This work deals with an on-line control strategy based on Robust Model Predictive Control (RMPC) technique applied in a real coupled tanks system. This process consists of two coupled tanks and a pump to feed the liquid to the system. The control objective (regulator problem) is to keep the tanks levels in the considered operation point even in the presence of disturbance. The RMPC is a technique that allows explicit incorporation of the plant uncertainty in the problem formulation. The goal is to design, at each time step, a state-feedback control law that minimizes a 'worst-case' infinite horizon objective function, subject to constraint in the control. The existence of a feedback control law satisfying the input constraints is reduced to a convex optimization over linear matrix inequalities (LMIs) problem. It is shown in this work that for the plant uncertainty described by the polytope, the feasible receding horizon state feedback control design is robustly stabilizing. The software implementation of the RMPC is made using Scilab, and its communication with Coupled Tanks Systems is done through the OLE for Process Control (OPC) industrial protocol / Este trabalho tem como objetivo desenvolver uma estrat?gia de controle on-line baseado no Controlador Preditivo Robusto (RMPC, acr?nimo do ingl?s Robust Model Predictive Control) aplicado a um sistema real de tanques acoplados. Este processo consiste em sistema de dois tanques conectados, cujo liquido ? enviado aos mesmos por uma bomba. O objetivo do controle (problema regulat?rio) ? deixar os n?veis dos tanques no ponto de opera??o considerado, mesmo na presen?a de perturba??es. A s?ntese da t?cnica RMPC consiste em incorporar de forma explicita as incertezas da planta na formula??o do problema. O objetivo do projeto, a cada per?odo de amostragem, ? encontrar uma realimenta??o de estados que minimiza o pior caso de uma fun??o objetivo com horizonte infinito, sujeita a restri??es no sinal de controle. O problema original, do tipo Min-max, ? reduzido em a problema de otimiza??o convexa expresso em desigualdades matriciais lineares (LMI, Linear Matriz Inequalities). Mostram-se, neste trabalho, a descri??o da incerteza da planta na forma polit?pica e as condi??es de factibilidade do problema de otimiza??o. A implementa??o do algoritmo RMPC foi feita utilizando o software Scilab e a sua comunica??o com o sistema de tanques acoplados foi feita atrav?s do protocolo OPC (do ingl?s OLE for Process Control)

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES / Monitoring of process control systems is extremely important for industries to ensure the quality of the product and the safety of the process. Predictive controllers, also known by MPC (Model Predictive Control), usually has a well performance initially. However, after a period, many factors contribute to the deterioration of its performance. This highlights the importance of monitoring the MPC control systems. In this work, tools based on multivariate statistical methods are discussed and applied to the problem of monitoring and Performance Assessment of predictive controllers. The methods presented here are: PCA (Principal Component Analysis) and ICA (Independent Component Analysis). Both are techniques that use data collected directly from the process. The first is widely used in Performance Assessment of predictive controllers. The second is a more recent technique that has arisen, mainly in order to be used in fault detection systems. The analyzes are made when applied in simulated processes characteristic of the petrochemical industry operating under MPC control. / O monitoramento de sistemas de controle de processos é extremamente importante no que diz respeito às indústrias, para garantir a qualidade do que é produzido e a segurança do processo. Os controladores preditivos, também conhecidos pela sigla em inglês MPC (Model Predictive Control), costumam ter um bom desempenho inicialmente. Entretanto, após um certo período, muitos fatores contribuem para a deterioração de seu desempenho. Isto evidencia a importância do monitoramento dos sistemas de controle MPC. Neste trabalho aborda-se ferramentas, baseada em métodos estatísticos multivariados, aplicados ao problema de monitoramento e avaliação de desempenho de controladores preditivos. Os métodos aqui apresentados são: o PCA (Análise por componentes principais) e o ICA (Análise por componentes independentes). Ambas são técnicas que utilizam dados coletados diretamente do processo. O primeiro é largamente utilizado na avaliação de desempenho de controladores preditivos. Já o segundo, é uma técnica mais recente que surgiu, principalmente, com o intuito de ser utilizado em sistemas de detecção de falhas. As análises são feitas quando aplicadas em processos simulados característicos da indústria petroquímica operando sob controle MPC.

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior - CAPES / The data reconciliation in process control is extremely important regarding the industries because from this it is possible to obtain a greater efficiency in the performance in industrial process control meshes aiming at a lower cost and a higher quality of the product. In this work we approach data estimation techniques for the implementation of an online dynamic data reconciliation system in order to reduce the noise and the measurement uncertainties that are submitted in the process variables. The techniques used here are: the Kalman Filter, the Preditor-Corrector DDR Algorithm, the Moving Horizon Estimator (MHE) and the Constrained Extended Kalman Filter (CEKF). The analysis is performed by applying the dynamic data reconciliation system in a simulated process, characteristic of the chemical industry, operating under MPC (Model Predictive Control). The performance of the MPC controller is also enhanced by the use of the reconciled data in the feedback control loop. / A reconciliação de dados em controle de processos é extremamente importante no que diz respeito às indústrias, pois a partir dessa é possível obter uma maior eficiência no desempenho em malhas de controle de processos industriais visando à minimização dos custos e maximizando a qualidade do produto. Neste trabalho abordam-se técnicas de estimação de dados para a implementação de um sistema de reconciliação dinâmica de dados on-line a fim de reduzir os ruídos e as incertezas de medições a que estão submetidas às variáveis do processo. As técnicas aqui empregadas são: o Filtro de Kalman, o Algoritmo DDR Preditor-Corretor, o Estimador de Horizonte Móvel (MHE) e o Filtro de Kalman Estendido com Restrições (CEKF). As análises são efetuadas aplicando o sistema de reconciliação dinâmica de dados em um processo simulado, característico da indústria química, operando sob controle preditivo (MPC). Também é efetuado o aprimoramento no desempenho do controlador MPC utilizando os dados reconciliados na malha de realimentação do controlador.