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Analysis of States Gun Control RestrictionsCheng, Xiaofeng 28 June 2002 (has links)
This thesis analyzes the policy effects of several state gun control restrictions in the United States. The study employs the data of gun related crimes and gun control restrictions from Statistical Abstract of Criminal Justice Handbook through five years (from 1995 to 2000). Although many scholars have studied previously gun control policy effects on crimes, they always focus on the total violence level and ignore to compare the policy effects of different gun control laws. The present study examines intensively gun related crimes and compares several gun control policies.
Pooled data is employed to access the effects of gun control restrictions, and it is another advancement based on previous studies, which always use cross-sectional or time series designs. These findings partially reject the previous conclusions that gun control laws have no effects on violence and for gun related homicides and robberies; several gun control restrictions like registration, license, and waiting period show some significant policy effects. Contrary to the past study, the permit to purchase, which has been regarded as the most efficient law, produces no significant policy effects. Sale report to police and certain firearm prohibited also have no significant effects. Among control variables, race and urban population exert the obvious influences on the gun violence, and specifically, the density of population affects the gun related homicides and high school graduates affects the gun related robberies. Implications of these findings and potential for future research are discussed.
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Multiple Calibrations in Integrative Data Analysis: A Simulation Study and Application to Multidimensional Family TherapyHall, Kristin Wynn 01 January 2013 (has links)
A recent advancement in statistical methodology, Integrative Data Analyses (IDA Curran & Hussong, 2009) has led researchers to employ a calibration technique as to not violate an independence assumption. This technique uses a randomly selected, simplified correlational structured subset, or calibration, of a whole data set in a preliminary stage of analysis. However, a single calibration estimator suffers from instability, low precision and loss of power. To overcome this limitation, a multiple calibration (MC; Greenbaum et al., 2013; Wang et al., 2013) approach has been developed to produce better estimators, while still removing a level of dependency in the data as to not violate independence assumption. The MC method is conceptually similar to multiple imputation (MI; Rubin, 1987; Schafer, 1997), so MI estimators were borrowed for comparison.
A simulation study was conducted to compare the MC and MI estimators, as well as to evaluate the performance of the operating characteristics of the methods in a cross classified data characteristic design. The estimators were tested in the context of assessing change over time in a longitudinal data set. Multiple calibrations consisting of a single measurement occasion per subject were drawn from a repeated measures data set, analyzed separately, and then combined by the rules set forth by each method to produce the final results. The data characteristics investigated were effect size, sample size, and the number of repeated measures per subject. Additionally, a real data application of an MC approach in an IDA framework was conducted on data from three completed, randomized controlled trials studying the treatment effects of Multidimensional Family Therapy (MDFT; Liddle et al., 2002) on substance use trajectories for adolescents at a one year follow-up.
The simulation study provided empirical evidence of how the MC method preforms, as well as how it compares to the MI method in a total of 27 hypothetical scenarios. There were strong asymptotic tendencies observed for the bias, standard error, mean square error and relative efficiency of an MC estimator to approach the whole set estimators as the number of calibrations approached 100. The MI combination rules proved not appropriate to borrow for the MC case because the standard error formulas were too conservative and performance with respect to power was not robust. As a general suggestion, 5 calibrations are sufficient to produce an estimator with about half the bias of a single calibration estimator and at least some indication of significance, while 20 calibrations are ideal. After 20 calibrations, the contribution of an additional calibration to the combined estimator greatly diminished.
The MDFT application demonstrated a successful implementation of 5 calibration approach in an IDA on real data, as well as the risk of missing treatment effects when analysis is limited to a single calibration's results. Additionally, results from the application provided evidence that MDFT interventions reduced the trajectories of substance use involvement at a 1-year follow-up to a greater extent than any of the active control treatment groups, overall and across all gender and ethnicity subgroups. This paper will aid researchers interested in employing a MC approach in an IDA framework or whenever a level of dependency in a data set needs to be removed for an independence assumption to hold.
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Analysis of states gun control restrictions [electronic resource] / by Xiaofeng Cheng.Cheng, Xiaofeng. January 2002 (has links)
Includes vita. / Title from PDF of title page. / Document formatted into pages; contains 47 pages. / Thesis (M.A.)--University of South Florida, 2002. / Includes bibliographical references. / Text (Electronic thesis) in PDF format. / ABSTRACT: This thesis analyzes the policy effects of several state gun control restrictions in the United States. The study employs the data of gun related crimes and gun control restrictions from Statistical Abstract of Criminal Justice Handbook through five years (from 1995 to 2000). Although many scholars have studied previously gun control policy effects on crimes, they always focus on the total violence level and ignore to compare the policy effects of different gun control laws. The present study examines intensively gun related crimes and compares several gun control policies. Pooled data is employed to access the effects of gun control restrictions, and it is another advancement based on previous studies, which always use cross-sectional or time series designs. / ABSTRACT: These findings partially reject the previous conclusions that gun control laws have no effects on violence and for gun related homicides and robberies; several gun control restrictions like registration, license, and waiting period show some significant policy effects. Contrary to the past study, the permit to purchase, which has been regarded as the most efficient law, produces no significant policy effects. Sale report to police and certain firearm prohibited also have no significant effects. Among control variables, race and urban population exert the obvious influences on the gun violence, and specifically, the density of population affects the gun related homicides and high school graduates affects the gun related robberies. Implications of these findings and potential for future research are discussed. / System requirements: World Wide Web browser and PDF reader. / Mode of access: World Wide Web.
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Méthodes d'analyse statistique pour données répétées dans les essais cliniques : intérêts et applications au paludisme / Statistical method for analysis of recurrent events in clinical trials : interest and applications to malaria dataSagara, Issaka 17 December 2014 (has links)
De nombreuses études cliniques ou interventions de lutte ont été faites ou sont en cours en Afrique pour la lutte contre le fléau du paludisme. En zone d'endémie, le paludisme est une maladie récurrente. La revue de littérature indique une application limitée des outils statistiques appropriés existants pour l'analyse des données récurrentes de paludisme. Nous avons mis en oeuvre des méthodes statistiques appropriées pour l'analyse des données répétées d'essais thérapeutiques de paludisme. Nous avons également étudié les mesures répétées d'hémoglobine lors du suivi de traitements antipaludiques en vue d'évaluer la tolérance ou sécurité des médicaments en regroupant les données de 13 essais cliniques.Pour l'analyse du nombre d'épisodes de paludisme, la régression binomiale négative a été mise en oeuvre. Pour modéliser la récurrence des épisodes de paludisme, quatre modèles ont été utilisés : i) Les équations d'estimation généralisées (GEE) utilisant la distribution de Poisson; et trois modèles qui sont une extension du modèle Cox: ii) le modèle de processus de comptage d'Andersen-Gill (AG-CP), iii) le modèle de processus de comptage de Prentice-Williams-Peterson (PWP-CP); et iv) le modèle de Fragilité partagée de distribution gamma. Pour l'analyse de sécurité, c'est-à-dire l'évaluation de l'impact de traitements antipaludiques sur le taux d'hémoglobine ou la survenue de l'anémie, les modèles linéaires et latents généralisés mixtes (« GLLAMM : generalized linear and latent mixed models ») ont été mis en oeuvre. Les perspectives sont l'élaboration de guides de bonnes pratiques de préparation et d'analyse ainsi que la création d'un entrepôt des données de paludisme. / Numerous clinical studies or control interventions were done or are ongoing in Africa for malaria control. For an efficient control of this disease, the strategies should be closer to the reality of the field and the data should be analyzed appropriately. In endemic areas, malaria is a recurrent disease. Repeated malaria episodes are common in African. However, the literature review indicates a limited application of appropriate statistical tools for the analysis of recurrent malaria data. We implemented appropriate statistical methods for the analysis of these data We have also studied the repeated measurements of hemoglobin during malaria treatments follow-up in order to assess the safety of the study drugs by pooling data from 13 clinical trials.For the analysis of the number of malaria episodes, the negative binomial regression has been implemented. To model the recurrence of malaria episodes, four models were used: i) the generalized estimating equations (GEE) using the Poisson distribution; and three models that are an extension of the Cox model: ii) Andersen-Gill counting process (AG-CP), iii) Prentice-Williams-Peterson counting process (PWP-CP); and (iv) the shared gamma frailty model. For the safety analysis, i.e. the assessment of the impact of malaria treatment on hemoglobin levels or the onset of anemia, the generalized linear and latent mixed models (GLLAMM) has been implemented. We have shown how to properly apply the existing statistical tools in the analysis of these data. The prospects of this work remain in the development of guides on good practices on the methodology of the preparation and analysis and storage network for malaria data.
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